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Burkle Center Working Paper Series

A list of past working papers produced under the sponsorship of the Burkle Center.

Leslie Evans Email LeslieEvans

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Second Series

1. HOW DOES SOCIAL SCIENCE HELP SOLVE ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS?, A workshop at UCLA, May 1992, ISBN 0-86682-093-0

2. COOPERATION IN A WORLD WITHOUT ENEMIES: SOLVING THE PUBLIC GOODS PROBLEM IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, a conference at UCLA, June 1992, ISBN 0- 86682-092-2

3. GREAT PROBLEMS AND GREAT OPPORTUNITIES, Bernard Brodie Lecture, delivered by Brian Urquhart, April 2, 1992, ISBN 0-86682-094-9

4. THE STRUCTURE OF SOLUTIONS IN THE ITERATED PRISONER'S DILEMMA, Bjorn Lomborg, April 1993, ISBN 0-86682-095-7

5. THE CONVENTIONAL STATUS OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS, Bernard Brodie Lecture, delivered by Thomas C. Schelling, June 5, 1991, ISBN 0-86682-096-5

6. FENCES AND NEIGHBORS: IMMIGRATION ISSUES IN THE 1990s, Jeannette Money, February 1994, ISBN 0-86682-097-3

7. WAR, PEACE AND POLITICS: THE U.S. AND NEW WORLD ORDER, Bernard Brodie Lecture, delivered by Carl Kaysen, February 23, 1994, ISBN 0-86682-098-1

8. INTERVENTIONS AND ETHNO-RELIGIOUS VIOLENCE; SELF DETERMINATION AND SPACE, David C. Rapoport, November 1994, ISBN 0-86682-099-X

9. THE FUTURE OF RUSSIA IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE, Walter Pintner, November 1995, ISBN 0-86682-100-7

10. THE FUTURE OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SERVICES, Jose Ripoll, March 1996, ISBN 086682-101-5

11. CAN THE ARAB-ISRAELI PEACE PROCESS CONTINUE UNDER THE LIKUD GOVERNMENT?, Galia Golan, August 1996, ISBN 0-86682-127-9

12. A LARGER ROLE FOR POSITIVE SANCTIONS IN CASES OF COMPELLENCE, Gitty M. Amini, May 1997, ISBN 0-86682-128-7

13. HOW ECONOMICS OF SCALE TRADE AFFECTS DOMESTIC POLITICS, Ronald Rogowski, May 1997, ISBN 0-86682-129-5

14. THE REVOLUTION IN MILITARY AFFAIRS: PEACE OR WAR IN THE 21ST CENTURY, Bernard Brodie Lecture, delivered by William Perry, May 14, 1997, ISBN 0-86682-105-8

15. DENG XIAOPING'S GREAT TRANSFORMATION AND THE ECONOMIC FUTURE OF CHINA, Steven N. S. Cheung, November 1997, ISBN 0-86682-102-3

16. DETERRING NUCLEAR WEAPONS PROLIFERATION, Dagobert L. Brito and Michael D. Intriligator, June 1998, ISBN 0-86682-103-1

17. PREVENTING MASS VIOLENCE TOWARD A DOCTRINE OF SOVEREIGN RESPONSIBILITY, John D. Steinbruner, June 1998, ISBN 0-86682-104-X

18. IRAN'S ARMS CONTROL POLICIES AND THE WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION ISSUE, Peter Jones, June 1998, ISBN 0-86682-126-0

19. ECONOMIC AND MONETARY UNION IN EUROPE, Francois Duchene, November 1998, ISBN 0-86682-125-2

20. EXPLAINING GORBACHEV'S NEW THINKING: THE ROLE OF ECONOMIC STATUS INCENTIVES, Deborah Larson and Alexei V. Shevchenko, February 1999, ISBN 0-86682-106-6

21. NORMS IN FUTURE INTERNATIONAL POLITICS, a conference at UCLA, November 1998, ISBN 0-86682-107-4

22. SOLUTIONS TO THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISIS, Arnold Harberger Lecture, delivered by Gerald E. Corrigan, February 12, 1999, ISBN 0-86682-108-2

23. THE INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE EURO, Richard Rosecrance, November 1999, ISBN 0-86682-109-0

24. THE FEDERAL RESERVE NEEDS TO RAISE INTEREST RATES NOW, David K. Richards, November 1999, ISBN 0-86682-110-4

25. ON THE ORIGIN OF NORMS IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS AND POSSIBLE APPLICATIONS, conference at UCLA, October 1999, ISBN 0-86682-111-2

26. PROSPECTS FOR THE WORLD ECONOMY, Richard N. Cooper, February 2000, ISBN 0-86682-112-0

27. THE IMPACT OF GLOBALIZATION ON WORLD PEACE, Arnold Harberger Lecture, delivered by Thomas L. Friedman on January 17, 2001, ISBN 0-86682-113-9

First Series

1. ON CLARIFYING OBJECTIVES OF ARMS CONTROL by Bernard Brodie, April 1976 (subsequently published in International Security, August 1976). ISBN 0-86682-000-0

2. FORMAL MODELS OF ARMS RACES by D.L. Brito and Michael Intriligator, May 1976 (later published in The Journal of Peace Science, Spring1977). ISBN 0-86682-001-9

3. PROCEEDINGS FROM A CONFERENCE ON PROBLEMS OF WAR AND PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST, (held December 11-12,1975). Remarks by Ambassador Ashraf Ghorbal, General Aharon Yariv, and Dr. William Quandt, August 1976. ISBN 0-86682-002-7

4. COOPERATION UNDER THE SECURITY DILEMMA by Robert Jervis, April 1977 (subsequently published in World Politics, January 1978). ISBN 0-86682-005-3

5. RETHINKING SOVIET STRATEGIC POLICY: INPUTS AND IMPLICATIONS by Dennis Ross, June 1977 (subsequently published in Journal of Strategic Studies, May 1978). ISBN 0- 86682-004-3

6. A NUCLEAR MIDDLE EAST: INFRASTRUCTURE, LIKELY MILITARY POSTURES AND PROSPECTS FOR STRATEGIC STABILITY by Paul Jabber, September 1977 (subsequently published in Great Power Intervention in the Middle East, Milton Leitenberg and Gabriel Sheffer, editors, 1979). ISBN 0-86682-005-1

7. ISRAEL'S NUCLEAR OPTIONS by Shlomo Aronson, November 1977. ISBN 0-86682-006-X

8. WHAT A FIFTH ARAB-ISRAELI WAR MIGHT LOOK LIKE: AN EXERCISE IN FORECASTING by Steven Rosen, November 1977 (subsequently published International Security, Spring 1978). ISBN 0-86682-007-8

9. PEACEFUL P.A.L by George H. Quester, November 1977. ISBN 0-86682-008-610

10. THE SOVIET MILITARY AND ARMS CONTROL by Douglas Garthoff, November 1977 (subsequently published in Survival, November-December, 1978). ISBN 0-86682-009-4

11. THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUCLEAR STRATEGY by Bernard Brodie, February 1978 (subsequently published in International Security, Spring 1978). ISBN 0-86682-010-8

12. THE PROLIFERATION OF LAND-BASED TECHNOLOGIES: IMPLICATIONS FOR MILITARY BALANCES by Steven J. Rosen, March 1978 (subsequently published in Arms Transfers in the Modern World, Stephani Neuman and Robert Harkevy, editors, 1979). ISBN 0- 86682-011-6

13. BRITISH DEFENSE: POLICY PROCESS by Arthur Cyr, March 1978. ISBN 0-86682-012-4

14. DETERRENCE THE0RY REVISITED by Robert Jervis, May 1978 (subsequently published in World Politics, January 1979). ISBN 0-86682-013-2

15. PARTY-MILITARY RELATIONS IN EASTERN EUROPE: THE CASE OF ROMANIA by Alex Alexiev, January 1979. ISBN 0-86682-014-0

16. INCREMENTAL OR COMPREHENSIVE SALT: IS SOME SALT BETTER THAN NO SALT? By Dennis Ross, May 1979 (subsequently published in Arms Control Today, May 1979). ISBN 0-86682-015-9

17. BRAZIL AND LATIN-AMERICAN NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION: AN OPTIMISTIC VIEW by George H. Quester, December 1979. ISBN 0-86682-016-7

18. LAND-MOBILE ICBMs: VERIFICATION AND BREAKOUT by Paul K. Davis, January 1980. ISBN 0-86682-017-5

19. VERIFYING SALT AGREEMENTS by Bruce G Blair and Garry D. Brewer, January 1980. ISBN 0-86682-018-3

20. SOME ASPECTS OF CONVENTIONAL MILITARY CAPABILITY IN SOVIET FOREIGN RELATIONS by David D. Finley, February 1980. ISBN 0-86682-019-1

21. DEVELOPMENTS IN U.S. STRATEGIC NUCLEAR POLICY UNDER THE CARTER ADMINISTRATION by Desmond Ball, February 1980. ISBN 0-86682-020-5

22. THE THEORY OF HEGEMONIC STABILITY CHANGES IN THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REGIMES, 1967-1977 by Robert O. Keohane, March 1980. ISBN 0-86682-021-3

23. ON MISPERCEPTION by Arthur A. Stein, March 1980. ISBN 0-86682-022-1

24. IS AN EGYPTIAN-ISRAELI PEACE TREATY CONDUCIVE TO AN OVERALL MIDDLE EAST PEACE? Mohamed Sid-Ahmed, May 1980. ISBN 0-86682-023-X

25. CHANGING ATTITUDES TOWARD DETERRENCE by Henry Trofimenko, July 1980. ISBN 0-86682-024-8

26. THE WAR IN VIETNAM: THE INFLUENCE OF CONCEPTS ON POLICY by Michael Nacht, July 1980. ISBN 0-86682-025-6

27. THE SOVIET INVASION OF AFGHANISTAN: THREE PERSPECTIVES, Essays by Vernon Aspaturian, Alexander Dallin and Jiri Valenta, September 1980. ISBN 0-86682-026-4

28. TOWARDS A SOVIET-AMERICAN CRISIS PREVENTION REGIME: HISTORY AND PROSPECTS by Alexander L. George, November 1980. ISBN 0-86682-027-2

29. MODERNIZATION AND FOREIGN POLICY by R.D. Tschirgi, November 1980. ISBN 0- 86682-028-0

30. MILITARY STRATEGY AND POLITICAL INTERESTS: THE SOVIET UNION AND THE UNITED STATES by Roman Kolkowicz, January 1981. ISBN 0-86682-029-9

31. ON FIGHTING A NUCLEAR WAR by Michael E. Howard, January 1981. ISBN 0-86682-030-2

32. THE UNDERDEVELOPMENT OF POLITICAL ECONOMY by Martin Staniland, August 1981. ISBN 0-86682-031-0

33. SOVIET DEFENSE DECISIONMAKING: WHAT DO WE KNOW AND WHAT DO WE UNDERSTAND by Stephen M. Meyer, January 1982. ISBN 0-86682-041-8

34. NUCLEAR ENERGY AT WAR: THE IMPLICATION OF ISRAEL'S REACTOR STRIKE by Bennett Ramberg, August 1982. ISBN 0-86682-045-0

35. AFRICA, THE AMERICAN INTELLIGENTSIA, AND THE SHADOW OF VIETNAM by Martin Staniland, August 1982. ISBN 0-86682-046-9

36. THE ALTERNATIVE TO ARMS CONTROL by Barbara Tuchman, August 1982. ISBN 0- 86682-047-7

37. SOCIAL CHOICE THEORY AND SOVIET NATIONAL SECURITY DECISIONMAKING by Jeffrey T. Richelson, December 1982. ISBN 0-86682-048-5

38. UNITED STATES STRATEGIC RECONNAISSANCE: PHOTOGRAPHIC/IMAGING SATELLITES by Jeffrey T. Richelson, May 1983. ISBN 0-86682-050-7

39. STRATEGIC RESTRAINT: ETHICAL PERSPECTIVES AND POLITICAL INITIATIVES by Alton Frye, June 1983. ISBN 0-86682-051-5

40. LESSONS OF THE PIPELINE NEGOTIATIONS by Nil Ozergene, July 1983. ISBN 0-86682- 052-3

41. A STATISTICAL RISK MODEL FOR FORECASTING NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION by Stephen M. Meyer, July 1983. ISBN 0-86682-053-1

42. STRATEGIC FORCES AND DETERRENCE by Harold Brown, August 1983. ISBN 0-86682- 054-X

43. UNITED STATES POLICY TOWARDS SOUTH AFRICA: IS AN EFFECTIVE ONE POSSIBLE? By William J. Foltz, October 1983. ISBN 0-86682-056-6

44. USING THE ABSOLUTE WEAPON: EARLY IDEAS OF BERNARD BRODIE ON ATOMIC STRATEGY by Barry H. Steiner, January 1984. ISBN 0-86682-057-4

45. THE MILITARY ROLE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS: PERCEPTIONS AND MISPERCEPTIONS by Robert S. McNamara, March 1984. ISBN 0-86682-058-2

46. THE FALKLANDS AND THE MALVINAS: STRATEGY AND ARMS CONTROL by George H. Quester, May 1984. ISBN 0-86682-059-0

47. THE CASE FOR NUCLEAR ARMS CONTROL by Barry H. Blechman, January 1985. ISBN 0- 86682-060-4

48. ARMS CONTROL IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS: SOME THEORETICAL REFLECTIONS by Patrick M. Morgan, April 1985. ISBN 0-86682-061-2

49. THE IRAQ-IRAN WAR: SPECULATIONS ABOUT A NUCLEAR RERUN by Michael J. Brenner, May 1985. ISBN 0-86682-062-0

50. INTRA-GERMAN RELATIONS IN A PERIOD OF EAST-WEST TENSIONS by Wolfgang Pfeiler, June 1985. ISBN 0-86682-063-9

51. NATO DETERRENCE DOCTRINE: NO WAY OUT by Richard K. Betts, June 1985. ISBN 0- 86682-064-7

52. REDUCTIONS WITH MODERNIZATION-AN ARMS CONTROL MIRAGE by Herbert Scoville, Jr., September 1985. ISBN 0-86682-066-3

53. SOVIET VIOLATIONS OF ARMS CONTROL AGREEMENTS: A LEGAL PERSPECTIVE by Phillip R. Trimble, November 1985. ISBN 0-86682-067-1

54. TECHNOLOGY AND STRATEGIC FORCES by Brent Scowcroft, January 1986. ISBN 0- 86682-069-8

55. THE SDI DEBATE AS A CONTINUATION OF HISTORY by Robert A. Levine, March 1986. ISBN 0-86682-070-1

56. PERMISSIVE ACTION LINKS (PAL): A DESCRIPTION AND PROPOSAL by Dan Caldwell, December 1986. ISBN 0-86682-073-6

57. HARMONIZING EEC-CMEA RELATIONS: NEVER THE TWAIN SHALL MEET? By Robert M. Cutler, January 1987. ISBN 0-86682-074-4

58. WHAT STRATEGIES CAN SUPPORT THE EVOLUTIONARY EMERGENCE OF COOPERATION? By Jack Hirshleifer and Juan Carlos Martinez Coll, February 1987. ISBN 0- 86682-075-2

59. CREATING A DATABASE ON INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR COMMERCE by William C. Potter, September 1987. ISBN 0-86682-076-0

60. THE DOMESTIC POLITICS OF ARMS CONTROL by Paul C. Warnke, October 1987. ISBN 0-86682-077-9

61. THE EMERGING NUCLEAR SUPPLIERS: SOME GUIDELINES FOR POLICY by Lewis A. Dunn, February 1988. ISBN 0-86682-078-7

62. A GUIDE TO SIMULATING U.S.-SOVIET ARMS CONTROL NEGOTIATIONS by William C. Potter, April 1988. ISBN 0-86682-079-5

63. BEYOND THE HORIZON OF THE PACIFIC by Yasuhiro Nakasone, June 1988. ISBN 0- 86682-081-7

64. U.S.- SOVIET RELATIONS: FROM CONFRONTATION TO COOPERATION THROUGH VERIFICATIONAL DETERRENCE by Vitalii I. Goldanskii and Michael D. Intriligator, March 1989. ISBN 0-86682-083-3

65. THE SCIENTIFIC/TECHNOLOGICAL CHALLENGE AND EAST EUROPEAN SOCIALISM by Anton Bebler, February 1989. ISBN 0-86682-082-5

66. TACIT BARGAINING AND STABLE PROLIFERATION IN SOUTH ASIA by Neil Joeck, April 1989. ISBN 0-86682-084-1

67. NORDIC SECURITY: ISSUES AND PROSPECTS by Katarina Brodin, May 1989. ISBN 0- 86682-086-8

68. BALLISTIC MISSILE-CARRYING SUBMARINES: A REASSESSMENT OF THEIR CONTRIBUTION TO STRATEGIC STABILITY by Robert D. Glasser, May 1989. ISBN 0- 86682-088-4

69. STRUCTURE AND PROCESS IN SUPERPOWER ARMS CONTROL: LESSONS FROM INF by Thomas Risse-Kappen, June 1989. ISBN 0-86682-085-6

70. TENSION IN THE NORTH: SWEDEN AND NORDIC SECURITY by Rodney Kennedy-Minott, July 1989. ISBN 0-86682-087-6

71. ARMS CONTROL: THE CHANGING STRATEGIC ENVIRONMENT AND THE LONG- TERM FUTURE by Michael D. Intriligator, Andrew S. Bair and Richard Latter, December 1989. ISBN 0-86682-089-2

72. THE COMPLEXITY OF INTERDEPENDENCE by John A. Kroll, May 1991. ISBN 0-86682- 090-6

73. INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT AND INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT by Jeffry A. Frieden, November 1991. ISBN 0-86682-091-4

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