Taiwan's 2016 Elections and Cross-Strait Relations

Talk by Chen-yuan Tung, UC Berkeley

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Taiwan will hold general elections to elect the 14th President and 113 members of the 9th Legislative Yuan on 16 January, 2016. Currently, there are three presidential candidates: Hung Hsiu-chu (KMT), Tsai Ing-wen (DPP), and James Soong (PFP). The 2016 elections will significantly change Taiwan’s political landscape and will have consequent impact on relations between Taiwan and China. In his speech, Prof. Tung will provide his observations on the following questions: Who is most likely to win Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election? Why is Tsai Ing-wen popular as well as Hung Hsiu-chu and James Soong unpopular in Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election? Which party or party alliance might win the majority seats of the Legislative Yuan? What is President Ma’s legacy of cross-Strait relations? How will Tsai’s winning of Taiwan’s 2016 presidential election influence cross-Strait relations?

Chen-yuan Tung is currently a visiting scholar of the University of California, Berkeley, distinguished professor of the Graduate Institute of Development Studies and director of the Center for Prediction Markets, National Chengchi University (Taiwan), and president of Association for Cross-Strait Policy (Taiwan). He received his Ph.D. degree majoring in international affairs from the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Johns Hopkins University. From September 2006 to May 2008, he was vice chairman of the Mainland tAffairs Council, Executive Yuan, Republic of China (Taiwan). His expertise focuses on international political economy, Chinese economic development, and prediction markets.

童振源 現任美國加州大學柏克萊分校訪問學者、國立政治大學國家發展研究所特聘教授、預測市場研究中心主任、與兩岸政策協會理事長。美國約翰霍普金斯大學高級國際研究學院國際事務碩士與博士。於2006年9月至2008年5月擔任中華民國行政院大陸委員會副主任委員,2008年獲行政院國家科學委員會優秀年輕學者獎,2012年獲得政治大學學術研究特優獎。主要學術專長為國際政治經濟、中國經濟發展、及預測市場等領域。

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Published: Friday, November 20, 2015