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to<00:00:01.120> everyone<00:00:02.120> and<00:00:02.480> we<00:00:02.760> are<00:00:04.040> uh<00:00:05.040> very<00:00:05.359> glad<00:00:05.759> to
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to everyone and we are uh very glad to
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to everyone and we are uh very glad to
have<00:00:06.319> you<00:00:06.520> for<00:00:06.919> this
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have you for this
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have you for this
extremely<00:00:09.080> uh<00:00:09.480> important<00:00:10.480> discussion<00:00:11.400> a<00:00:11.519> bit
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extremely uh important discussion a bit
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extremely uh important discussion a bit
different<00:00:12.080> than<00:00:12.280> what<00:00:12.400> we<00:00:12.639> expected<00:00:13.120> when
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different than what we expected when
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different than what we expected when
about
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about
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about
six<00:00:16.279> six<00:00:16.600> weeks<00:00:16.880> ago<00:00:17.199> when<00:00:17.400> we<00:00:17.880> thought<00:00:18.880> uh
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six six weeks ago when we thought uh
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six six weeks ago when we thought uh
that<00:00:20.039> uh<00:00:20.320> the<00:00:20.519> Israeli<00:00:21.240> attack<00:00:22.439> on<00:00:23.439> uh<00:00:24.039> uh
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that uh the Israeli attack on uh uh
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that uh the Israeli attack on uh uh
on<00:00:27.199> had<00:00:28.199> not<00:00:28.400> only<00:00:28.640> in<00:00:28.800> the<00:00:29.080> current<00:00:29.480> situation
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on had not only in the current situation
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on had not only in the current situation
but<00:00:31.240> uh<00:00:32.079> to<00:00:32.840> uh<00:00:33.200> yet<00:00:33.399> another<00:00:33.760> country<00:00:34.239> but
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but uh to uh yet another country but
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but uh to uh yet another country but
which<00:00:34.520> we'll<00:00:34.680> be<00:00:34.840> discussing<00:00:35.840> that<00:00:36.079> that
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which we'll be discussing that that
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which we'll be discussing that that
would<00:00:36.440> all<00:00:36.800> have<00:00:37.280> uh<00:00:38.079> happened<00:00:39.079> and<00:00:39.239> it<00:00:39.480> hasn't
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would all have uh happened and it hasn't
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would all have uh happened and it hasn't
but<00:00:40.960> we<00:00:41.160> have<00:00:42.000> so<00:00:42.239> much<00:00:42.480> to<00:00:42.719> do<00:00:43.719> and<00:00:43.879> let<00:00:44.079> us<00:00:44.360> get
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but we have so much to do and let us get
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but we have so much to do and let us get
to<00:00:44.680> it<00:00:44.879> first<00:00:45.039> of<00:00:45.120> all<00:00:45.239> I'd<00:00:45.399> like<00:00:45.520> to<00:00:45.719> take<00:00:45.960> a
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to it first of all I'd like to take a
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to it first of all I'd like to take a
moment<00:00:46.360> to<00:00:46.559> thank<00:00:46.840> our<00:00:47.520> UCLA
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moment to thank our UCLA
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moment to thank our UCLA
co-sponsors<00:00:50.280> uh<00:00:50.600> International
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co-sponsors uh International
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co-sponsors uh International
Institute<00:00:53.120> and<00:00:53.320> luskan<00:00:54.039> Department<00:00:55.039> of
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Institute and luskan Department of
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Institute and luskan Department of
Public<00:00:57.039> uh<00:00:57.399> uh<00:00:57.960> policy<00:00:58.960> before<00:00:59.239> we<00:00:59.480> begin
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Public uh uh policy before we begin
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Public uh uh policy before we begin
uh
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uh
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uh
whoever
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whoever
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whoever
uh<00:01:06.119> runs<00:01:06.560> these<00:01:06.960> sessions<00:01:07.960> has<00:01:08.119> to<00:01:08.320> tell<00:01:08.600> you
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uh runs these sessions has to tell you
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uh runs these sessions has to tell you
the<00:01:09.479> following<00:01:09.960> important<00:01:10.520> information<00:01:11.119> if
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the following important information if
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the following important information if
you've<00:01:11.360> heard<00:01:11.560> it<00:01:11.759> before<00:01:12.560> in<00:01:12.720> some<00:01:12.920> of<00:01:13.040> our
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you've heard it before in some of our
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you've heard it before in some of our
discussions<00:01:15.320> I'll<00:01:15.560> try<00:01:15.720> to<00:01:15.880> make<00:01:16.040> it<00:01:16.159> as
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discussions I'll try to make it as
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discussions I'll try to make it as
quickly<00:01:16.680> as<00:01:16.880> possible<00:01:17.320> while<00:01:17.479> you<00:01:17.600> see<00:01:17.840> us<00:01:18.439> we
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quickly as possible while you see us we
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quickly as possible while you see us we
cannot<00:01:19.040> see<00:01:19.479> or<00:01:20.159> hear<00:01:20.600> you<00:01:21.600> uh<00:01:21.880> we<00:01:22.040> are
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cannot see or hear you uh we are
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cannot see or hear you uh we are
recording<00:01:23.000> the<00:01:23.280> pre<00:01:23.560> the<00:01:23.680> presentation<00:01:24.360> today
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recording the pre the presentation today
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recording the pre the presentation today
and<00:01:25.400> the<00:01:25.520> video<00:01:25.840> will<00:01:26.240> be<00:01:27.240> uh<00:01:27.439> available<00:01:28.000> on
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and the video will be uh available on
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and the video will be uh available on
the<00:01:28.320> CED<00:01:28.880> website<00:01:29.560> YouTube<00:01:29.920> YouTube<00:01:30.159> and<00:01:30.320> our
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the CED website YouTube YouTube and our
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the CED website YouTube YouTube and our
Facebook<00:01:31.079> page<00:01:32.000> as<00:01:32.200> soon<00:01:32.680> as<00:01:33.280> possible<00:01:34.119> if<00:01:34.280> you
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Facebook page as soon as possible if you
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Facebook page as soon as possible if you
are<00:01:34.840> joining<00:01:35.439> us<00:01:36.200> using<00:01:36.680> Zoom<00:01:37.640> please<00:01:38.680> notice
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are joining us using Zoom please notice
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are joining us using Zoom please notice
the<00:01:40.840> the<00:01:41.399> uh<00:01:41.640> chat<00:01:42.079> window<00:01:42.920> at<00:01:43.079> the<00:01:43.280> bottom<00:01:44.240> of
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the the uh chat window at the bottom of
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the the uh chat window at the bottom of
the<00:01:45.200> screen<00:01:45.719> we<00:01:45.920> will<00:01:46.079> share<00:01:46.399> announcements
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the screen we will share announcements
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the screen we will share announcements
during<00:01:47.719> the<00:01:47.960> talk<00:01:48.280> with<00:01:48.439> you<00:01:48.920> here<00:01:49.920> however
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during the talk with you here however
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during the talk with you here however
you<00:01:50.280> will<00:01:50.479> not<00:01:50.719> be<00:01:50.840> able<00:01:51.079> to<00:01:51.280> add<00:01:51.640> comments<00:01:52.560> in
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you will not be able to add comments in
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you will not be able to add comments in
the<00:01:52.920> chat<00:01:53.600> box<00:01:54.600> if<00:01:54.719> you<00:01:54.960> have<00:01:55.360> questions<00:01:56.000> for
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the chat box if you have questions for
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the chat box if you have questions for
our<00:01:56.719> speakers<00:01:57.719> please<00:01:58.039> type<00:01:58.360> them<00:01:58.640> in<00:01:58.799> the<00:01:59.079> Q&A
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our speakers please type them in the Q&A
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our speakers please type them in the Q&A
window<00:02:00.840> also<00:02:01.759> at<00:02:01.920> the<00:02:02.159> bottom<00:02:02.719> of<00:02:02.960> your<00:02:03.840> uh
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window also at the bottom of your uh
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window also at the bottom of your uh
screen<00:02:04.399> so<00:02:05.360> uh<00:02:05.799> uh<00:02:06.039> again<00:02:06.360> there's<00:02:06.600> the<00:02:06.759> chat
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screen so uh uh again there's the chat
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screen so uh uh again there's the chat
box<00:02:07.600> but<00:02:07.759> if<00:02:07.920> you<00:02:08.080> want<00:02:08.200> to<00:02:08.479> ask<00:02:09.360> questions<00:02:10.360> uh
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box but if you want to ask questions uh
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box but if you want to ask questions uh
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which we are always uh uh trying to take
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which we are always uh uh trying to take
as<00:02:14.360> many<00:02:14.640> as<00:02:14.920> possible<00:02:15.920> uh<00:02:16.480> then<00:02:17.160> uh<00:02:17.239> you<00:02:17.400> go<00:02:17.519> to
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as many as possible uh then uh you go to
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as many as possible uh then uh you go to
the<00:02:18.040> Q&A
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the Q&A
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the Q&A
window<00:02:20.959> also<00:02:21.239> at<00:02:21.319> the<00:02:21.400> bottom<00:02:21.640> of<00:02:21.760> your<00:02:21.879> screen
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window also at the bottom of your screen
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window also at the bottom of your screen
be<00:02:22.319> sure<00:02:22.440> to<00:02:22.640> include<00:02:22.959> your<00:02:23.160> name<00:02:24.040> and<00:02:24.239> your
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be sure to include your name and your
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be sure to include your name and your
country<00:02:25.319> and<00:02:25.599> or<00:02:26.400> affiliation<00:02:27.400> if<00:02:27.560> we<00:02:27.680> don't
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country and or affiliation if we don't
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country and or affiliation if we don't
have<00:02:28.000> some<00:02:28.239> information<00:02:28.760> about<00:02:29.040> you<00:02:29.519> we<00:02:29.920> can't
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have some information about you we can't
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have some information about you we can't
have<00:02:30.319> the<00:02:31.040> uh<00:02:31.280> uh<00:02:31.519> question<00:02:32.519> uh<00:02:32.760> many<00:02:33.120> people
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have the uh uh question uh many people
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have the uh uh question uh many people
prefer<00:02:34.560> to<00:02:34.800> hear<00:02:35.160> something<00:02:35.959> about<00:02:36.959> uh<00:02:37.560> uh<00:02:37.920> the
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prefer to hear something about uh uh the
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prefer to hear something about uh uh the
the<00:02:39.319> individual<00:02:39.840> who<00:02:40.000> has<00:02:40.440> asked<00:02:40.760> the
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the individual who has asked the
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the individual who has asked the
question<00:02:41.560> and<00:02:41.680> note<00:02:42.000> that<00:02:42.159> your<00:02:42.360> name<00:02:43.080> um<00:02:43.800> will
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question and note that your name um will
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question and note that your name um will
uh<00:02:45.319> name<00:02:45.599> country<00:02:45.920> and<00:02:46.120> or<00:02:46.280> affiliation<00:02:46.760> will
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uh name country and or affiliation will
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uh name country and or affiliation will
be<00:02:47.080> announced<00:02:47.599> aloud<00:02:48.560> along<00:02:48.879> with<00:02:49.040> your
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be announced aloud along with your
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be announced aloud along with your
question<00:02:50.319> only<00:02:50.599> the<00:02:50.720> C<00:02:51.200> team<00:02:51.360> will<00:02:51.480> be<00:02:51.560> able<00:02:51.720> to
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question only the C team will be able to
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question only the C team will be able to
see<00:02:52.040> your<00:02:52.239> questions<00:02:52.680> in<00:02:52.879> some<00:02:53.159> cases<00:02:53.760> we<00:02:53.920> will
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see your questions in some cases we will
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see your questions in some cases we will
answer<00:02:54.519> questions<00:02:54.840> in<00:02:55.040> writing<00:02:55.720> in<00:02:55.879> the<00:02:56.080> Q&A
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answer questions in writing in the Q&A
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answer questions in writing in the Q&A
window<00:02:57.000> for<00:02:57.239> others<00:02:57.480> to<00:02:57.640> see<00:02:58.480> please<00:02:58.760> keep
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window for others to see please keep
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window for others to see please keep
questions<00:02:59.519> conc<00:02:59.840> prise<00:03:00.519> so<00:03:00.720> we<00:03:00.840> can<00:03:01.080> answer<00:03:01.360> as
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questions conc prise so we can answer as
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questions conc prise so we can answer as
many<00:03:01.800> questions<00:03:02.200> as<00:03:02.640> possible<00:03:03.640> if<00:03:03.799> you<00:03:04.000> are
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many questions as possible if you are
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many questions as possible if you are
joining<00:03:04.640> us<00:03:04.879> on<00:03:05.080> the<00:03:05.280> YouTube<00:03:05.840> platform
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joining us on the YouTube platform
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joining us on the YouTube platform
please<00:03:06.680> note<00:03:07.280> you<00:03:07.440> will<00:03:08.200> not<00:03:09.200> be<00:03:09.440> able<00:03:09.720> to<00:03:09.920> ask
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please note you will not be able to ask
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please note you will not be able to ask
a<00:03:10.360> question<00:03:10.720> because<00:03:11.080> comments<00:03:11.959> will<00:03:12.239> be
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a question because comments will be
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a question because comments will be
disabled<00:03:13.360> that's<00:03:13.519> on<00:03:13.680> the<00:03:14.239> YouTube<00:03:15.239> uh
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disabled that's on the YouTube uh
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disabled that's on the YouTube uh
YouTube<00:03:16.680> uh<00:03:17.040> platform<00:03:18.000> so<00:03:18.959> all<00:03:19.120> of<00:03:19.239> you<00:03:19.440> know
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YouTube uh platform so all of you know
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YouTube uh platform so all of you know
uh<00:03:20.799> to<00:03:21.040> start<00:03:22.360> now<00:03:23.360> these<00:03:23.959> are<00:03:24.959> difficult
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uh to start now these are difficult
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uh to start now these are difficult
times<00:03:27.080> uh<00:03:28.080> and
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times uh and
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times uh and
times<00:03:30.519> where<00:03:31.280> the<00:03:31.519> press<00:03:32.400> as<00:03:32.480> you<00:03:32.599> will<00:03:32.799> see
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times where the press as you will see
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times where the press as you will see
may<00:03:33.720> not<00:03:34.040> be<00:03:34.680> entirely<00:03:35.680> correct<00:03:36.280> and<00:03:36.519> they
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may not be entirely correct and they
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may not be entirely correct and they
certainly<00:03:37.799> don't<00:03:38.400> know<00:03:39.200> about<00:03:39.599> the
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certainly don't know about the
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certainly don't know about the
history<00:03:41.519> that<00:03:41.680> our<00:03:41.879> team<00:03:42.400> knows<00:03:43.239> uh<00:03:43.480> uh<00:03:43.599> today
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history that our team knows uh uh today
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history that our team knows uh uh today
our<00:03:44.239> first<00:03:44.519> speaker<00:03:45.360> is<00:03:45.599> Dr<00:03:46.000> ban
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our first speaker is Dr ban
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our first speaker is Dr ban
kapore<00:03:49.239> he<00:03:49.400> is<00:03:49.519> a<00:03:49.680> managing<00:03:50.200> partner<00:03:50.560> at
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kapore he is a managing partner at
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kapore he is a managing partner at
Eurasian<00:03:51.360> Nexus<00:03:51.879> partners<00:03:52.640> of<00:03:53.000> Vienna<00:03:53.519> based
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Eurasian Nexus partners of Vienna based
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Eurasian Nexus partners of Vienna based
International<00:03:54.640> consulting<00:03:55.200> firm<00:03:56.200> with<00:03:56.360> a
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International consulting firm with a
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International consulting firm with a
focus<00:03:56.920> on<00:03:57.200> West<00:03:57.480> Asia<00:03:57.840> and<00:03:58.040> has<00:03:58.200> been
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focus on West Asia and has been
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focus on West Asia and has been
recognized<00:03:59.400> as<00:03:59.519> a<00:03:59.799> leading<00:04:00.159> commentator<00:04:00.760> on
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recognized as a leading commentator on
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recognized as a leading commentator on
Iranian<00:04:02.079> political<00:04:02.519> and<00:04:02.760> economic
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Iranian political and economic
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Iranian political and economic
developments<00:04:03.920> and<00:04:04.640> I<00:04:04.799> know<00:04:05.040> him<00:04:05.760> believe<00:04:06.079> me
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developments and I know him believe me
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developments and I know him believe me
he<00:04:07.200> is<00:04:08.200> uh<00:04:08.360> his<00:04:08.640> research<00:04:09.079> work<00:04:09.319> has<00:04:09.519> focused
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he is uh his research work has focused
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he is uh his research work has focused
on<00:04:10.079> issues<00:04:11.000> including<00:04:12.000> uh<00:04:12.680> uh<00:04:12.879> Iran's<00:04:13.480> energy
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on issues including uh uh Iran's energy
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on issues including uh uh Iran's energy
sector<00:04:14.959> the<00:04:15.320> country's<00:04:16.320> rener<00:04:17.079> economy<00:04:17.560> and
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sector the country's rener economy and
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sector the country's rener economy and
the<00:04:17.840> impact<00:04:18.160> of<00:04:18.320> corruption<00:04:18.880> and
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the impact of corruption and
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the impact of corruption and
mismanagement<00:04:20.120> on<00:04:20.440> economic<00:04:21.160> development<00:04:22.160> so
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mismanagement on economic development so
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mismanagement on economic development so
interesting<00:04:23.000> Dr<00:04:23.360> kajor<00:04:23.880> is<00:04:24.000> also<00:04:24.160> a<00:04:24.280> member<00:04:24.520> of
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interesting Dr kajor is also a member of
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interesting Dr kajor is also a member of
the<00:04:25.000> board<00:04:25.240> of<00:04:25.400> the<00:04:25.520> European<00:04:26.120> Middle<00:04:26.400> East
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the board of the European Middle East
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the board of the European Middle East
research<00:04:27.000> group<00:04:27.199> and<00:04:27.320> a<00:04:27.479> regular<00:04:27.840> contributor
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research group and a regular contributor
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research group and a regular contributor
to<00:04:29.120> amaj<00:04:29.840> and<00:04:30.080> all<00:04:30.479> monitor<00:04:31.120> has<00:04:31.280> also
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to amaj and all monitor has also
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to amaj and all monitor has also
contributed<00:04:32.000> to<00:04:32.080> a<00:04:32.199> number<00:04:32.400> of<00:04:32.560> books<00:04:33.240> on<00:04:33.440> the
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contributed to a number of books on the
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contributed to a number of books on the
region<00:04:34.039> Dr<00:04:34.320> kapore<00:04:34.919> completed<00:04:35.759> his<00:04:36.320> Graduate
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region Dr kapore completed his Graduate
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region Dr kapore completed his Graduate
Studies<00:04:37.160> in<00:04:37.360> management<00:04:38.039> and<00:04:38.240> economy<00:04:38.720> in
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Studies in management and economy in
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Studies in management and economy in
Germany<00:04:39.320> and<00:04:39.520> the<00:04:39.840> uuk<00:04:40.840> and<00:04:41.080> his<00:04:41.600> DBA<00:04:42.240> at<00:04:42.360> the
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Germany and the uuk and his DBA at the
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Germany and the uuk and his DBA at the
International<00:04:43.160> School<00:04:44.000> of<00:04:44.240> Management<00:04:44.840> in
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International School of Management in
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International School of Management in
Paris<00:04:46.120> so<00:04:46.520> Bean<00:04:47.520> you're
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on<00:04:53.039> there<00:04:53.120> he<00:04:53.240> is<00:04:53.360> thank<00:04:53.479> you<00:04:53.600> very<00:04:53.800> much<00:04:54.039> Steve
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on there he is thank you very much Steve
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on there he is thank you very much Steve
uh<00:04:54.720> it's<00:04:54.840> a<00:04:55.039> pleasure<00:04:55.360> to<00:04:55.520> be<00:04:56.240> here<00:04:57.240> um<00:04:57.680> and<00:04:58.680> I
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uh it's a pleasure to be here um and I
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uh it's a pleasure to be here um and I
look<00:04:59.000> for
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look for
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look for
um<00:05:01.280> uh<00:05:01.479> let<00:05:01.680> me<00:05:02.000> start<00:05:02.759> by<00:05:03.680> uh<00:05:03.919> commenting
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um uh let me start by uh commenting
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um uh let me start by uh commenting
about<00:05:05.199> the<00:05:05.759> domestic<00:05:06.240> Dynamics<00:05:06.680> in<00:05:06.840> Iran
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about the domestic Dynamics in Iran
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about the domestic Dynamics in Iran
because<00:05:07.520> it's<00:05:08.240> um<00:05:08.400> it's<00:05:08.560> an<00:05:08.800> important
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because it's um it's an important
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because it's um it's an important
element<00:05:09.680> in<00:05:09.840> our<00:05:10.440> assessment<00:05:11.440> and<00:05:11.639> then<00:05:11.800> I
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element in our assessment and then I
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element in our assessment and then I
will<00:05:12.120> move<00:05:12.479> also<00:05:12.720> a<00:05:12.880> little<00:05:13.120> bit<00:05:13.520> to<00:05:13.840> the<00:05:14.400> to
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will move also a little bit to the to
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will move also a little bit to the to
the<00:05:14.720> regional<00:05:15.240> Dynamics<00:05:15.960> I'm<00:05:16.080> sure<00:05:16.840> the<00:05:17.000> other
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the regional Dynamics I'm sure the other
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the regional Dynamics I'm sure the other
contributors<00:05:18.160> can<00:05:18.400> cover<00:05:18.880> the<00:05:19.199> the<00:05:19.400> external
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contributors can cover the the external
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contributors can cover the the external
aspects<00:05:21.560> um<00:05:22.560> much<00:05:22.800> better<00:05:23.120> than<00:05:23.319> I<00:05:23.479> can<00:05:23.880> but
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aspects um much better than I can but
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aspects um much better than I can but
but<00:05:24.280> let<00:05:24.400> me<00:05:24.560> start<00:05:24.880> with<00:05:25.000> the<00:05:25.639> domestic
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but let me start with the domestic
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but let me start with the domestic
Dynamics<00:05:27.120> we<00:05:27.240> all<00:05:27.440> know<00:05:27.720> that<00:05:28.240> Iran<00:05:29.240> um<00:05:29.479> has
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Dynamics we all know that Iran um has
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Dynamics we all know that Iran um has
had<00:05:30.039> a<00:05:30.800> a<00:05:31.080> moderate<00:05:31.680> reformist<00:05:32.440> president<00:05:32.919> for
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had a a moderate reformist president for
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had a a moderate reformist president for
the<00:05:33.319> past<00:05:33.560> few<00:05:33.759> months<00:05:34.680> president
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the past few months president
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the past few months president
peson<00:05:36.800> and<00:05:37.479> um<00:05:38.080> he<00:05:38.280> ran<00:05:38.800> and<00:05:38.960> also<00:05:39.240> he<00:05:39.360> won<00:05:39.680> the
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peson and um he ran and also he won the
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peson and um he ran and also he won the
election<00:05:40.560> on<00:05:40.840> the<00:05:41.639> on<00:05:41.840> the<00:05:42.000> slogan<00:05:42.479> of
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election on the on the slogan of
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election on the on the slogan of
national
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national
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national
unity<00:05:44.840> and<00:05:45.400> um<00:05:45.880> this<00:05:46.120> National<00:05:46.680> Unity<00:05:47.680> if<00:05:47.960> if
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unity and um this National Unity if if
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unity and um this National Unity if if
it<00:05:48.240> means<00:05:48.600> that<00:05:48.840> there<00:05:48.960> is<00:05:49.600> a<00:05:49.800> larger<00:05:50.280> degree
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it means that there is a larger degree
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it means that there is a larger degree
of<00:05:51.000> alignment<00:05:51.960> and<00:05:52.199> cohesion<00:05:52.840> between<00:05:53.199> the
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of alignment and cohesion between the
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of alignment and cohesion between the
different<00:05:54.240> centers<00:05:54.680> of<00:05:55.080> power<00:05:56.080> um<00:05:56.319> is
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different centers of power um is
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different centers of power um is
actually<00:05:56.919> working<00:05:57.479> quite<00:05:57.759> well<00:05:58.160> I<00:05:58.280> mean<00:05:58.479> we
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actually working quite well I mean we
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actually working quite well I mean we
can<00:05:58.800> see<00:05:59.199> that<00:05:59.880> in<00:06:00.039> a<00:06:00.240> number<00:06:00.560> of<00:06:00.840> phenomena
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can see that in a number of phenomena
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can see that in a number of phenomena
including<00:06:03.600> uh<00:06:04.600> the<00:06:04.800> for<00:06:05.000> example<00:06:05.479> releases<00:06:06.039> of
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including uh the for example releases of
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including uh the for example releases of
political<00:06:07.160> prisoners<00:06:08.160> a<00:06:08.319> few<00:06:08.840> adjustments<00:06:09.560> to
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political prisoners a few adjustments to
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political prisoners a few adjustments to
some<00:06:10.800> um<00:06:11.160> social<00:06:11.680> and<00:06:11.919> domestic<00:06:12.360> laws<00:06:12.759> and<00:06:12.919> so
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some um social and domestic laws and so
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some um social and domestic laws and so
on<00:06:13.880> and<00:06:14.479> U<00:06:14.759> there<00:06:14.919> are<00:06:15.199> two<00:06:15.960> interpretations
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on and U there are two interpretations
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on and U there are two interpretations
of<00:06:17.199> why<00:06:17.520> this<00:06:17.919> level<00:06:18.240> of<00:06:18.440> alignment<00:06:19.000> is
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of why this level of alignment is
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of why this level of alignment is
happening<00:06:20.479> the<00:06:20.800> the<00:06:20.960> optimistic<00:06:21.680> one<00:06:22.599> talks
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happening the the optimistic one talks
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happening the the optimistic one talks
about<00:06:24.199> the<00:06:24.400> fact<00:06:24.680> that<00:06:24.919> peson<00:06:25.759> is<00:06:26.759> essentially
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about the fact that peson is essentially
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about the fact that peson is essentially
implementing<00:06:28.680> the<00:06:28.880> consensus<00:06:29.599> of<00:06:29.720> the<00:06:29.840> top
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implementing the consensus of the top
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implementing the consensus of the top
leadership<00:06:31.599> and<00:06:31.800> there<00:06:31.960> is<00:06:32.880> a<00:06:33.360> growing<00:06:34.360> um
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leadership and there is a growing um
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leadership and there is a growing um
realization<00:06:36.440> among<00:06:36.840> the<00:06:37.120> political<00:06:37.639> Elite<00:06:37.919> in
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realization among the political Elite in
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realization among the political Elite in
Iran<00:06:38.520> that<00:06:39.520> uh<00:06:39.759> the<00:06:39.960> the<00:06:40.160> regime<00:06:40.960> as<00:06:41.080> a
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Iran that uh the the regime as a
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Iran that uh the the regime as a
political<00:06:41.880> entity<00:06:42.319> needs<00:06:42.720> to<00:06:43.440> reconcile
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political entity needs to reconcile
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political entity needs to reconcile
itself<00:06:44.720> with<00:06:44.960> the<00:06:45.240> with<00:06:45.400> the<00:06:45.639> society<00:06:46.319> after
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itself with the with the society after
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itself with the with the society after
the<00:06:47.639> the<00:06:47.840> recent<00:06:48.400> upheavals<00:06:49.360> and<00:06:49.599> and
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the the recent upheavals and and
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the the recent upheavals and and
political<00:06:50.440> protests<00:06:51.000> and<00:06:51.160> so<00:06:51.360> on<00:06:52.360> um<00:06:52.639> and
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political protests and so on um and
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political protests and so on um and
hence<00:06:53.319> the<00:06:53.720> the<00:06:53.960> the<00:06:54.080> relaxation<00:06:54.919> on<00:06:55.240> of<00:06:55.360> a
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hence the the the relaxation on of a
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hence the the the relaxation on of a
number<00:06:55.879> of<00:06:56.080> laws<00:06:57.000> and<00:06:57.400> the<00:06:58.400> uh<00:06:59.120> the<00:06:59.639> escalation
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number of laws and the uh the escalation
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number of laws and the uh the escalation
the<00:07:00.360> domestic<00:07:01.280> deescalation<00:07:02.280> the
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the domestic deescalation the
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the domestic deescalation the
pessimistic<00:07:04.000> um<00:07:04.680> interpretation<00:07:05.680> is<00:07:06.599> this<00:07:06.720> is
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pessimistic um interpretation is this is
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pessimistic um interpretation is this is
just<00:07:07.319> a<00:07:07.919> short-lived<00:07:08.639> honeymoon<00:07:09.319> between<00:07:09.680> the
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just a short-lived honeymoon between the
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just a short-lived honeymoon between the
hardliners<00:07:11.840> uh<00:07:11.960> or<00:07:12.280> those<00:07:12.759> who<00:07:13.039> have<00:07:13.360> power<00:07:13.639> in
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hardliners uh or those who have power in
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hardliners uh or those who have power in
Iran<00:07:14.400> and<00:07:14.639> the<00:07:14.879> president<00:07:15.720> poson<00:07:16.720> and<00:07:17.039> after<00:07:17.319> a
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Iran and the president poson and after a
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Iran and the president poson and after a
few<00:07:17.680> months<00:07:18.479> things<00:07:18.720> will<00:07:18.960> turn<00:07:19.400> again<00:07:19.720> and
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few months things will turn again and
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few months things will turn again and
the<00:07:20.000> more<00:07:20.240> Hardline<00:07:20.800> elements<00:07:21.280> will<00:07:21.520> try<00:07:21.800> to
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the more Hardline elements will try to
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the more Hardline elements will try to
dominate<00:07:23.199> The<00:07:23.440> Domestic<00:07:24.360> scene<00:07:25.360> um<00:07:25.720> we<00:07:25.840> can
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dominate The Domestic scene um we can
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dominate The Domestic scene um we can
obviously<00:07:26.599> have<00:07:26.800> our<00:07:27.000> own<00:07:27.560> um<00:07:27.879> assessment<00:07:28.520> of
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obviously have our own um assessment of
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obviously have our own um assessment of
what<00:07:28.960> the<00:07:29.120> main<00:07:29.919> reasons<00:07:30.400> are<00:07:31.319> uh<00:07:31.479> but<00:07:31.680> the
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what the main reasons are uh but the
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what the main reasons are uh but the
reality<00:07:32.400> usually<00:07:32.759> in<00:07:32.919> Iran<00:07:33.400> is<00:07:33.680> somewhere<00:07:34.080> in
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reality usually in Iran is somewhere in
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reality usually in Iran is somewhere in
between<00:07:35.280> I<00:07:35.479> I<00:07:35.680> really<00:07:36.000> think<00:07:36.440> that<00:07:37.120> there<00:07:37.280> is<00:07:37.520> a
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between I I really think that there is a
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between I I really think that there is a
degree<00:07:38.280> of<00:07:39.160> um<00:07:40.240> um<00:07:41.360> reassessment<00:07:42.360> of<00:07:42.599> domestic
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degree of um um reassessment of domestic
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degree of um um reassessment of domestic
policies<00:07:44.159> in<00:07:44.319> the<00:07:44.599> in<00:07:44.759> the<00:07:45.039> top<00:07:45.280> leadership<00:07:45.800> in
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policies in the in the top leadership in
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policies in the in the top leadership in
Iran<00:07:46.400> including<00:07:46.840> a<00:07:47.039> supreme<00:07:47.400> leader<00:07:48.280> there<00:07:48.400> is
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Iran including a supreme leader there is
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Iran including a supreme leader there is
definitely<00:07:49.120> a<00:07:49.280> realization<00:07:50.159> that<00:07:50.560> one<00:07:50.759> needs
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definitely a realization that one needs
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definitely a realization that one needs
to<00:07:51.280> pay<00:07:51.520> more<00:07:51.840> attention<00:07:52.800> to<00:07:53.080> what<00:07:53.240> the
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to pay more attention to what the
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to pay more attention to what the
society<00:07:54.039> wants<00:07:54.680> and<00:07:54.840> it's<00:07:55.000> not<00:07:55.240> a<00:07:55.800> a
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society wants and it's not a a
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society wants and it's not a a
coincidence<00:07:56.639> that<00:07:56.840> President<00:07:57.520> pes's<00:07:58.520> initial
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coincidence that President pes's initial
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coincidence that President pes's initial
uh<00:07:59.919> initiatives<00:08:00.759> focus<00:08:01.240> on<00:08:01.479> for<00:08:01.720> example
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uh initiatives focus on for example
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uh initiatives focus on for example
removing<00:08:03.159> some<00:08:03.360> of<00:08:03.479> the<00:08:03.680> restrictions<00:08:04.360> on
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removing some of the restrictions on
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removing some of the restrictions on
internet<00:08:06.080> um<00:08:06.360> internet<00:08:07.000> access<00:08:07.560> and<00:08:07.720> removing
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internet um internet access and removing
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internet um internet access and removing
some<00:08:08.479> restriction<00:08:09.159> on<00:08:09.360> on<00:08:09.520> on<00:08:09.960> social
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some restriction on on on social
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some restriction on on on social
aspects
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aspects
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aspects
re<00:08:14.039> Rel<00:08:14.759> legitimizing<00:08:15.759> some<00:08:16.000> of<00:08:16.199> the
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re Rel legitimizing some of the
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re Rel legitimizing some of the
University<00:08:17.120> professors<00:08:17.639> and<00:08:17.879> students<00:08:18.319> who
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University professors and students who
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University professors and students who
had<00:08:18.639> been<00:08:18.879> sacked<00:08:19.479> during<00:08:20.280> the<00:08:21.280> uh<00:08:21.440> former
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had been sacked during the uh former
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had been sacked during the uh former
Administration<00:08:22.960> president<00:08:23.360> ra
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Administration president ra
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Administration president ra
Administration<00:08:25.080> and<00:08:25.400> really<00:08:25.879> making<00:08:26.280> some
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Administration and really making some
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Administration and really making some
adjustments<00:08:27.840> within<00:08:28.280> domestic<00:08:28.919> reality<00:08:29.680> and
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adjustments within domestic reality and
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adjustments within domestic reality and
I<00:08:29.919> think<00:08:30.120> that's<00:08:30.319> an<00:08:30.520> important<00:08:31.159> aspect
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I think that's an important aspect
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I think that's an important aspect
especially<00:08:32.519> if<00:08:32.680> we<00:08:33.080> think<00:08:34.080> U<00:08:34.360> about<00:08:34.760> the<00:08:35.000> fact
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especially if we think U about the fact
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especially if we think U about the fact
that<00:08:35.959> there<00:08:36.120> are<00:08:36.360> no<00:08:37.240> external<00:08:38.240> um<00:08:38.680> tensions
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that there are no external um tensions
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that there are no external um tensions
and<00:08:40.120> potentially<00:08:40.839> external<00:08:41.839> escalation
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and potentially external escalation
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and potentially external escalation
because<00:08:42.880> of<00:08:43.039> the<00:08:43.159> regional<00:08:43.680> situation<00:08:44.600> in
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because of the regional situation in
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because of the regional situation in
which<00:08:45.320> which<00:08:45.640> case<00:08:46.240> Iran<00:08:46.600> would<00:08:46.839> definitely
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which which case Iran would definitely
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which which case Iran would definitely
need<00:08:47.880> the<00:08:48.120> domestic<00:08:49.000> deescalation<00:08:50.000> but
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need the domestic deescalation but
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need the domestic deescalation but
before<00:08:50.519> I<00:08:50.640> move<00:08:50.880> to<00:08:51.040> the<00:08:51.200> regional<00:08:51.760> picture<00:08:52.080> or
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before I move to the regional picture or
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before I move to the regional picture or
external<00:08:52.920> picture<00:08:53.760> let<00:08:53.880> me<00:08:54.120> also<00:08:54.480> mention
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external picture let me also mention
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external picture let me also mention
that<00:08:57.120> through<00:08:57.480> the<00:08:58.279> demise<00:08:58.880> of<00:08:59.040> the<00:08:59.160> for
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that through the demise of the for
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that through the demise of the for
former<00:08:59.720> president<00:09:00.120> president<00:09:00.920> RI<00:09:01.920> um<00:09:02.279> one
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former president president RI um one
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former president president RI um one
important<00:09:03.560> aspect<00:09:04.560> domestically<00:09:05.480> was<00:09:05.720> also
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important aspect domestically was also
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important aspect domestically was also
that<00:09:06.560> the<00:09:07.040> the<00:09:07.440> the<00:09:08.360> presidency<00:09:09.360> was
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that the the the presidency was
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that the the the presidency was
completely<00:09:10.279> decoupled<00:09:11.000> from<00:09:11.240> the<00:09:11.399> question
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completely decoupled from the question
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completely decoupled from the question
of<00:09:12.440> succession<00:09:12.959> to<00:09:13.160> the<00:09:13.320> Supreme<00:09:13.880> Leader<00:09:14.880> uh
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of succession to the Supreme Leader uh
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of succession to the Supreme Leader uh
some<00:09:15.399> of<00:09:15.560> you<00:09:15.720> may<00:09:15.959> remember<00:09:16.440> that<00:09:16.640> President
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some of you may remember that President
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some of you may remember that President
RI<00:09:17.680> himself<00:09:18.160> was<00:09:18.399> considered<00:09:18.839> a<00:09:19.079> candidate<00:09:19.920> to
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RI himself was considered a candidate to
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RI himself was considered a candidate to
succeed<00:09:20.839> Ayah<00:09:21.399> K<00:09:21.880> as<00:09:21.959> a<00:09:22.160> supreme<00:09:22.880> leader<00:09:23.880> um
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succeed Ayah K as a supreme leader um
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succeed Ayah K as a supreme leader um
and<00:09:25.000> obviously<00:09:25.480> his<00:09:25.680> demise<00:09:26.360> and<00:09:26.560> the<00:09:26.760> fact
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and obviously his demise and the fact
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and obviously his demise and the fact
that<00:09:27.120> a<00:09:27.320> non-<00:09:27.680> cleric<00:09:28.200> was<00:09:28.640> elected<00:09:29.079> as<00:09:29.240> the
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that a non- cleric was elected as the
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that a non- cleric was elected as the
new<00:09:29.720> president<00:09:30.640> has<00:09:30.839> decoupled<00:09:31.480> these<00:09:31.680> two
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new president has decoupled these two
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new president has decoupled these two
that<00:09:32.519> doesn't<00:09:32.839> mean<00:09:33.160> that<00:09:33.360> the<00:09:33.600> succession
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that doesn't mean that the succession
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that doesn't mean that the succession
aspect<00:09:35.200> is<00:09:35.600> not<00:09:36.839> uh<00:09:37.839> a<00:09:38.000> priority<00:09:38.760> anymore<00:09:39.160> in
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aspect is not uh a priority anymore in
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aspect is not uh a priority anymore in
fact<00:09:40.399> uh<00:09:40.680> the<00:09:41.000> competition<00:09:41.680> is<00:09:42.040> is<00:09:42.480> ongoing
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fact uh the competition is is ongoing
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fact uh the competition is is ongoing
and<00:09:43.680> in<00:09:43.880> in<00:09:43.959> a<00:09:44.160> very<00:09:44.560> interesting<00:09:45.560> um
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and in in a very interesting um
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and in in a very interesting um
realization<00:09:47.839> two<00:09:48.160> of<00:09:48.640> the<00:09:49.800> top<00:09:50.800> candidates
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realization two of the top candidates
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realization two of the top candidates
for<00:09:51.880> succession<00:09:52.880> one<00:09:53.120> was<00:09:53.399> ibraim<00:09:53.880> RI<00:09:54.880> and<00:09:55.200> in
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for succession one was ibraim RI and in
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for succession one was ibraim RI and in
some<00:09:55.640> circles<00:09:56.200> one<00:09:56.399> was<00:09:56.640> also<00:09:56.920> Hassan<00:09:57.279> nasah
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some circles one was also Hassan nasah
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some circles one was also Hassan nasah
the<00:09:58.040> leader<00:09:58.360> of<00:09:58.560> Hezbollah<00:09:59.040> who<00:09:59.120> was
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the leader of Hezbollah who was
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the leader of Hezbollah who was
assassinated<00:10:00.959> um<00:10:01.240> or<00:10:01.480> killed<00:10:02.040> by<00:10:02.600> by<00:10:02.880> by
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assassinated um or killed by by by
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assassinated um or killed by by by
Israel<00:10:04.079> two<00:10:04.360> of<00:10:04.600> the<00:10:04.839> top<00:10:05.720> potential
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Israel two of the top potential
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Israel two of the top potential
candidates<00:10:06.920> for<00:10:07.160> succession<00:10:07.800> are<00:10:08.000> not<00:10:08.240> there
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candidates for succession are not there
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candidates for succession are not there
anymore<00:10:09.320> that<00:10:09.480> means<00:10:09.800> that<00:10:10.079> new<00:10:10.519> potentially
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anymore that means that new potentially
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anymore that means that new potentially
new<00:10:11.320> phes<00:10:11.720> will<00:10:12.000> emerge<00:10:13.000> if<00:10:13.120> we<00:10:13.279> have<00:10:13.519> time<00:10:13.760> we
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new phes will emerge if we have time we
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new phes will emerge if we have time we
can<00:10:14.079> always<00:10:14.399> go<00:10:14.560> into<00:10:14.839> that<00:10:15.040> discussion<00:10:16.000> but
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can always go into that discussion but
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can always go into that discussion but
it's<00:10:16.320> a<00:10:16.560> very<00:10:16.800> interesting<00:10:17.920> competition<00:10:18.920> and
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it's a very interesting competition and
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it's a very interesting competition and
it<00:10:19.279> will<00:10:19.600> definitely<00:10:20.160> have<00:10:20.320> an<00:10:20.560> impact<00:10:21.320> on<00:10:22.320> on
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it will definitely have an impact on on
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it will definitely have an impact on on
how<00:10:22.920> Iran<00:10:23.480> will<00:10:24.320> will<00:10:24.640> position<00:10:25.120> itself<00:10:25.760> and
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how Iran will will position itself and
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how Iran will will position itself and
how<00:10:26.200> Iran<00:10:26.600> will<00:10:27.480> um<00:10:28.240> you<00:10:28.360> know<00:10:28.600> approach<00:10:28.920> a
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how Iran will um you know approach a
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how Iran will um you know approach a
number<00:10:29.320> number<00:10:29.560> of<00:10:29.920> key<00:10:30.519> strategic<00:10:31.160> questions
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number number of key strategic questions
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number number of key strategic questions
including<00:10:33.720> um<00:10:34.480> potential<00:10:35.680> um<00:10:37.160> uh<00:10:38.160> engagement
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including um potential um uh engagement
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including um potential um uh engagement
of<00:10:39.200> Western<00:10:39.760> governments<00:10:40.360> about<00:10:40.600> the<00:10:40.760> nuclear
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of Western governments about the nuclear
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of Western governments about the nuclear
issue<00:10:42.360> uh<00:10:42.639> you<00:10:42.800> know<00:10:43.079> president<00:10:43.800> peson
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issue uh you know president peson
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issue uh you know president peson
actually<00:10:45.279> ran<00:10:45.639> on<00:10:45.839> this<00:10:46.079> premise<00:10:46.519> that<00:10:46.760> Iran
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actually ran on this premise that Iran
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actually ran on this premise that Iran
will<00:10:47.440> try<00:10:47.680> to<00:10:48.120> engage<00:10:49.120> uh<00:10:49.360> the<00:10:49.920> the<00:10:50.120> the
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will try to engage uh the the the
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will try to engage uh the the the
Western<00:10:50.680> governments<00:10:51.279> to<00:10:52.040> to<00:10:52.320> renegotiate
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Western governments to to renegotiate
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Western governments to to renegotiate
the<00:10:53.399> nuclear<00:10:54.160> uh<00:10:54.279> deal<00:10:55.000> and<00:10:55.240> obviously<00:10:55.880> all<00:10:56.079> of
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the nuclear uh deal and obviously all of
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the nuclear uh deal and obviously all of
these<00:10:56.560> things<00:10:56.839> are<00:10:57.120> heavily<00:10:57.560> overshadowed<00:10:58.399> by
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these things are heavily overshadowed by
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these things are heavily overshadowed by
the<00:10:59.360> current<00:10:59.839> escalation<00:11:00.399> or<00:11:00.680> current
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the current escalation or current
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the current escalation or current
tensions<00:11:02.079> between<00:11:02.440> Iran<00:11:02.760> and<00:11:03.120> Israel<00:11:04.120> now
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tensions between Iran and Israel now
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tensions between Iran and Israel now
obviously<00:11:04.880> the<00:11:05.120> key<00:11:05.480> question<00:11:06.040> is<00:11:07.040> uh<00:11:07.320> will
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obviously the key question is uh will
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obviously the key question is uh will
the<00:11:07.760> situation<00:11:08.360> lead<00:11:08.720> to<00:11:08.920> a<00:11:09.120> regional
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the situation lead to a regional
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the situation lead to a regional
escalation<00:11:10.560> and<00:11:10.800> Regional<00:11:11.360> War<00:11:12.360> um<00:11:13.000> fact<00:11:13.399> is
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escalation and Regional War um fact is
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escalation and Regional War um fact is
that
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that
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that
Iran<00:11:17.279> the<00:11:17.519> current<00:11:18.519> constellation<00:11:19.279> of<00:11:19.519> power
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Iran the current constellation of power
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Iran the current constellation of power
in<00:11:20.200> Iran<00:11:21.200> is<00:11:21.399> not<00:11:21.600> looking<00:11:21.920> for<00:11:22.120> an<00:11:22.360> escalation
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in Iran is not looking for an escalation
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in Iran is not looking for an escalation
is<00:11:23.399> not<00:11:23.600> looking<00:11:23.880> for<00:11:24.079> an<00:11:24.279> allot<00:11:24.839> War<00:11:25.839> um<00:11:26.600> one
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is not looking for an allot War um one
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is not looking for an allot War um one
can<00:11:27.120> sit<00:11:27.680> and<00:11:28.680> um<00:11:29.320> sort<00:11:29.440> of<00:11:29.639> speculate<00:11:30.279> about
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can sit and um sort of speculate about
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can sit and um sort of speculate about
the<00:11:30.839> reasons<00:11:31.839> um<00:11:32.440> why<00:11:32.680> Iran<00:11:33.040> does<00:11:33.240> not<00:11:33.480> want<00:11:33.760> it
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the reasons um why Iran does not want it
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the reasons um why Iran does not want it
but<00:11:34.720> essentially<00:11:35.519> it's<00:11:35.839> definitely
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but essentially it's definitely
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but essentially it's definitely
something<00:11:36.880> that<00:11:37.040> will<00:11:37.440> completely<00:11:38.200> derail
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something that will completely derail
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something that will completely derail
developments<00:11:39.880> in<00:11:40.040> the<00:11:40.279> country<00:11:40.760> that<00:11:40.920> will
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developments in the country that will
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developments in the country that will
completely
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completely
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completely
undermine<00:11:43.880> um<00:11:44.160> the<00:11:44.360> developments<00:11:44.959> in<00:11:45.279> Iran<00:11:46.279> uh
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undermine um the developments in Iran uh
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undermine um the developments in Iran uh
and<00:11:46.760> Iran<00:11:47.560> Iran's<00:11:48.160> analysis<00:11:48.720> is<00:11:49.000> that<00:11:49.240> an<00:11:49.639> a
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and Iran Iran's analysis is that an a
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and Iran Iran's analysis is that an a
regional<00:11:50.519> escalation<00:11:51.480> a<00:11:51.680> potential
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regional escalation a potential
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regional escalation a potential
confrontation<00:11:53.760> uh<00:11:53.959> between<00:11:54.480> Iran<00:11:54.839> and<00:11:55.040> Israel
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confrontation uh between Iran and Israel
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confrontation uh between Iran and Israel
will<00:11:56.120> eventually<00:11:56.600> lead<00:11:56.880> to<00:11:57.040> a<00:11:57.240> potential
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will eventually lead to a potential
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will eventually lead to a potential
military<00:11:58.600> confrontation<00:11:59.440> between<00:11:59.800> Iran<00:12:00.120> and
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military confrontation between Iran and
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military confrontation between Iran and
the<00:12:00.399> US<00:12:00.839> and<00:12:01.040> that's<00:12:01.399> definitely<00:12:02.040> not
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the US and that's definitely not
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the US and that's definitely not
something<00:12:03.279> that<00:12:03.480> Teran<00:12:03.920> wants<00:12:04.600> but<00:12:05.399> as<00:12:05.519> we
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something that Teran wants but as we
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something that Teran wants but as we
know<00:12:06.839> in<00:12:07.079> this<00:12:07.480> question<00:12:08.360> Iran<00:12:08.760> is<00:12:08.920> not<00:12:09.120> in<00:12:09.240> the
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know in this question Iran is not in the
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know in this question Iran is not in the
driver's<00:12:10.079> seat<00:12:11.079> what<00:12:11.360> Israel<00:12:11.880> has<00:12:12.040> been<00:12:12.240> doing
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driver's seat what Israel has been doing
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driver's seat what Israel has been doing
in<00:12:12.920> in<00:12:13.160> Gaza<00:12:13.680> and<00:12:13.839> also<00:12:14.120> now<00:12:14.360> in<00:12:14.480> Lebanon<00:12:15.000> over
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in in Gaza and also now in Lebanon over
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in in Gaza and also now in Lebanon over
the<00:12:15.480> past<00:12:15.680> few<00:12:15.920> weeks<00:12:16.760> is<00:12:16.959> the<00:12:17.440> determinant
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the past few weeks is the determinant
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the past few weeks is the determinant
factor<00:12:19.360> and<00:12:20.279> in
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factor and in
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factor and in
many
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many
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many
assessments<00:12:23.839> um<00:12:24.199> many<00:12:24.560> believe<00:12:25.079> that
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assessments um many believe that
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assessments um many believe that
Iran's<00:12:26.880> um<00:12:27.360> attack<00:12:27.839> the<00:12:28.040> most<00:12:28.440> most<00:12:28.680> recent
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Iran's um attack the most most recent
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Iran's um attack the most most recent
attack<00:12:29.560> on<00:12:29.839> Israel<00:12:30.760> was<00:12:31.399> more<00:12:32.440> um<00:12:33.440> an<00:12:33.760> attempt
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attack on Israel was more um an attempt
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attack on Israel was more um an attempt
to<00:12:34.920> pre<00:12:35.560> uh<00:12:35.760> pre<00:12:36.000> prevent<00:12:36.600> a<00:12:36.760> potential
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to pre uh pre prevent a potential
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to pre uh pre prevent a potential
Israeli<00:12:37.720> attack<00:12:38.120> by<00:12:38.800> by<00:12:39.000> by<00:12:39.320> drawing<00:12:39.880> new
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Israeli attack by by by drawing new
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Israeli attack by by by drawing new
deterrence<00:12:40.920> lines<00:12:41.399> with<00:12:41.600> Iran's<00:12:42.079> missile
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deterrence lines with Iran's missile
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deterrence lines with Iran's missile
capability<00:12:43.800> whether<00:12:44.079> it<00:12:44.240> has<00:12:44.440> worked<00:12:44.800> or<00:12:44.959> not
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capability whether it has worked or not
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capability whether it has worked or not
I'm<00:12:45.480> sure<00:12:45.839> we<00:12:45.959> can<00:12:46.199> discuss<00:12:47.079> but<00:12:47.720> um<00:12:47.880> the
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I'm sure we can discuss but um the
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I'm sure we can discuss but um the
Iranians<00:12:48.880> the<00:12:49.079> the<00:12:49.240> statement<00:12:49.680> from<00:12:49.839> Iran<00:12:50.160> is
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Iranians the the statement from Iran is
00:12:50.360 --> 00:12:53.590 align:start position:0%
Iranians the the statement from Iran is
very<00:12:50.600> clear<00:12:51.000> we<00:12:51.120> are<00:12:51.480> not<00:12:51.920> afraid<00:12:52.320> of<00:12:52.440> a<00:12:52.639> war
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very clear we are not afraid of a war
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very clear we are not afraid of a war
but<00:12:53.839> we<00:12:54.000> do<00:12:54.240> not<00:12:54.720> want<00:12:55.040> a<00:12:55.240> war<00:12:55.800> this<00:12:55.959> is
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but we do not want a war this is
00:12:56.160 --> 00:12:59.509 align:start position:0%
but we do not want a war this is
important<00:12:56.600> to<00:12:57.120> understand<00:12:57.440> and<00:12:57.639> in<00:12:57.920> fact<00:12:58.920> uh
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important to understand and in fact uh
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important to understand and in fact uh
the<00:12:59.880> the<00:13:00.440> the<00:13:01.079> regaining<00:13:01.760> of<00:13:02.000> Power<00:13:02.320> by<00:13:02.480> the
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the the the regaining of Power by the
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the the the regaining of Power by the
reformist<00:13:03.279> and<00:13:03.480> moderate<00:13:03.920> forces<00:13:04.279> in<00:13:04.519> Iran
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reformist and moderate forces in Iran
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reformist and moderate forces in Iran
also<00:13:05.839> means<00:13:06.760> that<00:13:07.000> one<00:13:07.240> of<00:13:07.440> the<00:13:07.560> two<00:13:07.800> schools
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also means that one of the two schools
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also means that one of the two schools
of<00:13:08.519> thought<00:13:08.920> on<00:13:09.639> on<00:13:09.880> foreign<00:13:10.360> policy<00:13:10.959> have<00:13:11.880> uh
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of thought on on foreign policy have uh
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of thought on on foreign policy have uh
have<00:13:12.360> taken<00:13:12.800> over<00:13:13.720> or<00:13:14.199> are<00:13:14.399> dominating<00:13:15.000> the
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have taken over or are dominating the
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have taken over or are dominating the
discussion<00:13:16.040> and<00:13:16.240> that<00:13:16.399> is<00:13:16.639> the<00:13:17.279> consiliary
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discussion and that is the consiliary
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discussion and that is the consiliary
approach<00:13:18.680> I<00:13:18.880> have<00:13:19.120> always<00:13:19.519> argued<00:13:20.040> that<00:13:20.199> the
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approach I have always argued that the
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approach I have always argued that the
Iranian<00:13:20.839> political<00:13:21.320> Elite<00:13:22.079> is<00:13:22.320> divided<00:13:22.800> into
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Iranian political Elite is divided into
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Iranian political Elite is divided into
two<00:13:23.440> approaches<00:13:24.160> one<00:13:24.480> I<00:13:24.639> always<00:13:25.000> call<00:13:25.600> the
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two approaches one I always call the
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two approaches one I always call the
confrontational<00:13:26.839> approach<00:13:27.839> that<00:13:28.000> is
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confrontational approach that is
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confrontational approach that is
definitely<00:13:28.720> the<00:13:28.800> more<00:13:29.199> heartline<00:13:29.720> elements
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definitely the more heartline elements
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definitely the more heartline elements
the<00:13:30.320> more<00:13:30.800> Arch<00:13:31.199> conservative<00:13:31.880> elements<00:13:32.320> in
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the more Arch conservative elements in
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the more Arch conservative elements in
Iran<00:13:32.839> who<00:13:33.040> believe<00:13:33.839> that<00:13:34.040> the<00:13:34.240> only<00:13:34.680> way<00:13:35.360> to<00:13:36.040> to
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Iran who believe that the only way to to
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Iran who believe that the only way to to
secure<00:13:36.760> Iran's<00:13:37.720> rights<00:13:38.720> uh<00:13:38.920> is<00:13:39.160> through
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secure Iran's rights uh is through
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secure Iran's rights uh is through
confrontation<00:13:40.839> but<00:13:41.079> the<00:13:41.240> second<00:13:41.760> school<00:13:42.120> of
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confrontation but the second school of
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confrontation but the second school of
thought<00:13:43.000> um<00:13:43.639> is<00:13:44.279> consiliary<00:13:45.199> is<00:13:45.399> the<00:13:45.639> the<00:13:45.800> same
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thought um is consiliary is the the same
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thought um is consiliary is the the same
one<00:13:46.760> that<00:13:46.959> made<00:13:47.240> the<00:13:47.399> jcpa<00:13:48.320> possible<00:13:48.760> in<00:13:48.920> the
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one that made the jcpa possible in the
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one that made the jcpa possible in the
201<00:13:50.399> uh3<00:13:51.040> to<00:13:51.519> 2015<00:13:52.480> period<00:13:52.800> when<00:13:52.959> it<00:13:53.160> was
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201 uh3 to 2015 period when it was
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201 uh3 to 2015 period when it was
negotiated<00:13:54.399> and<00:13:54.639> that<00:13:54.880> very<00:13:55.160> same<00:13:55.399> school<00:13:55.759> of
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negotiated and that very same school of
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negotiated and that very same school of
thought<00:13:56.199> is<00:13:56.440> back<00:13:56.639> in<00:13:56.880> power<00:13:57.639> is<00:13:57.920> is
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thought is back in power is is
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thought is back in power is is
consiliary<00:13:59.160> and<00:13:59.320> you<00:13:59.440> can<00:13:59.600> see<00:13:59.880> that<00:14:00.120> in<00:14:00.320> some
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consiliary and you can see that in some
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consiliary and you can see that in some
of<00:14:00.720> the<00:14:01.320> Diplomatic<00:14:01.959> moves<00:14:02.399> that<00:14:02.560> are
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of the Diplomatic moves that are
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of the Diplomatic moves that are
emerging<00:14:03.320> in<00:14:03.480> the<00:14:03.600> new<00:14:03.880> government<00:14:04.880> Iran<00:14:05.360> has
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emerging in the new government Iran has
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emerging in the new government Iran has
been<00:14:05.800> investing<00:14:06.320> a<00:14:06.480> lot<00:14:06.639> of<00:14:06.920> time<00:14:07.440> and<00:14:07.600> and
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been investing a lot of time and and
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been investing a lot of time and and
also<00:14:08.120> effort<00:14:08.600> into<00:14:09.600> um<00:14:10.440> deepening<00:14:11.120> ties<00:14:12.120> with
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also effort into um deepening ties with
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also effort into um deepening ties with
immediate<00:14:12.920> neighbors<00:14:13.480> with<00:14:13.639> the<00:14:13.839> region<00:14:14.759> over
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immediate neighbors with the region over
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immediate neighbors with the region over
the<00:14:15.360> past<00:14:15.759> couple<00:14:16.040> of<00:14:16.240> days<00:14:16.440> the<00:14:16.560> Iranian
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the past couple of days the Iranian
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the past couple of days the Iranian
foreign<00:14:17.279> minister<00:14:18.279> was<00:14:18.600> in<00:14:18.920> in<00:14:19.120> Bahrain<00:14:19.720> and
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foreign minister was in in Bahrain and
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foreign minister was in in Bahrain and
then<00:14:20.040> in<00:14:20.240> Cairo<00:14:20.800> two<00:14:21.199> two<00:14:21.480> states<00:14:22.000> that<00:14:22.519> would
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then in Cairo two two states that would
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then in Cairo two two states that would
have<00:14:22.920> not<00:14:23.199> necessarily<00:14:23.639> been<00:14:23.839> on<00:14:24.000> the<00:14:24.199> list<00:14:24.519> of
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have not necessarily been on the list of
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have not necessarily been on the list of
U<00:14:25.480> diplomatic<00:14:26.240> exchanges<00:14:27.240> From<00:14:27.480> teran's
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U diplomatic exchanges From teran's
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U diplomatic exchanges From teran's
perspective<00:14:28.639> but<00:14:29.160> the<00:14:29.320> current<00:14:29.720> situation
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perspective but the current situation
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perspective but the current situation
means<00:14:30.600> that<00:14:30.800> Iran<00:14:31.399> wants<00:14:31.680> to<00:14:32.680> deepen<00:14:33.199> ties
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means that Iran wants to deepen ties
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means that Iran wants to deepen ties
with<00:14:33.839> immediate<00:14:34.320> neighbors<00:14:35.240> and<00:14:35.399> is<00:14:35.680> open<00:14:36.040> to
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with immediate neighbors and is open to
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with immediate neighbors and is open to
some<00:14:36.600> sort<00:14:36.800> of<00:14:36.959> a<00:14:37.480> deescalation<00:14:38.480> with<00:14:38.639> the
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some sort of a deescalation with the
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some sort of a deescalation with the
international<00:14:39.560> Powers<00:14:40.240> but<00:14:40.480> a<00:14:40.639> lot<00:14:40.880> will
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international Powers but a lot will
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international Powers but a lot will
definitely<00:14:41.759> depend<00:14:42.199> on<00:14:42.839> Israel's<00:14:43.519> next<00:14:43.839> move
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definitely depend on Israel's next move
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definitely depend on Israel's next move
and<00:14:44.800> whether<00:14:45.240> that<00:14:45.440> will<00:14:45.920> elicit<00:14:46.920> uh<00:14:47.120> another
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and whether that will elicit uh another
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and whether that will elicit uh another
response<00:14:48.680> from<00:14:48.959> Iran<00:14:49.519> hence<00:14:49.839> leading<00:14:50.240> to<00:14:50.440> a
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response from Iran hence leading to a
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response from Iran hence leading to a
regional<00:14:51.240> escalation<00:14:52.120> so<00:14:52.320> it's<00:14:52.480> a<00:14:52.759> tense
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regional escalation so it's a tense
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regional escalation so it's a tense
period<00:14:53.880> it's<00:14:54.480> uncertain<00:14:55.480> but<00:14:55.759> it's<00:14:56.000> important
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period it's uncertain but it's important
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period it's uncertain but it's important
to<00:14:57.000> understand<00:14:57.279> that<00:14:57.480> we<00:14:57.639> have<00:14:57.800> a<00:14:58.079> we<00:14:58.199> have<00:14:58.320> a
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to understand that we have a we have a
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to understand that we have a we have a
group<00:14:58.680> in<00:14:59.199> on<00:14:59.839> or<00:15:00.040> we<00:15:00.199> have<00:15:00.440> a<00:15:00.959> a<00:15:01.120> consolation
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group in on or we have a a consolation
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group in on or we have a a consolation
of<00:15:02.000> power<00:15:02.399> that<00:15:02.519> is<00:15:02.720> looking<00:15:03.120> for
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of power that is looking for
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of power that is looking for
consiliary<00:15:05.279> paths<00:15:05.920> rather<00:15:06.199> than
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consiliary paths rather than
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consiliary paths rather than
confrontational<00:15:07.360> paths<00:15:07.880> I'll<00:15:08.079> stop<00:15:08.480> there
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confrontational paths I'll stop there
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confrontational paths I'll stop there
thank<00:15:08.959> you<00:15:09.320> Steve<00:15:10.320> thank<00:15:10.560> you<00:15:11.120> thank<00:15:11.320> you<00:15:11.519> so
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thank you Steve thank you thank you so
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thank you Steve thank you thank you so
much<00:15:12.360> ban<00:15:13.320> we'll<00:15:13.519> be<00:15:13.759> discussing<00:15:14.279> this<00:15:14.480> more
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much ban we'll be discussing this more
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much ban we'll be discussing this more
uh<00:15:15.519> in<00:15:15.639> a<00:15:15.800> few<00:15:16.000> minutes<00:15:16.399> but<00:15:16.639> meanwhile<00:15:17.639> uh
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uh in a few minutes but meanwhile uh
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uh in a few minutes but meanwhile uh
we're<00:15:18.000> moving<00:15:18.560> now<00:15:19.240> uh<00:15:19.480> to<00:15:19.959> Mr<00:15:20.279> Matthew
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we're moving now uh to Mr Matthew
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we're moving now uh to Mr Matthew
McKinnis<00:15:22.360> uh<00:15:22.639> who<00:15:23.440> has<00:15:23.680> been<00:15:23.959> a<00:15:24.120> senior<00:15:24.440> fellow
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McKinnis uh who has been a senior fellow
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McKinnis uh who has been a senior fellow
at<00:15:24.880> The<00:15:25.000> Institute<00:15:25.360> for<00:15:25.519> the<00:15:25.639> study<00:15:25.959> of<00:15:26.160> war
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at The Institute for the study of war
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at The Institute for the study of war
and<00:15:27.399> has<00:15:27.680> just<00:15:27.959> become
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and has just become
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and has just become
uh<00:15:30.680> or<00:15:30.959> should<00:15:31.160> I<00:15:31.319> say<00:15:31.639> is<00:15:32.040> is<00:15:32.199> in<00:15:32.319> the<00:15:32.560> process
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uh or should I say is is in the process
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uh or should I say is is in the process
of<00:15:33.440> becoming<00:15:34.440> uh<00:15:34.880> a<00:15:35.560> uh<00:15:36.440> uh<00:15:37.079> a<00:15:37.240> Us<00:15:37.680> official
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of becoming uh a uh uh a Us official
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of becoming uh a uh uh a Us official
Matt<00:15:38.720> is<00:15:38.959> is<00:15:39.079> a<00:15:39.880> close<00:15:40.639> friend<00:15:41.639> uh<00:15:42.199> and<00:15:42.600> now<00:15:42.959> we
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Matt is is a close friend uh and now we
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Matt is is a close friend uh and now we
have<00:15:43.399> to<00:15:44.399> think<00:15:44.600> of<00:15:44.759> him<00:15:45.000> a<00:15:45.079> little<00:15:45.480> bit
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have to think of him a little bit
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have to think of him a little bit
differently<00:15:48.160> especially<00:15:48.519> when<00:15:48.639> it<00:15:48.800> comes<00:15:49.040> to
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differently especially when it comes to
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differently especially when it comes to
trying<00:15:50.000> to<00:15:50.160> find<00:15:50.399> out<00:15:50.920> information<00:15:51.920> but<00:15:52.160> he
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trying to find out information but he
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trying to find out information but he
has<00:15:52.600> previously<00:15:53.079> served<00:15:53.440> as<00:15:53.560> the<00:15:53.720> deputy
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has previously served as the deputy
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has previously served as the deputy
special<00:15:54.440> representative<00:15:55.000> for<00:15:55.160> Iran<00:15:55.839> and<00:15:56.000> as<00:15:56.120> a
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special representative for Iran and as a
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special representative for Iran and as a
member<00:15:56.519> of<00:15:56.680> policy<00:15:57.040> planning<00:15:57.399> at<00:15:57.560> the<00:15:57.639> US
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member of policy planning at the US
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member of policy planning at the US
Department<00:15:58.319> of<00:15:58.480> State<00:15:59.199> he<00:15:59.319> was<00:15:59.560> also<00:15:59.800> a
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Department of State he was also a
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Department of State he was also a
resident<00:16:00.399> fellow<00:16:00.759> at<00:16:01.000> American<00:16:01.959> Enterprise
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resident fellow at American Enterprise
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resident fellow at American Enterprise
um<00:16:03.720> uh<00:16:04.120> Institute<00:16:04.560> and<00:16:04.680> foreign<00:16:05.120> defense
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um uh Institute and foreign defense
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um uh Institute and foreign defense
policy<00:16:05.800> after<00:16:05.959> serving<00:16:06.319> for<00:16:06.560> 15<00:16:06.880> years<00:16:07.519> in<00:16:07.680> the
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policy after serving for 15 years in the
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policy after serving for 15 years in the
Department<00:16:08.199> of<00:16:08.319> Defense<00:16:09.079> as<00:16:09.199> an<00:16:09.440> intelligence
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Department of Defense as an intelligence
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Department of Defense as an intelligence
officer<00:16:10.399> and<00:16:10.639> adviser<00:16:11.040> on<00:16:11.240> Middle<00:16:11.480> East<00:16:11.720> China
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officer and adviser on Middle East China
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officer and adviser on Middle East China
and
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and
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and
nonproliferation<00:16:14.920> uh<00:16:15.560> issues<00:16:16.040> he<00:16:16.440> sometimes
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nonproliferation uh issues he sometimes
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nonproliferation uh issues he sometimes
seems<00:16:16.920> to<00:16:17.040> be<00:16:17.240> able<00:16:17.759> to<00:16:18.000> talk<00:16:18.199> about
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seems to be able to talk about
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seems to be able to talk about
everything<00:16:19.279> we'll<00:16:19.519> hear<00:16:19.720> what<00:16:19.839> he<00:16:20.000> has<00:16:20.160> to<00:16:20.360> say
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everything we'll hear what he has to say
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everything we'll hear what he has to say
today<00:16:21.759> Matt<00:16:22.759> thanks<00:16:23.040> Steve<00:16:23.560> and<00:16:23.880> uh<00:16:24.000> it's
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today Matt thanks Steve and uh it's
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today Matt thanks Steve and uh it's
great<00:16:24.360> to<00:16:24.440> be<00:16:24.680> back<00:16:25.079> with<00:16:25.560> um<00:16:25.680> our<00:16:25.880> UCLA<00:16:26.519> C<00:16:26.920> CED
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great to be back with um our UCLA C CED
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great to be back with um our UCLA C CED
crew<00:16:28.399> um<00:16:28.519> always<00:16:28.920> it's<00:16:28.959> good<00:16:29.079> to<00:16:29.199> have<00:16:29.440> a<00:16:29.639> a
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crew um always it's good to have a a
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crew um always it's good to have a a
conversation<00:16:30.560> on<00:16:30.800> these<00:16:31.040> topics<00:16:32.040> uh<00:16:32.240> as<00:16:32.639> Steve
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conversation on these topics uh as Steve
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conversation on these topics uh as Steve
mentioned<00:16:33.519> I'm<00:16:33.720> I'm<00:16:33.880> actually<00:16:34.199> this<00:16:34.360> week<00:16:34.800> in
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mentioned I'm I'm actually this week in
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mentioned I'm I'm actually this week in
the<00:16:35.120> process<00:16:35.519> of<00:16:35.720> transitioning<00:16:36.319> back<00:16:36.800> into
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the process of transitioning back into
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the process of transitioning back into
uh<00:16:37.920> the<00:16:38.040> US<00:16:38.319> government<00:16:39.279> uh<00:16:39.720> I'm<00:16:39.880> I'm<00:16:40.000> going<00:16:40.160> to
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uh the US government uh I'm I'm going to
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uh the US government uh I'm I'm going to
be<00:16:41.040> uh<00:16:41.160> a<00:16:41.319> special<00:16:41.720> advisor<00:16:42.720> uh<00:16:42.880> to<00:16:43.079> both<00:16:43.319> the
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be uh a special advisor uh to both the
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be uh a special advisor uh to both the
US<00:16:43.759> indopacific<00:16:44.199> command<00:16:44.759> and<00:16:44.959> continuing<00:16:45.839> uh
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US indopacific command and continuing uh
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US indopacific command and continuing uh
to<00:16:46.079> support<00:16:46.360> at<00:16:46.440> least<00:16:46.600> for<00:16:46.720> a<00:16:46.880> while<00:16:47.360> uh<00:16:47.480> us
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to support at least for a while uh us
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to support at least for a while uh us
Central<00:16:48.240> Command<00:16:49.240> uh<00:16:49.399> in<00:16:49.560> the<00:16:49.680> in<00:16:49.800> these
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Central Command uh in the in these
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Central Command uh in the in these
issues<00:16:50.240> as<00:16:50.360> I<00:16:50.480> continue<00:16:50.800> to<00:16:50.920> focus<00:16:51.279> on<00:16:51.720> China
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issues as I continue to focus on China
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issues as I continue to focus on China
and<00:16:53.160> uh<00:16:53.279> Middle<00:16:53.639> East<00:16:54.199> uh<00:16:54.360> concerns<00:16:55.160> so<00:16:55.639> uh<00:16:55.800> for
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and uh Middle East uh concerns so uh for
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and uh Middle East uh concerns so uh for
those<00:16:56.079> of<00:16:56.199> you<00:16:56.480> want<00:16:56.639> to<00:16:56.720> hit<00:16:56.839> me<00:16:56.959> up<00:16:57.040> on
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those of you want to hit me up on
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those of you want to hit me up on
questions<00:16:57.399> on<00:16:57.519> China<00:16:57.839> as<00:16:58.000> well<00:16:58.240> that<00:16:58.440> that
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questions on China as well that that
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questions on China as well that that
would<00:16:58.639> be<00:16:59.240> uh<00:16:59.440> that<00:16:59.560> would<00:16:59.680> be<00:16:59.839> great<00:17:00.040> and
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would be uh that would be great and
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would be uh that would be great and
happy<00:17:00.399> to<00:17:00.519> feel<00:17:00.839> those<00:17:01.040> as<00:17:01.160> best<00:17:01.360> I<00:17:01.560> can<00:17:02.199> but<00:17:02.319> of
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happy to feel those as best I can but of
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happy to feel those as best I can but of
course<00:17:02.600> I<00:17:02.720> have<00:17:02.800> to<00:17:02.959> caveat<00:17:03.480> everything<00:17:03.759> I'm
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course I have to caveat everything I'm
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course I have to caveat everything I'm
saying<00:17:04.319> now<00:17:05.039> uh<00:17:05.160> as<00:17:05.360> obviously<00:17:05.679> My<00:17:05.839> Views<00:17:06.079> are
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saying now uh as obviously My Views are
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saying now uh as obviously My Views are
my<00:17:06.439> personal<00:17:06.799> views<00:17:07.079> they<00:17:07.240> do<00:17:07.400> not<00:17:07.679> represent
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my personal views they do not represent
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my personal views they do not represent
uh<00:17:08.799> those<00:17:08.959> of<00:17:09.120> the<00:17:09.199> US<00:17:09.640> government<00:17:10.640> uh<00:17:11.039> but<00:17:11.360> I<00:17:11.559> I
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uh those of the US government uh but I I
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uh those of the US government uh but I I
hope<00:17:11.839> we<00:17:11.959> can<00:17:12.120> still<00:17:12.480> have<00:17:13.120> uh<00:17:13.559> a<00:17:13.720> productive
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hope we can still have uh a productive
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hope we can still have uh a productive
conversation<00:17:14.679> today<00:17:15.600> so<00:17:16.000> uh<00:17:16.160> just<00:17:16.319> building
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conversation today so uh just building
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conversation today so uh just building
on<00:17:17.280> uh<00:17:17.400> some<00:17:17.520> of<00:17:17.600> the<00:17:17.720> comments<00:17:18.079> that<00:17:18.240> bejan
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on uh some of the comments that bejan
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on uh some of the comments that bejan
has<00:17:19.120> made<00:17:20.039> um<00:17:20.280> I<00:17:20.360> think<00:17:20.559> you<00:17:20.679> know<00:17:21.039> we're<00:17:21.600> ever
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has made um I think you know we're ever
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has made um I think you know we're ever
since<00:17:22.199> October<00:17:22.559> 7th<00:17:22.959> of<00:17:23.199> last<00:17:23.439> year<00:17:23.799> we're<00:17:24.000> in
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since October 7th of last year we're in
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since October 7th of last year we're in
this<00:17:24.640> period<00:17:25.280> of<00:17:26.079> of<00:17:26.640> changing<00:17:27.640> um<00:17:28.079> risk
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this period of of changing um risk
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this period of of changing um risk
calcul<00:17:28.960> ations<00:17:29.200> and<00:17:29.400> red<00:17:29.640> lines<00:17:30.640> where<00:17:31.200> we<00:17:31.360> are
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calcul ations and red lines where we are
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calcul ations and red lines where we are
seeing<00:17:32.960> um<00:17:33.200> all<00:17:33.520> sides<00:17:34.080> take<00:17:34.919> uh<00:17:35.120> greater
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seeing um all sides take uh greater
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seeing um all sides take uh greater
leaps<00:17:36.760> uh<00:17:37.000> and<00:17:37.240> and<00:17:37.840> push<00:17:38.840> uh<00:17:39.120> their
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leaps uh and and push uh their
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leaps uh and and push uh their
boundaries<00:17:40.039> of<00:17:40.320> what<00:17:40.440> has<00:17:40.640> been<00:17:40.919> acceptable
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boundaries of what has been acceptable
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boundaries of what has been acceptable
in<00:17:41.640> the<00:17:42.120> contest<00:17:43.120> uh<00:17:43.280> between<00:17:44.000> Iran<00:17:44.559> and
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in the contest uh between Iran and
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in the contest uh between Iran and
Israel<00:17:45.480> and<00:17:45.600> it's<00:17:46.280> uh<00:17:46.520> and<00:17:46.799> and<00:17:46.919> Iran's
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Israel and it's uh and and Iran's
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Israel and it's uh and and Iran's
proxies<00:17:48.120> and<00:17:48.280> partner<00:17:48.799> groups<00:17:49.799> um<00:17:50.120> as<00:17:50.280> well<00:17:50.480> as
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proxies and partner groups um as well as
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proxies and partner groups um as well as
certainly<00:17:51.240> what<00:17:51.559> Israel<00:17:52.120> the<00:17:52.240> risks<00:17:52.559> that
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certainly what Israel the risks that
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certainly what Israel the risks that
Israel<00:17:52.960> is<00:17:53.080> willing<00:17:53.320> to<00:17:53.480> take<00:17:54.120> the<00:17:54.280> ability
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Israel is willing to take the ability
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Israel is willing to take the ability
for<00:17:54.720> Israel<00:17:55.039> to<00:17:55.159> conduct<00:17:55.600> a<00:17:55.799> very<00:17:56.200> extended<00:17:57.080> uh
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for Israel to conduct a very extended uh
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for Israel to conduct a very extended uh
conflict<00:17:58.360> uh<00:17:58.480> this<00:17:58.559> is<00:17:58.880> you<00:17:58.960> know<00:17:59.080> obviously
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conflict uh this is you know obviously
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conflict uh this is you know obviously
the<00:17:59.440> longest<00:17:59.840> conflict<00:18:00.240> that<00:18:00.559> that<00:18:00.760> Israel
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the longest conflict that that Israel
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the longest conflict that that Israel
has<00:18:01.280> been<00:18:01.440> involved<00:18:01.840> in<00:18:02.840> uh<00:18:03.039> in<00:18:03.240> in<00:18:03.320> a<00:18:03.480> in<00:18:03.600> a<00:18:03.799> hot
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has been involved in uh in in a in a hot
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has been involved in uh in in a in a hot
War<00:18:04.520> sense<00:18:05.440> uh<00:18:05.600> and<00:18:05.720> so<00:18:06.000> you<00:18:06.120> know<00:18:06.480> we're
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War sense uh and so you know we're
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War sense uh and so you know we're
seeing<00:18:07.000> all<00:18:07.320> sides<00:18:07.840> being<00:18:08.640> um<00:18:09.000> tested<00:18:10.000> uh<00:18:10.120> and
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seeing all sides being um tested uh and
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seeing all sides being um tested uh and
it's<00:18:10.400> one<00:18:10.520> of<00:18:10.600> the<00:18:10.720> things<00:18:11.039> that<00:18:11.320> is<00:18:11.880> uh<00:18:12.240> is
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it's one of the things that is uh is
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it's one of the things that is uh is
important<00:18:12.760> to<00:18:12.919> note<00:18:13.880> that<00:18:14.280> you<00:18:14.400> know<00:18:14.679> that
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important to note that you know that
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important to note that you know that
that<00:18:15.080> we<00:18:15.159> are<00:18:15.400> seeing<00:18:16.240> that<00:18:16.520> the<00:18:16.720> escalation
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that we are seeing that the escalation
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that we are seeing that the escalation
ladder<00:18:18.440> uh<00:18:18.600> can<00:18:18.799> still<00:18:19.039> go<00:18:19.280> up<00:18:19.919> at<00:18:20.080> the<00:18:20.200> same
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ladder uh can still go up at the same
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ladder uh can still go up at the same
time<00:18:20.640> we<00:18:20.760> are<00:18:20.919> not<00:18:21.320> hitting<00:18:21.840> that<00:18:22.080> Regional
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time we are not hitting that Regional
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time we are not hitting that Regional
War<00:18:23.080> which<00:18:23.360> I<00:18:23.440> don't<00:18:23.600> think<00:18:23.880> anyone<00:18:24.280> really
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War which I don't think anyone really
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War which I don't think anyone really
wants<00:18:25.640> uh<00:18:25.760> certainly<00:18:26.080> the<00:18:26.200> US<00:18:26.440> government
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wants uh certainly the US government
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wants uh certainly the US government
does<00:18:26.960> not<00:18:27.159> want<00:18:27.520> that<00:18:28.440> uh<00:18:28.799> the<00:18:28.880> Iranians<00:18:29.360> do
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does not want that uh the Iranians do
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does not want that uh the Iranians do
not<00:18:29.720> want<00:18:30.039> that<00:18:30.960> um<00:18:31.240> I<00:18:31.400> don't<00:18:31.799> I<00:18:32.400> can't<00:18:32.600> speak
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not want that um I don't I can't speak
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not want that um I don't I can't speak
for<00:18:33.080> Israel<00:18:33.559> but<00:18:33.799> I<00:18:33.919> you<00:18:34.039> know<00:18:34.159> I<00:18:34.240> certainly
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for Israel but I you know I certainly
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for Israel but I you know I certainly
don't<00:18:34.919> think<00:18:35.120> Israel<00:18:35.480> wants<00:18:35.760> the<00:18:35.919> full<00:18:36.480> wider
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don't think Israel wants the full wider
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don't think Israel wants the full wider
War<00:18:37.120> but<00:18:37.200> at<00:18:37.320> the<00:18:37.400> same<00:18:37.559> time<00:18:37.720> they<00:18:37.799> are
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War but at the same time they are
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War but at the same time they are
certainly<00:18:38.240> trying<00:18:38.440> to<00:18:38.679> restore<00:18:39.679> uh
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certainly trying to restore uh
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certainly trying to restore uh
deterrence<00:18:40.320> and<00:18:40.520> push<00:18:40.840> back<00:18:41.280> against<00:18:42.280> uh
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deterrence and push back against uh
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deterrence and push back against uh
Hamas<00:18:42.960> Hezbollah<00:18:43.559> and<00:18:43.760> other<00:18:44.480> uh<00:18:45.000> uh<00:18:45.880> uh<00:18:46.159> other
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Hamas Hezbollah and other uh uh uh other
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Hamas Hezbollah and other uh uh uh other
groups<00:18:46.919> that<00:18:47.120> are<00:18:47.520> closely<00:18:47.919> aligned<00:18:48.440> if<00:18:48.600> not
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groups that are closely aligned if not
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groups that are closely aligned if not
attached<00:18:49.240> to<00:18:49.799> uh<00:18:49.960> to<00:18:50.200> Iran<00:18:50.600> and<00:18:50.840> the<00:18:51.640> um
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attached to uh to Iran and the um
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attached to uh to Iran and the um
Islamic<00:18:52.320> Republic<00:18:53.200> uh<00:18:53.640> there<00:18:54.280> so<00:18:54.640> you<00:18:54.760> know
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Islamic Republic uh there so you know
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Islamic Republic uh there so you know
we're<00:18:55.200> we're<00:18:55.360> in<00:18:55.600> this<00:18:55.880> new<00:18:56.280> world<00:18:57.280> uh<00:18:57.440> we<00:18:57.559> have
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we're we're in this new world uh we have
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we're we're in this new world uh we have
certainly<00:18:57.960> seen<00:18:58.240> Iran<00:18:58.919> also<00:18:59.200> push<00:18:59.520> new
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certainly seen Iran also push new
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certainly seen Iran also push new
boundaries<00:19:00.520> uh<00:19:00.640> in<00:19:00.880> response<00:19:01.799> from<00:19:02.000> the<00:19:02.880> uh
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boundaries uh in response from the uh
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boundaries uh in response from the uh
attacks<00:19:03.799> uh<00:19:04.240> in<00:19:04.480> Octo<00:19:05.039> in<00:19:05.240> April<00:19:05.600> of<00:19:05.760> this<00:19:05.919> year
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attacks uh in Octo in April of this year
00:19:06.240 --> 00:19:08.149 align:start position:0%
attacks uh in Octo in April of this year
and<00:19:06.400> then<00:19:06.840> more<00:19:07.039> recently<00:19:07.520> the<00:19:07.640> beginning<00:19:07.960> of
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and then more recently the beginning of
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and then more recently the beginning of
this
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this
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this
month<00:19:10.080> I<00:19:10.240> still<00:19:10.520> think<00:19:10.919> that<00:19:11.840> uh<00:19:12.159> both<00:19:12.520> sides
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month I still think that uh both sides
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month I still think that uh both sides
do<00:19:13.360> want<00:19:13.640> to<00:19:14.480> re<00:19:14.760> restrain<00:19:15.480> from<00:19:16.240> uh<00:19:16.520> from<00:19:16.720> a<00:19:17.000> a
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do want to re restrain from uh from a a
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do want to re restrain from uh from a a
regional<00:19:17.679> conflict<00:19:18.679> but<00:19:19.000> I<00:19:19.240> I<00:19:19.520> as<00:19:19.720> Bon<00:19:20.200> has
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regional conflict but I I as Bon has
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regional conflict but I I as Bon has
indicated<00:19:21.440> uh<00:19:21.600> Israel<00:19:22.280> is<00:19:23.080> uh<00:19:23.360> is<00:19:23.559> retaining
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indicated uh Israel is uh is retaining
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indicated uh Israel is uh is retaining
escalation<00:19:24.760> dominance<00:19:25.760> in<00:19:25.919> this<00:19:26.280> situation
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escalation dominance in this situation
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escalation dominance in this situation
uh<00:19:27.360> and<00:19:27.520> I<00:19:27.600> think<00:19:27.919> the<00:19:28.240> uh<00:19:28.400> the<00:19:28.760> us<00:19:29.360> uh<00:19:29.559> kind<00:19:29.679> of
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uh and I think the uh the us uh kind of
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uh and I think the uh the us uh kind of
recognizes<00:19:30.799> that<00:19:31.559> uh<00:19:31.919> that<00:19:32.240> that<00:19:32.440> Israel
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recognizes that uh that that Israel
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recognizes that uh that that Israel
holds<00:19:33.400> the<00:19:33.600> the<00:19:33.720> upper<00:19:34.080> hand<00:19:34.520> here<00:19:35.240> uh<00:19:35.360> I<00:19:35.440> think
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holds the the upper hand here uh I think
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holds the the upper hand here uh I think
that's<00:19:35.840> UND<00:19:36.480> understandable<00:19:36.919> at<00:19:37.039> least<00:19:37.320> in
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that's UND understandable at least in
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that's UND understandable at least in
you<00:19:37.760> know<00:19:37.960> isra<00:19:38.320> in<00:19:38.440> the<00:19:38.520> short<00:19:38.760> term<00:19:39.720> um<00:19:39.919> one
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you know isra in the short term um one
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you know isra in the short term um one
of<00:19:40.120> the<00:19:40.240> things<00:19:40.440> that's<00:19:40.679> always<00:19:40.919> been
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of the things that's always been
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of the things that's always been
interesting<00:19:41.600> about<00:19:42.559> uh<00:19:42.720> kind<00:19:42.840> of<00:19:43.039> the<00:19:43.360> Iran's
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interesting about uh kind of the Iran's
00:19:44.360 --> 00:19:47.190 align:start position:0%
interesting about uh kind of the Iran's
uh<00:19:44.679> contest<00:19:45.120> with<00:19:45.320> the<00:19:45.440> West<00:19:46.159> you<00:19:46.320> know<00:19:46.520> is<00:19:46.880> the
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uh contest with the West you know is the
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uh contest with the West you know is the
the<00:19:47.520> willingness<00:19:48.320> you<00:19:48.440> know<00:19:48.720> as<00:19:48.840> much<00:19:49.000> as<00:19:49.120> Iran
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the willingness you know as much as Iran
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the willingness you know as much as Iran
wants<00:19:49.640> to<00:19:49.840> avoid<00:19:50.280> the<00:19:50.440> direct<00:19:50.720> conventional
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wants to avoid the direct conventional
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wants to avoid the direct conventional
conflict<00:19:52.039> it's<00:19:52.200> willing<00:19:52.480> to<00:19:52.679> engage<00:19:52.960> in<00:19:53.080> a
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conflict it's willing to engage in a
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conflict it's willing to engage in a
very<00:19:53.880> long-term<00:19:54.880> uh<00:19:55.039> unconventional
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very long-term uh unconventional
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very long-term uh unconventional
conflict<00:19:56.880> uh<00:19:57.000> with<00:19:57.159> both<00:19:57.360> the<00:19:57.480> US<00:19:57.880> and<00:19:58.080> with
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conflict uh with both the US and with
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conflict uh with both the US and with
Israel<00:19:58.679> to<00:19:58.760> a<00:19:58.880> lesser<00:19:59.120> degree<00:19:59.440> certain<00:20:00.000> uh
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Israel to a lesser degree certain uh
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Israel to a lesser degree certain uh
Arab<00:20:00.400> states<00:20:00.720> over<00:20:00.919> the<00:20:01.080> years<00:20:02.080> um<00:20:02.360> and<00:20:02.679> and
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Arab states over the years um and and
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Arab states over the years um and and
we're<00:20:03.120> seeing<00:20:03.520> all<00:20:03.799> that<00:20:04.000> being<00:20:04.559> tested<00:20:04.919> at
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we're seeing all that being tested at
00:20:05.080 --> 00:20:07.470 align:start position:0%
we're seeing all that being tested at
this<00:20:05.200> point<00:20:05.360> in<00:20:05.520> time<00:20:05.679> and<00:20:05.840> the<00:20:05.960> ability<00:20:06.960> the
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this point in time and the ability the
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this point in time and the ability the
expectation<00:20:08.480> that<00:20:08.679> Iran<00:20:09.080> holds<00:20:09.400> a<00:20:09.520> certain
00:20:09.830 --> 00:20:09.840 align:start position:0%
expectation that Iran holds a certain
00:20:09.840 --> 00:20:13.190 align:start position:0%
expectation that Iran holds a certain
upper<00:20:10.240> hand<00:20:10.480> in<00:20:10.679> that<00:20:10.919> regard<00:20:11.919> uh<00:20:12.159> because<00:20:12.960> uh
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upper hand in that regard uh because uh
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upper hand in that regard uh because uh
either<00:20:13.400> the<00:20:13.520> us<00:20:13.799> or<00:20:13.960> Israel<00:20:14.320> others<00:20:14.559> do<00:20:14.760> not
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either the us or Israel others do not
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either the us or Israel others do not
want<00:20:15.000> to<00:20:15.240> engage<00:20:15.559> in<00:20:15.760> Long<00:20:16.080> War<00:20:17.080> uh<00:20:17.360> and<00:20:17.480> or<00:20:17.679> not
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want to engage in Long War uh and or not
00:20:17.799 --> 00:20:19.870 align:start position:0%
want to engage in Long War uh and or not
at<00:20:17.880> least<00:20:18.080> not<00:20:18.240> willing<00:20:18.559> to<00:20:18.799> or<00:20:19.000> not<00:20:19.559> uh
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at least not willing to or not uh
00:20:19.880 --> 00:20:22.190 align:start position:0%
at least not willing to or not uh
capable<00:20:20.320> of<00:20:20.480> and<00:20:20.600> I<00:20:20.720> think<00:20:21.280> that's<00:20:21.559> being<00:20:22.080> uh
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capable of and I think that's being uh
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capable of and I think that's being uh
disproven<00:20:22.840> at<00:20:23.039> this<00:20:23.240> point<00:20:23.679> that<00:20:24.440> uh<00:20:24.720> that<00:20:24.960> you
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disproven at this point that uh that you
00:20:25.080 --> 00:20:27.470 align:start position:0%
disproven at this point that uh that you
know<00:20:25.400> that<00:20:25.840> certainly<00:20:26.200> the<00:20:26.320> US<00:20:26.720> can<00:20:27.159> and<00:20:27.360> as
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know that certainly the US can and as
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know that certainly the US can and as
we've<00:20:27.679> seen<00:20:28.520> uh<00:20:28.840> and<00:20:29.240> engage<00:20:29.559> in<00:20:29.720> more
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we've seen uh and engage in more
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we've seen uh and engage in more
extended<00:20:30.559> support<00:20:31.559> uh<00:20:31.720> for<00:20:32.080> activities<00:20:33.000> uh
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extended support uh for activities uh
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extended support uh for activities uh
here<00:20:33.559> in<00:20:33.720> the<00:20:33.880> region<00:20:34.799> and<00:20:34.880> in<00:20:35.000> certainly
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here in the region and in certainly
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here in the region and in certainly
Israel<00:20:35.760> has<00:20:35.880> been<00:20:36.039> willing<00:20:36.280> to<00:20:36.559> engage<00:20:37.000> in
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Israel has been willing to engage in
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Israel has been willing to engage in
Conflict<00:20:37.799> for<00:20:38.000> quite<00:20:38.240> some<00:20:38.720> time<00:20:39.720> uh<00:20:39.919> since
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Conflict for quite some time uh since
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Conflict for quite some time uh since
since<00:20:40.520> last<00:20:40.799> year<00:20:41.640> so<00:20:42.640> I<00:20:42.799> think<00:20:42.919> a<00:20:43.039> lot<00:20:43.200> of
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since last year so I think a lot of
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since last year so I think a lot of
things<00:20:43.480> are<00:20:43.720> being<00:20:44.039> rethought<00:20:44.720> at<00:20:44.880> this<00:20:45.039> point
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things are being rethought at this point
00:20:45.640 --> 00:20:47.630 align:start position:0%
things are being rethought at this point
and<00:20:45.799> of<00:20:45.919> course<00:20:46.120> the<00:20:46.280> big<00:20:46.520> impact<00:20:47.240> uh<00:20:47.400> and<00:20:47.520> the
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and of course the big impact uh and the
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and of course the big impact uh and the
big<00:20:47.880> questions<00:20:48.360> that<00:20:48.520> everyone<00:20:48.919> has<00:20:49.120> is<00:20:49.559> you
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big questions that everyone has is you
00:20:49.720 --> 00:20:52.110 align:start position:0%
big questions that everyone has is you
know<00:20:49.880> how<00:20:50.000> will<00:20:50.200> the<00:20:50.360> election<00:20:51.039> impact<00:20:51.520> this
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know how will the election impact this
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know how will the election impact this
how<00:20:52.320> will<00:20:52.919> uh<00:20:53.039> a<00:20:53.159> potential<00:20:53.480> change<00:20:53.720> in
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how will uh a potential change in
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how will uh a potential change in
administration<00:20:54.640> how<00:20:54.799> is<00:20:54.960> that<00:20:55.120> factoring
00:20:55.549 --> 00:20:55.559 align:start position:0%
administration how is that factoring
00:20:55.559 --> 00:20:58.230 align:start position:0%
administration how is that factoring
into<00:20:55.880> everyone's<00:20:56.799> calculations<00:20:57.799> I<00:20:57.960> I<00:20:58.039> think
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into everyone's calculations I I think
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into everyone's calculations I I think
you<00:20:58.360> know<00:20:58.600> to<00:20:58.720> the<00:20:58.840> degree<00:20:59.120> that<00:20:59.280> I<00:20:59.520> I<00:20:59.600> can
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you know to the degree that I I can
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you know to the degree that I I can
speak<00:21:00.320> to<00:21:00.679> this<00:21:01.679> I<00:21:01.799> think<00:21:01.919> it's<00:21:02.320> important<00:21:03.320> uh
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speak to this I think it's important uh
00:21:03.480 --> 00:21:06.590 align:start position:0%
speak to this I think it's important uh
to<00:21:03.840> you<00:21:03.960> know<00:21:04.120> to<00:21:04.320> recognize<00:21:05.159> that<00:21:06.000> uh<00:21:06.440> you
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to you know to recognize that uh you
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to you know to recognize that uh you
know<00:21:06.840> no<00:21:07.240> side<00:21:07.480> really<00:21:08.080> understands<00:21:08.400> how<00:21:08.600> this
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know no side really understands how this
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know no side really understands how this
is<00:21:08.919> going<00:21:09.120> to<00:21:09.840> evolve<00:21:10.840> uh<00:21:11.000> and<00:21:11.120> so<00:21:11.400> I<00:21:11.480> think
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is going to evolve uh and so I think
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is going to evolve uh and so I think
this<00:21:11.840> is<00:21:12.159> a<00:21:12.679> you<00:21:12.799> know<00:21:13.720> it's<00:21:13.960> important<00:21:14.600> from
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this is a you know it's important from
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this is a you know it's important from
um<00:21:15.720> even<00:21:15.919> from<00:21:16.120> a<00:21:16.240> policy<00:21:16.640> perspective<00:21:17.039> from
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um even from a policy perspective from
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um even from a policy perspective from
either<00:21:17.480> the<00:21:17.640> Harris<00:21:18.559> or<00:21:18.799> the<00:21:18.960> Trump<00:21:19.279> teams<00:21:19.840> and
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either the Harris or the Trump teams and
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either the Harris or the Trump teams and
frankly<00:21:20.400> even<00:21:20.679> the<00:21:21.000> remaining<00:21:21.840> uh<00:21:22.240> you<00:21:22.320> know
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frankly even the remaining uh you know
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frankly even the remaining uh you know
time<00:21:22.880> for<00:21:23.080> the<00:21:23.200> Biden<00:21:23.840> Administration<00:21:24.840> uh<00:21:24.960> is
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time for the Biden Administration uh is
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time for the Biden Administration uh is
that<00:21:25.360> things<00:21:25.600> are<00:21:25.840> evolving<00:21:26.320> very<00:21:26.559> quickly
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that things are evolving very quickly
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that things are evolving very quickly
and<00:21:27.440> so<00:21:27.640> that's<00:21:27.840> making<00:21:28.080> it<00:21:28.200> very<00:21:28.840> difficult<00:21:29.039> I
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and so that's making it very difficult I
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and so that's making it very difficult I
think<00:21:29.279> in<00:21:29.440> my<00:21:29.640> opinion<00:21:30.360> to<00:21:30.600> formulate<00:21:31.600> what
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think in my opinion to formulate what
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think in my opinion to formulate what
the<00:21:32.520> the<00:21:32.880> policy<00:21:33.320> is<00:21:33.480> going<00:21:33.679> to<00:21:33.919> be<00:21:34.760> uh<00:21:34.840> for
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the the policy is going to be uh for
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the the policy is going to be uh for
either<00:21:35.400> Administration<00:21:36.240> after<00:21:36.880> after
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either Administration after after
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either Administration after after
January<00:21:38.360> uh<00:21:38.520> and<00:21:38.720> and<00:21:38.840> I<00:21:38.960> think<00:21:39.240> that's<00:21:39.440> going
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January uh and and I think that's going
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January uh and and I think that's going
to<00:21:39.840> be<00:21:40.520> uh<00:21:40.760> you<00:21:40.840> know<00:21:41.600> a<00:21:41.720> real<00:21:42.600> difficulty<00:21:43.400> as
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to be uh you know a real difficulty as
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to be uh you know a real difficulty as
we<00:21:43.720> look<00:21:44.000> towards<00:21:44.559> all<00:21:44.840> sides<00:21:45.159> trying<00:21:45.400> to
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we look towards all sides trying to
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we look towards all sides trying to
calculate<00:21:46.320> what<00:21:46.840> is<00:21:47.000> going<00:21:47.159> to<00:21:47.360> happen<00:21:47.640> in<00:21:47.760> the
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calculate what is going to happen in the
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calculate what is going to happen in the
next<00:21:48.120> few<00:21:48.360> weeks<00:21:48.720> in<00:21:48.840> the<00:21:48.960> next<00:21:49.240> couple<00:21:49.440> of
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next few weeks in the next couple of
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next few weeks in the next couple of
months<00:21:50.600> uh<00:21:50.720> and<00:21:50.840> into<00:21:51.120> the<00:21:51.279> next<00:21:51.559> year<00:21:52.480> uh<00:21:52.679> and
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months uh and into the next year uh and
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months uh and into the next year uh and
and<00:21:53.080> I<00:21:53.200> think<00:21:53.480> that's<00:21:53.679> going<00:21:53.880> to<00:21:54.320> feed<00:21:55.320> um<00:21:55.600> a
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and I think that's going to feed um a
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and I think that's going to feed um a
lot<00:21:55.880> of<00:21:56.200> uncertainty<00:21:57.000> that<00:21:57.120> will<00:21:57.320> further
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lot of uncertainty that will further
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lot of uncertainty that will further
kind<00:21:58.080> of<00:21:58.240> comp<00:21:58.600> licate<00:21:59.600> uh<00:21:59.720> the<00:21:59.840> situation<00:22:00.240> in
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kind of comp licate uh the situation in
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kind of comp licate uh the situation in
the<00:22:00.480> region<00:22:01.279> my<00:22:01.640> my<00:22:02.000> expectation<00:22:02.559> and<00:22:02.760> hope
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the region my my expectation and hope
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the region my my expectation and hope
frankly<00:22:04.000> uh<00:22:04.120> is<00:22:04.279> that<00:22:04.520> uncertainty<00:22:05.159> is
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frankly uh is that uncertainty is
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frankly uh is that uncertainty is
actually<00:22:05.840> going<00:22:06.000> to<00:22:06.400> Aid<00:22:07.400> uh<00:22:07.520> in<00:22:07.679> trying<00:22:08.000> to
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actually going to Aid uh in trying to
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actually going to Aid uh in trying to
keep<00:22:09.000> things<00:22:10.000> Fair<00:22:10.480> relatively<00:22:11.080> contained<00:22:11.600> I
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keep things Fair relatively contained I
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keep things Fair relatively contained I
mean<00:22:11.760> they're<00:22:11.880> certainly<00:22:12.200> not<00:22:12.440> in<00:22:12.559> a<00:22:12.720> in<00:22:12.840> a
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mean they're certainly not in a in a
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mean they're certainly not in a in a
broad<00:22:13.200> sense<00:22:13.440> contained<00:22:13.799> at<00:22:13.919> this<00:22:14.080> point<00:22:14.880> but
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broad sense contained at this point but
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broad sense contained at this point but
that<00:22:15.520> the<00:22:15.679> the<00:22:15.799> more<00:22:16.000> dramatic<00:22:16.440> escalation
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that the the more dramatic escalation
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that the the more dramatic escalation
that<00:22:17.039> folks<00:22:17.240> are<00:22:17.400> worried<00:22:17.720> about<00:22:18.559> uh<00:22:18.640> is<00:22:18.760> going
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that folks are worried about uh is going
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that folks are worried about uh is going
to<00:22:19.000> be<00:22:19.159> tempered<00:22:19.600> by<00:22:19.760> the<00:22:19.919> fact<00:22:20.200> that<00:22:20.400> that
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to be tempered by the fact that that
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to be tempered by the fact that that
we're<00:22:20.640> going<00:22:20.760> to<00:22:20.880> enter<00:22:21.200> into<00:22:22.200> uh<00:22:22.559> a<00:22:22.679> new
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we're going to enter into uh a new
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we're going to enter into uh a new
equation<00:22:23.320> in<00:22:23.480> the<00:22:24.000> on<00:22:24.159> the<00:22:24.360> US<00:22:24.679> domestic<00:22:25.200> side
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equation in the on the US domestic side
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equation in the on the US domestic side
in<00:22:25.559> the<00:22:25.720> coming<00:22:25.960> months<00:22:26.960> uh<00:22:27.120> and<00:22:27.320> and<00:22:27.400> I<00:22:27.520> think
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in the coming months uh and and I think
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in the coming months uh and and I think
everyone<00:22:28.039> is<00:22:28.200> trying<00:22:28.640> to<00:22:28.799> Think<00:22:29.039> Through<00:22:29.799> how
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everyone is trying to Think Through how
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everyone is trying to Think Through how
can<00:22:30.520> uh<00:22:30.640> what<00:22:30.760> do<00:22:30.880> we<00:22:31.000> need<00:22:31.480> what<00:22:31.600> kind<00:22:31.720> of
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can uh what do we need what kind of
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can uh what do we need what kind of
position<00:22:32.159> that<00:22:32.320> we<00:22:32.440> need<00:22:32.600> to<00:22:32.760> be<00:22:32.960> in<00:22:33.520> when<00:22:33.720> that
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position that we need to be in when that
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position that we need to be in when that
happens<00:22:35.039> uh<00:22:35.320> and<00:22:35.640> I<00:22:35.799> I<00:22:35.880> think<00:22:36.080> that<00:22:36.200> is<00:22:36.480> really
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happens uh and I I think that is really
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happens uh and I I think that is really
the<00:22:36.840> motivating<00:22:37.480> factor<00:22:38.320> uh<00:22:38.400> for<00:22:38.720> for
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the motivating factor uh for for
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the motivating factor uh for for
multiple<00:22:39.400> sides<00:22:39.840> here<00:22:40.720> uh<00:22:40.919> and<00:22:41.159> and<00:22:41.320> with<00:22:41.480> that
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multiple sides here uh and and with that
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multiple sides here uh and and with that
I<00:22:41.880> I'll<00:22:42.080> pause<00:22:42.320> and<00:22:42.520> I<00:22:42.679> I<00:22:42.799> look<00:22:42.960> forward<00:22:43.240> to
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I I'll pause and I I look forward to
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I I'll pause and I I look forward to
your
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your
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your
questions<00:22:45.919> and<00:22:46.640> uh<00:22:47.080> now<00:22:47.480> we<00:22:47.679> come<00:22:47.919> to<00:22:48.279> our<00:22:49.159> uh
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questions and uh now we come to our uh
00:22:49.360 --> 00:22:53.669 align:start position:0%
questions and uh now we come to our uh
last<00:22:50.039> speaker<00:22:51.039> uh<00:22:51.600> Robin<00:22:52.039> Wright<00:22:52.480> who<00:22:52.640> is<00:22:52.840> so
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last speaker uh Robin Wright who is so
00:22:53.679 --> 00:22:59.710 align:start position:0%
last speaker uh Robin Wright who is so
uh<00:22:54.679> uh<00:22:55.000> well<00:22:55.679> known<00:22:56.679> uh<00:22:57.039> to<00:22:57.880> uh<00:22:58.039> most<00:22:58.559> riew<00:22:59.360> uh
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uh uh well known uh to uh most riew uh
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uh uh well known uh to uh most riew uh
for<00:23:00.000> her<00:23:00.640> articles<00:23:01.640> and<00:23:02.440> uh<00:23:03.120> her<00:23:04.320> uh<00:23:05.320> uh
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for her articles and uh her uh uh
00:23:05.880 --> 00:23:11.590 align:start position:0%
for her articles and uh her uh uh
appearances<00:23:06.520> on<00:23:07.039> uh<00:23:07.159> TV<00:23:07.679> and<00:23:07.919> the<00:23:08.200> like<00:23:09.360> um<00:23:10.520> and
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appearances on uh TV and the like um and
00:23:11.600 --> 00:23:15.390 align:start position:0%
appearances on uh TV and the like um and
uh<00:23:12.600> uh<00:23:13.279> let<00:23:13.480> me<00:23:13.880> uh<00:23:14.039> describe<00:23:14.960> for<00:23:15.159> those<00:23:15.279> of
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uh uh let me uh describe for those of
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uh uh let me uh describe for those of
you<00:23:15.520> who<00:23:15.679> don't<00:23:15.840> know<00:23:16.039> her<00:23:16.200> and<00:23:16.320> then<00:23:16.480> say<00:23:16.760> one
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you who don't know her and then say one
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you who don't know her and then say one
or<00:23:17.120> two<00:23:17.360> things<00:23:18.120> before<00:23:18.679> I<00:23:18.840> turn<00:23:19.200> this<00:23:19.360> over
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or two things before I turn this over
00:23:19.679 --> 00:23:21.990 align:start position:0%
or two things before I turn this over
she's<00:23:19.919> a<00:23:20.039> senior<00:23:20.360> fellow<00:23:21.279> at<00:23:21.400> the<00:23:21.559> woodro
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she's a senior fellow at the woodro
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she's a senior fellow at the woodro
Wilson<00:23:22.480> Center<00:23:22.760> she's<00:23:23.240> reported<00:23:24.240> uh<00:23:24.400> from
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Wilson Center she's reported uh from
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Wilson Center she's reported uh from
more<00:23:24.880> than<00:23:25.480> 140<00:23:25.960> countries<00:23:26.960> for<00:23:27.240> the<00:23:27.440> New
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more than 140 countries for the New
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more than 140 countries for the New
Yorker
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Yorker
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Yorker
140<00:23:29.600> countries<00:23:30.080> you<00:23:30.279> heard<00:23:30.640> that<00:23:31.600> uh<00:23:31.919> and
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140 countries you heard that uh and
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140 countries you heard that uh and
she's<00:23:32.240> worked<00:23:32.480> for<00:23:32.600> the<00:23:32.679> New<00:23:32.840> Yorker<00:23:33.840> The
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she's worked for the New Yorker The
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she's worked for the New Yorker The
Washington<00:23:34.480> Post<00:23:34.880> Time<00:23:35.720> the<00:23:35.919> nyt<00:23:36.520> magazine<00:23:36.960> LA
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Washington Post Time the nyt magazine LA
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Washington Post Time the nyt magazine LA
Times<00:23:37.760> among<00:23:38.039> others<00:23:38.840> she<00:23:39.039> has<00:23:39.200> also<00:23:39.400> been<00:23:39.559> a
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Times among others she has also been a
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Times among others she has also been a
fellow<00:23:40.000> at<00:23:40.159> the<00:23:40.240> Brooking<00:23:40.679> institution
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fellow at the Brooking institution
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fellow at the Brooking institution
Carnegie<00:23:41.640> Endowment<00:23:42.000> for<00:23:42.200> National<00:23:42.480> peace
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Carnegie Endowment for National peace
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Carnegie Endowment for National peace
Yale<00:23:43.400> Duke<00:23:43.760> Stanford<00:23:44.760> uh<00:23:45.440> uh<00:23:45.720> darkmouth<00:23:46.720> and
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Yale Duke Stanford uh uh darkmouth and
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Yale Duke Stanford uh uh darkmouth and
the<00:23:47.440> University<00:23:48.080> of<00:23:48.360> California<00:23:49.159> up<00:23:49.480> north
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the University of California up north
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the University of California up north
she<00:23:50.440> we've<00:23:50.640> got<00:23:50.720> to<00:23:50.840> bring<00:23:51.000> her<00:23:51.200> down<00:23:51.559> she<00:23:51.760> has
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she we've got to bring her down she has
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she we've got to bring her down she has
received<00:23:52.279> numerous<00:23:52.679> awards<00:23:53.000> for<00:23:53.159> her<00:23:53.360> work
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received numerous awards for her work
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received numerous awards for her work
including<00:23:54.720> the<00:23:54.840> UN<00:23:55.320> correspondence
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including the UN correspondence
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including the UN correspondence
Association<00:23:57.200> gold<00:23:57.679> medal<00:23:58.000> for<00:23:58.440> International
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Association gold medal for International
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Association gold medal for International
Affairs<00:23:59.120> and<00:23:59.279> the<00:23:59.440> national<00:24:00.440> magazine<00:24:00.960> award
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Affairs and the national magazine award
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Affairs and the national magazine award
for<00:24:01.600> Iran<00:24:02.600> uh<00:24:02.799> reportage<00:24:03.400> and<00:24:03.559> the<00:24:04.200> overseas
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for Iran uh reportage and the overseas
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for Iran uh reportage and the overseas
peace<00:24:05.600> Club<00:24:05.960> award<00:24:06.400> for<00:24:06.559> her<00:24:07.159> coverage<00:24:07.640> of
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peace Club award for her coverage of
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peace Club award for her coverage of
African<00:24:08.919> wars<00:24:09.919> she's<00:24:10.279> also<00:24:10.640> authored<00:24:11.120> eight
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African wars she's also authored eight
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African wars she's also authored eight
books<00:24:12.039> and<00:24:12.320> I<00:24:12.440> could<00:24:12.600> go<00:24:12.799> into<00:24:13.039> more<00:24:13.320> things<00:24:14.440> um
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books and I could go into more things um
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books and I could go into more things um
if<00:24:15.600> we<00:24:15.760> had<00:24:15.960> time<00:24:16.159> at<00:24:16.320> the<00:24:16.520> moment<00:24:17.200> he<00:24:17.440> did<00:24:18.440> uh
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if we had time at the moment he did uh
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if we had time at the moment he did uh
produce<00:24:19.039> an<00:24:19.200> article<00:24:19.559> a<00:24:19.679> couple<00:24:19.960> of<00:24:20.559> uh<00:24:21.240> hours
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produce an article a couple of uh hours
00:24:22.200 --> 00:24:27.029 align:start position:0%
produce an article a couple of uh hours
ago<00:24:23.200> uh<00:24:23.679> uh<00:24:23.919> in<00:24:24.720> uh<00:24:25.600> uh<00:24:25.919> from<00:24:26.159> The<00:24:26.320> New<00:24:26.480> Yorker
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ago uh uh in uh uh from The New Yorker
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ago uh uh in uh uh from The New Yorker
and<00:24:27.440> um<00:24:28.559> uh<00:24:28.799> it's<00:24:28.960> of<00:24:29.120> course<00:24:29.360> very
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and um uh it's of course very
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and um uh it's of course very
interesting<00:24:30.720> and<00:24:31.440> is<00:24:31.880> perfect<00:24:32.240> for<00:24:32.520> the<00:24:33.039> third
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interesting and is perfect for the third
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interesting and is perfect for the third
presentation<00:24:35.240> because<00:24:36.240> uh<00:24:36.960> We've<00:24:37.600> uh<00:24:37.919> our
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presentation because uh We've uh our
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presentation because uh We've uh our
first<00:24:38.240> two<00:24:38.399> speakers<00:24:38.760> have<00:24:38.960> talked<00:24:39.640> about<00:24:39.880> the
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first two speakers have talked about the
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first two speakers have talked about the
big<00:24:40.520> picture<00:24:41.520> na<00:24:41.880> she<00:24:42.279> has<00:24:42.840> had<00:24:43.039> an<00:24:43.320> article
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big picture na she has had an article
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big picture na she has had an article
which<00:24:44.520> deals<00:24:45.320> with<00:24:45.840> uh<00:24:46.559> uh<00:24:46.840> recent<00:24:47.480> past<00:24:47.760> and
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which deals with uh uh recent past and
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which deals with uh uh recent past and
recent<00:24:49.120> uh
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recent uh
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recent uh
problems<00:24:51.039> uh<00:24:51.679> which<00:24:51.960> Israel<00:24:52.799> where<00:24:53.120> is<00:24:53.480> United
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problems uh which Israel where is United
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problems uh which Israel where is United
States<00:24:54.080> or<00:24:54.320> Israel<00:24:55.000> do<00:24:55.360> very<00:24:55.640> well<00:24:56.559> and<00:24:56.720> then
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States or Israel do very well and then
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States or Israel do very well and then
it<00:24:57.480> falls<00:24:57.919> apart
00:24:58.990 --> 00:24:59.000 align:start position:0%
it falls apart
00:24:59.000 --> 00:25:02.310 align:start position:0%
it falls apart
I<00:24:59.520> I<00:24:59.640> have<00:24:59.760> to<00:25:00.000> re<00:25:00.360> I<00:25:00.520> have<00:25:00.960> remember<00:25:01.960> when<00:25:02.159> I
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I I have to re I have remember when I
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I I have to re I have remember when I
talked<00:25:02.559> to<00:25:02.679> an<00:25:02.799> Israel<00:25:03.159> it's
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talked to an Israel it's
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talked to an Israel it's
about<00:25:05.600> uh<00:25:06.600> almost<00:25:07.279> uh<00:25:08.120> two<00:25:08.440> decades<00:25:08.880> ago
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about uh almost uh two decades ago
00:25:09.720 --> 00:25:12.710 align:start position:0%
about uh almost uh two decades ago
Israel<00:25:10.200> was<00:25:10.559> again<00:25:10.880> in<00:25:11.080> in<00:25:11.240> such<00:25:11.440> a<00:25:11.720> situation
00:25:12.710 --> 00:25:12.720 align:start position:0%
Israel was again in in such a situation
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Israel was again in in such a situation
not<00:25:12.960> as<00:25:13.159> big<00:25:13.360> as<00:25:13.559> this<00:25:13.840> but<00:25:14.440> still<00:25:15.080> and<00:25:15.240> it<00:25:15.320> was
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not as big as this but still and it was
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not as big as this but still and it was
doing<00:25:15.799> great<00:25:16.760> and<00:25:16.919> I<00:25:17.039> said<00:25:17.360> to<00:25:18.640> uh<00:25:19.880> uh<00:25:20.880> a<00:25:21.600> an
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doing great and I said to uh uh a an
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doing great and I said to uh uh a an
Israeli<00:25:22.880> you<00:25:23.080> guys<00:25:23.279> better<00:25:23.520> stop<00:25:24.440> because
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Israeli you guys better stop because
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Israeli you guys better stop because
this<00:25:24.880> is<00:25:25.039> not<00:25:25.240> going<00:25:25.320> to<00:25:25.559> last<00:25:26.159> no<00:25:26.559> no<00:25:26.799> we're
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this is not going to last no no we're
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this is not going to last no no we're
doing<00:25:27.279> great<00:25:27.640> Americans
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doing great Americans
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doing great Americans
us<00:25:30.640> H<00:25:31.000> and<00:25:31.520> by<00:25:31.720> the<00:25:31.880> end<00:25:32.399> they<00:25:32.520> had<00:25:32.640> a<00:25:32.720> lot<00:25:32.880> of
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us H and by the end they had a lot of
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us H and by the end they had a lot of
problems<00:25:34.559> uh<00:25:35.200> and<00:25:35.640> that's<00:25:35.840> the<00:25:36.039> problems<00:25:36.480> that
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problems uh and that's the problems that
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problems uh and that's the problems that
the<00:25:37.159> Israelis<00:25:38.159> uh<00:25:38.840> uh<00:25:39.600> face<00:25:40.600> uh<00:25:41.520> Americans<00:25:42.039> are
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the Israelis uh uh face uh Americans are
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the Israelis uh uh face uh Americans are
sending<00:25:42.840> people<00:25:43.799> very<00:25:44.120> high<00:25:44.440> level<00:25:45.240> to<00:25:45.640> both
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sending people very high level to both
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sending people very high level to both
Israel<00:25:47.919> uh<00:25:48.480> and<00:25:48.799> the<00:25:49.399> north<00:25:50.399> uh<00:25:50.720> to<00:25:50.960> try<00:25:51.200> to
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Israel uh and the north uh to try to
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Israel uh and the north uh to try to
stop<00:25:52.120> all<00:25:52.480> this<00:25:53.440> let's<00:25:53.679> see<00:25:53.960> what<00:25:54.120> they<00:25:54.240> can<00:25:54.399> do
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stop all this let's see what they can do
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stop all this let's see what they can do
and<00:25:54.840> let's<00:25:55.000> see<00:25:55.320> what<00:25:55.799> Robin<00:25:56.640> has<00:25:56.840> to<00:25:57.039> say<00:25:57.320> and
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and let's see what Robin has to say and
00:25:57.480 --> 00:26:00.029 align:start position:0%
and let's see what Robin has to say and
it's<00:25:57.720> very<00:25:58.120> difficult<00:25:58.640> time<00:25:59.440> uh<00:25:59.520> for<00:25:59.760> her<00:25:59.960> I
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it's very difficult time uh for her I
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it's very difficult time uh for her I
don't<00:26:00.200> know<00:26:00.360> how<00:26:00.520> she<00:26:00.679> got<00:26:00.880> this<00:26:01.080> article<00:26:01.520> out
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don't know how she got this article out
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don't know how she got this article out
on<00:26:02.159> schedule<00:26:03.080> despite<00:26:03.480> all<00:26:03.640> the<00:26:03.880> problem
00:26:04.269 --> 00:26:04.279 align:start position:0%
on schedule despite all the problem
00:26:04.279 --> 00:26:08.470 align:start position:0%
on schedule despite all the problem
she's<00:26:04.559> having<00:26:05.159> with<00:26:05.360> that<00:26:06.080> uh<00:26:06.480> a<00:26:06.679> computer
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she's having with that uh a computer
00:26:08.480 --> 00:26:10.950 align:start position:0%
she's having with that uh a computer
apparently<00:26:09.480> uh<00:26:09.679> thank<00:26:09.840> you<00:26:09.960> Steve<00:26:10.399> I'm<00:26:10.600> always
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apparently uh thank you Steve I'm always
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apparently uh thank you Steve I'm always
delighted<00:26:11.440> to<00:26:11.559> have<00:26:11.760> conversations<00:26:12.399> with<00:26:12.559> you
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delighted to have conversations with you
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delighted to have conversations with you
and<00:26:12.840> to<00:26:12.919> be<00:26:13.120> part<00:26:13.279> of<00:26:13.440> CED<00:26:14.000> that's<00:26:14.399> um<00:26:15.120> a
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and to be part of CED that's um a
00:26:15.480 --> 00:26:18.389 align:start position:0%
and to be part of CED that's um a
fixture<00:26:15.919> in<00:26:16.039> my<00:26:16.279> life<00:26:16.440> and<00:26:16.679> I'm<00:26:17.480> I'm<00:26:17.799> so<00:26:18.120> happy
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fixture in my life and I'm I'm so happy
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fixture in my life and I'm I'm so happy
to<00:26:18.559> be<00:26:18.760> with<00:26:18.919> you<00:26:19.640> uh<00:26:19.799> let<00:26:19.919> me<00:26:20.320> say<00:26:20.559> a<00:26:20.679> couple<00:26:20.880> of
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to be with you uh let me say a couple of
00:26:21.000 --> 00:26:23.110 align:start position:0%
to be with you uh let me say a couple of
things<00:26:21.240> about<00:26:21.480> Iran<00:26:21.919> first<00:26:22.200> and<00:26:22.399> play<00:26:22.640> off
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things about Iran first and play off
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things about Iran first and play off
what<00:26:23.360> both<00:26:24.000> um<00:26:24.200> bejan<00:26:24.840> and<00:26:25.039> Matt<00:26:25.360> have<00:26:25.600> said<00:26:26.600> uh
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what both um bejan and Matt have said uh
00:26:26.760 --> 00:26:28.269 align:start position:0%
what both um bejan and Matt have said uh
I<00:26:26.919> happen<00:26:27.240> to<00:26:27.399> have<00:26:27.559> seen<00:26:27.960> president
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I happen to have seen president
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I happen to have seen president
president<00:26:28.600> pesin<00:26:29.320> twice<00:26:29.919> last<00:26:30.240> month<00:26:30.559> when<00:26:30.720> he
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president pesin twice last month when he
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president pesin twice last month when he
was<00:26:30.960> at<00:26:31.120> the<00:26:31.240> UN<00:26:31.600> General<00:26:32.360> Assembly<00:26:33.360> and<00:26:33.919> I
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was at the UN General Assembly and I
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was at the UN General Assembly and I
asked<00:26:34.360> him<00:26:34.720> specifically<00:26:35.600> about<00:26:35.880> what<00:26:36.039> is
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asked him specifically about what is
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asked him specifically about what is
intentions<00:26:36.880> were<00:26:37.880> kind<00:26:38.000> of<00:26:38.120> in<00:26:38.279> dealing<00:26:38.559> with
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intentions were kind of in dealing with
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intentions were kind of in dealing with
foreign<00:26:39.120> policy<00:26:39.480> dealing<00:26:39.799> with<00:26:39.919> the<00:26:40.080> West<00:26:40.679> you
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foreign policy dealing with the West you
00:26:40.799 --> 00:26:43.070 align:start position:0%
foreign policy dealing with the West you
know<00:26:41.080> and<00:26:41.240> the<00:26:41.360> United<00:26:41.799> States<00:26:42.559> and<00:26:42.760> this<00:26:42.880> is
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know and the United States and this is
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know and the United States and this is
where<00:26:44.080> uh<00:26:44.440> one<00:26:44.559> of<00:26:44.679> the<00:26:44.840> first<00:26:45.159> times<00:26:46.039> then
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where uh one of the first times then
00:26:46.320 --> 00:26:48.310 align:start position:0%
where uh one of the first times then
having<00:26:46.520> only<00:26:46.720> been<00:26:46.880> in<00:26:47.039> power<00:26:47.320> a<00:26:47.480> month<00:26:48.159> he
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having only been in power a month he
00:26:48.320 --> 00:26:51.909 align:start position:0%
having only been in power a month he
made<00:26:48.520> an<00:26:48.679> overture<00:26:49.200> to<00:26:49.399> the<00:26:49.760> West<00:26:50.760> uh<00:26:50.919> to
00:26:51.909 --> 00:26:51.919 align:start position:0%
made an overture to the West uh to
00:26:51.919 --> 00:26:56.389 align:start position:0%
made an overture to the West uh to
engage<00:26:52.480> on<00:26:52.960> nuclear<00:26:53.480> diplomacy<00:26:54.559> to<00:26:55.559> uh
00:26:56.389 --> 00:26:56.399 align:start position:0%
engage on nuclear diplomacy to uh
00:26:56.399 --> 00:26:58.830 align:start position:0%
engage on nuclear diplomacy to uh
provide<00:26:57.159> Iran<00:26:57.640> in<00:26:57.840> turn
00:26:58.830 --> 00:26:58.840 align:start position:0%
provide Iran in turn
00:26:58.840 --> 00:27:01.269 align:start position:0%
provide Iran in turn
economic<00:26:59.799> benefits<00:27:00.200> or<00:27:00.399> greater<00:27:00.799> economic
00:27:01.269 --> 00:27:01.279 align:start position:0%
economic benefits or greater economic
00:27:01.279 --> 00:27:03.470 align:start position:0%
economic benefits or greater economic
freedom<00:27:01.720> or<00:27:02.039> the<00:27:02.159> lifting<00:27:02.520> of<00:27:02.720> sanctions<00:27:03.320> that
00:27:03.470 --> 00:27:03.480 align:start position:0%
freedom or the lifting of sanctions that
00:27:03.480 --> 00:27:06.470 align:start position:0%
freedom or the lifting of sanctions that
have<00:27:03.720> crippled<00:27:04.360> Iran's<00:27:05.120> economy<00:27:06.120> uh<00:27:06.320> and<00:27:06.399> it
00:27:06.470 --> 00:27:06.480 align:start position:0%
have crippled Iran's economy uh and it
00:27:06.480 --> 00:27:08.950 align:start position:0%
have crippled Iran's economy uh and it
was<00:27:06.679> quite<00:27:06.919> striking<00:27:07.840> but<00:27:08.000> I<00:27:08.080> think<00:27:08.240> bejon<00:27:08.720> is
00:27:08.950 --> 00:27:08.960 align:start position:0%
was quite striking but I think bejon is
00:27:08.960 --> 00:27:10.510 align:start position:0%
was quite striking but I think bejon is
right<00:27:09.240> the<00:27:09.399> question<00:27:09.679> is<00:27:09.919> is<00:27:10.039> this<00:27:10.240> just<00:27:10.399> a
00:27:10.510 --> 00:27:10.520 align:start position:0%
right the question is is this just a
00:27:10.520 --> 00:27:12.669 align:start position:0%
right the question is is this just a
honeymoon<00:27:11.200> and<00:27:11.320> we've<00:27:11.520> seen<00:27:11.840> that<00:27:12.039> play<00:27:12.279> out
00:27:12.669 --> 00:27:12.679 align:start position:0%
honeymoon and we've seen that play out
00:27:12.679 --> 00:27:15.750 align:start position:0%
honeymoon and we've seen that play out
over<00:27:13.000> and<00:27:13.520> over<00:27:14.520> with<00:27:15.159> uh<00:27:15.320> whether<00:27:15.559> it's
00:27:15.750 --> 00:27:15.760 align:start position:0%
over and over with uh whether it's
00:27:15.760 --> 00:27:20.750 align:start position:0%
over and over with uh whether it's
president<00:27:16.320> Kachi<00:27:17.320> from<00:27:17.600> 1997<00:27:18.440> to<00:27:18.960> 2005<00:27:19.960> or
00:27:20.750 --> 00:27:20.760 align:start position:0%
president Kachi from 1997 to 2005 or
00:27:20.760 --> 00:27:22.430 align:start position:0%
president Kachi from 1997 to 2005 or
president
00:27:22.430 --> 00:27:22.440 align:start position:0%
president
00:27:22.440 --> 00:27:26.870 align:start position:0%
president
ran<00:27:23.440> um<00:27:24.320> uh<00:27:24.919> who<00:27:25.320> preceded<00:27:26.000> you<00:27:26.120> know<00:27:26.520> the
00:27:26.870 --> 00:27:26.880 align:start position:0%
ran um uh who preceded you know the
00:27:26.880 --> 00:27:29.909 align:start position:0%
ran um uh who preceded you know the
president<00:27:27.240> Ry<00:27:28.279> uh<00:27:28.440> so<00:27:28.600> we<00:27:28.880> have<00:27:29.120> now<00:27:29.399> three
00:27:29.909 --> 00:27:29.919 align:start position:0%
president Ry uh so we have now three
00:27:29.919 --> 00:27:32.590 align:start position:0%
president Ry uh so we have now three
different<00:27:30.320> waves<00:27:31.159> of<00:27:31.799> moderates<00:27:32.279> or
00:27:32.590 --> 00:27:32.600 align:start position:0%
different waves of moderates or
00:27:32.600 --> 00:27:34.870 align:start position:0%
different waves of moderates or
reformers<00:27:33.600> and<00:27:33.799> each<00:27:34.000> one<00:27:34.200> of<00:27:34.360> them<00:27:34.640> has
00:27:34.870 --> 00:27:34.880 align:start position:0%
reformers and each one of them has
00:27:34.880 --> 00:27:38.269 align:start position:0%
reformers and each one of them has
eventually<00:27:35.480> been<00:27:36.360> either<00:27:36.760> sidelined
00:27:38.269 --> 00:27:38.279 align:start position:0%
eventually been either sidelined
00:27:38.279 --> 00:27:44.669 align:start position:0%
eventually been either sidelined
marginalized<00:27:39.279> uh<00:27:39.840> silenced<00:27:41.159> um<00:27:42.159> by<00:27:43.080> the<00:27:44.080> the
00:27:44.669 --> 00:27:44.679 align:start position:0%
marginalized uh silenced um by the the
00:27:44.679 --> 00:27:47.029 align:start position:0%
marginalized uh silenced um by the the
kind<00:27:44.799> of<00:27:44.919> hardliners<00:27:45.679> within<00:27:46.000> the<00:27:46.240> system
00:27:47.029 --> 00:27:47.039 align:start position:0%
kind of hardliners within the system
00:27:47.039 --> 00:27:50.750 align:start position:0%
kind of hardliners within the system
that<00:27:47.240> their<00:27:47.600> efforts<00:27:48.080> to<00:27:48.559> open<00:27:48.919> up<00:27:49.200> to<00:27:49.760> reform
00:27:50.750 --> 00:27:50.760 align:start position:0%
that their efforts to open up to reform
00:27:50.760 --> 00:27:53.950 align:start position:0%
that their efforts to open up to reform
uh<00:27:50.919> both<00:27:51.440> society<00:27:52.440> and<00:27:53.240> uh<00:27:53.320> to<00:27:53.480> deal<00:27:53.679> with<00:27:53.840> the
00:27:53.950 --> 00:27:53.960 align:start position:0%
uh both society and uh to deal with the
00:27:53.960 --> 00:27:57.230 align:start position:0%
uh both society and uh to deal with the
outside<00:27:54.440> world<00:27:55.039> have<00:27:55.799> been<00:27:56.559> uh<00:27:56.720> blocked<00:27:57.080> in
00:27:57.230 --> 00:27:57.240 align:start position:0%
outside world have been uh blocked in
00:27:57.240 --> 00:27:58.470 align:start position:0%
outside world have been uh blocked in
the<00:27:57.320> end<00:27:57.600> with<00:27:57.720> the<00:27:57.799> exception<00:27:58.279> of<00:27:58.360> the
00:27:58.470 --> 00:27:58.480 align:start position:0%
the end with the exception of the
00:27:58.480 --> 00:28:00.110 align:start position:0%
the end with the exception of the
nuclear<00:27:58.880> deal<00:27:59.200> and<00:27:59.320> of<00:27:59.480> course<00:27:59.720> then<00:28:00.000> the
00:28:00.110 --> 00:28:00.120 align:start position:0%
nuclear deal and of course then the
00:28:00.120 --> 00:28:02.509 align:start position:0%
nuclear deal and of course then the
United<00:28:00.480> States<00:28:00.760> walked<00:28:01.080> away<00:28:01.360> from<00:28:01.640> that<00:28:02.399> I
00:28:02.509 --> 00:28:02.519 align:start position:0%
United States walked away from that I
00:28:02.519 --> 00:28:06.669 align:start position:0%
United States walked away from that I
think<00:28:03.200> pesan<00:28:04.200> is<00:28:04.600> interesting<00:28:05.320> because<00:28:05.880> he<00:28:06.080> is
00:28:06.669 --> 00:28:06.679 align:start position:0%
think pesan is interesting because he is
00:28:06.679 --> 00:28:08.789 align:start position:0%
think pesan is interesting because he is
very<00:28:07.000> committed<00:28:07.360> to<00:28:07.519> the<00:28:07.679> idea<00:28:08.000> of<00:28:08.120> an<00:28:08.279> Islamic
00:28:08.789 --> 00:28:08.799 align:start position:0%
very committed to the idea of an Islamic
00:28:08.799 --> 00:28:12.389 align:start position:0%
very committed to the idea of an Islamic
Republic<00:28:09.440> he<00:28:09.919> has<00:28:11.000> repeatedly<00:28:12.000> vowed
00:28:12.389 --> 00:28:12.399 align:start position:0%
Republic he has repeatedly vowed
00:28:12.399 --> 00:28:14.470 align:start position:0%
Republic he has repeatedly vowed
allegiance<00:28:13.000> to<00:28:13.200> the<00:28:13.360> supreme<00:28:13.760> leader<00:28:14.159> and<00:28:14.320> the
00:28:14.470 --> 00:28:14.480 align:start position:0%
allegiance to the supreme leader and the
00:28:14.480 --> 00:28:18.470 align:start position:0%
allegiance to the supreme leader and the
Very<00:28:14.880> idea<00:28:15.880> of<00:28:16.080> aatif<00:28:16.840> faki<00:28:17.559> a<00:28:17.919> a<00:28:18.120> supreme
00:28:18.470 --> 00:28:18.480 align:start position:0%
Very idea of aatif faki a a supreme
00:28:18.480 --> 00:28:21.590 align:start position:0%
Very idea of aatif faki a a supreme
leader<00:28:18.840> to<00:28:19.120> oversee<00:28:20.120> all<00:28:20.559> polit<00:28:21.159> political
00:28:21.590 --> 00:28:21.600 align:start position:0%
leader to oversee all polit political
00:28:21.600 --> 00:28:27.110 align:start position:0%
leader to oversee all polit political
life<00:28:22.279> in<00:28:22.960> Iran<00:28:23.880> but<00:28:24.039> I<00:28:24.159> think<00:28:24.320> pesan<00:28:25.279> has<00:28:26.279> uh
00:28:27.110 --> 00:28:27.120 align:start position:0%
life in Iran but I think pesan has uh
00:28:27.120 --> 00:28:29.710 align:start position:0%
life in Iran but I think pesan has uh
recognized<00:28:28.159> like<00:28:28.320> some<00:28:28.480> of<00:28:28.640> his<00:28:28.840> predecessors
00:28:29.710 --> 00:28:29.720 align:start position:0%
recognized like some of his predecessors
00:28:29.720 --> 00:28:33.430 align:start position:0%
recognized like some of his predecessors
that<00:28:30.600> that<00:28:30.840> Iran<00:28:31.240> needs<00:28:31.600> to<00:28:32.000> survive<00:28:33.000> first<00:28:33.279> as
00:28:33.430 --> 00:28:33.440 align:start position:0%
that that Iran needs to survive first as
00:28:33.440 --> 00:28:37.269 align:start position:0%
that that Iran needs to survive first as
an<00:28:33.640> Islamic<00:28:34.279> Republic<00:28:35.279> but<00:28:35.519> also<00:28:36.159> for<00:28:36.600> its
00:28:37.269 --> 00:28:37.279 align:start position:0%
an Islamic Republic but also for its
00:28:37.279 --> 00:28:42.110 align:start position:0%
an Islamic Republic but also for its
ideology<00:28:38.279> and<00:28:38.440> the<00:28:38.600> only<00:28:39.039> way<00:28:39.360> it<00:28:39.559> can<00:28:40.559> do<00:28:41.000> that
00:28:42.110 --> 00:28:42.120 align:start position:0%
ideology and the only way it can do that
00:28:42.120 --> 00:28:44.950 align:start position:0%
ideology and the only way it can do that
given<00:28:43.120> the<00:28:43.399> age<00:28:43.840> of<00:28:44.120> the<00:28:44.279> current<00:28:44.600> supreme
00:28:44.950 --> 00:28:44.960 align:start position:0%
given the age of the current supreme
00:28:44.960 --> 00:28:49.509 align:start position:0%
given the age of the current supreme
leader<00:28:45.399> who<00:28:45.559> is<00:28:46.120> in<00:28:46.279> his<00:28:46.519> mid<00:28:46.960> 80s<00:28:47.960> is<00:28:48.360> to<00:28:49.360> uh
00:28:49.509 --> 00:28:49.519 align:start position:0%
leader who is in his mid 80s is to uh
00:28:49.519 --> 00:28:51.909 align:start position:0%
leader who is in his mid 80s is to uh
deal<00:28:50.039> with<00:28:50.279> the<00:28:50.440> kind<00:28:50.559> of<00:28:50.760> economic<00:28:51.240> real
00:28:51.909 --> 00:28:51.919 align:start position:0%
deal with the kind of economic real
00:28:51.919 --> 00:28:54.789 align:start position:0%
deal with the kind of economic real
politic<00:28:52.919> and<00:28:53.120> so<00:28:53.440> his<00:28:53.679> overtures<00:28:54.360> should<00:28:54.640> be
00:28:54.789 --> 00:28:54.799 align:start position:0%
politic and so his overtures should be
00:28:54.799 --> 00:28:57.669 align:start position:0%
politic and so his overtures should be
seen<00:28:55.320> in<00:28:55.559> that<00:28:55.880> context<00:28:56.840> Iran<00:28:57.320> wants
00:28:57.669 --> 00:28:57.679 align:start position:0%
seen in that context Iran wants
00:28:57.679 --> 00:29:01.350 align:start position:0%
seen in that context Iran wants
something<00:28:58.360> in<00:28:59.039> exchange<00:29:00.039> but<00:29:00.799> you<00:29:00.919> know<00:29:01.159> the
00:29:01.350 --> 00:29:01.360 align:start position:0%
something in exchange but you know the
00:29:01.360 --> 00:29:03.310 align:start position:0%
something in exchange but you know the
real<00:29:01.640> danger<00:29:02.120> is<00:29:02.360> that<00:29:02.559> this<00:29:02.720> honeymoon<00:29:03.200> is
00:29:03.310 --> 00:29:03.320 align:start position:0%
real danger is that this honeymoon is
00:29:03.320 --> 00:29:06.549 align:start position:0%
real danger is that this honeymoon is
shortlived<00:29:04.200> given<00:29:04.519> the<00:29:04.679> tensions<00:29:05.559> between
00:29:06.549 --> 00:29:06.559 align:start position:0%
shortlived given the tensions between
00:29:06.559 --> 00:29:09.070 align:start position:0%
shortlived given the tensions between
Iran<00:29:06.919> and<00:29:07.200> Israel<00:29:08.120> and<00:29:08.360> that<00:29:08.640> these
00:29:09.070 --> 00:29:09.080 align:start position:0%
Iran and Israel and that these
00:29:09.080 --> 00:29:13.549 align:start position:0%
Iran and Israel and that these
initiatives<00:29:10.080> for<00:29:10.320> this<00:29:10.799> Overture<00:29:11.799> is<00:29:12.559> muted
00:29:13.549 --> 00:29:13.559 align:start position:0%
initiatives for this Overture is muted
00:29:13.559 --> 00:29:15.630 align:start position:0%
initiatives for this Overture is muted
um<00:29:13.919> by<00:29:14.279> what's<00:29:14.519> happening<00:29:14.799> on<00:29:14.960> the<00:29:15.120> ground
00:29:15.630 --> 00:29:15.640 align:start position:0%
um by what's happening on the ground
00:29:15.640 --> 00:29:18.310 align:start position:0%
um by what's happening on the ground
there's<00:29:15.880> an<00:29:16.399> you<00:29:16.519> know<00:29:16.640> I've<00:29:16.760> been<00:29:16.919> doing<00:29:17.919> Iran
00:29:18.310 --> 00:29:18.320 align:start position:0%
there's an you know I've been doing Iran
00:29:18.320 --> 00:29:21.230 align:start position:0%
there's an you know I've been doing Iran
now<00:29:18.480> for<00:29:18.720> 51<00:29:19.279> years<00:29:19.919> and<00:29:20.440> in<00:29:20.600> the<00:29:20.720> Middle<00:29:20.960> East
00:29:21.230 --> 00:29:21.240 align:start position:0%
now for 51 years and in the Middle East
00:29:21.240 --> 00:29:25.350 align:start position:0%
now for 51 years and in the Middle East
for<00:29:21.440> just<00:29:21.640> as<00:29:22.200> long<00:29:23.399> and<00:29:24.399> uh<00:29:24.519> there's<00:29:24.720> a<00:29:24.880> saying
00:29:25.350 --> 00:29:25.360 align:start position:0%
for just as long and uh there's a saying
00:29:25.360 --> 00:29:27.269 align:start position:0%
for just as long and uh there's a saying
that<00:29:25.640> events<00:29:26.000> on<00:29:26.200> the<00:29:26.360> ground<00:29:26.919> always
00:29:27.269 --> 00:29:27.279 align:start position:0%
that events on the ground always
00:29:27.279 --> 00:29:31.110 align:start position:0%
that events on the ground always
overtake<00:29:28.519> uh<00:29:28.760> diplomacy<00:29:29.640> and<00:29:29.880> you<00:29:30.000> know<00:29:30.799> uh<00:29:31.039> I
00:29:31.110 --> 00:29:31.120 align:start position:0%
overtake uh diplomacy and you know uh I
00:29:31.120 --> 00:29:33.630 align:start position:0%
overtake uh diplomacy and you know uh I
think<00:29:31.399> that<00:29:31.840> that's<00:29:32.159> potential<00:29:33.120> right<00:29:33.320> now
00:29:33.630 --> 00:29:33.640 align:start position:0%
think that that's potential right now
00:29:33.640 --> 00:29:35.630 align:start position:0%
think that that's potential right now
whether<00:29:33.960> it's<00:29:34.640> you<00:29:34.760> know<00:29:34.960> Iran<00:29:35.279> trying<00:29:35.519> to
00:29:35.630 --> 00:29:35.640 align:start position:0%
whether it's you know Iran trying to
00:29:35.640 --> 00:29:38.590 align:start position:0%
whether it's you know Iran trying to
deal<00:29:36.399> with<00:29:36.600> the<00:29:36.720> outside<00:29:37.159> world<00:29:37.799> or<00:29:38.440> the
00:29:38.590 --> 00:29:38.600 align:start position:0%
deal with the outside world or the
00:29:38.600 --> 00:29:40.630 align:start position:0%
deal with the outside world or the
United<00:29:38.960> States<00:29:39.240> trying<00:29:39.519> to<00:29:39.679> bring<00:29:40.120> some<00:29:40.440> kind
00:29:40.630 --> 00:29:40.640 align:start position:0%
United States trying to bring some kind
00:29:40.640 --> 00:29:45.669 align:start position:0%
United States trying to bring some kind
of<00:29:41.640> um<00:29:42.519> a<00:29:43.279> peace<00:29:43.720> process<00:29:44.720> back<00:29:45.000> to<00:29:45.279> the<00:29:45.399> Arab
00:29:45.669 --> 00:29:45.679 align:start position:0%
of um a peace process back to the Arab
00:29:45.679 --> 00:29:48.389 align:start position:0%
of um a peace process back to the Arab
Israeli<00:29:46.519> conflict
00:29:48.389 --> 00:29:48.399 align:start position:0%
Israeli conflict
00:29:48.399 --> 00:29:51.630 align:start position:0%
Israeli conflict
um<00:29:49.399> uh<00:29:49.559> but<00:29:49.720> I<00:29:49.840> have<00:29:49.960> a<00:29:50.120> feeling<00:29:50.679> that<00:29:50.960> also
00:29:51.630 --> 00:29:51.640 align:start position:0%
um uh but I have a feeling that also
00:29:51.640 --> 00:29:53.230 align:start position:0%
um uh but I have a feeling that also
this<00:29:51.919> because<00:29:52.279> this<00:29:52.399> has<00:29:52.559> been<00:29:52.720> tried<00:29:53.039> so
00:29:53.230 --> 00:29:53.240 align:start position:0%
this because this has been tried so
00:29:53.240 --> 00:29:56.389 align:start position:0%
this because this has been tried so
often<00:29:53.480> in<00:29:53.640> Iran<00:29:54.320> that<00:29:54.480> it's<00:29:54.640> a<00:29:54.799> little<00:29:55.120> bit<00:29:56.120> too
00:29:56.389 --> 00:29:56.399 align:start position:0%
often in Iran that it's a little bit too
00:29:56.399 --> 00:29:58.909 align:start position:0%
often in Iran that it's a little bit too
little<00:29:56.960> too<00:29:57.279> late<00:29:57.919> um
00:29:58.909 --> 00:29:58.919 align:start position:0%
little too late um
00:29:58.919 --> 00:30:04.029 align:start position:0%
little too late um
and<00:30:00.200> that<00:30:01.200> uh<00:30:01.399> whatever<00:30:02.000> the<00:30:02.679> commitment<00:30:03.279> by
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and that uh whatever the commitment by
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and that uh whatever the commitment by
president<00:30:04.600> pesan<00:30:05.600> to<00:30:06.159> try<00:30:06.360> to<00:30:06.480> unite<00:30:06.799> the
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president pesan to try to unite the
00:30:06.960 --> 00:30:08.710 align:start position:0%
president pesan to try to unite the
government<00:30:07.399> to<00:30:07.640> try<00:30:07.799> to<00:30:07.960> get<00:30:08.080> it<00:30:08.240> back<00:30:08.440> on
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government to try to get it back on
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government to try to get it back on
track<00:30:09.360> with<00:30:09.519> the<00:30:09.679> outside<00:30:10.159> world<00:30:11.080> that<00:30:11.279> he
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track with the outside world that he
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track with the outside world that he
will<00:30:11.760> find<00:30:12.000> it<00:30:12.320> very<00:30:12.919> difficult<00:30:13.880> uh<00:30:14.080> because
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will find it very difficult uh because
00:30:14.279 --> 00:30:17.149 align:start position:0%
will find it very difficult uh because
of<00:30:14.480> domestic<00:30:15.080> politics<00:30:15.880> and<00:30:16.159> because<00:30:16.519> of
00:30:17.149 --> 00:30:17.159 align:start position:0%
of domestic politics and because of
00:30:17.159 --> 00:30:19.789 align:start position:0%
of domestic politics and because of
regional<00:30:17.720> politics<00:30:18.279> not<00:30:18.440> to<00:30:18.679> mention<00:30:19.679> the
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regional politics not to mention the
00:30:19.799 --> 00:30:24.549 align:start position:0%
regional politics not to mention the
role<00:30:20.039> of<00:30:20.159> the<00:30:20.320> United<00:30:20.840> States<00:30:21.840> um<00:30:22.840> so<00:30:23.840> the<00:30:24.000> one
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role of the United States um so the one
00:30:24.559 --> 00:30:27.149 align:start position:0%
role of the United States um so the one
kind<00:30:24.679> of<00:30:24.919> parallel<00:30:25.559> I<00:30:25.679> would<00:30:26.000> point<00:30:26.279> out<00:30:26.799> is
00:30:27.149 --> 00:30:27.159 align:start position:0%
kind of parallel I would point out is
00:30:27.159 --> 00:30:28.509 align:start position:0%
kind of parallel I would point out is
that<00:30:27.640> in
00:30:28.509 --> 00:30:28.519 align:start position:0%
that in
00:30:28.519 --> 00:30:33.269 align:start position:0%
that in
2003<00:30:29.519> as<00:30:29.720> the<00:30:29.840> United<00:30:30.720> States<00:30:31.720> um<00:30:32.559> had<00:30:33.120> you
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2003 as the United States um had you
00:30:33.279 --> 00:30:34.710 align:start position:0%
2003 as the United States um had you
know<00:30:33.399> forced<00:30:33.760> out<00:30:33.919> the<00:30:34.039> Taliban<00:30:34.480> in
00:30:34.710 --> 00:30:34.720 align:start position:0%
know forced out the Taliban in
00:30:34.720 --> 00:30:37.789 align:start position:0%
know forced out the Taliban in
Afghanistan<00:30:35.720> and<00:30:36.399> uh<00:30:36.559> ousted<00:30:37.080> Saddam<00:30:37.440> Hussein
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Afghanistan and uh ousted Saddam Hussein
00:30:37.799 --> 00:30:40.710 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan and uh ousted Saddam Hussein
in<00:30:38.000> Iraq<00:30:38.360> the<00:30:38.480> Iranians<00:30:39.000> were<00:30:39.240> feeling<00:30:40.200> deeply
00:30:40.710 --> 00:30:40.720 align:start position:0%
in Iraq the Iranians were feeling deeply
00:30:40.720 --> 00:30:43.230 align:start position:0%
in Iraq the Iranians were feeling deeply
pressured<00:30:41.720> uh<00:30:41.799> fearing<00:30:42.360> that<00:30:42.519> Iran<00:30:42.880> would<00:30:43.039> be
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pressured uh fearing that Iran would be
00:30:43.240 --> 00:30:47.909 align:start position:0%
pressured uh fearing that Iran would be
next<00:30:44.039> and<00:30:44.200> as<00:30:44.320> a<00:30:44.480> result<00:30:44.960> it<00:30:45.360> engaged<00:30:46.360> in<00:30:46.880> some
00:30:47.909 --> 00:30:47.919 align:start position:0%
next and as a result it engaged in some
00:30:47.919 --> 00:30:51.870 align:start position:0%
next and as a result it engaged in some
diplomacy<00:30:48.919> uh<00:30:49.159> to<00:30:49.559> on<00:30:49.720> its<00:30:49.960> nuclear<00:30:50.880> program
00:30:51.870 --> 00:30:51.880 align:start position:0%
diplomacy uh to on its nuclear program
00:30:51.880 --> 00:30:57.029 align:start position:0%
diplomacy uh to on its nuclear program
uh<00:30:52.760> now<00:30:53.760> we<00:30:53.919> are<00:30:54.360> again<00:30:54.840> at<00:30:55.080> this<00:30:55.360> point<00:30:56.039> where
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uh now we are again at this point where
00:30:57.039 --> 00:30:58.789 align:start position:0%
uh now we are again at this point where
uh<00:30:57.159> the<00:30:57.279> United<00:30:57.600> States<00:30:58.039> is<00:30:58.159> playing<00:30:58.440> a<00:30:58.559> key
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uh the United States is playing a key
00:30:58.799 --> 00:31:02.870 align:start position:0%
uh the United States is playing a key
role<00:30:59.080> in<00:30:59.279> another<00:31:00.200> conflict<00:31:00.720> where<00:31:01.159> Israel<00:31:02.159> is
00:31:02.870 --> 00:31:02.880 align:start position:0%
role in another conflict where Israel is
00:31:02.880 --> 00:31:06.310 align:start position:0%
role in another conflict where Israel is
taking<00:31:03.279> out<00:31:04.240> both<00:31:04.960> you<00:31:05.120> know<00:31:05.320> eight<00:31:05.639> leaders
00:31:06.310 --> 00:31:06.320 align:start position:0%
taking out both you know eight leaders
00:31:06.320 --> 00:31:09.110 align:start position:0%
taking out both you know eight leaders
in<00:31:06.480> the<00:31:06.720> in<00:31:06.880> recent<00:31:07.240> months<00:31:08.000> four<00:31:08.320> from<00:31:08.639> Hamas
00:31:09.110 --> 00:31:09.120 align:start position:0%
in the in recent months four from Hamas
00:31:09.120 --> 00:31:12.310 align:start position:0%
in the in recent months four from Hamas
and<00:31:09.279> four<00:31:09.639> from<00:31:10.200> Hezbollah<00:31:11.200> and<00:31:11.880> these<00:31:12.080> are
00:31:12.310 --> 00:31:12.320 align:start position:0%
and four from Hezbollah and these are
00:31:12.320 --> 00:31:14.310 align:start position:0%
and four from Hezbollah and these are
from<00:31:12.639> groups<00:31:13.080> that<00:31:13.360> had<00:31:13.639> provided<00:31:14.159> the
00:31:14.310 --> 00:31:14.320 align:start position:0%
from groups that had provided the
00:31:14.320 --> 00:31:18.310 align:start position:0%
from groups that had provided the
so-called<00:31:14.960> forward<00:31:15.960> defense<00:31:16.960> strategy<00:31:17.960> for
00:31:18.310 --> 00:31:18.320 align:start position:0%
so-called forward defense strategy for
00:31:18.320 --> 00:31:20.789 align:start position:0%
so-called forward defense strategy for
Iran<00:31:19.320> and<00:31:19.480> Iran<00:31:19.840> at<00:31:19.960> the<00:31:20.080> moment<00:31:20.320> is<00:31:20.519> going<00:31:20.679> to
00:31:20.789 --> 00:31:20.799 align:start position:0%
Iran and Iran at the moment is going to
00:31:20.799 --> 00:31:23.990 align:start position:0%
Iran and Iran at the moment is going to
be<00:31:20.919> feeling<00:31:21.880> extremely<00:31:23.000> vulnerable
00:31:23.990 --> 00:31:24.000 align:start position:0%
be feeling extremely vulnerable
00:31:24.000 --> 00:31:26.870 align:start position:0%
be feeling extremely vulnerable
particularly<00:31:24.480> when<00:31:24.600> you<00:31:24.960> remember<00:31:25.679> that<00:31:26.679> uh
00:31:26.870 --> 00:31:26.880 align:start position:0%
particularly when you remember that uh
00:31:26.880 --> 00:31:28.509 align:start position:0%
particularly when you remember that uh
Ismael
00:31:28.509 --> 00:31:28.519 align:start position:0%
Ismael
00:31:28.519 --> 00:31:30.710 align:start position:0%
Ismael
who<00:31:28.679> was<00:31:28.840> the<00:31:29.000> political<00:31:29.399> leader<00:31:29.720> of<00:31:29.880> Hamas
00:31:30.710 --> 00:31:30.720 align:start position:0%
who was the political leader of Hamas
00:31:30.720 --> 00:31:34.909 align:start position:0%
who was the political leader of Hamas
was<00:31:31.279> assassinated<00:31:32.279> in<00:31:32.960> tan<00:31:33.960> in<00:31:34.159> the<00:31:34.679> in<00:31:34.799> the
00:31:34.909 --> 00:31:34.919 align:start position:0%
was assassinated in tan in the in the
00:31:34.919 --> 00:31:36.669 align:start position:0%
was assassinated in tan in the in the
building<00:31:35.240> where<00:31:35.399> he<00:31:35.519> was<00:31:35.679> saying<00:31:36.039> with<00:31:36.159> a<00:31:36.399> very
00:31:36.669 --> 00:31:36.679 align:start position:0%
building where he was saying with a very
00:31:36.679 --> 00:31:39.430 align:start position:0%
building where he was saying with a very
precise<00:31:37.159> weapon<00:31:37.919> on<00:31:38.120> the<00:31:38.279> same<00:31:38.639> day<00:31:39.000> that
00:31:39.430 --> 00:31:39.440 align:start position:0%
precise weapon on the same day that
00:31:39.440 --> 00:31:43.269 align:start position:0%
precise weapon on the same day that
president<00:31:40.440> peskin<00:31:41.279> was<00:31:41.960> inaugurated<00:31:42.840> I<00:31:42.919> mean
00:31:43.269 --> 00:31:43.279 align:start position:0%
president peskin was inaugurated I mean
00:31:43.279 --> 00:31:45.470 align:start position:0%
president peskin was inaugurated I mean
that's<00:31:43.600> just<00:31:44.159> kind<00:31:44.279> of<00:31:44.559> astounding<00:31:45.240> and<00:31:45.360> it's
00:31:45.470 --> 00:31:45.480 align:start position:0%
that's just kind of astounding and it's
00:31:45.480 --> 00:31:47.990 align:start position:0%
that's just kind of astounding and it's
a<00:31:46.080> intelligence<00:31:46.720> failure<00:31:47.200> it's<00:31:47.320> a<00:31:47.480> military
00:31:47.990 --> 00:31:48.000 align:start position:0%
a intelligence failure it's a military
00:31:48.000 --> 00:31:51.149 align:start position:0%
a intelligence failure it's a military
failure<00:31:48.559> security<00:31:48.960> failure<00:31:49.480> for<00:31:50.360> Iran<00:31:50.919> so
00:31:51.149 --> 00:31:51.159 align:start position:0%
failure security failure for Iran so
00:31:51.159 --> 00:31:52.909 align:start position:0%
failure security failure for Iran so
it's<00:31:51.320> going<00:31:51.480> to<00:31:51.600> be<00:31:51.720> feeling<00:31:52.080> very<00:31:52.320> vulnerable
00:31:52.909 --> 00:31:52.919 align:start position:0%
it's going to be feeling very vulnerable
00:31:52.919 --> 00:31:56.870 align:start position:0%
it's going to be feeling very vulnerable
now<00:31:54.159> um<00:31:55.159> uh<00:31:55.440> but<00:31:55.720> you<00:31:55.880> know<00:31:56.279> this<00:31:56.399> is<00:31:56.559> where<00:31:56.720> we
00:31:56.870 --> 00:31:56.880 align:start position:0%
now um uh but you know this is where we
00:31:56.880 --> 00:31:59.310 align:start position:0%
now um uh but you know this is where we
get<00:31:57.039> into<00:31:57.279> the<00:31:57.440> dynamic<00:31:58.200> that<00:31:58.320> we<00:31:58.519> talk<00:31:58.720> a<00:31:58.880> lot
00:31:59.310 --> 00:31:59.320 align:start position:0%
get into the dynamic that we talk a lot
00:31:59.320 --> 00:32:01.710 align:start position:0%
get into the dynamic that we talk a lot
about<00:31:59.559> the<00:31:59.760> specifics<00:32:00.240> of<00:32:00.399> the<00:32:00.559> moment<00:32:01.159> Israel
00:32:01.710 --> 00:32:01.720 align:start position:0%
about the specifics of the moment Israel
00:32:01.720 --> 00:32:04.509 align:start position:0%
about the specifics of the moment Israel
versus<00:32:02.159> Iran<00:32:03.120> when<00:32:03.320> in<00:32:03.559> fact<00:32:03.760> we're<00:32:04.080> talking
00:32:04.509 --> 00:32:04.519 align:start position:0%
versus Iran when in fact we're talking
00:32:04.519 --> 00:32:07.509 align:start position:0%
versus Iran when in fact we're talking
about<00:32:04.919> what's<00:32:05.159> been<00:32:05.360> a<00:32:05.880> half<00:32:06.279> century<00:32:07.279> of
00:32:07.509 --> 00:32:07.519 align:start position:0%
about what's been a half century of
00:32:07.519 --> 00:32:11.549 align:start position:0%
about what's been a half century of
tensions<00:32:08.519> between<00:32:09.519> you<00:32:09.679> know<00:32:10.519> the<00:32:10.679> Islamic
00:32:11.549 --> 00:32:11.559 align:start position:0%
tensions between you know the Islamic
00:32:11.559 --> 00:32:15.029 align:start position:0%
tensions between you know the Islamic
Republic<00:32:12.720> and<00:32:13.720> not<00:32:14.080> not<00:32:14.399> quite<00:32:14.639> it's<00:32:14.760> more
00:32:15.029 --> 00:32:15.039 align:start position:0%
Republic and not not quite it's more
00:32:15.039 --> 00:32:18.230 align:start position:0%
Republic and not not quite it's more
it's<00:32:15.240> 44<00:32:15.799> years<00:32:16.399> 45<00:32:16.960> years<00:32:17.360> of<00:32:17.720> tensions
00:32:18.230 --> 00:32:18.240 align:start position:0%
it's 44 years 45 years of tensions
00:32:18.240 --> 00:32:21.750 align:start position:0%
it's 44 years 45 years of tensions
between<00:32:18.600> the<00:32:18.760> Islamic<00:32:19.279> Republic<00:32:20.000> and<00:32:20.639> Israel
00:32:21.750 --> 00:32:21.760 align:start position:0%
between the Islamic Republic and Israel
00:32:21.760 --> 00:32:26.029 align:start position:0%
between the Islamic Republic and Israel
and<00:32:22.760> uh<00:32:23.480> and<00:32:24.200> the<00:32:24.799> I<00:32:24.880> think<00:32:25.159> this<00:32:25.279> is<00:32:25.519> not<00:32:25.799> going
00:32:26.029 --> 00:32:26.039 align:start position:0%
and uh and the I think this is not going
00:32:26.039 --> 00:32:29.230 align:start position:0%
and uh and the I think this is not going
to<00:32:26.960> end<00:32:27.480> either<00:32:28.000> by<00:32:28.519> taking<00:32:28.880> out<00:32:29.120> the
00:32:29.230 --> 00:32:29.240 align:start position:0%
to end either by taking out the
00:32:29.240 --> 00:32:34.470 align:start position:0%
to end either by taking out the
leadership<00:32:30.159> of<00:32:30.480> the<00:32:31.480> of<00:32:32.159> two<00:32:32.679> of<00:32:33.200> Iran's<00:32:33.760> most
00:32:34.470 --> 00:32:34.480 align:start position:0%
leadership of the of two of Iran's most
00:32:34.480 --> 00:32:37.830 align:start position:0%
leadership of the of two of Iran's most
important<00:32:35.480> uh<00:32:35.639> allies<00:32:36.320> in<00:32:36.519> Hezbollah<00:32:37.159> and
00:32:37.830 --> 00:32:37.840 align:start position:0%
important uh allies in Hezbollah and
00:32:37.840 --> 00:32:39.389 align:start position:0%
important uh allies in Hezbollah and
Hamas
00:32:39.389 --> 00:32:39.399 align:start position:0%
Hamas
00:32:39.399 --> 00:32:41.710 align:start position:0%
Hamas
um
00:32:41.710 --> 00:32:41.720 align:start position:0%
um
00:32:41.720 --> 00:32:45.269 align:start position:0%
um
so<00:32:42.720> Iran<00:32:43.080> will<00:32:43.279> be<00:32:44.039> worried<00:32:44.440> about<00:32:44.760> how<00:32:44.919> can<00:32:45.080> it
00:32:45.269 --> 00:32:45.279 align:start position:0%
so Iran will be worried about how can it
00:32:45.279 --> 00:32:48.629 align:start position:0%
so Iran will be worried about how can it
ensure<00:32:45.799> its<00:32:46.120> Survival<00:32:47.120> how<00:32:47.279> can<00:32:47.480> it<00:32:47.840> ensure
00:32:48.629 --> 00:32:48.639 align:start position:0%
ensure its Survival how can it ensure
00:32:48.639 --> 00:32:50.149 align:start position:0%
ensure its Survival how can it ensure
its
00:32:50.149 --> 00:32:50.159 align:start position:0%
its
00:32:50.159 --> 00:32:53.789 align:start position:0%
its
ideology<00:32:51.159> uh<00:32:51.320> at<00:32:51.440> a<00:32:51.679> time<00:32:52.440> that<00:32:52.679> its<00:32:53.000> movements
00:32:53.789 --> 00:32:53.799 align:start position:0%
ideology uh at a time that its movements
00:32:53.799 --> 00:32:57.509 align:start position:0%
ideology uh at a time that its movements
are<00:32:54.039> not<00:32:54.320> just<00:32:54.960> militarily<00:32:56.399> decapitated<00:32:57.399> at
00:32:57.509 --> 00:32:57.519 align:start position:0%
are not just militarily decapitated at
00:32:57.519 --> 00:33:00.350 align:start position:0%
are not just militarily decapitated at
the<00:32:57.639> time<00:32:57.919> top<00:32:58.240> but<00:32:58.440> not<00:32:58.679> able<00:32:59.120> necessarily<00:32:59.840> to
00:33:00.350 --> 00:33:00.360 align:start position:0%
the time top but not able necessarily to
00:33:00.360 --> 00:33:04.389 align:start position:0%
the time top but not able necessarily to
provide<00:33:01.360> the<00:33:01.720> social<00:33:02.440> services<00:33:03.440> um<00:33:03.799> either<00:33:04.200> in
00:33:04.389 --> 00:33:04.399 align:start position:0%
provide the social services um either in
00:33:04.399 --> 00:33:08.789 align:start position:0%
provide the social services um either in
Lebanon<00:33:05.200> or<00:33:05.559> Gaza<00:33:06.440> can't<00:33:07.080> provide<00:33:08.080> the<00:33:08.639> you
00:33:08.789 --> 00:33:08.799 align:start position:0%
Lebanon or Gaza can't provide the you
00:33:08.799 --> 00:33:11.110 align:start position:0%
Lebanon or Gaza can't provide the you
know<00:33:09.080> payments<00:33:09.880> Israel<00:33:10.279> has<00:33:10.399> made<00:33:10.639> clear<00:33:10.919> over
00:33:11.110 --> 00:33:11.120 align:start position:0%
know payments Israel has made clear over
00:33:11.120 --> 00:33:13.190 align:start position:0%
know payments Israel has made clear over
the<00:33:11.320> past<00:33:11.519> few<00:33:11.760> days<00:33:12.080> it's<00:33:12.240> going<00:33:12.399> to<00:33:12.600> take<00:33:12.799> out
00:33:13.190 --> 00:33:13.200 align:start position:0%
the past few days it's going to take out
00:33:13.200 --> 00:33:17.149 align:start position:0%
the past few days it's going to take out
next<00:33:14.000> hezbollah's<00:33:14.840> financial<00:33:15.480> networks<00:33:16.480> so
00:33:17.149 --> 00:33:17.159 align:start position:0%
next hezbollah's financial networks so
00:33:17.159 --> 00:33:19.070 align:start position:0%
next hezbollah's financial networks so
uh<00:33:17.279> Iran<00:33:17.600> will<00:33:17.760> be<00:33:17.919> feeling<00:33:18.559> very<00:33:18.840> very
00:33:19.070 --> 00:33:19.080 align:start position:0%
uh Iran will be feeling very very
00:33:19.080 --> 00:33:21.070 align:start position:0%
uh Iran will be feeling very very
vulnerable<00:33:20.000> now<00:33:20.120> I'll<00:33:20.240> just<00:33:20.360> say<00:33:20.600> one<00:33:20.840> last
00:33:21.070 --> 00:33:21.080 align:start position:0%
vulnerable now I'll just say one last
00:33:21.080 --> 00:33:23.070 align:start position:0%
vulnerable now I'll just say one last
thing<00:33:21.399> before<00:33:21.559> I<00:33:21.679> turn<00:33:21.840> it<00:33:22.000> back<00:33:22.159> to<00:33:22.279> Steve<00:33:22.919> and
00:33:23.070 --> 00:33:23.080 align:start position:0%
thing before I turn it back to Steve and
00:33:23.080 --> 00:33:26.269 align:start position:0%
thing before I turn it back to Steve and
that<00:33:23.200> is<00:33:23.360> there's<00:33:23.559> a<00:33:23.760> long<00:33:24.679> record<00:33:25.679> uh<00:33:25.799> dating
00:33:26.269 --> 00:33:26.279 align:start position:0%
that is there's a long record uh dating
00:33:26.279 --> 00:33:29.750 align:start position:0%
that is there's a long record uh dating
back<00:33:26.919> you<00:33:27.120> know<00:33:27.639> um<00:33:28.159> um<00:33:29.159> through<00:33:29.399> the<00:33:29.559> last
00:33:29.750 --> 00:33:29.760 align:start position:0%
back you know um um through the last
00:33:29.760 --> 00:33:33.710 align:start position:0%
back you know um um through the last
four<00:33:30.360> presidents<00:33:31.360> of<00:33:31.919> the<00:33:32.080> United<00:33:32.679> States
00:33:33.710 --> 00:33:33.720 align:start position:0%
four presidents of the United States
00:33:33.720 --> 00:33:38.110 align:start position:0%
four presidents of the United States
eliminating<00:33:34.720> top<00:33:35.360> leaders<00:33:36.360> we<00:33:36.720> killed<00:33:37.600> uh<00:33:37.799> Abu
00:33:38.110 --> 00:33:38.120 align:start position:0%
eliminating top leaders we killed uh Abu
00:33:38.120 --> 00:33:40.950 align:start position:0%
eliminating top leaders we killed uh Abu
musab<00:33:38.919> zarka<00:33:39.919> who<00:33:40.080> was<00:33:40.240> the<00:33:40.360> leader<00:33:40.760> of
00:33:40.950 --> 00:33:40.960 align:start position:0%
musab zarka who was the leader of
00:33:40.960 --> 00:33:43.909 align:start position:0%
musab zarka who was the leader of
al-Qaeda<00:33:41.600> of<00:33:41.799> Iraq<00:33:42.720> in
00:33:43.909 --> 00:33:43.919 align:start position:0%
al-Qaeda of Iraq in
00:33:43.919 --> 00:33:47.190 align:start position:0%
al-Qaeda of Iraq in
2006<00:33:44.919> and<00:33:45.519> and<00:33:45.679> in<00:33:45.919> fact<00:33:46.200> his<00:33:46.360> movement<00:33:46.799> faded
00:33:47.190 --> 00:33:47.200 align:start position:0%
2006 and and in fact his movement faded
00:33:47.200 --> 00:33:50.470 align:start position:0%
2006 and and in fact his movement faded
for<00:33:47.360> a<00:33:47.519> while<00:33:48.320> but<00:33:48.519> the<00:33:48.639> remnants<00:33:49.200> came<00:33:49.559> back
00:33:50.470 --> 00:33:50.480 align:start position:0%
for a while but the remnants came back
00:33:50.480 --> 00:33:53.990 align:start position:0%
for a while but the remnants came back
as<00:33:50.840> Isis<00:33:51.679> and<00:33:52.200> took<00:33:52.480> over<00:33:52.919> a<00:33:53.120> third<00:33:53.559> of<00:33:53.760> both
00:33:53.990 --> 00:33:54.000 align:start position:0%
as Isis and took over a third of both
00:33:54.000 --> 00:33:57.149 align:start position:0%
as Isis and took over a third of both
Iraq<00:33:54.399> and<00:33:54.840> Syria<00:33:55.840> and<00:33:56.039> ruled<00:33:56.519> eight<00:33:56.760> million
00:33:57.149 --> 00:33:57.159 align:start position:0%
Iraq and Syria and ruled eight million
00:33:57.159 --> 00:34:00.509 align:start position:0%
Iraq and Syria and ruled eight million
people<00:33:57.799> for<00:33:58.080> five<00:33:58.559> years<00:33:59.559> uh<00:33:59.760> so<00:34:00.080> there<00:34:00.200> was
00:34:00.509 --> 00:34:00.519 align:start position:0%
people for five years uh so there was
00:34:00.519 --> 00:34:02.549 align:start position:0%
people for five years uh so there was
there's<00:34:00.679> a<00:34:00.799> lesson<00:34:01.279> there<00:34:01.760> that<00:34:01.960> you<00:34:02.080> can<00:34:02.320> kill
00:34:02.549 --> 00:34:02.559 align:start position:0%
there's a lesson there that you can kill
00:34:02.559 --> 00:34:05.110 align:start position:0%
there's a lesson there that you can kill
a<00:34:02.720> movement<00:34:03.519> but<00:34:03.679> they<00:34:03.840> regenerate<00:34:04.840> and<00:34:04.960> the
00:34:05.110 --> 00:34:05.120 align:start position:0%
a movement but they regenerate and the
00:34:05.120 --> 00:34:08.790 align:start position:0%
a movement but they regenerate and the
same<00:34:05.320> thing<00:34:05.480> was<00:34:05.760> true<00:34:06.399> in<00:34:06.880> 2010<00:34:07.880> when<00:34:08.440> finally
00:34:08.790 --> 00:34:08.800 align:start position:0%
same thing was true in 2010 when finally
00:34:08.800 --> 00:34:10.430 align:start position:0%
same thing was true in 2010 when finally
after<00:34:09.000> a<00:34:09.200> decade<00:34:09.599> the<00:34:09.720> United<00:34:10.119> States
00:34:10.430 --> 00:34:10.440 align:start position:0%
after a decade the United States
00:34:10.440 --> 00:34:13.909 align:start position:0%
after a decade the United States
identified<00:34:11.079> where<00:34:11.679> Osama<00:34:12.200> Bin<00:34:12.440> Laden<00:34:12.879> was<00:34:13.760> and
00:34:13.909 --> 00:34:13.919 align:start position:0%
identified where Osama Bin Laden was and
00:34:13.919 --> 00:34:17.389 align:start position:0%
identified where Osama Bin Laden was and
the<00:34:14.079> US<00:34:14.399> in<00:34:14.560> a<00:34:14.760> daring<00:34:15.280> military<00:34:16.200> operation<00:34:17.200> uh
00:34:17.389 --> 00:34:17.399 align:start position:0%
the US in a daring military operation uh
00:34:17.399 --> 00:34:22.069 align:start position:0%
the US in a daring military operation uh
assassinated<00:34:18.440> him<00:34:19.440> uh<00:34:19.839> but<00:34:20.399> today<00:34:21.399> the<00:34:21.560> talban
00:34:22.069 --> 00:34:22.079 align:start position:0%
assassinated him uh but today the talban
00:34:22.079 --> 00:34:25.149 align:start position:0%
assassinated him uh but today the talban
is<00:34:22.200> back<00:34:22.399> in<00:34:22.679> power<00:34:23.679> and<00:34:24.159> it<00:34:24.280> is<00:34:24.599> once<00:34:24.879> again
00:34:25.149 --> 00:34:25.159 align:start position:0%
is back in power and it is once again
00:34:25.159 --> 00:34:28.230 align:start position:0%
is back in power and it is once again
aiding<00:34:25.639> and<00:34:26.119> abetting<00:34:27.119> uh<00:34:27.280> Al-Qaeda
00:34:28.230 --> 00:34:28.240 align:start position:0%
aiding and abetting uh Al-Qaeda
00:34:28.240 --> 00:34:29.950 align:start position:0%
aiding and abetting uh Al-Qaeda
and<00:34:28.399> there<00:34:28.480> are<00:34:28.720> now<00:34:28.960> eight<00:34:29.159> training<00:34:29.599> camps
00:34:29.950 --> 00:34:29.960 align:start position:0%
and there are now eight training camps
00:34:29.960 --> 00:34:33.109 align:start position:0%
and there are now eight training camps
and<00:34:30.200> five<00:34:30.440> madrasas<00:34:31.119> run<00:34:31.440> by<00:34:31.639> al-Qaeda<00:34:32.560> in
00:34:33.109 --> 00:34:33.119 align:start position:0%
and five madrasas run by al-Qaeda in
00:34:33.119 --> 00:34:35.310 align:start position:0%
and five madrasas run by al-Qaeda in
Afghanistan<00:34:34.119> so<00:34:34.480> you<00:34:34.599> know<00:34:34.720> we're<00:34:34.919> getting<00:34:35.159> to
00:34:35.310 --> 00:34:35.320 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan so you know we're getting to
00:34:35.320 --> 00:34:38.909 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan so you know we're getting to
a<00:34:35.520> point<00:34:36.119> where<00:34:37.119> um<00:34:38.000> uh<00:34:38.200> there's<00:34:38.359> a<00:34:38.599> there's<00:34:38.760> a
00:34:38.909 --> 00:34:38.919 align:start position:0%
a point where um uh there's a there's a
00:34:38.919 --> 00:34:41.270 align:start position:0%
a point where um uh there's a there's a
pattern<00:34:39.359> again<00:34:39.560> I'll<00:34:39.720> just<00:34:39.879> briefly<00:34:40.240> say<00:34:40.919> uh
00:34:41.270 --> 00:34:41.280 align:start position:0%
pattern again I'll just briefly say uh
00:34:41.280 --> 00:34:43.230 align:start position:0%
pattern again I'll just briefly say uh
baghdaddy<00:34:41.919> was<00:34:42.040> the<00:34:42.119> leader<00:34:42.359> of<00:34:42.560> Isis<00:34:43.000> we
00:34:43.230 --> 00:34:43.240 align:start position:0%
baghdaddy was the leader of Isis we
00:34:43.240 --> 00:34:44.470 align:start position:0%
baghdaddy was the leader of Isis we
killed<00:34:43.599> in
00:34:44.470 --> 00:34:44.480 align:start position:0%
killed in
00:34:44.480 --> 00:34:46.990 align:start position:0%
killed in
2019<00:34:45.480> and<00:34:45.919> today<00:34:46.240> the<00:34:46.399> intelligence
00:34:46.990 --> 00:34:47.000 align:start position:0%
2019 and today the intelligence
00:34:47.000 --> 00:34:49.869 align:start position:0%
2019 and today the intelligence
assessment<00:34:47.599> is<00:34:47.960> that<00:34:48.200> its<00:34:48.599> franchises<00:34:49.599> are
00:34:49.869 --> 00:34:49.879 align:start position:0%
assessment is that its franchises are
00:34:49.879 --> 00:34:53.430 align:start position:0%
assessment is that its franchises are
now<00:34:50.720> um<00:34:51.440> blossoming<00:34:52.240> in<00:34:52.520> Africa<00:34:53.119> the<00:34:53.200> middle
00:34:53.430 --> 00:34:53.440 align:start position:0%
now um blossoming in Africa the middle
00:34:53.440 --> 00:34:55.750 align:start position:0%
now um blossoming in Africa the middle
east<00:34:53.639> and<00:34:53.800> south<00:34:54.079> Asia<00:34:54.760> we<00:34:55.040> the<00:34:55.159> United<00:34:55.440> States
00:34:55.750 --> 00:34:55.760 align:start position:0%
east and south Asia we the United States
00:34:55.760 --> 00:34:58.349 align:start position:0%
east and south Asia we the United States
killed<00:34:56.359> uh<00:34:56.520> kasum<00:34:56.839> suani<00:34:57.400> they<00:34:57.839> of<00:34:58.000> the
00:34:58.349 --> 00:34:58.359 align:start position:0%
killed uh kasum suani they of the
00:34:58.359 --> 00:35:01.990 align:start position:0%
killed uh kasum suani they of the
Iranian<00:34:59.240> um<00:34:59.440> revolutionary<00:35:00.000> guard<00:35:00.280> Elite<00:35:01.240> uh
00:35:01.990 --> 00:35:02.000 align:start position:0%
Iranian um revolutionary guard Elite uh
00:35:02.000 --> 00:35:07.230 align:start position:0%
Iranian um revolutionary guard Elite uh
orign<00:35:03.000> military<00:35:03.720> arm<00:35:04.720> uh<00:35:04.960> in<00:35:05.200> 200<00:35:06.160> 20<00:35:06.920> and<00:35:07.040> yet
00:35:07.230 --> 00:35:07.240 align:start position:0%
orign military arm uh in 200 20 and yet
00:35:07.240 --> 00:35:10.190 align:start position:0%
orign military arm uh in 200 20 and yet
today<00:35:08.040> uh<00:35:08.200> the<00:35:08.320> US<00:35:08.640> intelligence<00:35:09.520> estimate
00:35:10.190 --> 00:35:10.200 align:start position:0%
today uh the US intelligence estimate
00:35:10.200 --> 00:35:12.990 align:start position:0%
today uh the US intelligence estimate
issued<00:35:10.640> this<00:35:10.839> year<00:35:11.599> is<00:35:11.760> that<00:35:12.240> Iran<00:35:12.640> and<00:35:12.800> its
00:35:12.990 --> 00:35:13.000 align:start position:0%
issued this year is that Iran and its
00:35:13.000 --> 00:35:15.150 align:start position:0%
issued this year is that Iran and its
network<00:35:13.680> will<00:35:13.839> not<00:35:14.079> disappear<00:35:14.680> even<00:35:14.920> after
00:35:15.150 --> 00:35:15.160 align:start position:0%
network will not disappear even after
00:35:15.160 --> 00:35:16.870 align:start position:0%
network will not disappear even after
the<00:35:15.320> Gaza<00:35:15.680> War<00:35:16.160> so<00:35:16.320> there<00:35:16.400> are<00:35:16.480> a<00:35:16.599> lot<00:35:16.760> of
00:35:16.870 --> 00:35:16.880 align:start position:0%
the Gaza War so there are a lot of
00:35:16.880 --> 00:35:18.670 align:start position:0%
the Gaza War so there are a lot of
lessons<00:35:17.320> in<00:35:17.440> terms<00:35:17.680> of<00:35:17.880> what's<00:35:18.119> happened
00:35:18.670 --> 00:35:18.680 align:start position:0%
lessons in terms of what's happened
00:35:18.680 --> 00:35:21.230 align:start position:0%
lessons in terms of what's happened
recently<00:35:19.680> uh<00:35:19.839> but<00:35:20.079> also<00:35:20.480> kind<00:35:20.599> of<00:35:20.760> the<00:35:20.920> trend
00:35:21.230 --> 00:35:21.240 align:start position:0%
recently uh but also kind of the trend
00:35:21.240 --> 00:35:23.790 align:start position:0%
recently uh but also kind of the trend
lines<00:35:21.560> what's<00:35:21.760> at<00:35:21.960> stake<00:35:22.160> for<00:35:22.359> Iran<00:35:23.320> um<00:35:23.520> as<00:35:23.640> we
00:35:23.790 --> 00:35:23.800 align:start position:0%
lines what's at stake for Iran um as we
00:35:23.800 --> 00:35:26.030 align:start position:0%
lines what's at stake for Iran um as we
kind<00:35:23.920> of<00:35:24.079> look<00:35:24.320> at<00:35:24.680> at<00:35:25.079> how<00:35:25.280> this<00:35:25.440> plays<00:35:25.720> out<00:35:25.920> in
00:35:26.030 --> 00:35:26.040 align:start position:0%
kind of look at at how this plays out in
00:35:26.040 --> 00:35:29.550 align:start position:0%
kind of look at at how this plays out in
the<00:35:26.200> next<00:35:26.400> few<00:35:26.640> days<00:35:26.839> or<00:35:27.040> weeks<00:35:27.800> thanks<00:35:28.560> Steve
00:35:29.550 --> 00:35:29.560 align:start position:0%
the next few days or weeks thanks Steve
00:35:29.560 --> 00:35:34.790 align:start position:0%
the next few days or weeks thanks Steve
thank<00:35:29.800> you<00:35:30.680> Robin<00:35:31.680> um<00:35:32.200> you<00:35:32.320> know<00:35:32.880> um<00:35:33.480> uh<00:35:34.200> many
00:35:34.790 --> 00:35:34.800 align:start position:0%
thank you Robin um you know um uh many
00:35:34.800 --> 00:35:37.870 align:start position:0%
thank you Robin um you know um uh many
uh<00:35:35.240> of<00:35:35.440> our<00:35:36.040> uh<00:35:36.560> lead<00:35:36.880> leaders<00:35:37.240> in<00:35:37.440> these
00:35:37.870 --> 00:35:37.880 align:start position:0%
uh of our uh lead leaders in these
00:35:37.880 --> 00:35:40.310 align:start position:0%
uh of our uh lead leaders in these
programs<00:35:38.880> want<00:35:39.040> to<00:35:39.200> have<00:35:39.320> a<00:35:39.560> discussion<00:35:40.119> at
00:35:40.310 --> 00:35:40.320 align:start position:0%
programs want to have a discussion at
00:35:40.320 --> 00:35:44.990 align:start position:0%
programs want to have a discussion at
that<00:35:40.560> point<00:35:41.480> but<00:35:42.480> uh<00:35:43.079> we<00:35:43.240> have<00:35:43.680> several<00:35:44.599> very
00:35:44.990 --> 00:35:45.000 align:start position:0%
that point but uh we have several very
00:35:45.000 --> 00:35:48.349 align:start position:0%
that point but uh we have several very
interesting<00:35:45.800> questions<00:35:46.800> that<00:35:47.520> we'll<00:35:47.960> all<00:35:48.160> be
00:35:48.349 --> 00:35:48.359 align:start position:0%
interesting questions that we'll all be
00:35:48.359 --> 00:35:51.390 align:start position:0%
interesting questions that we'll all be
waiting<00:35:48.640> for<00:35:49.200> and<00:35:50.040> because<00:35:50.359> Robin<00:35:50.800> Wright<00:35:51.240> has
00:35:51.390 --> 00:35:51.400 align:start position:0%
waiting for and because Robin Wright has
00:35:51.400 --> 00:35:56.069 align:start position:0%
waiting for and because Robin Wright has
to<00:35:51.880> uh<00:35:52.160> leave<00:35:53.079> uh<00:35:53.920> uh<00:35:54.160> at<00:35:54.359> the<00:35:54.560> top<00:35:54.760> of<00:35:54.880> the<00:35:55.079> hour
00:35:56.069 --> 00:35:56.079 align:start position:0%
to uh leave uh uh at the top of the hour
00:35:56.079 --> 00:35:58.710 align:start position:0%
to uh leave uh uh at the top of the hour
uh<00:35:56.560> what<00:35:56.720> I'm<00:35:56.839> going<00:35:56.960> to<00:35:57.119> do<00:35:57.319> now<00:35:57.920> is<00:35:58.400> take
00:35:58.710 --> 00:35:58.720 align:start position:0%
uh what I'm going to do now is take
00:35:58.720 --> 00:36:00.470 align:start position:0%
uh what I'm going to do now is take
questions<00:35:59.079> that<00:35:59.240> I<00:35:59.319> think<00:35:59.480> she<00:35:59.680> might<00:35:59.920> be<00:36:00.119> most
00:36:00.470 --> 00:36:00.480 align:start position:0%
questions that I think she might be most
00:36:00.480 --> 00:36:03.510 align:start position:0%
questions that I think she might be most
interested<00:36:00.960> in<00:36:01.760> and<00:36:02.000> then<00:36:02.880> uh<00:36:03.000> at<00:36:03.119> the<00:36:03.240> top<00:36:03.440> of
00:36:03.510 --> 00:36:03.520 align:start position:0%
interested in and then uh at the top of
00:36:03.520 --> 00:36:05.230 align:start position:0%
interested in and then uh at the top of
the<00:36:03.640> hour<00:36:03.920> I'll<00:36:04.079> deal<00:36:04.359> with<00:36:04.599> many<00:36:04.920> other
00:36:05.230 --> 00:36:05.240 align:start position:0%
the hour I'll deal with many other
00:36:05.240 --> 00:36:07.710 align:start position:0%
the hour I'll deal with many other
questions<00:36:05.760> but<00:36:06.200> several<00:36:06.560> of<00:36:06.680> them<00:36:06.839> deal<00:36:07.520> with
00:36:07.710 --> 00:36:07.720 align:start position:0%
questions but several of them deal with
00:36:07.720 --> 00:36:13.150 align:start position:0%
questions but several of them deal with
our<00:36:08.040> two<00:36:08.640> other<00:36:09.640> uh<00:36:09.960> uh<00:36:10.160> uh<00:36:10.359> speakers<00:36:11.440> so<00:36:12.440> uh
00:36:13.150 --> 00:36:13.160 align:start position:0%
our two other uh uh uh speakers so uh
00:36:13.160 --> 00:36:18.470 align:start position:0%
our two other uh uh uh speakers so uh
let's<00:36:13.760> uh<00:36:14.760> uh<00:36:15.560> uh<00:36:15.839> let<00:36:16.079> let's<00:36:16.359> begin<00:36:17.000> here<00:36:18.000> uh
00:36:18.470 --> 00:36:18.480 align:start position:0%
let's uh uh uh let let's begin here uh
00:36:18.480 --> 00:36:23.870 align:start position:0%
let's uh uh uh let let's begin here uh
and<00:36:19.359> um<00:36:20.480> uh<00:36:21.480> uh<00:36:22.000> uh<00:36:22.280> we<00:36:22.480> have<00:36:22.800> a<00:36:23.040> a
00:36:23.870 --> 00:36:23.880 align:start position:0%
and um uh uh uh we have a a
00:36:23.880 --> 00:36:29.109 align:start position:0%
and um uh uh uh we have a a
question<00:36:24.880> uh<00:36:25.560> from<00:36:26.359> Don<00:36:27.000> love<00:36:27.319> it<00:36:27.760> Canada<00:36:28.560> D
00:36:29.109 --> 00:36:29.119 align:start position:0%
question uh from Don love it Canada D
00:36:29.119 --> 00:36:30.870 align:start position:0%
question uh from Don love it Canada D
who<00:36:29.240> wants<00:36:29.440> a<00:36:29.640> conflict<00:36:30.079> and<00:36:30.240> will<00:36:30.400> do<00:36:30.599> what<00:36:30.720> he
00:36:30.870 --> 00:36:30.880 align:start position:0%
who wants a conflict and will do what he
00:36:30.880 --> 00:36:33.829 align:start position:0%
who wants a conflict and will do what he
can<00:36:31.079> to<00:36:31.319> engage<00:36:31.720> Iran<00:36:32.480> to<00:36:32.640> force<00:36:32.960> the<00:36:33.160> us<00:36:33.560> into
00:36:33.829 --> 00:36:33.839 align:start position:0%
can to engage Iran to force the us into
00:36:33.839 --> 00:36:37.349 align:start position:0%
can to engage Iran to force the us into
a<00:36:34.040> conflict<00:36:34.920> please<00:36:35.440> comment<00:36:36.440> do<00:36:36.720> any<00:36:36.920> of<00:36:37.079> the
00:36:37.349 --> 00:36:37.359 align:start position:0%
a conflict please comment do any of the
00:36:37.359 --> 00:36:39.150 align:start position:0%
a conflict please comment do any of the
three<00:36:37.640> of<00:36:37.760> you<00:36:38.040> want<00:36:38.200> to<00:36:38.400> get<00:36:38.520> in<00:36:38.680> on<00:36:38.839> this<00:36:39.000> and
00:36:39.150 --> 00:36:39.160 align:start position:0%
three of you want to get in on this and
00:36:39.160 --> 00:36:42.349 align:start position:0%
three of you want to get in on this and
I<00:36:39.720> always<00:36:40.000> remind<00:36:40.480> you<00:36:41.400> some<00:36:41.599> of<00:36:41.720> you<00:36:42.000> may<00:36:42.200> not
00:36:42.349 --> 00:36:42.359 align:start position:0%
I always remind you some of you may not
00:36:42.359 --> 00:36:44.349 align:start position:0%
I always remind you some of you may not
want<00:36:42.480> to<00:36:42.599> get<00:36:42.720> into<00:36:43.000> certain<00:36:43.319> questions<00:36:44.200> but
00:36:44.349 --> 00:36:44.359 align:start position:0%
want to get into certain questions but
00:36:44.359 --> 00:36:49.470 align:start position:0%
want to get into certain questions but
the<00:36:44.520> one<00:36:44.880> I<00:36:45.240> most<00:36:46.040> expected<00:36:47.040> was<00:36:47.280> Robin<00:36:47.680> Robin
00:36:49.470 --> 00:36:49.480 align:start position:0%
the one I most expected was Robin Robin
00:36:49.480 --> 00:36:52.750 align:start position:0%
the one I most expected was Robin Robin
Iran<00:36:50.480> yeah<00:36:51.000> uh<00:36:51.359> I<00:36:51.560> do<00:36:51.760> think<00:36:52.040> that<00:36:52.319> that<00:36:52.560> prime
00:36:52.750 --> 00:36:52.760 align:start position:0%
Iran yeah uh I do think that that prime
00:36:52.760 --> 00:36:55.630 align:start position:0%
Iran yeah uh I do think that that prime
minister<00:36:53.280> Netanyahu<00:36:54.280> does<00:36:54.760> have<00:36:54.920> a<00:36:55.160> broader
00:36:55.630 --> 00:36:55.640 align:start position:0%
minister Netanyahu does have a broader
00:36:55.640 --> 00:36:58.109 align:start position:0%
minister Netanyahu does have a broader
goal<00:36:55.960> and<00:36:56.119> it's<00:36:56.319> not<00:36:56.520> just<00:36:56.680> to<00:36:56.880> eliminate
00:36:58.109 --> 00:36:58.119 align:start position:0%
goal and it's not just to eliminate
00:36:58.119 --> 00:37:01.190 align:start position:0%
goal and it's not just to eliminate
the<00:36:58.280> leadership<00:36:59.119> of<00:36:59.560> Hamas<00:36:59.960> and<00:37:00.160> Isis<00:37:01.040> uh
00:37:01.190 --> 00:37:01.200 align:start position:0%
the leadership of Hamas and Isis uh
00:37:01.200 --> 00:37:03.470 align:start position:0%
the leadership of Hamas and Isis uh
sorry<00:37:01.520> Hamas<00:37:01.880> and<00:37:02.040> hisbah<00:37:02.760> he<00:37:02.960> really<00:37:03.200> has<00:37:03.359> a
00:37:03.470 --> 00:37:03.480 align:start position:0%
sorry Hamas and hisbah he really has a
00:37:03.480 --> 00:37:06.510 align:start position:0%
sorry Hamas and hisbah he really has a
broader<00:37:03.920> goal<00:37:04.480> as<00:37:04.640> he<00:37:04.880> said<00:37:05.240> to<00:37:06.040> create<00:37:06.400> kind
00:37:06.510 --> 00:37:06.520 align:start position:0%
broader goal as he said to create kind
00:37:06.520 --> 00:37:08.950 align:start position:0%
broader goal as he said to create kind
of<00:37:06.640> a<00:37:06.800> different<00:37:07.079> Regional<00:37:07.640> order<00:37:08.640> uh<00:37:08.800> and
00:37:08.950 --> 00:37:08.960 align:start position:0%
of a different Regional order uh and
00:37:08.960 --> 00:37:10.910 align:start position:0%
of a different Regional order uh and
he's<00:37:09.359> trying<00:37:09.599> to<00:37:09.760> get<00:37:09.920> the<00:37:10.000> United<00:37:10.359> States<00:37:10.760> I
00:37:10.910 --> 00:37:10.920 align:start position:0%
he's trying to get the United States I
00:37:10.920 --> 00:37:13.990 align:start position:0%
he's trying to get the United States I
think<00:37:11.200> to<00:37:11.839> play<00:37:12.280> a<00:37:12.520> more<00:37:13.040> visible<00:37:13.440> or<00:37:13.720> active
00:37:13.990 --> 00:37:14.000 align:start position:0%
think to play a more visible or active
00:37:14.000 --> 00:37:15.829 align:start position:0%
think to play a more visible or active
role<00:37:14.359> which<00:37:14.520> in<00:37:14.680> fact<00:37:14.839> the<00:37:14.920> United<00:37:15.280> States<00:37:15.599> has
00:37:15.829 --> 00:37:15.839 align:start position:0%
role which in fact the United States has
00:37:15.839 --> 00:37:18.790 align:start position:0%
role which in fact the United States has
since<00:37:16.119> October<00:37:16.520> 7th<00:37:17.319> in<00:37:17.640> you<00:37:17.760> know<00:37:17.920> deploying
00:37:18.790 --> 00:37:18.800 align:start position:0%
since October 7th in you know deploying
00:37:18.800 --> 00:37:22.950 align:start position:0%
since October 7th in you know deploying
warships<00:37:19.800> uh<00:37:20.359> deploying<00:37:21.359> uh<00:37:21.800> Weaponry<00:37:22.599> taking
00:37:22.950 --> 00:37:22.960 align:start position:0%
warships uh deploying uh Weaponry taking
00:37:22.960 --> 00:37:28.109 align:start position:0%
warships uh deploying uh Weaponry taking
on<00:37:23.359> some<00:37:24.000> of<00:37:25.000> the<00:37:25.800> Iranian<00:37:26.800> allies<00:37:27.560> in<00:37:27.720> Iraq
00:37:28.109 --> 00:37:28.119 align:start position:0%
on some of the Iranian allies in Iraq
00:37:28.119 --> 00:37:31.430 align:start position:0%
on some of the Iranian allies in Iraq
and<00:37:28.359> Syria<00:37:29.079> as<00:37:29.240> well<00:37:29.440> as<00:37:29.599> in<00:37:29.839> Yemen<00:37:30.839> uh<00:37:31.000> I<00:37:31.119> do
00:37:31.430 --> 00:37:31.440 align:start position:0%
and Syria as well as in Yemen uh I do
00:37:31.440 --> 00:37:35.710 align:start position:0%
and Syria as well as in Yemen uh I do
think<00:37:32.040> that<00:37:32.640> there<00:37:32.800> is<00:37:32.960> a<00:37:33.119> real<00:37:33.640> danger<00:37:34.720> that
00:37:35.710 --> 00:37:35.720 align:start position:0%
think that there is a real danger that
00:37:35.720 --> 00:37:38.069 align:start position:0%
think that there is a real danger that
uh<00:37:36.119> that<00:37:36.400> the<00:37:36.520> Israelis<00:37:37.079> won't<00:37:37.480> stop<00:37:37.920> that
00:37:38.069 --> 00:37:38.079 align:start position:0%
uh that the Israelis won't stop that
00:37:38.079 --> 00:37:39.030 align:start position:0%
uh that the Israelis won't stop that
they<00:37:38.200> may
00:37:39.030 --> 00:37:39.040 align:start position:0%
they may
00:37:39.040 --> 00:37:42.589 align:start position:0%
they may
overreach<00:37:40.040> and<00:37:40.599> as<00:37:40.720> a<00:37:40.920> result<00:37:41.359> get<00:37:41.640> into<00:37:42.319> not
00:37:42.589 --> 00:37:42.599 align:start position:0%
overreach and as a result get into not
00:37:42.599 --> 00:37:46.550 align:start position:0%
overreach and as a result get into not
just<00:37:42.839> a<00:37:43.200> strike<00:37:44.440> on<00:37:45.440> on<00:37:45.640> Iran<00:37:46.280> but<00:37:46.440> the
00:37:46.550 --> 00:37:46.560 align:start position:0%
just a strike on on Iran but the
00:37:46.560 --> 00:37:48.069 align:start position:0%
just a strike on on Iran but the
Iranians<00:37:47.160> have<00:37:47.319> already<00:37:47.599> talked<00:37:47.880> about
00:37:48.069 --> 00:37:48.079 align:start position:0%
Iranians have already talked about
00:37:48.079 --> 00:37:50.030 align:start position:0%
Iranians have already talked about
they're<00:37:48.359> planning<00:37:48.839> retaliatory<00:37:49.520> strike<00:37:49.839> on
00:37:50.030 --> 00:37:50.040 align:start position:0%
they're planning retaliatory strike on
00:37:50.040 --> 00:37:52.270 align:start position:0%
they're planning retaliatory strike on
Israel<00:37:50.800> and<00:37:50.960> the<00:37:51.079> danger<00:37:51.480> is<00:37:51.680> that<00:37:51.880> we<00:37:52.079> get
00:37:52.270 --> 00:37:52.280 align:start position:0%
Israel and the danger is that we get
00:37:52.280 --> 00:37:55.950 align:start position:0%
Israel and the danger is that we get
into<00:37:53.240> more<00:37:53.560> of<00:37:53.680> a<00:37:54.040> rhythm<00:37:54.520> or<00:37:54.760> momentum<00:37:55.480> of<00:37:55.640> tit
00:37:55.950 --> 00:37:55.960 align:start position:0%
into more of a rhythm or momentum of tit
00:37:55.960 --> 00:37:58.069 align:start position:0%
into more of a rhythm or momentum of tit
fortat<00:37:56.440> exchanges
00:37:58.069 --> 00:37:58.079 align:start position:0%
fortat exchanges
00:37:58.079 --> 00:38:01.109 align:start position:0%
fortat exchanges
that<00:37:58.240> don't<00:37:58.520> play<00:37:58.760> out<00:37:59.119> over<00:38:00.000> you<00:38:00.160> know<00:38:00.560> weeks
00:38:01.109 --> 00:38:01.119 align:start position:0%
that don't play out over you know weeks
00:38:01.119 --> 00:38:04.630 align:start position:0%
that don't play out over you know weeks
but<00:38:01.480> play<00:38:01.760> out<00:38:02.040> over<00:38:02.839> days<00:38:03.839> and<00:38:04.160> and<00:38:04.359> again
00:38:04.630 --> 00:38:04.640 align:start position:0%
but play out over days and and again
00:38:04.640 --> 00:38:06.990 align:start position:0%
but play out over days and and again
this<00:38:04.760> is<00:38:04.960> where<00:38:05.520> we<00:38:05.640> don't<00:38:05.880> know<00:38:06.680> from
00:38:06.990 --> 00:38:07.000 align:start position:0%
this is where we don't know from
00:38:07.000 --> 00:38:10.069 align:start position:0%
this is where we don't know from
president<00:38:07.920> Netanyahu<00:38:08.920> what<00:38:09.119> his<00:38:09.359> plan<00:38:09.640> is<00:38:09.800> for
00:38:10.069 --> 00:38:10.079 align:start position:0%
president Netanyahu what his plan is for
00:38:10.079 --> 00:38:13.510 align:start position:0%
president Netanyahu what his plan is for
Gaza<00:38:10.839> what<00:38:11.000> his<00:38:11.200> plan<00:38:11.520> is<00:38:11.680> or<00:38:11.920> his<00:38:12.119> goal<00:38:12.560> is<00:38:12.920> in
00:38:13.510 --> 00:38:13.520 align:start position:0%
Gaza what his plan is or his goal is in
00:38:13.520 --> 00:38:16.309 align:start position:0%
Gaza what his plan is or his goal is in
Lebanon<00:38:14.520> uh<00:38:14.880> and<00:38:15.240> what<00:38:15.400> he<00:38:15.520> wants<00:38:15.760> to<00:38:16.000> achieve
00:38:16.309 --> 00:38:16.319 align:start position:0%
Lebanon uh and what he wants to achieve
00:38:16.319 --> 00:38:18.750 align:start position:0%
Lebanon uh and what he wants to achieve
in<00:38:16.480> Iran<00:38:16.839> is<00:38:17.000> this<00:38:17.240> regime<00:38:17.599> change<00:38:18.319> uh<00:38:18.440> does<00:38:18.599> he
00:38:18.750 --> 00:38:18.760 align:start position:0%
in Iran is this regime change uh does he
00:38:18.760 --> 00:38:21.109 align:start position:0%
in Iran is this regime change uh does he
want<00:38:18.880> to<00:38:19.040> take<00:38:19.200> out<00:38:19.359> their<00:38:19.560> nuclear<00:38:20.119> program
00:38:21.109 --> 00:38:21.119 align:start position:0%
want to take out their nuclear program
00:38:21.119 --> 00:38:24.790 align:start position:0%
want to take out their nuclear program
this<00:38:21.240> is<00:38:22.119> again<00:38:23.119> where<00:38:23.920> because<00:38:24.400> there's<00:38:24.640> not
00:38:24.790 --> 00:38:24.800 align:start position:0%
this is again where because there's not
00:38:24.800 --> 00:38:27.589 align:start position:0%
this is again where because there's not
a<00:38:24.960> vision<00:38:25.720> we<00:38:25.839> could<00:38:26.040> get<00:38:26.160> in<00:38:26.319> the<00:38:26.480> same<00:38:26.760> trap
00:38:27.589 --> 00:38:27.599 align:start position:0%
a vision we could get in the same trap
00:38:27.599 --> 00:38:29.589 align:start position:0%
a vision we could get in the same trap
United<00:38:27.920> States<00:38:28.280> did<00:38:28.560> in<00:38:28.760> Iraq<00:38:29.280> and
00:38:29.589 --> 00:38:29.599 align:start position:0%
United States did in Iraq and
00:38:29.599 --> 00:38:31.470 align:start position:0%
United States did in Iraq and
Afghanistan<00:38:30.599> that<00:38:30.800> there<00:38:30.880> was<00:38:31.040> kind<00:38:31.160> of<00:38:31.240> No
00:38:31.470 --> 00:38:31.480 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan that there was kind of No
00:38:31.480 --> 00:38:35.589 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan that there was kind of No
Exit<00:38:32.079> Plan<00:38:32.560> and<00:38:33.040> kind<00:38:33.160> of<00:38:33.560> no<00:38:34.200> we<00:38:34.319> had<00:38:34.440> a<00:38:34.599> broad
00:38:35.589 --> 00:38:35.599 align:start position:0%
Exit Plan and kind of no we had a broad
00:38:35.599 --> 00:38:38.109 align:start position:0%
Exit Plan and kind of no we had a broad
goal<00:38:35.839> and<00:38:36.079> principle<00:38:36.640> but<00:38:36.760> not<00:38:36.920> a<00:38:37.480> plan
00:38:38.109 --> 00:38:38.119 align:start position:0%
goal and principle but not a plan
00:38:38.119 --> 00:38:40.829 align:start position:0%
goal and principle but not a plan
specifically<00:38:38.960> How<00:38:39.280> This<00:38:39.480> Ends<00:38:40.400> and<00:38:40.520> I<00:38:40.640> think
00:38:40.829 --> 00:38:40.839 align:start position:0%
specifically How This Ends and I think
00:38:40.839 --> 00:38:42.870 align:start position:0%
specifically How This Ends and I think
as<00:38:40.960> a<00:38:41.160> result<00:38:41.920> because<00:38:42.280> we're<00:38:42.480> we're<00:38:42.680> kind<00:38:42.760> of
00:38:42.870 --> 00:38:42.880 align:start position:0%
as a result because we're we're kind of
00:38:42.880 --> 00:38:45.349 align:start position:0%
as a result because we're we're kind of
in<00:38:43.000> an<00:38:43.160> open<00:38:43.480> ended<00:38:43.800> conflict<00:38:44.200> now<00:38:44.400> that<00:38:44.599> keeps
00:38:45.349 --> 00:38:45.359 align:start position:0%
in an open ended conflict now that keeps
00:38:45.359 --> 00:38:49.270 align:start position:0%
in an open ended conflict now that keeps
escalating<00:38:46.359> so<00:38:47.240> um<00:38:47.800> I<00:38:47.880> think<00:38:48.040> there's<00:38:48.200> a<00:38:49.119> that
00:38:49.270 --> 00:38:49.280 align:start position:0%
escalating so um I think there's a that
00:38:49.280 --> 00:38:51.589 align:start position:0%
escalating so um I think there's a that
I<00:38:49.359> think<00:38:49.520> that's<00:38:49.680> a<00:38:49.839> very<00:38:50.079> good<00:38:50.400> question<00:38:51.200> that
00:38:51.589 --> 00:38:51.599 align:start position:0%
I think that's a very good question that
00:38:51.599 --> 00:38:54.630 align:start position:0%
I think that's a very good question that
your<00:38:51.920> friend<00:38:52.160> in<00:38:52.440> Canada<00:38:52.880> has
00:38:54.630 --> 00:38:54.640 align:start position:0%
your friend in Canada has
00:38:54.640 --> 00:38:57.750 align:start position:0%
your friend in Canada has
asked<00:38:55.640> uh<00:38:55.839> thank<00:38:56.000> you<00:38:56.240> by<00:38:56.359> the<00:38:56.480> way<00:38:57.079> uh<00:38:57.560> the
00:38:57.750 --> 00:38:57.760 align:start position:0%
asked uh thank you by the way uh the
00:38:57.760 --> 00:39:00.750 align:start position:0%
asked uh thank you by the way uh the
Robin<00:38:58.160> Wright<00:38:58.560> article<00:38:59.240> that<00:38:59.440> was<00:38:59.960> uh
00:39:00.750 --> 00:39:00.760 align:start position:0%
Robin Wright article that was uh
00:39:00.760 --> 00:39:05.829 align:start position:0%
Robin Wright article that was uh
available<00:39:01.680> uh<00:39:02.280> today<00:39:03.160> we<00:39:03.440> have<00:39:03.839> at<00:39:04.119> our<00:39:04.800> um<00:39:05.680> uh
00:39:05.829 --> 00:39:05.839 align:start position:0%
available uh today we have at our um uh
00:39:05.839 --> 00:39:08.670 align:start position:0%
available uh today we have at our um uh
in<00:39:05.920> our<00:39:06.119> webinar<00:39:06.640> chat<00:39:07.599> uh<00:39:07.760> section<00:39:08.240> so<00:39:08.520> some
00:39:08.670 --> 00:39:08.680 align:start position:0%
in our webinar chat uh section so some
00:39:08.680 --> 00:39:11.190 align:start position:0%
in our webinar chat uh section so some
of<00:39:08.800> you<00:39:08.960> might<00:39:09.119> be<00:39:09.280> quite<00:39:09.599> interested<00:39:10.599> uh<00:39:10.800> Bean
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of you might be quite interested uh Bean
00:39:11.200 --> 00:39:13.790 align:start position:0%
of you might be quite interested uh Bean
you<00:39:11.319> want<00:39:11.400> to<00:39:11.839> say<00:39:12.480> a<00:39:12.599> word<00:39:12.760> or<00:39:12.920> two<00:39:13.520> I<00:39:13.640> just
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you want to say a word or two I just
00:39:13.800 --> 00:39:16.430 align:start position:0%
you want to say a word or two I just
wanted<00:39:14.079> to<00:39:14.319> add<00:39:15.119> a<00:39:15.280> couple<00:39:15.520> of<00:39:15.680> sentences<00:39:16.280> I
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wanted to add a couple of sentences I
00:39:16.440 --> 00:39:21.589 align:start position:0%
wanted to add a couple of sentences I
agree<00:39:16.680> with<00:39:16.880> Robin<00:39:17.800> but<00:39:18.040> I<00:39:18.160> think<00:39:18.760> my<00:39:19.359> my<00:39:20.240> uh
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agree with Robin but I think my my uh
00:39:21.599 --> 00:39:26.069 align:start position:0%
agree with Robin but I think my my uh
assumption<00:39:22.599> is<00:39:22.960> that<00:39:24.440> uh<00:39:25.440> prime<00:39:25.680> minister
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assumption is that uh prime minister
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assumption is that uh prime minister
Netanyahu
00:39:27.589 --> 00:39:27.599 align:start position:0%
Netanyahu
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Netanyahu
uh<00:39:27.800> wants<00:39:28.800> uh<00:39:29.200> Iran<00:39:29.760> to<00:39:30.160> collapse<00:39:30.800> as<00:39:30.920> a<00:39:31.160> state
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uh wants uh Iran to collapse as a state
00:39:31.640 --> 00:39:33.990 align:start position:0%
uh wants uh Iran to collapse as a state
it's<00:39:31.839> very<00:39:32.079> important<00:39:32.480> to<00:39:32.960> understand<00:39:33.640> in<00:39:33.800> my
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it's very important to understand in my
00:39:34.000 --> 00:39:36.790 align:start position:0%
it's very important to understand in my
view<00:39:34.280> the<00:39:34.480> assessment<00:39:35.119> or<00:39:35.480> or<00:39:35.760> the<00:39:36.079> the
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view the assessment or or the the
00:39:36.800 --> 00:39:39.870 align:start position:0%
view the assessment or or the the
assumption<00:39:37.520> that<00:39:37.960> any<00:39:38.319> type<00:39:38.560> of<00:39:38.800> regime<00:39:39.319> in
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assumption that any type of regime in
00:39:39.880 --> 00:39:43.589 align:start position:0%
assumption that any type of regime in
Iran<00:39:40.880> if<00:39:41.119> Iran<00:39:41.520> stays<00:39:42.119> this<00:39:42.440> large<00:39:42.920> United
00:39:43.589 --> 00:39:43.599 align:start position:0%
Iran if Iran stays this large United
00:39:43.599 --> 00:39:46.589 align:start position:0%
Iran if Iran stays this large United
Country<00:39:44.599> will<00:39:44.839> be<00:39:45.040> a<00:39:45.280> challenge<00:39:45.880> a<00:39:46.079> security
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Country will be a challenge a security
00:39:46.599 --> 00:39:50.230 align:start position:0%
Country will be a challenge a security
challenge<00:39:46.960> to<00:39:47.359> Israel<00:39:48.359> and<00:39:48.839> Israel's<00:39:49.720> ideal
00:39:50.230 --> 00:39:50.240 align:start position:0%
challenge to Israel and Israel's ideal
00:39:50.240 --> 00:39:53.030 align:start position:0%
challenge to Israel and Israel's ideal
scenario<00:39:50.880> would<00:39:51.040> be<00:39:51.359> to<00:39:51.920> collapse<00:39:52.520> the<00:39:52.760> state
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scenario would be to collapse the state
00:39:53.040 --> 00:39:55.550 align:start position:0%
scenario would be to collapse the state
of<00:39:53.280> Iran<00:39:53.640> to<00:39:53.920> break<00:39:54.200> it<00:39:54.440> down<00:39:54.720> into<00:39:55.079> different
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of Iran to break it down into different
00:39:55.560 --> 00:39:59.349 align:start position:0%
of Iran to break it down into different
states<00:39:56.560> and<00:39:56.800> that<00:39:56.920> is<00:39:57.400> obious<00:39:57.720> is<00:39:58.240> a<00:39:59.160> an
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states and that is obious is a an
00:39:59.359 --> 00:40:01.950 align:start position:0%
states and that is obious is a an
undertaking<00:40:00.200> that<00:40:00.400> Israel<00:40:00.920> cannot<00:40:01.359> do<00:40:01.599> on<00:40:01.760> its
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undertaking that Israel cannot do on its
00:40:01.960 --> 00:40:05.069 align:start position:0%
undertaking that Israel cannot do on its
own<00:40:02.839> and<00:40:03.079> and<00:40:03.280> that<00:40:03.440> is<00:40:03.720> why<00:40:03.960> it's<00:40:04.240> important
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own and and that is why it's important
00:40:05.079 --> 00:40:07.430 align:start position:0%
own and and that is why it's important
for<00:40:06.079> prime<00:40:06.280> minister<00:40:06.640> Netanyahu<00:40:07.240> and<00:40:07.359> the
00:40:07.430 --> 00:40:07.440 align:start position:0%
for prime minister Netanyahu and the
00:40:07.440 --> 00:40:09.710 align:start position:0%
for prime minister Netanyahu and the
Israeli<00:40:07.880> government<00:40:08.280> to<00:40:08.520> drag<00:40:08.960> the<00:40:09.119> Americans
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Israeli government to drag the Americans
00:40:09.720 --> 00:40:13.270 align:start position:0%
Israeli government to drag the Americans
into<00:40:10.079> this<00:40:10.839> and<00:40:11.079> that<00:40:11.240> will<00:40:11.560> then<00:40:11.839> create<00:40:12.280> a
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into this and that will then create a
00:40:13.280 --> 00:40:17.470 align:start position:0%
into this and that will then create a
obviously<00:40:14.280> a<00:40:14.560> very<00:40:15.560> very<00:40:15.920> ugly<00:40:16.359> Regional<00:40:16.920> war
00:40:17.470 --> 00:40:17.480 align:start position:0%
obviously a very very ugly Regional war
00:40:17.480 --> 00:40:19.349 align:start position:0%
obviously a very very ugly Regional war
and<00:40:17.720> I<00:40:17.839> hope<00:40:18.079> that<00:40:18.200> it<00:40:18.359> doesn't<00:40:18.720> happen<00:40:19.040> but<00:40:19.200> I
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and I hope that it doesn't happen but I
00:40:19.359 --> 00:40:22.150 align:start position:0%
and I hope that it doesn't happen but I
just<00:40:19.520> wanted<00:40:19.839> to<00:40:20.480> make<00:40:20.680> sure<00:40:20.920> that<00:40:21.119> those<00:40:21.760> for
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just wanted to make sure that those for
00:40:22.160 --> 00:40:25.550 align:start position:0%
just wanted to make sure that those for
those<00:40:23.119> diaspora<00:40:23.880> Iranians<00:40:24.680> who<00:40:24.880> think<00:40:25.319> that
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those diaspora Iranians who think that
00:40:25.560 --> 00:40:28.390 align:start position:0%
those diaspora Iranians who think that
if<00:40:25.800> Israel<00:40:26.359> attacks<00:40:26.800> Iran<00:40:27.599> the<00:40:27.760> future<00:40:28.200> of
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if Israel attacks Iran the future of
00:40:28.400 --> 00:40:30.990 align:start position:0%
if Israel attacks Iran the future of
Iran<00:40:28.880> would<00:40:29.040> be<00:40:29.280> nice<00:40:29.760> and<00:40:30.040> and<00:40:30.520> we<00:40:30.640> will<00:40:30.880> have
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Iran would be nice and and we will have
00:40:31.000 --> 00:40:33.510 align:start position:0%
Iran would be nice and and we will have
a<00:40:31.160> monarchy<00:40:31.800> again<00:40:32.359> a<00:40:32.520> pro-israeli
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a monarchy again a pro-israeli
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a monarchy again a pro-israeli
pro-american<00:40:34.520> country<00:40:35.319> I<00:40:35.440> don't<00:40:35.640> think<00:40:35.920> that
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pro-american country I don't think that
00:40:36.079 --> 00:40:38.069 align:start position:0%
pro-american country I don't think that
will<00:40:36.319> happen<00:40:36.720> it<00:40:37.119> the<00:40:37.359> intention<00:40:37.880> is
00:40:38.069 --> 00:40:38.079 align:start position:0%
will happen it the intention is
00:40:38.079 --> 00:40:40.990 align:start position:0%
will happen it the intention is
something<00:40:38.520> completely<00:40:39.079> different<00:40:39.800> and<00:40:40.800> uh
00:40:40.990 --> 00:40:41.000 align:start position:0%
something completely different and uh
00:40:41.000 --> 00:40:43.109 align:start position:0%
something completely different and uh
the<00:40:41.160> best<00:40:41.359> scenario<00:40:41.880> would<00:40:42.040> be<00:40:42.200> for<00:40:42.400> it<00:40:42.680> not<00:40:42.920> to
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the best scenario would be for it not to
00:40:43.119 --> 00:40:45.710 align:start position:0%
the best scenario would be for it not to
happen<00:40:43.480> not<00:40:43.640> to<00:40:43.839> get<00:40:43.960> to<00:40:44.160> that
00:40:45.710 --> 00:40:45.720 align:start position:0%
happen not to get to that
00:40:45.720 --> 00:40:47.950 align:start position:0%
happen not to get to that
stage<00:40:46.720> you<00:40:46.839> know<00:40:47.160> I<00:40:47.240> was<00:40:47.359> talking<00:40:47.599> to<00:40:47.800> an
00:40:47.950 --> 00:40:47.960 align:start position:0%
stage you know I was talking to an
00:40:47.960 --> 00:40:51.470 align:start position:0%
stage you know I was talking to an
Israeli<00:40:48.920> uh<00:40:49.240> the<00:40:49.359> other<00:40:49.680> day<00:40:50.520> and<00:40:51.119> and<00:40:51.319> this
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Israeli uh the other day and and this
00:40:51.480 --> 00:40:55.190 align:start position:0%
Israeli uh the other day and and this
fellow<00:40:51.920> said<00:40:53.040> um<00:40:54.040> no<00:40:54.359> it's<00:40:54.480> not<00:40:54.640> going<00:40:54.760> to<00:40:54.880> be
00:40:55.190 --> 00:40:55.200 align:start position:0%
fellow said um no it's not going to be
00:40:55.200 --> 00:40:58.470 align:start position:0%
fellow said um no it's not going to be
and<00:40:55.359> this<00:40:55.520> guy<00:40:55.680> is<00:40:55.839> the<00:40:56.040> guy<00:40:56.200> who<00:40:56.440> loves<00:40:56.760> War<00:40:57.720> uh
00:40:58.470 --> 00:40:58.480 align:start position:0%
and this guy is the guy who loves War uh
00:40:58.480 --> 00:41:00.030 align:start position:0%
and this guy is the guy who loves War uh
not<00:40:58.640> going<00:40:58.760> to<00:40:58.880> be<00:40:59.040> through<00:40:59.280> War<00:40:59.720> it's<00:40:59.920> going
00:41:00.030 --> 00:41:00.040 align:start position:0%
not going to be through War it's going
00:41:00.040 --> 00:41:02.589 align:start position:0%
not going to be through War it's going
to<00:41:00.280> be<00:41:01.000> the<00:41:01.200> way<00:41:01.599> we<00:41:01.880> we<00:41:02.040> change<00:41:02.440> the
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to be the way we we change the
00:41:02.599 --> 00:41:06.470 align:start position:0%
to be the way we we change the
government<00:41:03.400> is<00:41:03.560> to<00:41:04.000> end<00:41:04.760> as<00:41:04.920> much<00:41:05.119> as<00:41:05.480> possible
00:41:06.470 --> 00:41:06.480 align:start position:0%
government is to end as much as possible
00:41:06.480 --> 00:41:12.510 align:start position:0%
government is to end as much as possible
any<00:41:07.440> uh<00:41:07.920> kinds<00:41:08.560> of<00:41:09.560> uh<00:41:09.920> food<00:41:10.599> or<00:41:11.359> attachment<00:41:12.359> uh
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any uh kinds of uh food or attachment uh
00:41:12.520 --> 00:41:15.150 align:start position:0%
any uh kinds of uh food or attachment uh
from<00:41:12.800> outside<00:41:13.359> the<00:41:13.520> country<00:41:14.280> so<00:41:14.680> as<00:41:14.839> long<00:41:15.040> as
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from outside the country so as long as
00:41:15.160 --> 00:41:18.470 align:start position:0%
from outside the country so as long as
it<00:41:15.319> gets<00:41:15.520> weaker<00:41:15.800> and<00:41:16.000> weaker<00:41:17.000> then<00:41:17.839> uh<00:41:18.280> it
00:41:18.470 --> 00:41:18.480 align:start position:0%
it gets weaker and weaker then uh it
00:41:18.480 --> 00:41:21.750 align:start position:0%
it gets weaker and weaker then uh it
will<00:41:19.040> uh<00:41:19.400> it<00:41:19.520> will<00:41:19.720> fall<00:41:20.119> apart<00:41:21.119> uh<00:41:21.359> Matt's
00:41:21.750 --> 00:41:21.760 align:start position:0%
will uh it will fall apart uh Matt's
00:41:21.760 --> 00:41:25.630 align:start position:0%
will uh it will fall apart uh Matt's
about<00:41:21.960> to<00:41:22.160> talk<00:41:22.480> but<00:41:22.720> do<00:41:22.960> if<00:41:23.079> you<00:41:23.280> have<00:41:24.520> uh<00:41:25.520> a
00:41:25.630 --> 00:41:25.640 align:start position:0%
about to talk but do if you have uh a
00:41:25.640 --> 00:41:27.030 align:start position:0%
about to talk but do if you have uh a
minute<00:41:25.960> here<00:41:26.160> do<00:41:26.240> you<00:41:26.400> have<00:41:26.640> something<00:41:26.920> you
00:41:27.030 --> 00:41:27.040 align:start position:0%
minute here do you have something you
00:41:27.040 --> 00:41:28.710 align:start position:0%
minute here do you have something you
want
00:41:28.710 --> 00:41:28.720 align:start position:0%
want
00:41:28.720 --> 00:41:31.950 align:start position:0%
want
add<00:41:29.720> it<00:41:29.960> sounds<00:41:30.520> very<00:41:30.800> similar<00:41:31.240> to<00:41:31.599> what<00:41:31.760> the
00:41:31.950 --> 00:41:31.960 align:start position:0%
add it sounds very similar to what the
00:41:31.960 --> 00:41:33.990 align:start position:0%
add it sounds very similar to what the
Trump<00:41:32.359> Administration<00:41:33.119> tried<00:41:33.440> to<00:41:33.640> achieve
00:41:33.990 --> 00:41:34.000 align:start position:0%
Trump Administration tried to achieve
00:41:34.000 --> 00:41:36.910 align:start position:0%
Trump Administration tried to achieve
with<00:41:34.240> maximum<00:41:34.920> pressure<00:41:35.920> and<00:41:36.240> we<00:41:36.400> can<00:41:36.680> just
00:41:36.910 --> 00:41:36.920 align:start position:0%
with maximum pressure and we can just
00:41:36.920 --> 00:41:38.710 align:start position:0%
with maximum pressure and we can just
look<00:41:37.119> at<00:41:37.440> that<00:41:37.839> and<00:41:38.040> whether<00:41:38.319> that<00:41:38.480> was
00:41:38.710 --> 00:41:38.720 align:start position:0%
look at that and whether that was
00:41:38.720 --> 00:41:41.349 align:start position:0%
look at that and whether that was
successful<00:41:39.400> then<00:41:39.599> we<00:41:39.760> can<00:41:40.400> we<00:41:40.560> can<00:41:40.880> assume
00:41:41.349 --> 00:41:41.359 align:start position:0%
successful then we can we can assume
00:41:41.359 --> 00:41:44.790 align:start position:0%
successful then we can we can assume
that<00:41:41.640> Iran<00:41:42.079> is<00:41:42.319> much<00:41:42.599> more<00:41:43.520> uh<00:41:44.000> resourceful
00:41:44.790 --> 00:41:44.800 align:start position:0%
that Iran is much more uh resourceful
00:41:44.800 --> 00:41:49.510 align:start position:0%
that Iran is much more uh resourceful
than<00:41:45.040> many<00:41:45.599> believe<00:41:46.599> and<00:41:47.079> and<00:41:47.920> and<00:41:48.920> a<00:41:49.119> type<00:41:49.319> of
00:41:49.510 --> 00:41:49.520 align:start position:0%
than many believe and and and a type of
00:41:49.520 --> 00:41:51.589 align:start position:0%
than many believe and and and a type of
pressure<00:41:49.920> like<00:41:50.119> this<00:41:50.280> will<00:41:50.560> also<00:41:50.800> mobilize<00:41:51.400> a
00:41:51.589 --> 00:41:51.599 align:start position:0%
pressure like this will also mobilize a
00:41:51.599 --> 00:41:53.990 align:start position:0%
pressure like this will also mobilize a
lot<00:41:51.800> of<00:41:52.440> regional<00:41:53.000> powers<00:41:53.319> and<00:41:53.480> Iranian
00:41:53.990 --> 00:41:54.000 align:start position:0%
lot of regional powers and Iranian
00:41:54.000 --> 00:41:56.910 align:start position:0%
lot of regional powers and Iranian
diaspora<00:41:54.680> not<00:41:54.920> to<00:41:55.359> allow<00:41:55.800> Iran<00:41:56.160> to<00:41:56.440> collapse
00:41:56.910 --> 00:41:56.920 align:start position:0%
diaspora not to allow Iran to collapse
00:41:56.920 --> 00:42:01.510 align:start position:0%
diaspora not to allow Iran to collapse
as<00:41:57.040> a<00:41:57.319> state<00:41:57.640> in<00:41:57.800> my<00:41:58.240> view<00:41:59.240> okay<00:42:00.000> Matt<00:42:01.000> yes<00:42:01.200> no<00:42:01.400> I
00:42:01.510 --> 00:42:01.520 align:start position:0%
as a state in my view okay Matt yes no I
00:42:01.520 --> 00:42:03.430 align:start position:0%
as a state in my view okay Matt yes no I
I<00:42:01.599> didn't<00:42:01.800> have<00:42:02.160> uh<00:42:02.319> much<00:42:02.520> to<00:42:02.680> add<00:42:02.920> but<00:42:03.040> I<00:42:03.160> just
00:42:03.430 --> 00:42:03.440 align:start position:0%
I didn't have uh much to add but I just
00:42:03.440 --> 00:42:07.910 align:start position:0%
I didn't have uh much to add but I just
I<00:42:03.599> I<00:42:03.720> think<00:42:03.960> this<00:42:04.520> question<00:42:05.520> of<00:42:06.240> whether<00:42:07.240> uh
00:42:07.910 --> 00:42:07.920 align:start position:0%
I I think this question of whether uh
00:42:07.920 --> 00:42:09.790 align:start position:0%
I I think this question of whether uh
you<00:42:08.040> know<00:42:08.280> Israel<00:42:08.720> is<00:42:08.920> pursuing<00:42:09.400> regime
00:42:09.790 --> 00:42:09.800 align:start position:0%
you know Israel is pursuing regime
00:42:09.800 --> 00:42:13.349 align:start position:0%
you know Israel is pursuing regime
change<00:42:10.560> strategy<00:42:11.560> uh<00:42:11.760> I'm<00:42:12.000> I'm<00:42:12.160> sure<00:42:12.680> is<00:42:13.160> is
00:42:13.349 --> 00:42:13.359 align:start position:0%
change strategy uh I'm I'm sure is is
00:42:13.359 --> 00:42:16.309 align:start position:0%
change strategy uh I'm I'm sure is is
factoring<00:42:13.920> into<00:42:14.920> calculations<00:42:15.920> uh<00:42:16.079> you<00:42:16.160> know
00:42:16.309 --> 00:42:16.319 align:start position:0%
factoring into calculations uh you know
00:42:16.319 --> 00:42:19.030 align:start position:0%
factoring into calculations uh you know
in<00:42:16.480> tran<00:42:16.920> and<00:42:17.040> elsewhere<00:42:18.000> the<00:42:18.119> of<00:42:18.240> course<00:42:18.520> the
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in tran and elsewhere the of course the
00:42:19.040 --> 00:42:22.230 align:start position:0%
in tran and elsewhere the of course the
the<00:42:19.119> main<00:42:19.400> caveat<00:42:19.920> is<00:42:20.559> you<00:42:20.720> know<00:42:21.720> Iranian
00:42:22.230 --> 00:42:22.240 align:start position:0%
the main caveat is you know Iranian
00:42:22.240 --> 00:42:24.549 align:start position:0%
the main caveat is you know Iranian
regime<00:42:22.559> change<00:42:22.880> is<00:42:23.079> not<00:42:23.599> the<00:42:23.800> policy<00:42:24.119> of<00:42:24.200> the<00:42:24.319> B
00:42:24.549 --> 00:42:24.559 align:start position:0%
regime change is not the policy of the B
00:42:24.559 --> 00:42:25.950 align:start position:0%
regime change is not the policy of the B
Administration<00:42:25.079> I<00:42:25.200> don't<00:42:25.400> expect<00:42:25.599> it<00:42:25.680> to<00:42:25.800> be
00:42:25.950 --> 00:42:25.960 align:start position:0%
Administration I don't expect it to be
00:42:25.960 --> 00:42:27.670 align:start position:0%
Administration I don't expect it to be
the<00:42:26.119> policy<00:42:26.920> of
00:42:27.670 --> 00:42:27.680 align:start position:0%
the policy of
00:42:27.680 --> 00:42:30.790 align:start position:0%
the policy of
uh<00:42:27.920> of<00:42:28.200> the<00:42:28.640> Harris<00:42:29.280> Administration<00:42:30.280> and<00:42:30.559> it
00:42:30.790 --> 00:42:30.800 align:start position:0%
uh of the Harris Administration and it
00:42:30.800 --> 00:42:33.270 align:start position:0%
uh of the Harris Administration and it
it<00:42:30.920> was<00:42:31.160> not<00:42:31.640> I<00:42:32.000> I<00:42:32.079> have<00:42:32.240> not<00:42:32.359> seen<00:42:32.599> any<00:42:32.800> change
00:42:33.270 --> 00:42:33.280 align:start position:0%
it was not I I have not seen any change
00:42:33.280 --> 00:42:36.069 align:start position:0%
it was not I I have not seen any change
from<00:42:34.040> uh<00:42:34.319> president<00:42:34.720> Trump<00:42:35.480> that<00:42:35.680> that<00:42:35.880> would
00:42:36.069 --> 00:42:36.079 align:start position:0%
from uh president Trump that that would
00:42:36.079 --> 00:42:39.230 align:start position:0%
from uh president Trump that that would
be<00:42:36.520> his<00:42:36.839> policy<00:42:37.440> either<00:42:38.359> um<00:42:38.559> so<00:42:38.800> I<00:42:38.880> think<00:42:39.040> it's
00:42:39.230 --> 00:42:39.240 align:start position:0%
be his policy either um so I think it's
00:42:39.240 --> 00:42:41.670 align:start position:0%
be his policy either um so I think it's
going<00:42:39.400> to<00:42:39.599> be<00:42:40.160> you<00:42:40.280> know<00:42:40.720> going<00:42:40.839> to<00:42:40.960> be<00:42:41.119> very
00:42:41.670 --> 00:42:41.680 align:start position:0%
going to be you know going to be very
00:42:41.680 --> 00:42:44.549 align:start position:0%
going to be you know going to be very
interesting<00:42:42.680> uh<00:42:42.960> if<00:42:43.280> if<00:42:43.720> that<00:42:43.920> the<00:42:44.040> tension
00:42:44.549 --> 00:42:44.559 align:start position:0%
interesting uh if if that the tension
00:42:44.559 --> 00:42:47.309 align:start position:0%
interesting uh if if that the tension
that<00:42:44.880> that<00:42:45.079> could<00:42:45.520> occur<00:42:45.920> of<00:42:46.160> course<00:42:47.160> uh
00:42:47.309 --> 00:42:47.319 align:start position:0%
that that could occur of course uh
00:42:47.319 --> 00:42:50.230 align:start position:0%
that that could occur of course uh
between<00:42:48.280> uh<00:42:48.640> Israel<00:42:49.040> and<00:42:49.160> the<00:42:49.280> us<00:42:49.800> on<00:42:50.040> this
00:42:50.230 --> 00:42:50.240 align:start position:0%
between uh Israel and the us on this
00:42:50.240 --> 00:42:52.109 align:start position:0%
between uh Israel and the us on this
particular<00:42:50.599> issue<00:42:50.960> that<00:42:51.480> is<00:42:51.640> indeed<00:42:51.960> the
00:42:52.109 --> 00:42:52.119 align:start position:0%
particular issue that is indeed the
00:42:52.119 --> 00:42:55.589 align:start position:0%
particular issue that is indeed the
policy<00:42:52.720> but<00:42:53.720> again<00:42:53.960> I'm<00:42:54.119> not<00:42:54.280> I'm<00:42:54.400> not<00:42:54.640> sure
00:42:55.589 --> 00:42:55.599 align:start position:0%
policy but again I'm not I'm not sure
00:42:55.599 --> 00:42:56.670 align:start position:0%
policy but again I'm not I'm not sure
what<00:42:55.720> you<00:42:55.839> know<00:42:56.040> because<00:42:56.160> I<00:42:56.240> can't<00:42:56.400> speak<00:42:56.559> for
00:42:56.670 --> 00:42:56.680 align:start position:0%
what you know because I can't speak for
00:42:56.680 --> 00:42:58.510 align:start position:0%
what you know because I can't speak for
the<00:42:56.760> Israel<00:42:57.400> I<00:42:57.559> I'm<00:42:57.720> not<00:42:57.839> sure<00:42:58.040> what's<00:42:58.280> going
00:42:58.510 --> 00:42:58.520 align:start position:0%
the Israel I I'm not sure what's going
00:42:58.520 --> 00:43:01.309 align:start position:0%
the Israel I I'm not sure what's going
on<00:42:59.280> when<00:42:59.400> it<00:42:59.559> comes<00:42:59.800> to<00:43:00.480> uh<00:43:00.640> determining<00:43:01.240> you
00:43:01.309 --> 00:43:01.319 align:start position:0%
on when it comes to uh determining you
00:43:01.319 --> 00:43:03.390 align:start position:0%
on when it comes to uh determining you
know<00:43:01.520> how<00:43:01.680> far<00:43:01.880> they're<00:43:02.079> willing<00:43:02.319> to<00:43:02.559> push
00:43:03.390 --> 00:43:03.400 align:start position:0%
know how far they're willing to push
00:43:03.400 --> 00:43:04.750 align:start position:0%
know how far they're willing to push
this<00:43:03.640> current
00:43:04.750 --> 00:43:04.760 align:start position:0%
this current
00:43:04.760 --> 00:43:07.750 align:start position:0%
this current
campaign<00:43:05.760> um<00:43:06.280> but<00:43:06.680> you<00:43:06.760> know<00:43:07.040> certainly<00:43:07.480> all
00:43:07.750 --> 00:43:07.760 align:start position:0%
campaign um but you know certainly all
00:43:07.760 --> 00:43:09.030 align:start position:0%
campaign um but you know certainly all
you<00:43:07.839> know<00:43:08.000> all<00:43:08.119> of<00:43:08.240> us<00:43:08.359> would<00:43:08.480> like<00:43:08.599> to<00:43:08.720> see<00:43:08.880> a
00:43:09.030 --> 00:43:09.040 align:start position:0%
you know all of us would like to see a
00:43:09.040 --> 00:43:12.309 align:start position:0%
you know all of us would like to see a
change<00:43:10.040> uh<00:43:10.160> in<00:43:10.520> policy<00:43:11.000> from<00:43:11.319> the<00:43:11.599> the<00:43:11.760> current
00:43:12.309 --> 00:43:12.319 align:start position:0%
change uh in policy from the the current
00:43:12.319 --> 00:43:16.510 align:start position:0%
change uh in policy from the the current
uh<00:43:12.640> Iranian<00:43:13.640> uh<00:43:14.119> leadership<00:43:15.119> uh<00:43:15.480> and<00:43:15.880> uh<00:43:16.079> and
00:43:16.510 --> 00:43:16.520 align:start position:0%
uh Iranian uh leadership uh and uh and
00:43:16.520 --> 00:43:19.430 align:start position:0%
uh Iranian uh leadership uh and uh and
and<00:43:16.800> and<00:43:16.960> that<00:43:17.119> could<00:43:17.680> imply<00:43:18.079> many<00:43:18.400> things<00:43:18.839> but
00:43:19.430 --> 00:43:19.440 align:start position:0%
and and that could imply many things but
00:43:19.440 --> 00:43:21.670 align:start position:0%
and and that could imply many things but
uh<00:43:19.599> I<00:43:19.720> I<00:43:19.839> think<00:43:20.000> that<00:43:20.280> there<00:43:20.599> there<00:43:20.760> is<00:43:21.160> uh
00:43:21.670 --> 00:43:21.680 align:start position:0%
uh I I think that there there is uh
00:43:21.680 --> 00:43:25.670 align:start position:0%
uh I I think that there there is uh
certainly<00:43:22.680> uh<00:43:23.160> the<00:43:23.480> willingness<00:43:24.480> for<00:43:25.200> Israel
00:43:25.670 --> 00:43:25.680 align:start position:0%
certainly uh the willingness for Israel
00:43:25.680 --> 00:43:30.430 align:start position:0%
certainly uh the willingness for Israel
to<00:43:25.960> push<00:43:26.599> things<00:43:27.400> further<00:43:28.400> um<00:43:28.800> and<00:43:29.240> how<00:43:30.000> the<00:43:30.319> uh
00:43:30.430 --> 00:43:30.440 align:start position:0%
to push things further um and how the uh
00:43:30.440 --> 00:43:34.230 align:start position:0%
to push things further um and how the uh
the<00:43:30.800> US<00:43:31.800> uh<00:43:32.160> will<00:43:32.559> support<00:43:33.079> that<00:43:33.359> are<00:43:33.720> are
00:43:34.230 --> 00:43:34.240 align:start position:0%
the US uh will support that are are
00:43:34.240 --> 00:43:36.710 align:start position:0%
the US uh will support that are are
certainly<00:43:35.240> you<00:43:35.400> know<00:43:35.960> you<00:43:36.079> know<00:43:36.400> big
00:43:36.710 --> 00:43:36.720 align:start position:0%
certainly you know you know big
00:43:36.720 --> 00:43:38.470 align:start position:0%
certainly you know you know big
questions<00:43:37.319> that<00:43:37.559> that<00:43:37.680> should<00:43:37.920> be<00:43:38.079> factoring
00:43:38.470 --> 00:43:38.480 align:start position:0%
questions that that should be factoring
00:43:38.480 --> 00:43:41.630 align:start position:0%
questions that that should be factoring
into<00:43:38.760> to<00:43:39.000> tron's<00:43:39.440> calculations<00:43:40.119> right
00:43:41.630 --> 00:43:41.640 align:start position:0%
into to tron's calculations right
00:43:41.640 --> 00:43:46.190 align:start position:0%
into to tron's calculations right
now<00:43:42.800> um<00:43:43.800> let<00:43:44.000> me<00:43:44.400> um<00:43:44.720> move<00:43:45.000> on<00:43:45.359> another
00:43:46.190 --> 00:43:46.200 align:start position:0%
now um let me um move on another
00:43:46.200 --> 00:43:49.270 align:start position:0%
now um let me um move on another
question<00:43:46.760> that<00:43:47.400> it<00:43:47.520> seems<00:43:48.040> so<00:43:48.599> Robin<00:43:49.000> Wright
00:43:49.270 --> 00:43:49.280 align:start position:0%
question that it seems so Robin Wright
00:43:49.280 --> 00:43:52.470 align:start position:0%
question that it seems so Robin Wright
would<00:43:49.440> be<00:43:49.720> interested<00:43:50.720> uh<00:43:50.839> in<00:43:51.839> uh<00:43:52.160> not<00:43:52.319> to
00:43:52.470 --> 00:43:52.480 align:start position:0%
would be interested uh in uh not to
00:43:52.480 --> 00:43:54.230 align:start position:0%
would be interested uh in uh not to
mention<00:43:52.839> the<00:43:52.960> other<00:43:53.240> two<00:43:53.599> but<00:43:53.760> since<00:43:54.000> she's
00:43:54.230 --> 00:43:54.240 align:start position:0%
mention the other two but since she's
00:43:54.240 --> 00:43:58.270 align:start position:0%
mention the other two but since she's
leaving<00:43:54.839> Dr<00:43:55.160> husen<00:43:55.720> Med<00:43:56.319> tadine<00:43:57.280> from
00:43:58.270 --> 00:43:58.280 align:start position:0%
leaving Dr husen Med tadine from
00:43:58.280 --> 00:44:01.910 align:start position:0%
leaving Dr husen Med tadine from
Morocco<00:43:59.280> uh<00:43:59.640> asks<00:44:00.559> is<00:44:00.720> there<00:44:01.000> any<00:44:01.359> risk<00:44:01.680> that<00:44:01.800> a
00:44:01.910 --> 00:44:01.920 align:start position:0%
Morocco uh asks is there any risk that a
00:44:01.920 --> 00:44:03.950 align:start position:0%
Morocco uh asks is there any risk that a
future<00:44:02.240> war<00:44:02.520> between<00:44:02.839> Israel<00:44:03.200> and<00:44:03.359> Iran<00:44:03.760> could
00:44:03.950 --> 00:44:03.960 align:start position:0%
future war between Israel and Iran could
00:44:03.960 --> 00:44:06.990 align:start position:0%
future war between Israel and Iran could
be<00:44:04.240> escalated<00:44:05.200> to<00:44:05.440> a<00:44:05.720> direct<00:44:06.200> confrontation
00:44:06.990 --> 00:44:07.000 align:start position:0%
be escalated to a direct confrontation
00:44:07.000 --> 00:44:09.230 align:start position:0%
be escalated to a direct confrontation
with<00:44:07.200> us<00:44:07.480> and<00:44:07.680> NATO<00:44:08.599> how<00:44:08.800> about<00:44:09.040> the
00:44:09.230 --> 00:44:09.240 align:start position:0%
with us and NATO how about the
00:44:09.240 --> 00:44:10.910 align:start position:0%
with us and NATO how about the
possibility<00:44:09.720> of<00:44:09.839> a<00:44:10.000> third<00:44:10.359> party<00:44:10.680> in
00:44:10.910 --> 00:44:10.920 align:start position:0%
possibility of a third party in
00:44:10.920 --> 00:44:13.589 align:start position:0%
possibility of a third party in
particular<00:44:11.400> North<00:44:11.720> Korea<00:44:12.040> and<00:44:12.240> Russia<00:44:13.200> isn't
00:44:13.589 --> 00:44:13.599 align:start position:0%
particular North Korea and Russia isn't
00:44:13.599 --> 00:44:16.710 align:start position:0%
particular North Korea and Russia isn't
that<00:44:13.839> the<00:44:14.000> start<00:44:14.240> of<00:44:14.400> a<00:44:14.559> third<00:44:15.280> world
00:44:16.710 --> 00:44:16.720 align:start position:0%
that the start of a third world
00:44:16.720 --> 00:44:19.510 align:start position:0%
that the start of a third world
war<00:44:17.720> anybody<00:44:18.119> want<00:44:18.240> to<00:44:18.400> come<00:44:18.599> in<00:44:18.720> on
00:44:19.510 --> 00:44:19.520 align:start position:0%
war anybody want to come in on
00:44:19.520 --> 00:44:22.430 align:start position:0%
war anybody want to come in on
this<00:44:20.520> I'm<00:44:20.720> happy<00:44:20.920> to<00:44:21.119> do<00:44:21.319> that
00:44:22.430 --> 00:44:22.440 align:start position:0%
this I'm happy to do that
00:44:22.440 --> 00:44:27.710 align:start position:0%
this I'm happy to do that
um<00:44:23.760> so<00:44:24.880> uh<00:44:25.880> yes<00:44:26.119> I<00:44:26.200> mean<00:44:26.319> there's<00:44:26.480> a<00:44:26.599> real<00:44:26.800> d
00:44:27.710 --> 00:44:27.720 align:start position:0%
um so uh yes I mean there's a real d
00:44:27.720 --> 00:44:30.230 align:start position:0%
um so uh yes I mean there's a real d
of<00:44:28.040> an<00:44:28.280> escalation<00:44:29.040> that<00:44:29.480> that<00:44:29.640> draws<00:44:29.960> in<00:44:30.119> the
00:44:30.230 --> 00:44:30.240 align:start position:0%
of an escalation that that draws in the
00:44:30.240 --> 00:44:32.870 align:start position:0%
of an escalation that that draws in the
United<00:44:30.599> States<00:44:31.000> you<00:44:31.200> have<00:44:31.319> to<00:44:31.599> remember<00:44:32.599> that
00:44:32.870 --> 00:44:32.880 align:start position:0%
United States you have to remember that
00:44:32.880 --> 00:44:35.670 align:start position:0%
United States you have to remember that
the<00:44:33.880> uh
00:44:35.670 --> 00:44:35.680 align:start position:0%
the uh
00:44:35.680 --> 00:44:42.390 align:start position:0%
the uh
when<00:44:36.680> Iran<00:44:38.079> unleashed<00:44:39.079> the<00:44:39.400> first<00:44:39.880> round<00:44:40.880> of
00:44:42.390 --> 00:44:42.400 align:start position:0%
when Iran unleashed the first round of
00:44:42.400 --> 00:44:46.030 align:start position:0%
when Iran unleashed the first round of
missiles<00:44:43.400> and<00:44:43.640> drones<00:44:44.520> the<00:44:44.680> United<00:44:45.200> States
00:44:46.030 --> 00:44:46.040 align:start position:0%
missiles and drones the United States
00:44:46.040 --> 00:44:48.230 align:start position:0%
missiles and drones the United States
intercepted<00:44:47.040> United<00:44:47.319> States<00:44:47.559> and<00:44:47.720> its
00:44:48.230 --> 00:44:48.240 align:start position:0%
intercepted United States and its
00:44:48.240 --> 00:44:51.150 align:start position:0%
intercepted United States and its
European<00:44:48.760> allies<00:44:49.440> and<00:44:50.119> I<00:44:50.280> think<00:44:50.440> some<00:44:50.640> of<00:44:50.800> the
00:44:51.150 --> 00:44:51.160 align:start position:0%
European allies and I think some of the
00:44:51.160 --> 00:44:54.150 align:start position:0%
European allies and I think some of the
in<00:44:51.280> the<00:44:51.400> region<00:44:51.760> as<00:44:51.920> well<00:44:52.319> were<00:44:53.160> responsible
00:44:54.150 --> 00:44:54.160 align:start position:0%
in the region as well were responsible
00:44:54.160 --> 00:44:58.549 align:start position:0%
in the region as well were responsible
for<00:44:55.079> taking<00:44:55.559> down<00:44:56.480> more<00:44:56.680> than<00:44:57.119> half<00:44:57.280> of<00:44:57.559> them
00:44:58.549 --> 00:44:58.559 align:start position:0%
for taking down more than half of them
00:44:58.559 --> 00:45:01.790 align:start position:0%
for taking down more than half of them
uh<00:44:59.319> and<00:44:59.640> that's<00:45:00.079> the<00:45:00.200> United<00:45:00.640> States<00:45:01.119> is<00:45:01.400> an
00:45:01.790 --> 00:45:01.800 align:start position:0%
uh and that's the United States is an
00:45:01.800 --> 00:45:06.069 align:start position:0%
uh and that's the United States is an
active<00:45:02.280> player<00:45:03.160> in<00:45:03.400> this<00:45:03.720> conflict<00:45:05.079> already
00:45:06.069 --> 00:45:06.079 align:start position:0%
active player in this conflict already
00:45:06.079 --> 00:45:09.430 align:start position:0%
active player in this conflict already
um<00:45:06.440> not<00:45:07.200> it<00:45:07.400> but<00:45:07.559> only<00:45:08.119> defensively<00:45:09.119> and<00:45:09.319> I
00:45:09.430 --> 00:45:09.440 align:start position:0%
um not it but only defensively and I
00:45:09.440 --> 00:45:11.270 align:start position:0%
um not it but only defensively and I
think<00:45:09.720> the<00:45:09.880> question<00:45:10.240> is<00:45:10.480> do<00:45:10.720> they<00:45:10.880> ever<00:45:11.119> get
00:45:11.270 --> 00:45:11.280 align:start position:0%
think the question is do they ever get
00:45:11.280 --> 00:45:15.390 align:start position:0%
think the question is do they ever get
into<00:45:11.640> an<00:45:12.280> offensive<00:45:13.280> role<00:45:14.240> now<00:45:14.559> it<00:45:14.880> it<00:45:15.079> has
00:45:15.390 --> 00:45:15.400 align:start position:0%
into an offensive role now it it has
00:45:15.400 --> 00:45:18.309 align:start position:0%
into an offensive role now it it has
effectively<00:45:16.400> in<00:45:16.640> Yemen<00:45:17.200> where<00:45:17.800> the<00:45:17.920> United
00:45:18.309 --> 00:45:18.319 align:start position:0%
effectively in Yemen where the United
00:45:18.319 --> 00:45:20.750 align:start position:0%
effectively in Yemen where the United
States<00:45:18.680> in<00:45:18.839> the<00:45:19.000> last<00:45:19.359> week<00:45:19.760> has<00:45:20.119> dispatched
00:45:20.750 --> 00:45:20.760 align:start position:0%
States in the last week has dispatched
00:45:20.760 --> 00:45:24.349 align:start position:0%
States in the last week has dispatched
b2s<00:45:21.760> stealth<00:45:22.200> bombers<00:45:23.200> to<00:45:23.440> take<00:45:23.640> out<00:45:23.839> houthi
00:45:24.349 --> 00:45:24.359 align:start position:0%
b2s stealth bombers to take out houthi
00:45:24.359 --> 00:45:27.630 align:start position:0%
b2s stealth bombers to take out houthi
positions<00:45:25.040> in<00:45:25.359> Yemen<00:45:26.359> uh<00:45:26.480> the<00:45:26.559> United<00:45:27.160> States
00:45:27.630 --> 00:45:27.640 align:start position:0%
positions in Yemen uh the United States
00:45:27.640 --> 00:45:30.829 align:start position:0%
positions in Yemen uh the United States
has<00:45:28.480> you<00:45:28.640> know<00:45:29.240> kind<00:45:29.359> of<00:45:29.520> lost<00:45:29.880> in<00:45:30.040> the<00:45:30.400> chaos
00:45:30.829 --> 00:45:30.839 align:start position:0%
has you know kind of lost in the chaos
00:45:30.839 --> 00:45:31.870 align:start position:0%
has you know kind of lost in the chaos
of<00:45:31.079> what's
00:45:31.870 --> 00:45:31.880 align:start position:0%
of what's
00:45:31.880 --> 00:45:34.950 align:start position:0%
of what's
Happening<00:45:32.880> uh<00:45:33.079> between<00:45:33.400> Israel<00:45:34.079> and<00:45:34.640> along
00:45:34.950 --> 00:45:34.960 align:start position:0%
Happening uh between Israel and along
00:45:34.960 --> 00:45:37.230 align:start position:0%
Happening uh between Israel and along
its<00:45:35.119> borders<00:45:35.920> little<00:45:36.200> noticed<00:45:36.680> as<00:45:36.880> the<00:45:37.000> fact
00:45:37.230 --> 00:45:37.240 align:start position:0%
its borders little noticed as the fact
00:45:37.240 --> 00:45:41.309 align:start position:0%
its borders little noticed as the fact
the<00:45:37.319> United<00:45:37.680> States<00:45:38.200> has<00:45:39.160> uh<00:45:39.440> taken<00:45:40.000> out
00:45:41.309 --> 00:45:41.319 align:start position:0%
the United States has uh taken out
00:45:41.319 --> 00:45:45.230 align:start position:0%
the United States has uh taken out
positions<00:45:42.319> uh<00:45:42.480> by<00:45:43.280> both<00:45:43.920> iran-backed<00:45:44.599> allies
00:45:45.230 --> 00:45:45.240 align:start position:0%
positions uh by both iran-backed allies
00:45:45.240 --> 00:45:47.910 align:start position:0%
positions uh by both iran-backed allies
and<00:45:45.520> Isis<00:45:46.400> in<00:45:46.640> Syria<00:45:47.079> and<00:45:47.280> Iraq<00:45:47.640> that<00:45:47.760> were
00:45:47.910 --> 00:45:47.920 align:start position:0%
and Isis in Syria and Iraq that were
00:45:47.920 --> 00:45:50.549 align:start position:0%
and Isis in Syria and Iraq that were
threatening<00:45:48.440> US<00:45:48.839> forces<00:45:49.760> so<00:45:50.000> there<00:45:50.160> is<00:45:50.400> that
00:45:50.549 --> 00:45:50.559 align:start position:0%
threatening US forces so there is that
00:45:50.559 --> 00:45:53.630 align:start position:0%
threatening US forces so there is that
danger<00:45:51.119> of<00:45:51.599> of<00:45:52.040> the<00:45:52.200> trip<00:45:52.559> wire<00:45:53.000> you<00:45:53.160> know<00:45:53.400> not
00:45:53.630 --> 00:45:53.640 align:start position:0%
danger of of the trip wire you know not
00:45:53.640 --> 00:45:55.309 align:start position:0%
danger of of the trip wire you know not
because<00:45:53.880> the<00:45:53.960> United<00:45:54.280> States<00:45:54.599> wants<00:45:54.960> to<00:45:55.160> get
00:45:55.309 --> 00:45:55.319 align:start position:0%
because the United States wants to get
00:45:55.319 --> 00:45:57.589 align:start position:0%
because the United States wants to get
involved<00:45:55.760> but<00:45:55.960> because<00:45:56.200> it<00:45:56.359> will<00:45:57.160> now<00:45:57.359> I<00:45:57.440> do
00:45:57.589 --> 00:45:57.599 align:start position:0%
involved but because it will now I do
00:45:57.599 --> 00:45:59.950 align:start position:0%
involved but because it will now I do
not<00:45:57.800> think<00:45:58.079> NATO<00:45:58.559> plays<00:45:58.839> a<00:45:59.000> role<00:45:59.640> this<00:45:59.800> is
00:45:59.950 --> 00:45:59.960 align:start position:0%
not think NATO plays a role this is
00:45:59.960 --> 00:46:01.670 align:start position:0%
not think NATO plays a role this is
where<00:46:00.280> NATO<00:46:00.680> learned<00:46:01.000> a<00:46:01.119> lesson<00:46:01.440> in
00:46:01.670 --> 00:46:01.680 align:start position:0%
where NATO learned a lesson in
00:46:01.680 --> 00:46:03.589 align:start position:0%
where NATO learned a lesson in
Afghanistan<00:46:02.520> which<00:46:02.680> was<00:46:03.000> its<00:46:03.200> first
00:46:03.589 --> 00:46:03.599 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan which was its first
00:46:03.599 --> 00:46:07.430 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan which was its first
commitment<00:46:04.480> outside<00:46:05.040> of<00:46:05.280> European<00:46:06.280> territory
00:46:07.430 --> 00:46:07.440 align:start position:0%
commitment outside of European territory
00:46:07.440 --> 00:46:10.349 align:start position:0%
commitment outside of European territory
and<00:46:08.440> and<00:46:09.040> you<00:46:09.160> know<00:46:09.400> that<00:46:09.559> didn't<00:46:09.760> turn<00:46:09.960> out<00:46:10.160> so
00:46:10.349 --> 00:46:10.359 align:start position:0%
and and you know that didn't turn out so
00:46:10.359 --> 00:46:13.069 align:start position:0%
and and you know that didn't turn out so
well<00:46:10.599> after<00:46:10.839> 20<00:46:11.200> years<00:46:11.559> and<00:46:11.760> NATO<00:46:12.640> was<00:46:12.880> the
00:46:13.069 --> 00:46:13.079 align:start position:0%
well after 20 years and NATO was the
00:46:13.079 --> 00:46:17.870 align:start position:0%
well after 20 years and NATO was the
official<00:46:14.079> command<00:46:14.839> unit<00:46:15.839> uh<00:46:16.000> for<00:46:16.599> the<00:46:17.280> largely
00:46:17.870 --> 00:46:17.880 align:start position:0%
official command unit uh for the largely
00:46:17.880 --> 00:46:21.150 align:start position:0%
official command unit uh for the largely
or<00:46:18.200> the<00:46:18.800> US<00:46:19.280> dominant<00:46:20.280> pres<00:46:20.599> military
00:46:21.150 --> 00:46:21.160 align:start position:0%
or the US dominant pres military
00:46:21.160 --> 00:46:23.990 align:start position:0%
or the US dominant pres military
presence<00:46:21.640> there<00:46:22.359> so<00:46:22.839> I<00:46:23.040> I<00:46:23.119> don't<00:46:23.319> see<00:46:23.559> any<00:46:23.720> role
00:46:23.990 --> 00:46:24.000 align:start position:0%
presence there so I I don't see any role
00:46:24.000 --> 00:46:27.230 align:start position:0%
presence there so I I don't see any role
for<00:46:24.280> NATO<00:46:25.079> I<00:46:25.160> do<00:46:25.359> see<00:46:25.599> the<00:46:25.760> US<00:46:26.400> kind<00:46:26.559> of<00:46:26.960> being
00:46:27.230 --> 00:46:27.240 align:start position:0%
for NATO I do see the US kind of being
00:46:27.240 --> 00:46:29.950 align:start position:0%
for NATO I do see the US kind of being
sucked<00:46:27.680> in<00:46:28.240> more<00:46:28.440> and<00:46:28.599> more<00:46:28.880> defensively<00:46:29.680> to
00:46:29.950 --> 00:46:29.960 align:start position:0%
sucked in more and more defensively to
00:46:29.960 --> 00:46:32.990 align:start position:0%
sucked in more and more defensively to
protect<00:46:30.359> Israel<00:46:31.359> and<00:46:31.480> the<00:46:31.680> question<00:46:32.040> is<00:46:32.440> does
00:46:32.990 --> 00:46:33.000 align:start position:0%
protect Israel and the question is does
00:46:33.000 --> 00:46:35.030 align:start position:0%
protect Israel and the question is does
uh<00:46:33.240> does<00:46:33.359> it<00:46:33.480> trip<00:46:33.760> into<00:46:34.000> something<00:46:34.319> bigger
00:46:35.030 --> 00:46:35.040 align:start position:0%
uh does it trip into something bigger
00:46:35.040 --> 00:46:37.150 align:start position:0%
uh does it trip into something bigger
and<00:46:35.240> Matt<00:46:35.520> may<00:46:35.880> be<00:46:36.280> particularly<00:46:36.760> interesting
00:46:37.150 --> 00:46:37.160 align:start position:0%
and Matt may be particularly interesting
00:46:37.160 --> 00:46:38.510 align:start position:0%
and Matt may be particularly interesting
on<00:46:37.400> this
00:46:38.510 --> 00:46:38.520 align:start position:0%
on this
00:46:38.520 --> 00:46:41.549 align:start position:0%
on this
question<00:46:39.520> any<00:46:39.800> other<00:46:40.520> comment<00:46:41.079> let<00:46:41.240> me
00:46:41.549 --> 00:46:41.559 align:start position:0%
question any other comment let me
00:46:41.559 --> 00:46:43.710 align:start position:0%
question any other comment let me
actually<00:46:41.920> ask<00:46:42.200> another<00:46:42.559> question<00:46:43.000> related<00:46:43.440> to
00:46:43.710 --> 00:46:43.720 align:start position:0%
actually ask another question related to
00:46:43.720 --> 00:46:49.710 align:start position:0%
actually ask another question related to
this<00:46:44.359> from<00:46:44.920> uh<00:46:45.480> jar<00:46:46.359> j<00:46:47.000> Angulo<00:46:48.000> from<00:46:48.480> from<00:46:48.960> UCLA
00:46:49.710 --> 00:46:49.720 align:start position:0%
this from uh jar j Angulo from from UCLA
00:46:49.720 --> 00:46:52.230 align:start position:0%
this from uh jar j Angulo from from UCLA
I<00:46:49.800> believe<00:46:50.079> UCLA<00:46:50.559> at<00:46:50.640> least<00:46:50.880> Los<00:46:51.160> Angeles<00:46:52.160> I
00:46:52.230 --> 00:46:52.240 align:start position:0%
I believe UCLA at least Los Angeles I
00:46:52.240 --> 00:46:54.109 align:start position:0%
I believe UCLA at least Los Angeles I
don't<00:46:52.760> understand<00:46:52.960> the<00:46:53.079> Iranian<00:46:53.680> hatred
00:46:54.109 --> 00:46:54.119 align:start position:0%
don't understand the Iranian hatred
00:46:54.119 --> 00:46:56.510 align:start position:0%
don't understand the Iranian hatred
toward<00:46:54.480> Israel<00:46:55.319> can<00:46:55.520> someone<00:46:55.880> explain<00:46:56.359> why
00:46:56.510 --> 00:46:56.520 align:start position:0%
toward Israel can someone explain why
00:46:56.520 --> 00:46:59.470 align:start position:0%
toward Israel can someone explain why
this<00:46:56.880> hatred<00:46:57.680> exists<00:46:58.680> so<00:46:58.920> you<00:46:59.079> have<00:46:59.240> two
00:46:59.470 --> 00:46:59.480 align:start position:0%
this hatred exists so you have two
00:46:59.480 --> 00:47:01.270 align:start position:0%
this hatred exists so you have two
questions<00:46:59.960> here<00:47:00.359> that<00:47:00.480> you<00:47:00.599> can<00:47:00.760> play<00:47:01.079> with
00:47:01.270 --> 00:47:01.280 align:start position:0%
questions here that you can play with
00:47:01.280 --> 00:47:03.670 align:start position:0%
questions here that you can play with
and<00:47:01.520> I<00:47:01.640> don't<00:47:01.880> know<00:47:02.520> whether<00:47:02.839> Robin<00:47:03.160> wants<00:47:03.400> to
00:47:03.670 --> 00:47:03.680 align:start position:0%
and I don't know whether Robin wants to
00:47:03.680 --> 00:47:06.069 align:start position:0%
and I don't know whether Robin wants to
add<00:47:03.960> anything<00:47:04.720> uh
00:47:06.069 --> 00:47:06.079 align:start position:0%
add anything uh
00:47:06.079 --> 00:47:09.230 align:start position:0%
add anything uh
B<00:47:07.079> no<00:47:07.280> I<00:47:07.440> agree<00:47:07.720> with<00:47:08.079> Robin's<00:47:08.680> answer<00:47:08.960> to<00:47:09.119> the
00:47:09.230 --> 00:47:09.240 align:start position:0%
B no I agree with Robin's answer to the
00:47:09.240 --> 00:47:11.990 align:start position:0%
B no I agree with Robin's answer to the
earlier<00:47:09.760> question<00:47:10.760> and<00:47:11.200> this<00:47:11.480> question
00:47:11.990 --> 00:47:12.000 align:start position:0%
earlier question and this question
00:47:12.000 --> 00:47:15.230 align:start position:0%
earlier question and this question
actually<00:47:12.440> requires<00:47:13.160> a<00:47:13.440> a<00:47:13.559> full<00:47:13.960> briefing<00:47:14.960> over
00:47:15.230 --> 00:47:15.240 align:start position:0%
actually requires a a full briefing over
00:47:15.240 --> 00:47:21.430 align:start position:0%
actually requires a a full briefing over
90<00:47:15.599> minutes<00:47:16.040> why<00:47:16.559> Iran<00:47:17.800> um<00:47:18.800> uh<00:47:19.599> it<00:47:19.880> is<00:47:20.559> um<00:47:21.079> so
00:47:21.430 --> 00:47:21.440 align:start position:0%
90 minutes why Iran um uh it is um so
00:47:21.440 --> 00:47:27.030 align:start position:0%
90 minutes why Iran um uh it is um so
antagonistic<00:47:22.240> towards<00:47:23.599> Israel<00:47:24.599> um<00:47:24.960> but<00:47:25.920> uh
00:47:27.030 --> 00:47:27.040 align:start position:0%
antagonistic towards Israel um but uh
00:47:27.040 --> 00:47:29.030 align:start position:0%
antagonistic towards Israel um but uh
one<00:47:27.520> there<00:47:27.760> there<00:47:27.839> are<00:47:28.119> really<00:47:28.480> multiple
00:47:29.030 --> 00:47:29.040 align:start position:0%
one there there are really multiple
00:47:29.040 --> 00:47:31.430 align:start position:0%
one there there are really multiple
aspects<00:47:29.440> and<00:47:29.599> we<00:47:29.720> won't<00:47:30.000> have<00:47:30.240> time<00:47:30.480> for<00:47:31.200> for
00:47:31.430 --> 00:47:31.440 align:start position:0%
aspects and we won't have time for for
00:47:31.440 --> 00:47:34.589 align:start position:0%
aspects and we won't have time for for
me<00:47:31.640> to<00:47:31.960> go<00:47:32.200> go<00:47:32.400> into<00:47:32.720> that<00:47:33.079> but
00:47:34.589 --> 00:47:34.599 align:start position:0%
me to go go into that but
00:47:34.599 --> 00:47:38.510 align:start position:0%
me to go go into that but
um<00:47:35.599> the<00:47:36.000> one<00:47:36.319> reality<00:47:36.880> that<00:47:37.079> many<00:47:37.400> people
00:47:38.510 --> 00:47:38.520 align:start position:0%
um the one reality that many people
00:47:38.520 --> 00:47:40.790 align:start position:0%
um the one reality that many people
forget<00:47:39.520> is<00:47:39.760> that<00:47:40.000> a<00:47:40.160> lot<00:47:40.319> of<00:47:40.559> the
00:47:40.790 --> 00:47:40.800 align:start position:0%
forget is that a lot of the
00:47:40.800 --> 00:47:43.549 align:start position:0%
forget is that a lot of the
revolutionary<00:47:41.720> leaders<00:47:42.720> of<00:47:42.920> the<00:47:43.040> Iranian
00:47:43.549 --> 00:47:43.559 align:start position:0%
revolutionary leaders of the Iranian
00:47:43.559 --> 00:47:46.390 align:start position:0%
revolutionary leaders of the Iranian
Revolution<00:47:44.319> in<00:47:44.440> the<00:47:44.640> 70s<00:47:45.319> those<00:47:45.559> who<00:47:45.720> were
00:47:46.390 --> 00:47:46.400 align:start position:0%
Revolution in the 70s those who were
00:47:46.400 --> 00:47:50.630 align:start position:0%
Revolution in the 70s those who were
sent<00:47:46.800> into<00:47:47.440> Exile<00:47:48.440> they<00:47:48.760> actually<00:47:49.280> lived<00:47:49.800> in
00:47:50.630 --> 00:47:50.640 align:start position:0%
sent into Exile they actually lived in
00:47:50.640 --> 00:47:52.430 align:start position:0%
sent into Exile they actually lived in
Lebanon<00:47:51.359> of<00:47:51.520> the
00:47:52.430 --> 00:47:52.440 align:start position:0%
Lebanon of the
00:47:52.440 --> 00:47:55.950 align:start position:0%
Lebanon of the
1970s<00:47:53.440> when<00:47:53.680> a<00:47:53.839> lot<00:47:54.040> of<00:47:54.240> the<00:47:54.960> Palestinian
00:47:55.950 --> 00:47:55.960 align:start position:0%
1970s when a lot of the Palestinian
00:47:55.960 --> 00:47:58.990 align:start position:0%
1970s when a lot of the Palestinian
refugees<00:47:56.559> were<00:47:56.960> also<00:47:57.240> based<00:47:57.559> in<00:47:57.760> Lebanon<00:47:58.760> and
00:47:58.990 --> 00:47:59.000 align:start position:0%
refugees were also based in Lebanon and
00:47:59.000 --> 00:48:01.270 align:start position:0%
refugees were also based in Lebanon and
a<00:47:59.200> lot<00:47:59.359> of<00:47:59.640> things<00:48:00.000> we<00:48:00.119> are<00:48:00.280> seeing<00:48:00.640> a<00:48:00.800> lot<00:48:00.920> of
00:48:01.270 --> 00:48:01.280 align:start position:0%
a lot of things we are seeing a lot of
00:48:01.280 --> 00:48:02.750 align:start position:0%
a lot of things we are seeing a lot of
Israeli
00:48:02.750 --> 00:48:02.760 align:start position:0%
Israeli
00:48:02.760 --> 00:48:06.470 align:start position:0%
Israeli
crimes<00:48:03.760> um<00:48:04.200> that<00:48:04.359> we<00:48:04.480> are<00:48:04.800> seeing<00:48:05.480> today
00:48:06.470 --> 00:48:06.480 align:start position:0%
crimes um that we are seeing today
00:48:06.480 --> 00:48:08.510 align:start position:0%
crimes um that we are seeing today
because<00:48:06.839> there<00:48:07.000> is<00:48:07.240> life<00:48:07.599> television<00:48:08.319> and
00:48:08.510 --> 00:48:08.520 align:start position:0%
because there is life television and
00:48:08.520 --> 00:48:11.270 align:start position:0%
because there is life television and
there<00:48:08.640> is<00:48:08.839> social<00:48:09.240> media<00:48:09.720> and<00:48:09.880> so<00:48:10.040> on<00:48:11.040> these
00:48:11.270 --> 00:48:11.280 align:start position:0%
there is social media and so on these
00:48:11.280 --> 00:48:14.870 align:start position:0%
there is social media and so on these
leaders<00:48:11.920> actually<00:48:12.200> so<00:48:12.720> life<00:48:13.119> in<00:48:13.640> Lebanon<00:48:14.640> the
00:48:14.870 --> 00:48:14.880 align:start position:0%
leaders actually so life in Lebanon the
00:48:14.880 --> 00:48:16.950 align:start position:0%
leaders actually so life in Lebanon the
atrocities<00:48:15.680> of<00:48:15.920> Israelis<00:48:16.640> against
00:48:16.950 --> 00:48:16.960 align:start position:0%
atrocities of Israelis against
00:48:16.960 --> 00:48:18.870 align:start position:0%
atrocities of Israelis against
Palestinians<00:48:17.680> and<00:48:17.920> against<00:48:18.119> the<00:48:18.240> Lebanese<00:48:18.800> in
00:48:18.870 --> 00:48:18.880 align:start position:0%
Palestinians and against the Lebanese in
00:48:18.880 --> 00:48:23.190 align:start position:0%
Palestinians and against the Lebanese in
the<00:48:19.160> 1970s<00:48:20.160> so<00:48:20.400> the<00:48:20.640> seed<00:48:21.160> was<00:48:21.400> already<00:48:22.200> there
00:48:23.190 --> 00:48:23.200 align:start position:0%
the 1970s so the seed was already there
00:48:23.200 --> 00:48:26.390 align:start position:0%
the 1970s so the seed was already there
um<00:48:23.480> for<00:48:23.960> a<00:48:24.160> a<00:48:24.359> certain<00:48:24.760> degree<00:48:25.079> of<00:48:25.280> hatred<00:48:26.160> but
00:48:26.390 --> 00:48:26.400 align:start position:0%
um for a a certain degree of hatred but
00:48:26.400 --> 00:48:28.270 align:start position:0%
um for a a certain degree of hatred but
obviously<00:48:27.000> there<00:48:27.079> are<00:48:27.319> other<00:48:27.520> layers<00:48:28.079> that
00:48:28.270 --> 00:48:28.280 align:start position:0%
obviously there are other layers that
00:48:28.280 --> 00:48:32.349 align:start position:0%
obviously there are other layers that
have<00:48:28.640> been<00:48:28.920> added<00:48:29.760> I<00:48:29.880> think<00:48:30.400> today<00:48:31.400> the<00:48:31.680> best
00:48:32.349 --> 00:48:32.359 align:start position:0%
have been added I think today the best
00:48:32.359 --> 00:48:35.750 align:start position:0%
have been added I think today the best
description<00:48:33.079> of<00:48:33.800> the<00:48:34.800> competition<00:48:35.400> between
00:48:35.750 --> 00:48:35.760 align:start position:0%
description of the competition between
00:48:35.760 --> 00:48:38.150 align:start position:0%
description of the competition between
Iran<00:48:36.079> and<00:48:36.280> Israel<00:48:36.800> is<00:48:36.920> a<00:48:37.200> strategic
00:48:38.150 --> 00:48:38.160 align:start position:0%
Iran and Israel is a strategic
00:48:38.160 --> 00:48:42.430 align:start position:0%
Iran and Israel is a strategic
competition<00:48:39.160> between<00:48:39.640> two<00:48:40.160> Powers<00:48:41.160> who<00:48:41.520> both
00:48:42.430 --> 00:48:42.440 align:start position:0%
competition between two Powers who both
00:48:42.440 --> 00:48:44.510 align:start position:0%
competition between two Powers who both
want<00:48:42.760> to<00:48:42.920> be<00:48:43.119> the<00:48:43.280> number<00:48:43.559> one<00:48:43.880> power<00:48:44.160> of<00:48:44.319> the
00:48:44.510 --> 00:48:44.520 align:start position:0%
want to be the number one power of the
00:48:44.520 --> 00:48:46.990 align:start position:0%
want to be the number one power of the
region<00:48:45.520> obviously<00:48:46.000> you<00:48:46.160> cannot<00:48:46.599> have<00:48:46.760> two
00:48:46.990 --> 00:48:47.000 align:start position:0%
region obviously you cannot have two
00:48:47.000 --> 00:48:50.069 align:start position:0%
region obviously you cannot have two
number<00:48:47.319> one<00:48:47.640> powers<00:48:48.160> and<00:48:48.359> that's<00:48:48.720> why<00:48:49.720> um<00:48:49.880> you
00:48:50.069 --> 00:48:50.079 align:start position:0%
number one powers and that's why um you
00:48:50.079 --> 00:48:52.309 align:start position:0%
number one powers and that's why um you
try<00:48:50.440> to<00:48:50.760> undermine<00:48:51.440> the
00:48:52.309 --> 00:48:52.319 align:start position:0%
try to undermine the
00:48:52.319 --> 00:48:56.430 align:start position:0%
try to undermine the
other<00:48:53.319> uh<00:48:53.920> uh<00:48:54.160> Power<00:48:54.640> that<00:48:55.119> wants<00:48:55.400> to<00:48:55.720> occupy
00:48:56.430 --> 00:48:56.440 align:start position:0%
other uh uh Power that wants to occupy
00:48:56.440 --> 00:48:58.990 align:start position:0%
other uh uh Power that wants to occupy
the<00:48:56.880> the<00:48:57.040> the<00:48:57.160> number<00:48:57.440> one<00:48:57.760> position<00:48:58.599> and<00:48:58.839> that
00:48:58.990 --> 00:48:59.000 align:start position:0%
the the the number one position and that
00:48:59.000 --> 00:49:00.309 align:start position:0%
the the the number one position and that
turns<00:48:59.359> into<00:48:59.640> a
00:49:00.309 --> 00:49:00.319 align:start position:0%
turns into a
00:49:00.319 --> 00:49:02.549 align:start position:0%
turns into a
confrontation<00:49:01.319> and<00:49:01.520> whether<00:49:01.760> we<00:49:01.920> like<00:49:02.160> it<00:49:02.319> or
00:49:02.549 --> 00:49:02.559 align:start position:0%
confrontation and whether we like it or
00:49:02.559 --> 00:49:05.670 align:start position:0%
confrontation and whether we like it or
not<00:49:03.359> even<00:49:03.839> without<00:49:04.200> a<00:49:04.400> military<00:49:05.160> exchange
00:49:05.670 --> 00:49:05.680 align:start position:0%
not even without a military exchange
00:49:05.680 --> 00:49:08.349 align:start position:0%
not even without a military exchange
between<00:49:06.000> Iran<00:49:06.280> and<00:49:06.480> Israel<00:49:07.400> there<00:49:07.559> is<00:49:07.720> a<00:49:07.960> war
00:49:08.349 --> 00:49:08.359 align:start position:0%
between Iran and Israel there is a war
00:49:08.359 --> 00:49:12.750 align:start position:0%
between Iran and Israel there is a war
going<00:49:08.599> on<00:49:09.280> both<00:49:09.760> in<00:49:10.440> through<00:49:10.799> cyber<00:49:11.280> security
00:49:12.750 --> 00:49:12.760 align:start position:0%
going on both in through cyber security
00:49:12.760 --> 00:49:15.950 align:start position:0%
going on both in through cyber security
assassinations<00:49:13.760> proxies<00:49:14.520> and<00:49:14.720> so<00:49:14.880> on<00:49:15.160> so<00:49:15.760> the
00:49:15.950 --> 00:49:15.960 align:start position:0%
assassinations proxies and so on so the
00:49:15.960 --> 00:49:19.069 align:start position:0%
assassinations proxies and so on so the
confrontation<00:49:16.720> is<00:49:17.079> real<00:49:18.079> what<00:49:18.240> we<00:49:18.359> are<00:49:18.559> hoping
00:49:19.069 --> 00:49:19.079 align:start position:0%
confrontation is real what we are hoping
00:49:19.079 --> 00:49:21.990 align:start position:0%
confrontation is real what we are hoping
here<00:49:19.440> is<00:49:19.640> that<00:49:19.799> it<00:49:20.000> does<00:49:20.240> not<00:49:20.520> go<00:49:20.799> into<00:49:21.079> a<00:49:21.280> hot
00:49:21.990 --> 00:49:22.000 align:start position:0%
here is that it does not go into a hot
00:49:22.000 --> 00:49:25.030 align:start position:0%
here is that it does not go into a hot
military<00:49:22.839> confrontation<00:49:23.839> but<00:49:24.119> essentially
00:49:25.030 --> 00:49:25.040 align:start position:0%
military confrontation but essentially
00:49:25.040 --> 00:49:27.510 align:start position:0%
military confrontation but essentially
it's<00:49:25.160> a<00:49:25.400> competition<00:49:26.079> between<00:49:26.359> two<00:49:26.799> Powers
00:49:27.510 --> 00:49:27.520 align:start position:0%
it's a competition between two Powers
00:49:27.520 --> 00:49:29.630 align:start position:0%
it's a competition between two Powers
who<00:49:27.680> want<00:49:27.839> to<00:49:28.000> be<00:49:28.200> the<00:49:28.359> number<00:49:28.640> one<00:49:28.839> Regional
00:49:29.630 --> 00:49:29.640 align:start position:0%
who want to be the number one Regional
00:49:29.640 --> 00:49:33.430 align:start position:0%
who want to be the number one Regional
power<00:49:30.640> thank<00:49:30.839> you<00:49:31.119> now<00:49:31.799> uh<00:49:32.280> we<00:49:32.520> have<00:49:32.960> I<00:49:33.040> want<00:49:33.160> to
00:49:33.430 --> 00:49:33.440 align:start position:0%
power thank you now uh we have I want to
00:49:33.440 --> 00:49:35.789 align:start position:0%
power thank you now uh we have I want to
give
00:49:35.789 --> 00:49:35.799 align:start position:0%
give
00:49:35.799 --> 00:49:39.829 align:start position:0%
give
um<00:49:36.799> I<00:49:37.160> I<00:49:37.240> want<00:49:37.359> to<00:49:37.559> give<00:49:38.000> a<00:49:38.119> quick<00:49:38.480> chance<00:49:39.480> uh
00:49:39.829 --> 00:49:39.839 align:start position:0%
um I I want to give a quick chance uh
00:49:39.839 --> 00:49:42.710 align:start position:0%
um I I want to give a quick chance uh
for<00:49:40.280> Robin<00:49:41.240> to<00:49:41.520> conclude<00:49:42.040> but<00:49:42.200> I<00:49:42.280> have<00:49:42.440> one
00:49:42.710 --> 00:49:42.720 align:start position:0%
for Robin to conclude but I have one
00:49:42.720 --> 00:49:47.230 align:start position:0%
for Robin to conclude but I have one
last<00:49:43.000> question<00:49:44.000> uh<00:49:44.160> that<00:49:44.359> I<00:49:44.640> think<00:49:46.000> uh<00:49:47.000> might
00:49:47.230 --> 00:49:47.240 align:start position:0%
last question uh that I think uh might
00:49:47.240 --> 00:49:51.430 align:start position:0%
last question uh that I think uh might
be<00:49:47.400> for<00:49:47.760> her<00:49:48.760> and<00:49:49.400> uh<00:49:49.599> it's<00:49:49.960> from<00:49:50.640> uh<00:49:51.000> another
00:49:51.430 --> 00:49:51.440 align:start position:0%
be for her and uh it's from uh another
00:49:51.440 --> 00:49:54.710 align:start position:0%
be for her and uh it's from uh another
UCLA<00:49:52.319> person<00:49:53.319> I<00:49:53.839> probably<00:49:54.160> gonna<00:49:54.319> have<00:49:54.440> a<00:49:54.520> hard
00:49:54.710 --> 00:49:54.720 align:start position:0%
UCLA person I probably gonna have a hard
00:49:54.720 --> 00:49:58.030 align:start position:0%
UCLA person I probably gonna have a hard
time<00:49:54.880> giving<00:49:55.119> the<00:49:55.280> name<00:49:55.520> b<00:49:55.839> ru
00:49:58.030 --> 00:49:58.040 align:start position:0%
time giving the name b ru
00:49:58.040 --> 00:49:59.829 align:start position:0%
time giving the name b ru
um
00:49:59.829 --> 00:49:59.839 align:start position:0%
um
00:49:59.839 --> 00:50:03.030 align:start position:0%
um
am<00:50:00.839> B<00:50:01.400> UCLA<00:50:01.839> graduate<00:50:02.160> student<00:50:02.720> with<00:50:02.880> the
00:50:03.030 --> 00:50:03.040 align:start position:0%
am B UCLA graduate student with the
00:50:03.040 --> 00:50:03.990 align:start position:0%
am B UCLA graduate student with the
recent
00:50:03.990 --> 00:50:04.000 align:start position:0%
recent
00:50:04.000 --> 00:50:09.150 align:start position:0%
recent
killings<00:50:05.000> of<00:50:06.319> isma<00:50:07.319> on<00:50:07.520> Iranian<00:50:08.040> oil<00:50:08.440> Hamas
00:50:09.150 --> 00:50:09.160 align:start position:0%
killings of isma on Iranian oil Hamas
00:50:09.160 --> 00:50:12.549 align:start position:0%
killings of isma on Iranian oil Hamas
leader<00:50:09.680> Yaya<00:50:10.480> asir<00:50:11.119> and<00:50:11.680> Hezbollah<00:50:12.160> leader
00:50:12.549 --> 00:50:12.559 align:start position:0%
leader Yaya asir and Hezbollah leader
00:50:12.559 --> 00:50:15.390 align:start position:0%
leader Yaya asir and Hezbollah leader
Hassan<00:50:13.559> nzola<00:50:14.000> how<00:50:14.400> do<00:50:14.599> you<00:50:14.839> anticipate
00:50:15.390 --> 00:50:15.400 align:start position:0%
Hassan nzola how do you anticipate
00:50:15.400 --> 00:50:18.349 align:start position:0%
Hassan nzola how do you anticipate
Iran's<00:50:16.000> proxy<00:50:16.480> support<00:50:17.359> and<00:50:17.599> strategy<00:50:18.119> to
00:50:18.349 --> 00:50:18.359 align:start position:0%
Iran's proxy support and strategy to
00:50:18.359 --> 00:50:21.349 align:start position:0%
Iran's proxy support and strategy to
change<00:50:19.200> in<00:50:19.359> the<00:50:19.520> medium<00:50:20.040> and<00:50:20.359> long-term
00:50:21.349 --> 00:50:21.359 align:start position:0%
change in the medium and long-term
00:50:21.359 --> 00:50:24.630 align:start position:0%
change in the medium and long-term
future<00:50:22.000> tough<00:50:22.640> question<00:50:23.640> and<00:50:23.960> Robin<00:50:24.319> are<00:50:24.440> you
00:50:24.630 --> 00:50:24.640 align:start position:0%
future tough question and Robin are you
00:50:24.640 --> 00:50:27.510 align:start position:0%
future tough question and Robin are you
ready<00:50:24.880> to<00:50:25.440> try<00:50:25.799> something
00:50:27.510 --> 00:50:27.520 align:start position:0%
ready to try something
00:50:27.520 --> 00:50:31.470 align:start position:0%
ready to try something
I<00:50:27.640> am<00:50:28.240> indeed<00:50:29.200> uh<00:50:29.559> I<00:50:29.880> actually<00:50:30.880> think<00:50:31.240> that
00:50:31.470 --> 00:50:31.480 align:start position:0%
I am indeed uh I actually think that
00:50:31.480 --> 00:50:34.870 align:start position:0%
I am indeed uh I actually think that
Iran<00:50:32.000> will<00:50:32.319> continue<00:50:32.720> to<00:50:32.960> support<00:50:33.920> its<00:50:34.319> allies
00:50:34.870 --> 00:50:34.880 align:start position:0%
Iran will continue to support its allies
00:50:34.880 --> 00:50:37.390 align:start position:0%
Iran will continue to support its allies
I<00:50:34.920> mean<00:50:35.119> this<00:50:35.240> is<00:50:35.599> his<00:50:35.839> whole<00:50:36.680> strategy<00:50:37.119> and
00:50:37.390 --> 00:50:37.400 align:start position:0%
I mean this is his whole strategy and
00:50:37.400 --> 00:50:40.150 align:start position:0%
I mean this is his whole strategy and
has<00:50:37.680> been<00:50:38.319> defense<00:50:38.760> strategy<00:50:39.440> a<00:50:39.599> national
00:50:40.150 --> 00:50:40.160 align:start position:0%
has been defense strategy a national
00:50:40.160 --> 00:50:42.670 align:start position:0%
has been defense strategy a national
defense<00:50:40.480> strategy<00:50:40.960> and<00:50:41.200> has<00:50:41.440> been<00:50:42.160> since<00:50:42.480> the
00:50:42.670 --> 00:50:42.680 align:start position:0%
defense strategy and has been since the
00:50:42.680 --> 00:50:46.750 align:start position:0%
defense strategy and has been since the
1979<00:50:43.920> Revolution<00:50:44.920> um<00:50:45.760> one<00:50:45.920> of<00:50:46.079> the<00:50:46.280> things
00:50:46.750 --> 00:50:46.760 align:start position:0%
1979 Revolution um one of the things
00:50:46.760 --> 00:50:48.950 align:start position:0%
1979 Revolution um one of the things
that<00:50:47.240> one<00:50:47.520> one<00:50:47.640> of<00:50:47.799> my<00:50:48.040> favorite<00:50:48.480> quotes<00:50:48.839> in
00:50:48.950 --> 00:50:48.960 align:start position:0%
that one one of my favorite quotes in
00:50:48.960 --> 00:50:50.470 align:start position:0%
that one one of my favorite quotes in
the<00:50:49.079> piece<00:50:49.319> I<00:50:49.440> wrote<00:50:49.640> for<00:50:49.760> the<00:50:49.880> New<00:50:50.040> Yorker
00:50:50.470 --> 00:50:50.480 align:start position:0%
the piece I wrote for the New Yorker
00:50:50.480 --> 00:50:53.109 align:start position:0%
the piece I wrote for the New Yorker
comes<00:50:50.799> from<00:50:51.000> Ryan<00:50:51.359> Crocker<00:50:52.359> who<00:50:52.520> was<00:50:52.680> the<00:50:52.799> US
00:50:53.109 --> 00:50:53.119 align:start position:0%
comes from Ryan Crocker who was the US
00:50:53.119 --> 00:50:55.549 align:start position:0%
comes from Ryan Crocker who was the US
ambassador<00:50:53.640> to<00:50:53.839> Lebanon<00:50:54.400> Syria<00:50:54.880> Iraq
00:50:55.549 --> 00:50:55.559 align:start position:0%
ambassador to Lebanon Syria Iraq
00:50:55.559 --> 00:50:59.230 align:start position:0%
ambassador to Lebanon Syria Iraq
Afghanistan<00:50:56.319> Pakistan<00:50:56.839> an<00:50:57.319> Kuwait<00:50:58.319> and<00:50:58.799> he
00:50:59.230 --> 00:50:59.240 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan Pakistan an Kuwait and he
00:50:59.240 --> 00:51:02.270 align:start position:0%
Afghanistan Pakistan an Kuwait and he
warned<00:51:00.240> that<00:51:00.799> defeat<00:51:01.200> can<00:51:01.359> only<00:51:01.559> be<00:51:01.760> defined
00:51:02.270 --> 00:51:02.280 align:start position:0%
warned that defeat can only be defined
00:51:02.280 --> 00:51:05.349 align:start position:0%
warned that defeat can only be defined
by<00:51:02.440> the<00:51:02.640> party<00:51:03.280> that<00:51:03.440> is<00:51:03.720> ostensibly<00:51:04.720> defeated
00:51:05.349 --> 00:51:05.359 align:start position:0%
by the party that is ostensibly defeated
00:51:05.359 --> 00:51:08.349 align:start position:0%
by the party that is ostensibly defeated
not<00:51:05.599> by<00:51:05.799> the<00:51:06.000> presumed<00:51:06.480> Victor<00:51:07.440> if<00:51:07.640> one<00:51:07.839> feels
00:51:08.349 --> 00:51:08.359 align:start position:0%
not by the presumed Victor if one feels
00:51:08.359 --> 00:51:11.549 align:start position:0%
not by the presumed Victor if one feels
defeated<00:51:09.359> one<00:51:09.599> is<00:51:09.760> defeated<00:51:10.559> if<00:51:10.760> not<00:51:11.280> one
00:51:11.549 --> 00:51:11.559 align:start position:0%
defeated one is defeated if not one
00:51:11.559 --> 00:51:15.670 align:start position:0%
defeated one is defeated if not one
fights<00:51:12.119> on<00:51:13.119> and<00:51:13.880> I<00:51:14.079> suspect<00:51:14.640> Iran<00:51:15.040> will<00:51:15.319> do
00:51:15.670 --> 00:51:15.680 align:start position:0%
fights on and I suspect Iran will do
00:51:15.680 --> 00:51:18.950 align:start position:0%
fights on and I suspect Iran will do
what<00:51:15.880> it<00:51:16.160> can<00:51:16.599> the<00:51:16.799> question<00:51:17.480> is<00:51:18.480> how<00:51:18.640> does<00:51:18.799> it
00:51:18.950 --> 00:51:18.960 align:start position:0%
what it can the question is how does it
00:51:18.960 --> 00:51:22.390 align:start position:0%
what it can the question is how does it
get<00:51:19.200> weapons<00:51:19.880> to<00:51:20.799> hisbah<00:51:21.799> how<00:51:21.920> does<00:51:22.040> it<00:51:22.200> get
00:51:22.390 --> 00:51:22.400 align:start position:0%
get weapons to hisbah how does it get
00:51:22.400 --> 00:51:25.829 align:start position:0%
get weapons to hisbah how does it get
weapons<00:51:23.240> to<00:51:24.240> uh<00:51:24.359> the<00:51:24.480> houthis<00:51:25.359> what<00:51:25.480> does<00:51:25.640> it
00:51:25.829 --> 00:51:25.839 align:start position:0%
weapons to uh the houthis what does it
00:51:25.839 --> 00:51:29.870 align:start position:0%
weapons to uh the houthis what does it
do<00:51:26.319> for<00:51:26.640> for<00:51:27.559> the<00:51:28.000> Iraqi<00:51:28.559> militias<00:51:29.359> including
00:51:29.870 --> 00:51:29.880 align:start position:0%
do for for the Iraqi militias including
00:51:29.880 --> 00:51:33.150 align:start position:0%
do for for the Iraqi militias including
k<00:51:30.680> hisbah<00:51:31.680> um<00:51:32.240> much<00:51:32.400> more<00:51:32.839> difficult<00:51:33.000> of
00:51:33.150 --> 00:51:33.160 align:start position:0%
k hisbah um much more difficult of
00:51:33.160 --> 00:51:35.270 align:start position:0%
k hisbah um much more difficult of
course<00:51:33.359> is<00:51:33.960> what<00:51:34.040> does<00:51:34.200> it<00:51:34.319> do<00:51:34.559> for<00:51:34.720> Gaza<00:51:35.119> which
00:51:35.270 --> 00:51:35.280 align:start position:0%
course is what does it do for Gaza which
00:51:35.280 --> 00:51:37.870 align:start position:0%
course is what does it do for Gaza which
is<00:51:35.760> you<00:51:35.880> know<00:51:36.599> unlikely<00:51:37.040> to<00:51:37.160> get<00:51:37.359> anything<00:51:37.760> in
00:51:37.870 --> 00:51:37.880 align:start position:0%
is you know unlikely to get anything in
00:51:37.880 --> 00:51:42.750 align:start position:0%
is you know unlikely to get anything in
the<00:51:38.000> way<00:51:38.200> of<00:51:38.559> armor<00:51:39.040> arms<00:51:39.640> to<00:51:40.640> uh<00:51:41.000> to<00:51:41.400> Hamas<00:51:42.400> but
00:51:42.750 --> 00:51:42.760 align:start position:0%
the way of armor arms to uh to Hamas but
00:51:42.760 --> 00:51:45.870 align:start position:0%
the way of armor arms to uh to Hamas but
I<00:51:43.000> it's<00:51:43.319> I<00:51:43.440> think<00:51:44.000> it's<00:51:45.000> that<00:51:45.480> I<00:51:45.559> don't<00:51:45.720> think
00:51:45.870 --> 00:51:45.880 align:start position:0%
I it's I think it's that I don't think
00:51:45.880 --> 00:51:48.069 align:start position:0%
I it's I think it's that I don't think
we<00:51:46.000> should<00:51:46.280> anticipate<00:51:46.960> any<00:51:47.240> major<00:51:47.599> change
00:51:48.069 --> 00:51:48.079 align:start position:0%
we should anticipate any major change
00:51:48.079 --> 00:51:51.750 align:start position:0%
we should anticipate any major change
it's<00:51:48.280> more<00:51:48.880> its<00:51:50.119> capabilities<00:51:51.119> than<00:51:51.319> it<00:51:51.480> is
00:51:51.750 --> 00:51:51.760 align:start position:0%
it's more its capabilities than it is
00:51:51.760 --> 00:51:54.230 align:start position:0%
it's more its capabilities than it is
its<00:51:52.200> commitment<00:51:53.200> when<00:51:53.319> it<00:51:53.480> comes<00:51:53.720> to<00:51:53.920> what<00:51:54.040> it
00:51:54.230 --> 00:51:54.240 align:start position:0%
its commitment when it comes to what it
00:51:54.240 --> 00:51:58.950 align:start position:0%
its commitment when it comes to what it
wants<00:51:54.559> to<00:51:54.760> do<00:51:55.400> for<00:51:55.839> its<00:51:56.920> a<00:51:57.240> allies<00:51:58.079> and<00:51:58.599> when<00:51:58.760> we
00:51:58.950 --> 00:51:58.960 align:start position:0%
wants to do for its a allies and when we
00:51:58.960 --> 00:52:00.990 align:start position:0%
wants to do for its a allies and when we
look<00:51:59.160> at<00:51:59.359> the<00:51:59.640> you<00:51:59.760> know<00:52:00.160> down<00:52:00.400> the<00:52:00.559> road<00:52:00.839> and
00:52:00.990 --> 00:52:01.000 align:start position:0%
look at the you know down the road and
00:52:01.000 --> 00:52:04.670 align:start position:0%
look at the you know down the road and
this<00:52:01.119> is<00:52:01.240> where<00:52:01.440> Matt's<00:52:01.920> right<00:52:02.920> uh<00:52:03.240> that<00:52:03.680> this
00:52:04.670 --> 00:52:04.680 align:start position:0%
this is where Matt's right uh that this
00:52:04.680 --> 00:52:08.750 align:start position:0%
this is where Matt's right uh that this
this<00:52:05.720> uh<00:52:06.720> tension<00:52:07.400> is<00:52:07.640> going<00:52:07.839> to<00:52:08.200> continue<00:52:08.559> to
00:52:08.750 --> 00:52:08.760 align:start position:0%
this uh tension is going to continue to
00:52:08.760 --> 00:52:11.630 align:start position:0%
this uh tension is going to continue to
play<00:52:08.960> out<00:52:09.240> I<00:52:09.319> think<00:52:09.480> bejon<00:52:09.920> said<00:52:10.119> this<00:52:10.640> too
00:52:11.630 --> 00:52:11.640 align:start position:0%
play out I think bejon said this too
00:52:11.640 --> 00:52:14.910 align:start position:0%
play out I think bejon said this too
that<00:52:11.920> there's<00:52:12.599> nothing<00:52:12.960> that<00:52:13.119> is<00:52:13.319> going<00:52:13.920> to
00:52:14.910 --> 00:52:14.920 align:start position:0%
that there's nothing that is going to
00:52:14.920 --> 00:52:18.190 align:start position:0%
that there's nothing that is going to
kind<00:52:15.079> of<00:52:15.240> stop<00:52:15.559> it<00:52:15.960> right<00:52:16.160> now<00:52:17.079> except<00:52:18.079> you
00:52:18.190 --> 00:52:18.200 align:start position:0%
kind of stop it right now except you
00:52:18.200 --> 00:52:20.349 align:start position:0%
kind of stop it right now except you
know<00:52:18.520> this<00:52:18.640> is<00:52:18.760> where<00:52:19.000> diplomacy<00:52:19.720> is<00:52:19.960> the<00:52:20.119> only
00:52:20.349 --> 00:52:20.359 align:start position:0%
know this is where diplomacy is the only
00:52:20.359 --> 00:52:23.309 align:start position:0%
know this is where diplomacy is the only
way<00:52:20.640> out<00:52:21.119> Wars<00:52:21.599> always<00:52:22.000> stop<00:52:22.880> only<00:52:23.160> when
00:52:23.309 --> 00:52:23.319 align:start position:0%
way out Wars always stop only when
00:52:23.319 --> 00:52:25.470 align:start position:0%
way out Wars always stop only when
there's<00:52:23.520> a<00:52:23.760> diplomatic<00:52:24.760> off-ramp<00:52:25.359> and
00:52:25.470 --> 00:52:25.480 align:start position:0%
there's a diplomatic off-ramp and
00:52:25.480 --> 00:52:29.150 align:start position:0%
there's a diplomatic off-ramp and
there's<00:52:25.640> a<00:52:25.799> diplomatic<00:52:26.960> inclusion<00:52:27.960> uh<00:52:28.599> and
00:52:29.150 --> 00:52:29.160 align:start position:0%
there's a diplomatic inclusion uh and
00:52:29.160 --> 00:52:31.710 align:start position:0%
there's a diplomatic inclusion uh and
and<00:52:29.319> this<00:52:29.440> is<00:52:29.640> where<00:52:29.839> we<00:52:30.000> don't<00:52:30.240> see<00:52:31.079> either
00:52:31.710 --> 00:52:31.720 align:start position:0%
and this is where we don't see either
00:52:31.720 --> 00:52:35.270 align:start position:0%
and this is where we don't see either
and<00:52:32.040> Iran<00:52:33.040> doesn't<00:52:33.280> feel<00:52:33.680> it<00:52:33.920> much<00:52:34.280> incentive
00:52:35.270 --> 00:52:35.280 align:start position:0%
and Iran doesn't feel it much incentive
00:52:35.280 --> 00:52:36.270 align:start position:0%
and Iran doesn't feel it much incentive
to
00:52:36.270 --> 00:52:36.280 align:start position:0%
to
00:52:36.280 --> 00:52:40.430 align:start position:0%
to
stop<00:52:37.280> providing<00:52:38.200> weaponry<00:52:39.000> and<00:52:39.359> financial
00:52:40.430 --> 00:52:40.440 align:start position:0%
stop providing weaponry and financial
00:52:40.440 --> 00:52:43.549 align:start position:0%
stop providing weaponry and financial
support<00:52:41.440> and<00:52:41.839> to<00:52:42.559> ESB<00:52:43.040> I<00:52:43.119> mean<00:52:43.280> that's
00:52:43.549 --> 00:52:43.559 align:start position:0%
support and to ESB I mean that's
00:52:43.559 --> 00:52:45.789 align:start position:0%
support and to ESB I mean that's
reflected<00:52:44.280> Bean<00:52:44.760> pointed<00:52:45.079> out<00:52:45.440> that<00:52:45.640> the
00:52:45.789 --> 00:52:45.799 align:start position:0%
reflected Bean pointed out that the
00:52:45.799 --> 00:52:47.309 align:start position:0%
reflected Bean pointed out that the
Iranian<00:52:46.160> foreign<00:52:46.440> minister<00:52:46.760> had<00:52:46.880> gone<00:52:47.079> to
00:52:47.309 --> 00:52:47.319 align:start position:0%
Iranian foreign minister had gone to
00:52:47.319 --> 00:52:50.270 align:start position:0%
Iranian foreign minister had gone to
Bahrain<00:52:48.319> and<00:52:48.720> someplace<00:52:49.160> else<00:52:49.359> in<00:52:49.520> the<00:52:49.640> Gulf
00:52:50.270 --> 00:52:50.280 align:start position:0%
Bahrain and someplace else in the Gulf
00:52:50.280 --> 00:52:52.950 align:start position:0%
Bahrain and someplace else in the Gulf
but<00:52:50.839> on<00:52:51.079> Saturday<00:52:51.559> he<00:52:51.760> also<00:52:52.000> was<00:52:52.200> in<00:52:52.359> Istanbul
00:52:52.950 --> 00:52:52.960 align:start position:0%
but on Saturday he also was in Istanbul
00:52:52.960 --> 00:52:55.549 align:start position:0%
but on Saturday he also was in Istanbul
where<00:52:53.119> he<00:52:53.280> met<00:52:53.480> leaders<00:52:53.839> of<00:52:54.079> Hamas<00:52:54.559> including
00:52:55.549 --> 00:52:55.559 align:start position:0%
where he met leaders of Hamas including
00:52:55.559 --> 00:52:59.190 align:start position:0%
where he met leaders of Hamas including
uh<00:52:55.680> one<00:52:55.960> potential<00:52:56.599> successor<00:52:57.040> to<00:52:57.440> sinir<00:52:58.440> so<00:52:59.079> I
00:52:59.190 --> 00:52:59.200 align:start position:0%
uh one potential successor to sinir so I
00:52:59.200 --> 00:53:01.549 align:start position:0%
uh one potential successor to sinir so I
think<00:52:59.720> uh<00:52:59.880> Iran<00:53:00.200> sends<00:53:00.559> multiple<00:53:01.000> signals<00:53:01.400> it
00:53:01.549 --> 00:53:01.559 align:start position:0%
think uh Iran sends multiple signals it
00:53:01.559 --> 00:53:04.349 align:start position:0%
think uh Iran sends multiple signals it
wants<00:53:01.760> to<00:53:01.920> better<00:53:02.200> relations<00:53:02.720> with<00:53:03.680> the<00:53:04.000> gulf
00:53:04.349 --> 00:53:04.359 align:start position:0%
wants to better relations with the gulf
00:53:04.359 --> 00:53:06.109 align:start position:0%
wants to better relations with the gulf
countries<00:53:04.880> its<00:53:05.079> neighbors<00:53:05.599> and<00:53:05.760> that's<00:53:05.960> been
00:53:06.109 --> 00:53:06.119 align:start position:0%
countries its neighbors and that's been
00:53:06.119 --> 00:53:08.789 align:start position:0%
countries its neighbors and that's been
a<00:53:06.319> policy<00:53:06.760> under<00:53:07.079> both<00:53:07.640> hardliners<00:53:08.319> and
00:53:08.789 --> 00:53:08.799 align:start position:0%
a policy under both hardliners and
00:53:08.799 --> 00:53:12.030 align:start position:0%
a policy under both hardliners and
moderates<00:53:09.559> in<00:53:09.839> in<00:53:10.040> recent<00:53:10.559> years<00:53:11.559> uh<00:53:11.720> but<00:53:11.839> it
00:53:12.030 --> 00:53:12.040 align:start position:0%
moderates in in recent years uh but it
00:53:12.040 --> 00:53:15.030 align:start position:0%
moderates in in recent years uh but it
also<00:53:12.520> I<00:53:12.640> think<00:53:12.880> by<00:53:13.119> meeting<00:53:13.760> H<00:53:14.359> with<00:53:14.520> Hamas<00:53:14.920> is
00:53:15.030 --> 00:53:15.040 align:start position:0%
also I think by meeting H with Hamas is
00:53:15.040 --> 00:53:17.390 align:start position:0%
also I think by meeting H with Hamas is
sending<00:53:15.359> a<00:53:15.680> strong<00:53:15.920> signal<00:53:16.640> that<00:53:16.799> it<00:53:16.960> intends
00:53:17.390 --> 00:53:17.400 align:start position:0%
sending a strong signal that it intends
00:53:17.400 --> 00:53:18.589 align:start position:0%
sending a strong signal that it intends
to
00:53:18.589 --> 00:53:18.599 align:start position:0%
to
00:53:18.599 --> 00:53:21.150 align:start position:0%
to
continue<00:53:19.599> I<00:53:19.760> I<00:53:19.839> want<00:53:19.960> to<00:53:20.079> give<00:53:20.240> the<00:53:20.319> other<00:53:20.720> two
00:53:21.150 --> 00:53:21.160 align:start position:0%
continue I I want to give the other two
00:53:21.160 --> 00:53:22.950 align:start position:0%
continue I I want to give the other two
a<00:53:21.400> a<00:53:21.520> chance<00:53:21.760> of<00:53:21.920> they're<00:53:22.200> interested<00:53:22.640> in
00:53:22.950 --> 00:53:22.960 align:start position:0%
a a chance of they're interested in
00:53:22.960 --> 00:53:24.990 align:start position:0%
a a chance of they're interested in
answering<00:53:23.359> this<00:53:23.599> question<00:53:24.000> but<00:53:24.400> since<00:53:24.680> you<00:53:24.880> we
00:53:24.990 --> 00:53:25.000 align:start position:0%
answering this question but since you we
00:53:25.000 --> 00:53:27.309 align:start position:0%
answering this question but since you we
only<00:53:25.200> have<00:53:25.440> five<00:53:25.680> minutes<00:53:26.160> to<00:53:26.559> have<00:53:26.720> you<00:53:27.200> in
00:53:27.309 --> 00:53:27.319 align:start position:0%
only have five minutes to have you in
00:53:27.319 --> 00:53:29.349 align:start position:0%
only have five minutes to have you in
the<00:53:27.559> program<00:53:28.319> is<00:53:28.440> there<00:53:28.640> anything<00:53:28.920> else<00:53:29.119> you'd
00:53:29.349 --> 00:53:29.359 align:start position:0%
the program is there anything else you'd
00:53:29.359 --> 00:53:32.150 align:start position:0%
the program is there anything else you'd
like<00:53:29.520> to<00:53:29.680> mention<00:53:30.400> or<00:53:30.599> tell<00:53:30.960> anyone<00:53:31.799> or
00:53:32.150 --> 00:53:32.160 align:start position:0%
like to mention or tell anyone or
00:53:32.160 --> 00:53:37.109 align:start position:0%
like to mention or tell anyone or
comment<00:53:32.680> on<00:53:33.119> and<00:53:33.319> I<00:53:33.880> emphasize<00:53:34.799> now<00:53:35.200> so<00:53:35.480> far<00:53:36.400> uh
00:53:37.109 --> 00:53:37.119 align:start position:0%
comment on and I emphasize now so far uh
00:53:37.119 --> 00:53:39.670 align:start position:0%
comment on and I emphasize now so far uh
the<00:53:37.440> uh<00:53:37.799> questions<00:53:38.240> to<00:53:38.440> you<00:53:38.799> the<00:53:38.920> other<00:53:39.119> two
00:53:39.670 --> 00:53:39.680 align:start position:0%
the uh questions to you the other two
00:53:39.680 --> 00:53:41.309 align:start position:0%
the uh questions to you the other two
are<00:53:39.960> about<00:53:40.200> to<00:53:40.400> have<00:53:40.640> several<00:53:41.000> other
00:53:41.309 --> 00:53:41.319 align:start position:0%
are about to have several other
00:53:41.319 --> 00:53:46.190 align:start position:0%
are about to have several other
questions<00:53:41.880> but<00:53:42.799> uh<00:53:43.040> any<00:53:43.599> uh<00:53:44.040> last<00:53:44.319> minute
00:53:46.190 --> 00:53:46.200 align:start position:0%
questions but uh any uh last minute
00:53:46.200 --> 00:53:50.510 align:start position:0%
questions but uh any uh last minute
thoughts<00:53:47.200> so<00:53:47.520> I<00:53:47.640> think<00:53:47.839> we're<00:53:48.280> into<00:53:49.280> a<00:53:49.520> moment
00:53:50.510 --> 00:53:50.520 align:start position:0%
thoughts so I think we're into a moment
00:53:50.520 --> 00:53:52.109 align:start position:0%
thoughts so I think we're into a moment
you<00:53:50.640> know<00:53:50.799> one<00:53:50.920> of<00:53:51.119> those<00:53:51.559> everyone<00:53:51.920> talks
00:53:52.109 --> 00:53:52.119 align:start position:0%
you know one of those everyone talks
00:53:52.119 --> 00:53:53.829 align:start position:0%
you know one of those everyone talks
about<00:53:52.280> is<00:53:52.400> this<00:53:52.559> an<00:53:52.720> inflection<00:53:53.200> point<00:53:53.480> and<00:53:53.599> so
00:53:53.829 --> 00:53:53.839 align:start position:0%
about is this an inflection point and so
00:53:53.839 --> 00:53:57.950 align:start position:0%
about is this an inflection point and so
forth<00:53:54.440> I<00:53:54.520> want<00:53:54.680> to<00:53:54.960> warn<00:53:55.920> those<00:53:56.680> who<00:53:57.200> who<00:53:57.400> feel
00:53:57.950 --> 00:53:57.960 align:start position:0%
forth I want to warn those who who feel
00:53:57.960 --> 00:54:00.030 align:start position:0%
forth I want to warn those who who feel
that<00:53:58.240> you<00:53:58.400> know<00:53:58.839> and<00:53:59.040> Israel<00:53:59.440> has<00:53:59.599> a<00:53:59.760> right<00:53:59.920> to
00:54:00.030 --> 00:54:00.040 align:start position:0%
that you know and Israel has a right to
00:54:00.040 --> 00:54:03.109 align:start position:0%
that you know and Israel has a right to
feel<00:54:00.319> a<00:54:00.440> little<00:54:00.640> bit<00:54:00.880> heady<00:54:02.000> militarily<00:54:03.000> in
00:54:03.109 --> 00:54:03.119 align:start position:0%
feel a little bit heady militarily in
00:54:03.119 --> 00:54:06.150 align:start position:0%
feel a little bit heady militarily in
the<00:54:03.319> last<00:54:03.720> few<00:54:03.960> weeks<00:54:04.799> because<00:54:05.319> after<00:54:05.559> the<00:54:05.760> war
00:54:06.150 --> 00:54:06.160 align:start position:0%
the last few weeks because after the war
00:54:06.160 --> 00:54:09.309 align:start position:0%
the last few weeks because after the war
with<00:54:07.040> in<00:54:07.280> Gaza<00:54:07.680> dragged<00:54:08.000> on<00:54:08.280> for<00:54:08.799> more<00:54:09.000> than<00:54:09.119> a
00:54:09.309 --> 00:54:09.319 align:start position:0%
with in Gaza dragged on for more than a
00:54:09.319 --> 00:54:12.589 align:start position:0%
with in Gaza dragged on for more than a
year<00:54:09.880> and<00:54:10.200> the<00:54:10.839> the<00:54:11.359> the<00:54:11.480> kind<00:54:11.640> of<00:54:11.760> Shadow<00:54:12.160> war
00:54:12.589 --> 00:54:12.599 align:start position:0%
year and the the the kind of Shadow war
00:54:12.599 --> 00:54:16.109 align:start position:0%
year and the the the kind of Shadow war
with<00:54:13.359> Hezbollah<00:54:14.000> has<00:54:14.160> gone<00:54:14.359> on<00:54:14.520> for<00:54:15.119> decades
00:54:16.109 --> 00:54:16.119 align:start position:0%
with Hezbollah has gone on for decades
00:54:16.119 --> 00:54:17.829 align:start position:0%
with Hezbollah has gone on for decades
uh<00:54:16.240> but<00:54:16.400> there's<00:54:16.559> a<00:54:16.720> real<00:54:17.000> danger<00:54:17.480> in<00:54:17.640> the
00:54:17.829 --> 00:54:17.839 align:start position:0%
uh but there's a real danger in the
00:54:17.839 --> 00:54:19.150 align:start position:0%
uh but there's a real danger in the
sense<00:54:18.079> of
00:54:19.150 --> 00:54:19.160 align:start position:0%
sense of
00:54:19.160 --> 00:54:21.589 align:start position:0%
sense of
triumphalism<00:54:20.160> that<00:54:20.760> this<00:54:20.960> means<00:54:21.400> that
00:54:21.589 --> 00:54:21.599 align:start position:0%
triumphalism that this means that
00:54:21.599 --> 00:54:24.829 align:start position:0%
triumphalism that this means that
they're<00:54:21.880> going<00:54:22.119> to<00:54:22.319> be<00:54:22.520> able<00:54:23.000> to<00:54:23.880> you<00:54:24.040> know
00:54:24.829 --> 00:54:24.839 align:start position:0%
they're going to be able to you know
00:54:24.839 --> 00:54:28.710 align:start position:0%
they're going to be able to you know
decimate<00:54:25.839> or<00:54:26.400> dilate<00:54:26.960> as<00:54:27.119> one<00:54:27.880> um<00:54:28.400> as<00:54:28.520> one
00:54:28.710 --> 00:54:28.720 align:start position:0%
decimate or dilate as one um as one
00:54:28.720 --> 00:54:31.630 align:start position:0%
decimate or dilate as one um as one
Israeli<00:54:29.160> officials<00:54:29.559> said<00:54:30.240> its<00:54:30.559> opposition<00:54:31.440> I
00:54:31.630 --> 00:54:31.640 align:start position:0%
Israeli officials said its opposition I
00:54:31.640 --> 00:54:35.349 align:start position:0%
Israeli officials said its opposition I
think<00:54:32.079> is<00:54:32.720> a<00:54:32.920> pipe<00:54:33.280> dream<00:54:34.280> and<00:54:34.920> and<00:54:35.040> I<00:54:35.160> think
00:54:35.349 --> 00:54:35.359 align:start position:0%
think is a pipe dream and and I think
00:54:35.359 --> 00:54:38.030 align:start position:0%
think is a pipe dream and and I think
this<00:54:35.480> is<00:54:35.720> where<00:54:36.160> we<00:54:36.319> all<00:54:36.480> need<00:54:36.640> to<00:54:36.799> be<00:54:37.680> a<00:54:37.799> little
00:54:38.030 --> 00:54:38.040 align:start position:0%
this is where we all need to be a little
00:54:38.040 --> 00:54:41.589 align:start position:0%
this is where we all need to be a little
bit<00:54:38.280> less<00:54:39.000> breathless<00:54:40.000> in<00:54:40.280> looking<00:54:40.680> at<00:54:41.359> what's
00:54:41.589 --> 00:54:41.599 align:start position:0%
bit less breathless in looking at what's
00:54:41.599 --> 00:54:43.470 align:start position:0%
bit less breathless in looking at what's
happening<00:54:41.920> on<00:54:42.040> a<00:54:42.160> day-to-day<00:54:42.720> basis<00:54:43.119> and<00:54:43.280> try
00:54:43.470 --> 00:54:43.480 align:start position:0%
happening on a day-to-day basis and try
00:54:43.480 --> 00:54:46.309 align:start position:0%
happening on a day-to-day basis and try
to<00:54:43.640> think<00:54:44.200> kind<00:54:44.319> of<00:54:44.520> big<00:54:44.720> picture<00:54:45.160> long<00:54:45.520> term
00:54:46.309 --> 00:54:46.319 align:start position:0%
to think kind of big picture long term
00:54:46.319 --> 00:54:48.589 align:start position:0%
to think kind of big picture long term
how<00:54:46.520> this<00:54:46.760> plays<00:54:47.119> out<00:54:47.839> and<00:54:48.040> that's<00:54:48.240> where<00:54:48.440> we
00:54:48.589 --> 00:54:48.599 align:start position:0%
how this plays out and that's where we
00:54:48.599 --> 00:54:52.870 align:start position:0%
how this plays out and that's where we
get<00:54:48.960> into<00:54:49.960> kind<00:54:50.079> of<00:54:50.240> a<00:54:50.520> much<00:54:51.440> less<00:54:52.200> triumphant
00:54:52.870 --> 00:54:52.880 align:start position:0%
get into kind of a much less triumphant
00:54:52.880 --> 00:54:56.549 align:start position:0%
get into kind of a much less triumphant
moment<00:54:53.680> and<00:54:53.839> a<00:54:54.040> much<00:54:54.200> more<00:54:54.440> sobering<00:54:55.240> reality
00:54:56.549 --> 00:54:56.559 align:start position:0%
moment and a much more sobering reality
00:54:56.559 --> 00:54:59.870 align:start position:0%
moment and a much more sobering reality
uh<00:54:56.799> about<00:54:57.119> you<00:54:57.280> know<00:54:58.160> how<00:54:58.319> do<00:54:58.520> we<00:54:59.000> how<00:54:59.079> do<00:54:59.240> we
00:54:59.870 --> 00:54:59.880 align:start position:0%
uh about you know how do we how do we
00:54:59.880 --> 00:55:03.150 align:start position:0%
uh about you know how do we how do we
get<00:55:00.119> Beyond<00:55:00.599> this<00:55:01.599> um<00:55:01.920> you<00:55:02.040> know<00:55:02.240> what<00:55:02.359> are<00:55:02.599> the
00:55:03.150 --> 00:55:03.160 align:start position:0%
get Beyond this um you know what are the
00:55:03.160 --> 00:55:06.109 align:start position:0%
get Beyond this um you know what are the
solutions<00:55:04.160> and<00:55:04.839> and<00:55:05.000> I<00:55:05.119> think<00:55:05.319> the<00:55:05.520> problem<00:55:05.839> is
00:55:06.109 --> 00:55:06.119 align:start position:0%
solutions and and I think the problem is
00:55:06.119 --> 00:55:09.870 align:start position:0%
solutions and and I think the problem is
there's<00:55:06.480> nothing<00:55:07.480> visible<00:55:08.119> or<00:55:08.559> viable<00:55:09.559> at<00:55:09.720> the
00:55:09.870 --> 00:55:09.880 align:start position:0%
there's nothing visible or viable at the
00:55:09.880 --> 00:55:13.190 align:start position:0%
there's nothing visible or viable at the
moment<00:55:10.880> including<00:55:11.880> uh<00:55:12.160> secretary<00:55:12.680> blinken's
00:55:13.190 --> 00:55:13.200 align:start position:0%
moment including uh secretary blinken's
00:55:13.200 --> 00:55:17.670 align:start position:0%
moment including uh secretary blinken's
trip<00:55:13.880> to<00:55:14.880> um<00:55:15.160> the<00:55:15.280> Middle<00:55:15.880> East<00:55:16.880> so<00:55:17.319> good<00:55:17.520> luck
00:55:17.670 --> 00:55:17.680 align:start position:0%
trip to um the Middle East so good luck
00:55:17.680 --> 00:55:20.870 align:start position:0%
trip to um the Middle East so good luck
to<00:55:18.000> everybody<00:55:19.000> um<00:55:19.319> and<00:55:19.520> thank<00:55:19.680> you<00:55:19.839> very<00:55:20.040> much
00:55:20.870 --> 00:55:20.880 align:start position:0%
to everybody um and thank you very much
00:55:20.880 --> 00:55:23.309 align:start position:0%
to everybody um and thank you very much
Steve<00:55:21.880> thank<00:55:22.079> you<00:55:22.240> for<00:55:22.480> coming<00:55:23.000> when<00:55:23.119> you've
00:55:23.309 --> 00:55:23.319 align:start position:0%
Steve thank you for coming when you've
00:55:23.319 --> 00:55:25.670 align:start position:0%
Steve thank you for coming when you've
had<00:55:23.520> such<00:55:23.680> a<00:55:24.520> difficult<00:55:24.760> time<00:55:25.079> the<00:55:25.240> last<00:55:25.440> few
00:55:25.670 --> 00:55:25.680 align:start position:0%
had such a difficult time the last few
00:55:25.680 --> 00:55:27.710 align:start position:0%
had such a difficult time the last few
days
00:55:27.710 --> 00:55:27.720 align:start position:0%
days
00:55:27.720 --> 00:55:31.230 align:start position:0%
days
um<00:55:28.359> um<00:55:29.280> uh<00:55:30.039> ma<00:55:30.280> Matt<00:55:30.559> do<00:55:30.640> you<00:55:30.720> want<00:55:30.839> to<00:55:30.960> get<00:55:31.119> in
00:55:31.230 --> 00:55:31.240 align:start position:0%
um um uh ma Matt do you want to get in
00:55:31.240 --> 00:55:34.589 align:start position:0%
um um uh ma Matt do you want to get in
on<00:55:31.640> this<00:55:32.640> please<00:55:33.119> uh<00:55:33.319> yeah<00:55:33.720> just<00:55:33.920> a<00:55:34.200> a<00:55:34.319> couple
00:55:34.589 --> 00:55:34.599 align:start position:0%
on this please uh yeah just a a couple
00:55:34.599 --> 00:55:35.990 align:start position:0%
on this please uh yeah just a a couple
thoughts<00:55:34.799> on<00:55:34.960> this<00:55:35.160> what's
00:55:35.990 --> 00:55:36.000 align:start position:0%
thoughts on this what's
00:55:36.000 --> 00:55:39.270 align:start position:0%
thoughts on this what's
been<00:55:37.000> you<00:55:37.559> really<00:55:37.920> fascinating<00:55:38.440> in<00:55:38.599> the<00:55:38.839> past
00:55:39.270 --> 00:55:39.280 align:start position:0%
been you really fascinating in the past
00:55:39.280 --> 00:55:44.349 align:start position:0%
been you really fascinating in the past
year<00:55:40.200> uh<00:55:40.319> you<00:55:40.440> know<00:55:40.799> is<00:55:41.760> watching<00:55:42.599> Iran
00:55:44.349 --> 00:55:44.359 align:start position:0%
year uh you know is watching Iran
00:55:44.359 --> 00:55:47.950 align:start position:0%
year uh you know is watching Iran
recalibrate<00:55:45.359> how<00:55:45.599> it's<00:55:45.799> using<00:55:46.760> its<00:55:47.559> uh
00:55:47.950 --> 00:55:47.960 align:start position:0%
recalibrate how it's using its uh
00:55:47.960 --> 00:55:51.390 align:start position:0%
recalibrate how it's using its uh
conventional<00:55:48.680> and<00:55:48.920> unconventional<00:55:50.200> power<00:55:51.200> uh
00:55:51.390 --> 00:55:51.400 align:start position:0%
conventional and unconventional power uh
00:55:51.400 --> 00:55:54.710 align:start position:0%
conventional and unconventional power uh
in<00:55:51.680> response<00:55:52.319> to<00:55:53.079> these<00:55:53.720> uh<00:55:53.960> the<00:55:54.200> the<00:55:54.319> broader
00:55:54.710 --> 00:55:54.720 align:start position:0%
in response to these uh the the broader
00:55:54.720 --> 00:55:56.430 align:start position:0%
in response to these uh the the broader
escalation<00:55:55.240> that's<00:55:55.440> happened<00:55:55.720> since<00:55:55.880> October
00:55:56.430 --> 00:55:56.440 align:start position:0%
escalation that's happened since October
00:55:56.440 --> 00:56:00.910 align:start position:0%
escalation that's happened since October
7<00:55:57.440> uh<00:55:57.680> and<00:55:57.920> you<00:55:58.000> know<00:55:58.240> we<00:55:58.440> we<00:55:58.640> saw<00:55:59.280> a<00:55:59.559> real<00:56:00.559> a<00:56:00.680> new
00:56:00.910 --> 00:56:00.920 align:start position:0%
7 uh and you know we we saw a real a new
00:56:00.920 --> 00:56:03.230 align:start position:0%
7 uh and you know we we saw a real a new
kind<00:56:01.039> of<00:56:01.200> threshold<00:56:01.599> of<00:56:01.799> use<00:56:02.079> in<00:56:02.280> April<00:56:03.119> and
00:56:03.230 --> 00:56:03.240 align:start position:0%
kind of threshold of use in April and
00:56:03.240 --> 00:56:06.549 align:start position:0%
kind of threshold of use in April and
then<00:56:03.359> a<00:56:03.480> further<00:56:03.799> one<00:56:04.000> in<00:56:04.640> October<00:56:05.640> uh<00:56:05.920> that<00:56:06.200> is
00:56:06.549 --> 00:56:06.559 align:start position:0%
then a further one in October uh that is
00:56:06.559 --> 00:56:09.710 align:start position:0%
then a further one in October uh that is
much<00:56:06.760> more<00:56:07.079> focused<00:56:07.799> on<00:56:08.520> Iran's<00:56:09.160> you<00:56:09.280> know
00:56:09.710 --> 00:56:09.720 align:start position:0%
much more focused on Iran's you know
00:56:09.720 --> 00:56:14.109 align:start position:0%
much more focused on Iran's you know
missile<00:56:10.720> uh<00:56:10.880> and<00:56:11.079> drone<00:56:11.799> power<00:56:12.799> uh<00:56:13.240> and<00:56:13.720> uh
00:56:14.109 --> 00:56:14.119 align:start position:0%
missile uh and drone power uh and uh
00:56:14.119 --> 00:56:16.750 align:start position:0%
missile uh and drone power uh and uh
really<00:56:14.599> you<00:56:14.720> know<00:56:15.119> the<00:56:15.400> the<00:56:15.799> led<00:56:16.119> by<00:56:16.520> you<00:56:16.599> know
00:56:16.750 --> 00:56:16.760 align:start position:0%
really you know the the led by you know
00:56:16.760 --> 00:56:19.990 align:start position:0%
really you know the the led by you know
irgc<00:56:17.480> Aerospace<00:56:18.039> Commander<00:56:18.359> Haj<00:56:18.760> Zade<00:56:19.760> that
00:56:19.990 --> 00:56:20.000 align:start position:0%
irgc Aerospace Commander Haj Zade that
00:56:20.000 --> 00:56:22.109 align:start position:0%
irgc Aerospace Commander Haj Zade that
the<00:56:20.200> real<00:56:20.440> kind<00:56:20.559> of<00:56:20.960> almost<00:56:21.319> dominance<00:56:21.839> of
00:56:22.109 --> 00:56:22.119 align:start position:0%
the real kind of almost dominance of
00:56:22.119 --> 00:56:23.589 align:start position:0%
the real kind of almost dominance of
that<00:56:22.400> side<00:56:22.680> of<00:56:22.799> the
00:56:23.589 --> 00:56:23.599 align:start position:0%
that side of the
00:56:23.599 --> 00:56:27.510 align:start position:0%
that side of the
irgc<00:56:24.599> as<00:56:24.920> opposed<00:56:25.559> to<00:56:26.440> really<00:56:26.799> what<00:56:27.039> the<00:56:27.359> the
00:56:27.510 --> 00:56:27.520 align:start position:0%
irgc as opposed to really what the the
00:56:27.520 --> 00:56:30.710 align:start position:0%
irgc as opposed to really what the the
ks<00:56:27.799> force<00:56:28.160> and<00:56:28.359> is<00:56:28.599> maani<00:56:29.119> has<00:56:29.240> been<00:56:29.520> doing<00:56:30.520> um
00:56:30.710 --> 00:56:30.720 align:start position:0%
ks force and is maani has been doing um
00:56:30.720 --> 00:56:32.109 align:start position:0%
ks force and is maani has been doing um
you<00:56:30.839> know<00:56:31.039> I'm<00:56:31.160> not<00:56:31.319> so<00:56:31.559> so<00:56:31.680> much<00:56:31.839> saying
00:56:32.109 --> 00:56:32.119 align:start position:0%
you know I'm not so so much saying
00:56:32.119 --> 00:56:34.630 align:start position:0%
you know I'm not so so much saying
there's<00:56:32.400> like<00:56:32.520> a<00:56:33.160> upperhand<00:56:34.039> you<00:56:34.160> know<00:56:34.520> a
00:56:34.630 --> 00:56:34.640 align:start position:0%
there's like a upperhand you know a
00:56:34.640 --> 00:56:38.150 align:start position:0%
there's like a upperhand you know a
struggle<00:56:35.440> happening<00:56:36.200> within<00:56:36.559> the<00:56:36.880> irgc<00:56:37.880> but<00:56:38.039> I
00:56:38.150 --> 00:56:38.160 align:start position:0%
struggle happening within the irgc but I
00:56:38.160 --> 00:56:40.510 align:start position:0%
struggle happening within the irgc but I
do<00:56:38.359> think<00:56:38.599> that<00:56:38.760> there<00:56:38.880> is<00:56:39.000> a<00:56:39.280> broader<00:56:40.280> uh
00:56:40.510 --> 00:56:40.520 align:start position:0%
do think that there is a broader uh
00:56:40.520 --> 00:56:42.870 align:start position:0%
do think that there is a broader uh
estimation<00:56:41.119> reestimation<00:56:41.920> of<00:56:42.160> of<00:56:42.440> their
00:56:42.870 --> 00:56:42.880 align:start position:0%
estimation reestimation of of their
00:56:42.880 --> 00:56:45.390 align:start position:0%
estimation reestimation of of their
conventional<00:56:43.599> capacity<00:56:44.599> uh<00:56:44.760> and<00:56:44.960> what<00:56:45.160> that
00:56:45.390 --> 00:56:45.400 align:start position:0%
conventional capacity uh and what that
00:56:45.400 --> 00:56:47.470 align:start position:0%
conventional capacity uh and what that
means<00:56:45.960> for<00:56:46.200> how<00:56:46.359> they<00:56:46.480> want<00:56:46.599> to<00:56:46.760> use<00:56:47.000> the<00:56:47.160> axis
00:56:47.470 --> 00:56:47.480 align:start position:0%
means for how they want to use the axis
00:56:47.480 --> 00:56:50.270 align:start position:0%
means for how they want to use the axis
of<00:56:47.680> resistance<00:56:48.119> in<00:56:48.280> the<00:56:48.599> future<00:56:49.599> uh<00:56:49.839> and<00:56:50.039> and<00:56:50.160> I
00:56:50.270 --> 00:56:50.280 align:start position:0%
of resistance in the future uh and and I
00:56:50.280 --> 00:56:52.470 align:start position:0%
of resistance in the future uh and and I
think<00:56:50.480> this<00:56:50.680> elimination<00:56:51.480> of<00:56:51.680> so<00:56:51.839> many<00:56:52.160> key
00:56:52.470 --> 00:56:52.480 align:start position:0%
think this elimination of so many key
00:56:52.480 --> 00:56:54.829 align:start position:0%
think this elimination of so many key
leaders<00:56:53.480> uh<00:56:53.599> not<00:56:53.720> to<00:56:53.839> say<00:56:54.160> that<00:56:54.400> you<00:56:54.520> know
00:56:54.829 --> 00:56:54.839 align:start position:0%
leaders uh not to say that you know
00:56:54.839 --> 00:56:57.230 align:start position:0%
leaders uh not to say that you know
there<00:56:55.000> are<00:56:55.720> the<00:56:55.920> other<00:56:56.400> and<00:56:56.720> lower<00:56:57.000> in<00:56:57.119> the
00:56:57.230 --> 00:56:57.240 align:start position:0%
there are the other and lower in the
00:56:57.240 --> 00:56:58.910 align:start position:0%
there are the other and lower in the
ranks<00:56:57.599> that<00:56:57.760> can<00:56:57.920> rise<00:56:58.200> up<00:56:58.440> and<00:56:58.559> I'm<00:56:58.720> sure
00:56:58.910 --> 00:56:58.920 align:start position:0%
ranks that can rise up and I'm sure
00:56:58.920 --> 00:57:01.710 align:start position:0%
ranks that can rise up and I'm sure
we'll<00:56:59.119> see<00:56:59.359> some<00:56:59.520> of<00:56:59.760> that<00:57:00.760> uh<00:57:01.000> that<00:57:01.240> that<00:57:01.400> you
00:57:01.710 --> 00:57:01.720 align:start position:0%
we'll see some of that uh that that you
00:57:01.720 --> 00:57:04.230 align:start position:0%
we'll see some of that uh that that you
you<00:57:01.920> you<00:57:02.039> don't<00:57:02.280> simply<00:57:02.760> eliminate<00:57:03.599> uh<00:57:03.799> groups
00:57:04.230 --> 00:57:04.240 align:start position:0%
you you don't simply eliminate uh groups
00:57:04.240 --> 00:57:04.950 align:start position:0%
you you don't simply eliminate uh groups
by
00:57:04.950 --> 00:57:04.960 align:start position:0%
by
00:57:04.960 --> 00:57:08.589 align:start position:0%
by
decapitation<00:57:05.960> uh<00:57:06.119> but<00:57:06.359> it<00:57:06.799> it<00:57:07.240> so<00:57:07.520> many<00:57:08.440> uh
00:57:08.589 --> 00:57:08.599 align:start position:0%
decapitation uh but it it so many uh
00:57:08.599 --> 00:57:10.549 align:start position:0%
decapitation uh but it it so many uh
eliminations<00:57:09.480> is<00:57:09.640> going<00:57:09.839> to<00:57:10.039> probably<00:57:10.280> change
00:57:10.549 --> 00:57:10.559 align:start position:0%
eliminations is going to probably change
00:57:10.559 --> 00:57:12.670 align:start position:0%
eliminations is going to probably change
a<00:57:10.680> bit<00:57:10.799> of<00:57:10.920> the<00:57:11.039> nature<00:57:11.839> and<00:57:11.960> as<00:57:12.200> bejan<00:57:12.559> and
00:57:12.670 --> 00:57:12.680 align:start position:0%
a bit of the nature and as bejan and
00:57:12.680 --> 00:57:15.390 align:start position:0%
a bit of the nature and as bejan and
Robin<00:57:12.960> have<00:57:13.119> pointed<00:57:13.440> out<00:57:14.359> sometimes<00:57:15.079> that
00:57:15.390 --> 00:57:15.400 align:start position:0%
Robin have pointed out sometimes that
00:57:15.400 --> 00:57:18.029 align:start position:0%
Robin have pointed out sometimes that
evolution<00:57:15.960> of<00:57:16.160> these<00:57:16.400> groups<00:57:16.880> after<00:57:17.720> uh<00:57:17.920> you
00:57:18.029 --> 00:57:18.039 align:start position:0%
evolution of these groups after uh you
00:57:18.039 --> 00:57:21.990 align:start position:0%
evolution of these groups after uh you
know<00:57:18.240> major<00:57:18.920> uh<00:57:19.039> leadership<00:57:20.000> uh<00:57:20.599> hits<00:57:21.599> um<00:57:21.880> they
00:57:21.990 --> 00:57:22.000 align:start position:0%
know major uh leadership uh hits um they
00:57:22.000 --> 00:57:24.670 align:start position:0%
know major uh leadership uh hits um they
can<00:57:22.240> become<00:57:22.760> more<00:57:23.520> uh<00:57:23.640> over<00:57:23.960> time<00:57:24.440> you<00:57:24.520> know
00:57:24.670 --> 00:57:24.680 align:start position:0%
can become more uh over time you know
00:57:24.680 --> 00:57:28.029 align:start position:0%
can become more uh over time you know
more<00:57:25.200> virulent<00:57:26.000> uh<00:57:26.440> more<00:57:27.440> aggressive<00:57:27.920> they
00:57:28.029 --> 00:57:28.039 align:start position:0%
more virulent uh more aggressive they
00:57:28.039 --> 00:57:29.910 align:start position:0%
more virulent uh more aggressive they
can<00:57:28.200> also<00:57:28.640> kind<00:57:28.760> of<00:57:28.880> go<00:57:29.039> and<00:57:29.200> Retreat<00:57:29.640> for<00:57:29.799> a
00:57:29.910 --> 00:57:29.920 align:start position:0%
can also kind of go and Retreat for a
00:57:29.920 --> 00:57:32.750 align:start position:0%
can also kind of go and Retreat for a
long<00:57:30.200> period<00:57:30.480> of<00:57:30.839> time<00:57:31.839> um<00:57:32.000> you<00:57:32.119> know<00:57:32.480> or<00:57:32.680> they
00:57:32.750 --> 00:57:32.760 align:start position:0%
long period of time um you know or they
00:57:32.760 --> 00:57:34.390 align:start position:0%
long period of time um you know or they
can<00:57:33.000> really<00:57:33.240> kind<00:57:33.319> of<00:57:33.440> Reform<00:57:33.839> into<00:57:34.160> something
00:57:34.390 --> 00:57:34.400 align:start position:0%
can really kind of Reform into something
00:57:34.400 --> 00:57:35.990 align:start position:0%
can really kind of Reform into something
else<00:57:34.680> we've<00:57:34.839> seen<00:57:35.079> that<00:57:35.240> with<00:57:35.440> Isis<00:57:35.799> and
00:57:35.990 --> 00:57:36.000 align:start position:0%
else we've seen that with Isis and
00:57:36.000 --> 00:57:37.829 align:start position:0%
else we've seen that with Isis and
Al-Qaeda<00:57:36.960> for<00:57:37.160> example<00:57:37.440> even<00:57:37.599> though<00:57:37.720> these
00:57:37.829 --> 00:57:37.839 align:start position:0%
Al-Qaeda for example even though these
00:57:37.839 --> 00:57:39.309 align:start position:0%
Al-Qaeda for example even though these
are<00:57:38.160> somewhat<00:57:38.520> different<00:57:38.760> groups<00:57:39.000> are<00:57:39.160> not
00:57:39.309 --> 00:57:39.319 align:start position:0%
are somewhat different groups are not
00:57:39.319 --> 00:57:41.670 align:start position:0%
are somewhat different groups are not
state<00:57:39.880> sponsored<00:57:40.880> uh<00:57:41.160> but<00:57:41.319> you<00:57:41.400> know<00:57:41.520> you've
00:57:41.670 --> 00:57:41.680 align:start position:0%
state sponsored uh but you know you've
00:57:41.680 --> 00:57:43.390 align:start position:0%
state sponsored uh but you know you've
seen<00:57:41.839> a<00:57:41.960> kind<00:57:42.079> of<00:57:42.280> real<00:57:42.680> you<00:57:42.799> know<00:57:43.000> death<00:57:43.240> of
00:57:43.390 --> 00:57:43.400 align:start position:0%
seen a kind of real you know death of
00:57:43.400 --> 00:57:45.910 align:start position:0%
seen a kind of real you know death of
the<00:57:43.599> classic<00:57:44.200> you<00:57:44.319> know<00:57:44.680> Bin<00:57:44.920> Laden<00:57:45.400> type<00:57:45.559> of
00:57:45.910 --> 00:57:45.920 align:start position:0%
the classic you know Bin Laden type of
00:57:45.920 --> 00:57:48.230 align:start position:0%
the classic you know Bin Laden type of
al-Qaeda<00:57:46.480> but<00:57:46.599> a<00:57:46.720> real<00:57:47.359> reemergence<00:57:48.039> of
00:57:48.230 --> 00:57:48.240 align:start position:0%
al-Qaeda but a real reemergence of
00:57:48.240 --> 00:57:50.789 align:start position:0%
al-Qaeda but a real reemergence of
different<00:57:48.599> types<00:57:49.599> uh<00:57:49.760> in<00:57:50.079> in<00:57:50.319> Africa<00:57:50.640> and
00:57:50.789 --> 00:57:50.799 align:start position:0%
different types uh in in Africa and
00:57:50.799 --> 00:57:53.109 align:start position:0%
different types uh in in Africa and
elsewhere<00:57:51.559> and<00:57:51.640> so<00:57:51.920> the<00:57:52.119> the<00:57:52.280> the<00:57:52.520> character
00:57:53.109 --> 00:57:53.119 align:start position:0%
elsewhere and so the the the character
00:57:53.119 --> 00:57:55.589 align:start position:0%
elsewhere and so the the the character
of<00:57:53.359> of<00:57:53.520> these<00:57:53.680> groups<00:57:54.079> can<00:57:54.240> change<00:57:54.559> a<00:57:54.720> bit<00:57:55.480> uh
00:57:55.589 --> 00:57:55.599 align:start position:0%
of of these groups can change a bit uh
00:57:55.599 --> 00:57:57.910 align:start position:0%
of of these groups can change a bit uh
and<00:57:55.680> so<00:57:55.839> that's<00:57:56.240> reason<00:57:56.559> why<00:57:57.480> uh<00:57:57.599> you<00:57:57.720> know
00:57:57.910 --> 00:57:57.920 align:start position:0%
and so that's reason why uh you know
00:57:57.920 --> 00:57:59.910 align:start position:0%
and so that's reason why uh you know
it's<00:57:58.480> it<00:57:58.640> really<00:57:58.880> is<00:57:59.000> a<00:57:59.119> lot<00:57:59.200> of<00:57:59.359> unknowns
00:57:59.910 --> 00:57:59.920 align:start position:0%
it's it really is a lot of unknowns
00:57:59.920 --> 00:58:04.190 align:start position:0%
it's it really is a lot of unknowns
about<00:58:00.839> how<00:58:01.160> Iran<00:58:01.760> is<00:58:01.960> going<00:58:02.160> to<00:58:02.960> balance<00:58:03.960> uh
00:58:04.190 --> 00:58:04.200 align:start position:0%
about how Iran is going to balance uh
00:58:04.200 --> 00:58:06.190 align:start position:0%
about how Iran is going to balance uh
its<00:58:04.440> conventional<00:58:04.920> forces<00:58:05.400> particularly<00:58:05.920> it
00:58:06.190 --> 00:58:06.200 align:start position:0%
its conventional forces particularly it
00:58:06.200 --> 00:58:08.470 align:start position:0%
its conventional forces particularly it
its<00:58:06.400> missile<00:58:06.760> and<00:58:06.880> its<00:58:07.039> drone<00:58:07.319> forces<00:58:08.280> with
00:58:08.470 --> 00:58:08.480 align:start position:0%
its missile and its drone forces with
00:58:08.480 --> 00:58:10.430 align:start position:0%
its missile and its drone forces with
its<00:58:08.839> projection<00:58:09.280> of<00:58:09.480> power<00:58:09.799> through<00:58:10.200> through
00:58:10.430 --> 00:58:10.440 align:start position:0%
its projection of power through through
00:58:10.440 --> 00:58:13.309 align:start position:0%
its projection of power through through
Partners<00:58:10.880> allies<00:58:11.240> and<00:58:11.799> proxies<00:58:12.799> uh<00:58:12.960> and<00:58:13.200> and
00:58:13.309 --> 00:58:13.319 align:start position:0%
Partners allies and proxies uh and and
00:58:13.319 --> 00:58:14.910 align:start position:0%
Partners allies and proxies uh and and
so<00:58:13.760> I<00:58:13.920> I<00:58:14.000> think<00:58:14.200> there<00:58:14.359> is<00:58:14.520> going<00:58:14.640> to<00:58:14.760> be
00:58:14.910 --> 00:58:14.920 align:start position:0%
so I I think there is going to be
00:58:14.920 --> 00:58:18.309 align:start position:0%
so I I think there is going to be
reevaluation<00:58:15.599> of<00:58:15.799> that<00:58:16.599> uh<00:58:17.039> and<00:58:17.559> um<00:58:17.839> and<00:58:18.119> and<00:58:18.240> I
00:58:18.309 --> 00:58:18.319 align:start position:0%
reevaluation of that uh and um and and I
00:58:18.319 --> 00:58:19.510 align:start position:0%
reevaluation of that uh and um and and I
don't<00:58:18.440> know<00:58:18.680> exactly<00:58:19.000> how<00:58:19.119> that's<00:58:19.280> going<00:58:19.400> to
00:58:19.510 --> 00:58:19.520 align:start position:0%
don't know exactly how that's going to
00:58:19.520 --> 00:58:22.349 align:start position:0%
don't know exactly how that's going to
turn<00:58:19.760> out<00:58:20.760> uh<00:58:21.119> but<00:58:21.680> that<00:58:21.799> that's<00:58:21.920> the<00:58:22.039> reason
00:58:22.349 --> 00:58:22.359 align:start position:0%
turn out uh but that that's the reason
00:58:22.359 --> 00:58:24.910 align:start position:0%
turn out uh but that that's the reason
why<00:58:22.680> I'm<00:58:23.319> I'm<00:58:23.599> hesitant<00:58:24.079> to<00:58:24.240> say<00:58:24.480> that<00:58:24.640> we<00:58:24.760> know
00:58:24.910 --> 00:58:24.920 align:start position:0%
why I'm I'm hesitant to say that we know
00:58:24.920 --> 00:58:26.910 align:start position:0%
why I'm I'm hesitant to say that we know
how<00:58:25.079> this<00:58:25.280> exactly<00:58:25.760> how<00:58:26.160> this<00:58:26.319> war<00:58:26.559> is<00:58:26.720> going
00:58:26.910 --> 00:58:26.920 align:start position:0%
how this exactly how this war is going
00:58:26.920 --> 00:58:29.270 align:start position:0%
how this exactly how this war is going
to<00:58:27.280> evolve<00:58:28.280> uh<00:58:28.400> and<00:58:28.520> how<00:58:28.680> these<00:58:28.839> groups<00:58:29.119> are
00:58:29.270 --> 00:58:29.280 align:start position:0%
to evolve uh and how these groups are
00:58:29.280 --> 00:58:32.630 align:start position:0%
to evolve uh and how these groups are
going<00:58:29.480> to<00:58:29.880> evolve<00:58:30.880> uh<00:58:31.359> and<00:58:31.799> and<00:58:32.000> I<00:58:32.319> because<00:58:32.559> I
00:58:32.630 --> 00:58:32.640 align:start position:0%
going to evolve uh and and I because I
00:58:32.640 --> 00:58:35.589 align:start position:0%
going to evolve uh and and I because I
think<00:58:32.799> we<00:58:32.920> are<00:58:33.200> in<00:58:33.400> a<00:58:33.559> in<00:58:33.680> a<00:58:33.880> different<00:58:34.599> phase
00:58:35.589 --> 00:58:35.599 align:start position:0%
think we are in a in a different phase
00:58:35.599 --> 00:58:38.150 align:start position:0%
think we are in a in a different phase
uh<00:58:35.760> of<00:58:35.960> this<00:58:36.240> long-term<00:58:36.880> Iran<00:58:37.319> Israel<00:58:38.039> uh
00:58:38.150 --> 00:58:38.160 align:start position:0%
uh of this long-term Iran Israel uh
00:58:38.160 --> 00:58:39.549 align:start position:0%
uh of this long-term Iran Israel uh
calculation<00:58:38.720> that<00:58:38.920> we're<00:58:39.119> we're<00:58:39.280> never<00:58:39.440> going
00:58:39.549 --> 00:58:39.559 align:start position:0%
calculation that we're we're never going
00:58:39.559 --> 00:58:41.829 align:start position:0%
calculation that we're we're never going
to<00:58:39.799> return<00:58:40.000> to<00:58:40.119> the<00:58:40.280> status<00:58:40.599> quo<00:58:40.839> anti<00:58:41.559> that<00:58:41.680> we
00:58:41.829 --> 00:58:41.839 align:start position:0%
to return to the status quo anti that we
00:58:41.839 --> 00:58:45.430 align:start position:0%
to return to the status quo anti that we
had<00:58:42.119> before<00:58:42.599> October<00:58:43.000> 7th<00:58:43.480> last
00:58:45.430 --> 00:58:45.440 align:start position:0%
had before October 7th last
00:58:45.440 --> 00:58:48.270 align:start position:0%
had before October 7th last
year<00:58:46.440> ban<00:58:46.839> you<00:58:46.920> want<00:58:47.039> to<00:58:47.160> get<00:58:47.319> on<00:58:47.720> or<00:58:47.880> should<00:58:48.119> we
00:58:48.270 --> 00:58:48.280 align:start position:0%
year ban you want to get on or should we
00:58:48.280 --> 00:58:49.150 align:start position:0%
year ban you want to get on or should we
move
00:58:49.150 --> 00:58:49.160 align:start position:0%
move
00:58:49.160 --> 00:58:51.990 align:start position:0%
move
on<00:58:50.160> just<00:58:50.400> just<00:58:50.680> a<00:58:50.839> couple<00:58:51.039> of<00:58:51.240> sentences<00:58:51.920> I
00:58:51.990 --> 00:58:52.000 align:start position:0%
on just just a couple of sentences I
00:58:52.000 --> 00:58:55.789 align:start position:0%
on just just a couple of sentences I
think<00:58:53.000> um<00:58:53.880> Matt<00:58:54.280> summarized<00:58:54.880> us<00:58:55.359> very<00:58:55.559> well
00:58:55.789 --> 00:58:55.799 align:start position:0%
think um Matt summarized us very well
00:58:55.799 --> 00:58:58.990 align:start position:0%
think um Matt summarized us very well
there<00:58:56.119> a<00:58:56.240> lot<00:58:56.400> of<00:58:57.200> unknowns<00:58:58.200> but<00:58:58.359> there<00:58:58.520> is<00:58:58.720> one
00:58:58.990 --> 00:58:59.000 align:start position:0%
there a lot of unknowns but there is one
00:58:59.000 --> 00:59:02.190 align:start position:0%
there a lot of unknowns but there is one
known<00:58:59.920> that<00:59:00.160> we<00:59:00.319> should<00:59:01.240> take<00:59:01.480> into<00:59:01.839> account
00:59:02.190 --> 00:59:02.200 align:start position:0%
known that we should take into account
00:59:02.200 --> 00:59:04.990 align:start position:0%
known that we should take into account
and<00:59:02.400> that<00:59:02.520> is<00:59:02.760> that<00:59:02.960> there<00:59:03.079> will<00:59:03.319> be<00:59:04.240> a<00:59:04.440> a<00:59:04.720> much
00:59:04.990 --> 00:59:05.000 align:start position:0%
and that is that there will be a a much
00:59:05.000 --> 00:59:07.630 align:start position:0%
and that is that there will be a a much
larger<00:59:05.480> number<00:59:05.760> of<00:59:06.000> recruits<00:59:07.000> coming<00:59:07.400> from
00:59:07.630 --> 00:59:07.640 align:start position:0%
larger number of recruits coming from
00:59:07.640 --> 00:59:09.670 align:start position:0%
larger number of recruits coming from
the<00:59:07.839> different<00:59:08.760> countries<00:59:09.359> both
00:59:09.670 --> 00:59:09.680 align:start position:0%
the different countries both
00:59:09.680 --> 00:59:11.829 align:start position:0%
the different countries both
Palestinians<00:59:10.440> Lebanese<00:59:11.039> but<00:59:11.200> also<00:59:11.400> Regional
00:59:11.829 --> 00:59:11.839 align:start position:0%
Palestinians Lebanese but also Regional
00:59:11.839 --> 00:59:14.349 align:start position:0%
Palestinians Lebanese but also Regional
countries<00:59:12.760> which<00:59:13.039> also<00:59:13.359> is<00:59:13.480> a<00:59:13.720> factor<00:59:14.160> in
00:59:14.349 --> 00:59:14.359 align:start position:0%
countries which also is a factor in
00:59:14.359 --> 00:59:17.510 align:start position:0%
countries which also is a factor in
Iran's<00:59:15.039> calculations<00:59:16.039> and<00:59:16.240> I<00:59:16.359> could<00:59:16.599> see<00:59:17.359> the
00:59:17.510 --> 00:59:17.520 align:start position:0%
Iran's calculations and I could see the
00:59:17.520 --> 00:59:19.910 align:start position:0%
Iran's calculations and I could see the
emergence<00:59:18.039> of<00:59:18.160> a<00:59:18.440> larger<00:59:18.920> number<00:59:19.240> of
00:59:19.910 --> 00:59:19.920 align:start position:0%
emergence of a larger number of
00:59:19.920 --> 00:59:21.870 align:start position:0%
emergence of a larger number of
organizations<00:59:20.920> you<00:59:21.079> don't<00:59:21.319> have<00:59:21.440> to<00:59:21.680> have
00:59:21.870 --> 00:59:21.880 align:start position:0%
organizations you don't have to have
00:59:21.880 --> 00:59:24.750 align:start position:0%
organizations you don't have to have
only<00:59:22.240> one<00:59:22.720> heah<00:59:23.319> or<00:59:23.440> one<00:59:23.680> hash<00:59:24.039> shabi<00:59:24.440> I<00:59:24.559> can
00:59:24.750 --> 00:59:24.760 align:start position:0%
only one heah or one hash shabi I can
00:59:24.760 --> 00:59:27.910 align:start position:0%
only one heah or one hash shabi I can
imagine<00:59:25.319> that<00:59:26.160> number<00:59:26.359> of<00:59:26.599> new<00:59:26.920> organizations
00:59:27.910 --> 00:59:27.920 align:start position:0%
imagine that number of new organizations
00:59:27.920 --> 00:59:31.470 align:start position:0%
imagine that number of new organizations
with<00:59:28.119> new<00:59:28.400> recruits<00:59:28.880> will
00:59:31.470 --> 00:59:31.480 align:start position:0%
00:59:31.480 --> 00:59:35.109 align:start position:0%
emerge<00:59:32.480> all<00:59:32.720> right<00:59:33.359> I'm<00:59:33.520> trying<00:59:33.839> to<00:59:34.359> uh<00:59:35.000> we
00:59:35.109 --> 00:59:35.119 align:start position:0%
emerge all right I'm trying to uh we
00:59:35.119 --> 00:59:38.390 align:start position:0%
emerge all right I'm trying to uh we
have<00:59:35.280> many<00:59:35.799> questions<00:59:36.520> uh<00:59:36.960> left<00:59:37.280> and<00:59:37.760> let<00:59:37.920> me
00:59:38.390 --> 00:59:38.400 align:start position:0%
have many questions uh left and let me
00:59:38.400 --> 00:59:41.950 align:start position:0%
have many questions uh left and let me
uh<00:59:39.000> come<00:59:39.240> to<00:59:39.760> some<00:59:39.920> of<00:59:40.079> our<00:59:40.520> early<00:59:40.960> questions
00:59:41.950 --> 00:59:41.960 align:start position:0%
uh come to some of our early questions
00:59:41.960 --> 00:59:44.990 align:start position:0%
uh come to some of our early questions
uh<00:59:42.200> Johnny<00:59:42.720> Joseph<00:59:43.240> of<00:59:43.400> Los<00:59:43.640> Angeles<00:59:44.240> asks<00:59:44.880> in
00:59:44.990 --> 00:59:45.000 align:start position:0%
uh Johnny Joseph of Los Angeles asks in
00:59:45.000 --> 00:59:46.950 align:start position:0%
uh Johnny Joseph of Los Angeles asks in
the<00:59:45.160> recently<00:59:45.599> published<00:59:45.960> book<00:59:46.359> Palestine
00:59:46.950 --> 00:59:46.960 align:start position:0%
the recently published book Palestine
00:59:46.960 --> 00:59:50.069 align:start position:0%
the recently published book Palestine
1936<00:59:47.839> a<00:59:48.000> prominent<00:59:48.440> Arab<00:59:48.720> leader<00:59:49.400> is<00:59:49.599> quoted
00:59:50.069 --> 00:59:50.079 align:start position:0%
1936 a prominent Arab leader is quoted
00:59:50.079 --> 00:59:52.069 align:start position:0%
1936 a prominent Arab leader is quoted
saying<00:59:50.319> we<00:59:50.440> would<00:59:50.680> rather<00:59:50.960> starve<00:59:51.680> than<00:59:51.839> share
00:59:52.069 --> 00:59:52.079 align:start position:0%
saying we would rather starve than share
00:59:52.079 --> 00:59:54.549 align:start position:0%
saying we would rather starve than share
a<00:59:52.240> loaf<00:59:52.640> of<00:59:52.960> bread<00:59:53.319> with<00:59:53.480> the<00:59:53.599> Jews<00:59:54.319> in
00:59:54.549 --> 00:59:54.559 align:start position:0%
a loaf of bread with the Jews in
00:59:54.559 --> 00:59:57.750 align:start position:0%
a loaf of bread with the Jews in
response<00:59:54.960> to<00:59:55.200> proposed<00:59:56.200> uh<00:59:56.920> partisan
00:59:57.750 --> 00:59:57.760 align:start position:0%
response to proposed uh partisan
00:59:57.760 --> 01:00:00.630 align:start position:0%
response to proposed uh partisan
partisan<00:59:58.680> plan<00:59:59.440> does<00:59:59.680> that<00:59:59.839> sentiment<01:00:00.319> still
01:00:00.630 --> 01:00:00.640 align:start position:0%
partisan plan does that sentiment still
01:00:00.640 --> 01:00:03.069 align:start position:0%
partisan plan does that sentiment still
Prevail<01:00:01.079> amongst<01:00:01.359> the<01:00:01.520> current<01:00:01.960> Arab<01:00:02.920> uh
01:00:03.069 --> 01:00:03.079 align:start position:0%
Prevail amongst the current Arab uh
01:00:03.079 --> 01:00:04.990 align:start position:0%
Prevail amongst the current Arab uh
Regional<01:00:03.559> leadership<01:00:04.240> and<01:00:04.400> how<01:00:04.599> could<01:00:04.760> it
01:00:04.990 --> 01:00:05.000 align:start position:0%
Regional leadership and how could it
01:00:05.000 --> 01:00:07.430 align:start position:0%
Regional leadership and how could it
have<01:00:05.480> been<01:00:05.760> affected<01:00:06.280> by<01:00:06.440> the<01:00:06.640> event<01:00:07.000> over<01:00:07.240> the
01:00:07.430 --> 01:00:07.440 align:start position:0%
have been affected by the event over the
01:00:07.440 --> 01:00:11.390 align:start position:0%
have been affected by the event over the
last<01:00:07.799> year<01:00:08.720> and<01:00:09.160> I<01:00:09.359> have<01:00:09.799> a<01:00:10.440> another<01:00:10.960> question
01:00:11.390 --> 01:00:11.400 align:start position:0%
last year and I have a another question
01:00:11.400 --> 01:00:13.430 align:start position:0%
last year and I have a another question
that<01:00:11.520> is<01:00:11.680> somewhat<01:00:12.119> similar<01:00:13.079> uh<01:00:13.200> from
01:00:13.430 --> 01:00:13.440 align:start position:0%
that is somewhat similar uh from
01:00:13.440 --> 01:00:15.910 align:start position:0%
that is somewhat similar uh from
Jonathan<01:00:14.119> Gartner<01:00:14.559> of<01:00:14.680> the<01:00:14.799> United<01:00:15.119> States<01:00:15.799> I
01:00:15.910 --> 01:00:15.920 align:start position:0%
Jonathan Gartner of the United States I
01:00:15.920 --> 01:00:19.510 align:start position:0%
Jonathan Gartner of the United States I
wonder<01:00:16.319> if<01:00:16.520> Mr<01:00:17.440> abusada<01:00:18.440> can<01:00:18.640> think<01:00:18.839> of<01:00:19.160> any
01:00:19.510 --> 01:00:19.520 align:start position:0%
wonder if Mr abusada can think of any
01:00:19.520 --> 01:00:22.510 align:start position:0%
wonder if Mr abusada can think of any
another<01:00:19.880> way<01:00:20.160> for<01:00:20.520> Palestine<01:00:21.480> to<01:00:21.720> go<01:00:22.000> back<01:00:22.319> on
01:00:22.510 --> 01:00:22.520 align:start position:0%
another way for Palestine to go back on
01:00:22.520 --> 01:00:26.270 align:start position:0%
another way for Palestine to go back on
the<01:00:22.680> radar<01:00:23.119> screen<01:00:23.960> than<01:00:24.359> as<01:00:24.520> he<01:00:24.760> said<01:00:25.559> October
01:00:26.270 --> 01:00:26.280 align:start position:0%
the radar screen than as he said October
01:00:26.280 --> 01:00:27.870 align:start position:0%
the radar screen than as he said October
7th
01:00:27.870 --> 01:00:27.880 align:start position:0%
7th
01:00:27.880 --> 01:00:32.230 align:start position:0%
7th
happened<01:00:28.880> um<01:00:29.760> at<01:00:29.920> any<01:00:30.160> rate<01:00:30.400> those<01:00:30.520> are<01:00:30.760> two<01:00:31.319> um
01:00:32.230 --> 01:00:32.240 align:start position:0%
happened um at any rate those are two um
01:00:32.240 --> 01:00:36.670 align:start position:0%
happened um at any rate those are two um
uh<01:00:32.480> uh<01:00:32.720> questions<01:00:33.720> and<01:00:34.160> I<01:00:34.559> give<01:00:35.559> both<01:00:35.760> of<01:00:35.920> you<01:00:36.160> a
01:00:36.670 --> 01:00:36.680 align:start position:0%
uh uh questions and I give both of you a
01:00:36.680 --> 01:00:41.190 align:start position:0%
uh uh questions and I give both of you a
chance<01:00:37.680> uh<01:00:38.160> to<01:00:38.799> um<01:00:39.760> uh<01:00:40.039> to<01:00:40.240> answer
01:00:41.190 --> 01:00:41.200 align:start position:0%
chance uh to um uh to answer
01:00:41.200 --> 01:00:43.349 align:start position:0%
chance uh to um uh to answer
them<01:00:42.200> either<01:00:42.520> one<01:00:42.680> of
01:00:43.349 --> 01:00:43.359 align:start position:0%
them either one of
01:00:43.359 --> 01:00:47.470 align:start position:0%
them either one of
you<01:00:44.359> uh<01:00:45.200> first<01:00:45.440> of<01:00:45.599> all<01:00:45.920> I<01:00:46.079> think<01:00:46.839> a<01:00:47.000> lot<01:00:47.280> has
01:00:47.470 --> 01:00:47.480 align:start position:0%
you uh first of all I think a lot has
01:00:47.480 --> 01:00:49.589 align:start position:0%
you uh first of all I think a lot has
changed<01:00:48.039> since
01:00:49.589 --> 01:00:49.599 align:start position:0%
changed since
01:00:49.599 --> 01:00:54.950 align:start position:0%
changed since
1936<01:00:50.599> and<01:00:51.200> uh<01:00:52.160> uh<01:00:53.160> you<01:00:53.319> know<01:00:54.079> Arab<01:00:54.440> leaders
01:00:54.950 --> 01:00:54.960 align:start position:0%
1936 and uh uh you know Arab leaders
01:00:54.960 --> 01:00:56.549 align:start position:0%
1936 and uh uh you know Arab leaders
Arab<01:00:55.319> perception
01:00:56.549 --> 01:00:56.559 align:start position:0%
Arab perception
01:00:56.559 --> 01:00:58.150 align:start position:0%
Arab perception
um<01:00:56.960> Regional
01:00:58.150 --> 01:00:58.160 align:start position:0%
um Regional
01:00:58.160 --> 01:01:00.589 align:start position:0%
um Regional
realities<01:00:59.160> and<01:00:59.319> so<01:00:59.480> on<01:00:59.760> have<01:01:00.039> have<01:01:00.160> changed
01:01:00.589 --> 01:01:00.599 align:start position:0%
realities and so on have have changed
01:01:00.599 --> 01:01:02.950 align:start position:0%
realities and so on have have changed
dramatically<01:01:01.319> and<01:01:01.559> we<01:01:01.760> we<01:01:01.920> have<01:01:02.000> to<01:01:02.200> try<01:01:02.400> to
01:01:02.950 --> 01:01:02.960 align:start position:0%
dramatically and we we have to try to
01:01:02.960 --> 01:01:05.950 align:start position:0%
dramatically and we we have to try to
understand<01:01:03.960> uh<01:01:04.680> what's<01:01:04.960> happening<01:01:05.319> today<01:01:05.720> but
01:01:05.950 --> 01:01:05.960 align:start position:0%
understand uh what's happening today but
01:01:05.960 --> 01:01:09.549 align:start position:0%
understand uh what's happening today but
what<01:01:06.119> we<01:01:06.280> can<01:01:06.520> say<01:01:06.839> with<01:01:07.520> certainty<01:01:08.520> is<01:01:08.760> that
01:01:09.549 --> 01:01:09.559 align:start position:0%
what we can say with certainty is that
01:01:09.559 --> 01:01:13.430 align:start position:0%
what we can say with certainty is that
Israeli<01:01:10.480> actions<01:01:10.960> over<01:01:11.160> the<01:01:11.400> past<01:01:11.960> 12<01:01:12.440> months
01:01:13.430 --> 01:01:13.440 align:start position:0%
Israeli actions over the past 12 months
01:01:13.440 --> 01:01:17.750 align:start position:0%
Israeli actions over the past 12 months
have<01:01:14.079> um<01:01:15.240> deepened<01:01:16.240> the<01:01:16.720> the<01:01:16.920> tensions<01:01:17.559> the
01:01:17.750 --> 01:01:17.760 align:start position:0%
have um deepened the the tensions the
01:01:17.760 --> 01:01:22.950 align:start position:0%
have um deepened the the tensions the
suspicions<01:01:18.760> the<01:01:19.559> The<01:01:19.960> Divide<01:01:21.119> between<01:01:22.119> um<01:01:22.799> the
01:01:22.950 --> 01:01:22.960 align:start position:0%
suspicions the The Divide between um the
01:01:22.960 --> 01:01:25.630 align:start position:0%
suspicions the The Divide between um the
Israeli<01:01:23.799> population<01:01:24.799> uh<01:01:24.960> or<01:01:25.160> the<01:01:25.280> Israeli
01:01:25.630 --> 01:01:25.640 align:start position:0%
Israeli population uh or the Israeli
01:01:25.640 --> 01:01:26.990 align:start position:0%
Israeli population uh or the Israeli
government<01:01:25.920> government<01:01:26.319> and<01:01:26.480> the<01:01:26.640> rest<01:01:26.839> of
01:01:26.990 --> 01:01:27.000 align:start position:0%
government government and the rest of
01:01:27.000 --> 01:01:30.270 align:start position:0%
government government and the rest of
the<01:01:27.200> region<01:01:27.599> and<01:01:27.839> that<01:01:28.319> drift<01:01:29.319> those<01:01:29.760> level<01:01:30.079> of
01:01:30.270 --> 01:01:30.280 align:start position:0%
the region and that drift those level of
01:01:30.280 --> 01:01:32.789 align:start position:0%
the region and that drift those level of
tensions<01:01:30.920> that<01:01:31.160> dimension<01:01:31.680> of<01:01:32.280> regional
01:01:32.789 --> 01:01:32.799 align:start position:0%
tensions that dimension of regional
01:01:32.799 --> 01:01:35.630 align:start position:0%
tensions that dimension of regional
tensions<01:01:33.240> will<01:01:33.480> definitely<01:01:34.039> have<01:01:34.160> to<01:01:34.359> be<01:01:35.319> um
01:01:35.630 --> 01:01:35.640 align:start position:0%
tensions will definitely have to be um
01:01:35.640 --> 01:01:38.470 align:start position:0%
tensions will definitely have to be um
taken<01:01:36.000> into<01:01:36.319> account<01:01:36.640> in<01:01:36.839> any<01:01:37.200> type<01:01:37.440> of<01:01:38.119> new
01:01:38.470 --> 01:01:38.480 align:start position:0%
taken into account in any type of new
01:01:38.480 --> 01:01:40.829 align:start position:0%
taken into account in any type of new
realities<01:01:39.160> that<01:01:39.319> will<01:01:39.559> emerge<01:01:40.079> in<01:01:40.280> in<01:01:40.400> the
01:01:40.829 --> 01:01:40.839 align:start position:0%
realities that will emerge in in the
01:01:40.839 --> 01:01:44.549 align:start position:0%
realities that will emerge in in the
region<01:01:41.839> um<01:01:42.079> on<01:01:42.240> the<01:01:42.480> second<01:01:42.920> question<01:01:43.520> I<01:01:44.160> I<01:01:44.359> I'm
01:01:44.549 --> 01:01:44.559 align:start position:0%
region um on the second question I I I'm
01:01:44.559 --> 01:01:46.230 align:start position:0%
region um on the second question I I I'm
certainly<01:01:45.039> not<01:01:45.240> the<01:01:45.400> expert<01:01:45.799> and<01:01:45.960> I'm<01:01:46.079> not
01:01:46.230 --> 01:01:46.240 align:start position:0%
certainly not the expert and I'm not
01:01:46.240 --> 01:01:49.190 align:start position:0%
certainly not the expert and I'm not
going<01:01:46.359> to<01:01:46.760> comment<01:01:47.760> I'll<01:01:48.000> stop
01:01:49.190 --> 01:01:49.200 align:start position:0%
going to comment I'll stop
01:01:49.200 --> 01:01:53.549 align:start position:0%
going to comment I'll stop
here<01:01:50.200> Matt<01:01:50.520> do<01:01:50.640> you<01:01:50.720> want<01:01:50.799> to<01:01:50.920> go
01:01:53.549 --> 01:01:53.559 align:start position:0%
01:01:53.559 --> 01:01:58.430 align:start position:0%
on<01:01:54.640> uh<01:01:55.640> uh
01:01:58.430 --> 01:01:58.440 align:start position:0%
01:01:58.440 --> 01:02:01.990 align:start position:0%
yeah<01:01:58.720> go<01:01:58.880> ahead<01:01:59.880> yeah<01:02:00.599> not<01:02:00.799> much<01:02:01.119> to<01:02:01.480> to<01:02:01.720> add
01:02:01.990 --> 01:02:02.000 align:start position:0%
yeah go ahead yeah not much to to add
01:02:02.000 --> 01:02:04.309 align:start position:0%
yeah go ahead yeah not much to to add
there<01:02:02.319> you<01:02:02.400> know<01:02:02.520> I<01:02:02.599> certainly<01:02:02.920> don't<01:02:03.480> um
01:02:04.309 --> 01:02:04.319 align:start position:0%
there you know I certainly don't um
01:02:04.319 --> 01:02:07.069 align:start position:0%
there you know I certainly don't um
represent<01:02:04.920> or<01:02:05.440> you<01:02:05.599> know<01:02:05.920> con<01:02:06.240> convey<01:02:06.599> fully
01:02:07.069 --> 01:02:07.079 align:start position:0%
represent or you know con convey fully
01:02:07.079 --> 01:02:10.109 align:start position:0%
represent or you know con convey fully
the<01:02:08.079> uh<01:02:08.520> the<01:02:08.680> concerns<01:02:09.200> of<01:02:09.480> of<01:02:09.640> the<01:02:09.760> Arab
01:02:10.109 --> 01:02:10.119 align:start position:0%
the uh the concerns of of the Arab
01:02:10.119 --> 01:02:12.349 align:start position:0%
the uh the concerns of of the Arab
populations<01:02:10.640> and<01:02:10.880> Arab<01:02:11.160> states<01:02:11.880> I<01:02:12.000> do<01:02:12.160> think
01:02:12.349 --> 01:02:12.359 align:start position:0%
populations and Arab states I do think
01:02:12.359 --> 01:02:13.950 align:start position:0%
populations and Arab states I do think
that<01:02:12.559> there<01:02:12.720> is<01:02:12.920> going<01:02:13.039> to<01:02:13.200> be<01:02:13.640> you<01:02:13.760> know
01:02:13.950 --> 01:02:13.960 align:start position:0%
that there is going to be you know
01:02:13.960 --> 01:02:16.789 align:start position:0%
that there is going to be you know
certainly<01:02:14.880> continuing<01:02:15.880> uh<01:02:16.079> discussions<01:02:16.599> as
01:02:16.789 --> 01:02:16.799 align:start position:0%
certainly continuing uh discussions as
01:02:16.799 --> 01:02:20.829 align:start position:0%
certainly continuing uh discussions as
the<01:02:16.960> war<01:02:17.319> drags<01:02:17.920> on<01:02:18.920> uh<01:02:19.440> between<01:02:20.240> leaderships
01:02:20.829 --> 01:02:20.839 align:start position:0%
the war drags on uh between leaderships
01:02:20.839 --> 01:02:23.150 align:start position:0%
the war drags on uh between leaderships
in<01:02:20.960> Arab<01:02:21.240> states<01:02:21.680> and<01:02:22.079> and<01:02:22.400> really<01:02:22.760> domestic
01:02:23.150 --> 01:02:23.160 align:start position:0%
in Arab states and and really domestic
01:02:23.160 --> 01:02:24.789 align:start position:0%
in Arab states and and really domestic
sentiment<01:02:23.920> I<01:02:24.000> mean<01:02:24.160> that's<01:02:24.279> certainly
01:02:24.789 --> 01:02:24.799 align:start position:0%
sentiment I mean that's certainly
01:02:24.799 --> 01:02:26.950 align:start position:0%
sentiment I mean that's certainly
nothing<01:02:25.240> new<01:02:26.000> we've<01:02:26.200> had<01:02:26.359> that<01:02:26.480> for<01:02:26.640> a<01:02:26.760> very
01:02:26.950 --> 01:02:26.960 align:start position:0%
nothing new we've had that for a very
01:02:26.960 --> 01:02:28.870 align:start position:0%
nothing new we've had that for a very
long<01:02:27.200> time<01:02:27.440> that<01:02:27.599> those<01:02:27.760> are<01:02:27.960> not<01:02:28.160> always
01:02:28.870 --> 01:02:28.880 align:start position:0%
long time that those are not always
01:02:28.880 --> 01:02:31.390 align:start position:0%
long time that those are not always
aligned<01:02:29.880> uh<01:02:30.039> and<01:02:30.200> I<01:02:30.319> think<01:02:30.599> the<01:02:31.000> the<01:02:31.079> war<01:02:31.279> in
01:02:31.390 --> 01:02:31.400 align:start position:0%
aligned uh and I think the the war in
01:02:31.400 --> 01:02:34.910 align:start position:0%
aligned uh and I think the the war in
Israel<01:02:31.960> has<01:02:32.279> has<01:02:32.960> further<01:02:33.400> exposed<01:02:34.000> that<01:02:34.599> um
01:02:34.910 --> 01:02:34.920 align:start position:0%
Israel has has further exposed that um
01:02:34.920 --> 01:02:37.109 align:start position:0%
Israel has has further exposed that um
but<01:02:35.559> uh<01:02:35.720> I<01:02:35.880> I<01:02:36.000> think<01:02:36.240> that<01:02:36.640> there<01:02:36.839> you<01:02:36.960> know
01:02:37.109 --> 01:02:37.119 align:start position:0%
but uh I I think that there you know
01:02:37.119 --> 01:02:40.470 align:start position:0%
but uh I I think that there you know
it's<01:02:37.359> still<01:02:38.039> really<01:02:38.839> uncertain<01:02:39.839> uh<01:02:40.119> you<01:02:40.240> know
01:02:40.470 --> 01:02:40.480 align:start position:0%
it's still really uncertain uh you know
01:02:40.480 --> 01:02:43.870 align:start position:0%
it's still really uncertain uh you know
what<01:02:40.680> the<01:02:40.920> instate<01:02:41.559> of<01:02:41.720> all<01:02:42.039> this<01:02:42.520> is<01:02:43.520> uh<01:02:43.680> and
01:02:43.870 --> 01:02:43.880 align:start position:0%
what the instate of all this is uh and
01:02:43.880 --> 01:02:46.150 align:start position:0%
what the instate of all this is uh and
and<01:02:44.119> whether<01:02:44.920> uh<01:02:45.119> you<01:02:45.240> know<01:02:45.680> there<01:02:45.799> is<01:02:45.960> an
01:02:46.150 --> 01:02:46.160 align:start position:0%
and whether uh you know there is an
01:02:46.160 --> 01:02:49.870 align:start position:0%
and whether uh you know there is an
ability<01:02:46.799> for<01:02:47.799> um<01:02:48.039> Israel<01:02:48.520> and<01:02:48.760> this<01:02:49.119> its<01:02:49.319> Arab
01:02:49.870 --> 01:02:49.880 align:start position:0%
ability for um Israel and this its Arab
01:02:49.880 --> 01:02:52.150 align:start position:0%
ability for um Israel and this its Arab
neighbors<01:02:50.880> uh<01:02:51.039> and<01:02:51.200> even<01:02:51.400> Iran<01:02:51.799> to<01:02:52.000> some
01:02:52.150 --> 01:02:52.160 align:start position:0%
neighbors uh and even Iran to some
01:02:52.160 --> 01:02:54.430 align:start position:0%
neighbors uh and even Iran to some
degree<01:02:52.720> you<01:02:52.839> know<01:02:53.200> come<01:02:53.400> to<01:02:53.640> some<01:02:53.839> new
01:02:54.430 --> 01:02:54.440 align:start position:0%
degree you know come to some new
01:02:54.440 --> 01:02:56.589 align:start position:0%
degree you know come to some new
understanding<01:02:54.680> of<01:02:54.880> how<01:02:55.079> things<01:02:55.960> uh<01:02:56.079> are<01:02:56.359> going
01:02:56.589 --> 01:02:56.599 align:start position:0%
understanding of how things uh are going
01:02:56.599 --> 01:02:59.710 align:start position:0%
understanding of how things uh are going
to<01:02:56.799> be<01:02:57.440> uh<01:02:57.559> managed<01:02:58.000> in<01:02:58.119> the<01:02:58.200> region<01:02:58.599> so<01:02:59.599> I'll
01:02:59.710 --> 01:02:59.720 align:start position:0%
to be uh managed in the region so I'll
01:02:59.720 --> 01:03:03.029 align:start position:0%
to be uh managed in the region so I'll
leave<01:02:59.880> it<01:03:00.000> at<01:03:00.520> that<01:03:01.520> okay<01:03:02.039> let<01:03:02.200> me<01:03:02.440> have<01:03:02.760> a
01:03:03.029 --> 01:03:03.039 align:start position:0%
leave it at that okay let me have a
01:03:03.039 --> 01:03:05.710 align:start position:0%
leave it at that okay let me have a
question<01:03:03.440> from<01:03:03.680> a<01:03:04.200> an<01:03:04.400> old<01:03:04.640> friend<01:03:05.039> Antonia
01:03:05.710 --> 01:03:05.720 align:start position:0%
question from a an old friend Antonia
01:03:05.720 --> 01:03:08.069 align:start position:0%
question from a an old friend Antonia
deu<01:03:06.240> who<01:03:06.359> is<01:03:07.160> uh<01:03:07.319> at<01:03:07.440> The<01:03:07.520> Institute<01:03:07.880> for
01:03:08.069 --> 01:03:08.079 align:start position:0%
deu who is uh at The Institute for
01:03:08.079 --> 01:03:10.910 align:start position:0%
deu who is uh at The Institute for
security<01:03:08.400> and<01:03:08.640> defense<01:03:09.039> analysis<01:03:09.559> in<01:03:09.920> Athens
01:03:10.910 --> 01:03:10.920 align:start position:0%
security and defense analysis in Athens
01:03:10.920 --> 01:03:15.470 align:start position:0%
security and defense analysis in Athens
uh<01:03:11.400> Greece<01:03:12.400> president<01:03:13.359> Pani<01:03:14.359> uh<01:03:14.920> Balan
01:03:15.470 --> 01:03:15.480 align:start position:0%
uh Greece president Pani uh Balan
01:03:15.480 --> 01:03:16.870 align:start position:0%
uh Greece president Pani uh Balan
approach<01:03:15.960> between<01:03:16.319> moderate<01:03:16.720> and
01:03:16.870 --> 01:03:16.880 align:start position:0%
approach between moderate and
01:03:16.880 --> 01:03:19.109 align:start position:0%
approach between moderate and
conservative<01:03:17.480> factions<01:03:18.000> within<01:03:18.319> Iran
01:03:19.109 --> 01:03:19.119 align:start position:0%
conservative factions within Iran
01:03:19.119 --> 01:03:20.750 align:start position:0%
conservative factions within Iran
immediately<01:03:19.680> after<01:03:19.920> his<01:03:20.079> election<01:03:20.559> was
01:03:20.750 --> 01:03:20.760 align:start position:0%
immediately after his election was
01:03:20.760 --> 01:03:24.470 align:start position:0%
immediately after his election was
underscored<01:03:21.559> by<01:03:21.720> ban<01:03:22.640> How<01:03:22.880> likely<01:03:23.279> is<01:03:23.359> it<01:03:23.559> for
01:03:24.470 --> 01:03:24.480 align:start position:0%
underscored by ban How likely is it for
01:03:24.480 --> 01:03:27.109 align:start position:0%
underscored by ban How likely is it for
the<01:03:24.760> Iranian<01:03:25.359> president<01:03:25.920> to<01:03:26.160> also<01:03:26.559> balance
01:03:27.109 --> 01:03:27.119 align:start position:0%
the Iranian president to also balance
01:03:27.119 --> 01:03:29.750 align:start position:0%
the Iranian president to also balance
domestic<01:03:27.960> priorities<01:03:28.960> with<01:03:29.279> complex
01:03:29.750 --> 01:03:29.760 align:start position:0%
domestic priorities with complex
01:03:29.760 --> 01:03:31.549 align:start position:0%
domestic priorities with complex
International<01:03:30.359> relationships<01:03:31.079> including
01:03:31.549 --> 01:03:31.559 align:start position:0%
International relationships including
01:03:31.559 --> 01:03:33.950 align:start position:0%
International relationships including
with<01:03:31.760> the<01:03:31.920> US<01:03:32.599> for<01:03:32.799> a<01:03:32.920> new<01:03:33.079> round<01:03:33.319> of<01:03:33.480> talks<01:03:33.799> on
01:03:33.950 --> 01:03:33.960 align:start position:0%
with the US for a new round of talks on
01:03:33.960 --> 01:03:36.710 align:start position:0%
with the US for a new round of talks on
the<01:03:34.079> joint<01:03:35.079> comprehensive<01:03:35.680> plan<01:03:35.920> of<01:03:36.200> action
01:03:36.710 --> 01:03:36.720 align:start position:0%
the joint comprehensive plan of action
01:03:36.720 --> 01:03:40.829 align:start position:0%
the joint comprehensive plan of action
jcpoa<01:03:37.720> or<01:03:38.240> on<01:03:38.720> removing
01:03:40.829 --> 01:03:40.839 align:start position:0%
jcpoa or on removing
01:03:40.839 --> 01:03:43.430 align:start position:0%
jcpoa or on removing
sanctions<01:03:41.839> either<01:03:42.119> one<01:03:42.240> of<01:03:42.359> you<01:03:42.480> want<01:03:42.599> to<01:03:43.160> try
01:03:43.430 --> 01:03:43.440 align:start position:0%
sanctions either one of you want to try
01:03:43.440 --> 01:03:48.589 align:start position:0%
sanctions either one of you want to try
it<01:03:43.640> yes<01:03:43.880> thank<01:03:44.240> you<01:03:45.520> um<01:03:46.520> without<01:03:47.000> the<01:03:47.240> current
01:03:48.589 --> 01:03:48.599 align:start position:0%
it yes thank you um without the current
01:03:48.599 --> 01:03:52.710 align:start position:0%
it yes thank you um without the current
um<01:03:49.599> um<01:03:50.039> Israeli<01:03:50.640> Iranian<01:03:51.160> or<01:03:51.680> Israeli
01:03:52.710 --> 01:03:52.720 align:start position:0%
um um Israeli Iranian or Israeli
01:03:52.720 --> 01:03:56.150 align:start position:0%
um um Israeli Iranian or Israeli
Regional<01:03:54.000> tensions<01:03:55.000> it<01:03:55.119> would<01:03:55.319> have<01:03:55.480> been
01:03:56.150 --> 01:03:56.160 align:start position:0%
Regional tensions it would have been
01:03:56.160 --> 01:04:00.750 align:start position:0%
Regional tensions it would have been
quite<01:03:56.640> likely<01:03:57.640> um<01:03:58.480> president<01:03:59.319> pesan<01:04:00.319> did<01:04:00.520> not
01:04:00.750 --> 01:04:00.760 align:start position:0%
quite likely um president pesan did not
01:04:00.760 --> 01:04:04.069 align:start position:0%
quite likely um president pesan did not
only<01:04:01.119> talk<01:04:01.440> about<01:04:01.680> it<01:04:01.960> he<01:04:02.160> sort<01:04:02.440> of<01:04:02.760> also<01:04:03.760> in<01:04:03.880> my
01:04:04.069 --> 01:04:04.079 align:start position:0%
only talk about it he sort of also in my
01:04:04.079 --> 01:04:07.109 align:start position:0%
only talk about it he sort of also in my
view<01:04:04.359> convince<01:04:04.839> a<01:04:04.960> number<01:04:05.200> of<01:04:05.440> other<01:04:06.119> players
01:04:07.109 --> 01:04:07.119 align:start position:0%
view convince a number of other players
01:04:07.119 --> 01:04:11.750 align:start position:0%
view convince a number of other players
um<01:04:07.440> to<01:04:07.720> pave<01:04:08.000> the<01:04:08.160> way<01:04:08.640> for<01:04:09.640> a<01:04:09.760> new<01:04:10.000> round<01:04:10.359> of<01:04:10.880> um
01:04:11.750 --> 01:04:11.760 align:start position:0%
um to pave the way for a new round of um
01:04:11.760 --> 01:04:14.069 align:start position:0%
um to pave the way for a new round of um
talks<01:04:12.680> with<01:04:12.920> Western<01:04:13.400> governments
01:04:14.069 --> 01:04:14.079 align:start position:0%
talks with Western governments
01:04:14.079 --> 01:04:17.710 align:start position:0%
talks with Western governments
especially<01:04:14.599> the<01:04:14.760> US<01:04:15.079> to<01:04:15.359> revive<01:04:16.359> um<01:04:17.200> the
01:04:17.710 --> 01:04:17.720 align:start position:0%
especially the US to revive um the
01:04:17.720 --> 01:04:19.549 align:start position:0%
especially the US to revive um the
nuclear
01:04:19.549 --> 01:04:19.559 align:start position:0%
nuclear
01:04:19.559 --> 01:04:23.390 align:start position:0%
nuclear
um<01:04:20.559> sort<01:04:20.799> of<01:04:21.039> agreement<01:04:21.680> not<01:04:21.920> necessarily<01:04:22.440> to
01:04:23.390 --> 01:04:23.400 align:start position:0%
um sort of agreement not necessarily to
01:04:23.400 --> 01:04:26.789 align:start position:0%
um sort of agreement not necessarily to
uh<01:04:23.559> revive<01:04:24.039> the<01:04:24.279> same<01:04:24.960> jcpoa<01:04:25.799> way<01:04:26.000> that<01:04:26.599> the
01:04:26.789 --> 01:04:26.799 align:start position:0%
uh revive the same jcpoa way that the
01:04:26.799 --> 01:04:28.950 align:start position:0%
uh revive the same jcpoa way that the
the<01:04:26.920> party<01:04:27.359> signed<01:04:27.799> in
01:04:28.950 --> 01:04:28.960 align:start position:0%
the party signed in
01:04:28.960 --> 01:04:32.510 align:start position:0%
the party signed in
2015<01:04:30.160> because<01:04:31.160> it's<01:04:31.359> just<01:04:31.680> the<01:04:31.839> realities<01:04:32.319> on
01:04:32.510 --> 01:04:32.520 align:start position:0%
2015 because it's just the realities on
01:04:32.520 --> 01:04:35.349 align:start position:0%
2015 because it's just the realities on
the<01:04:32.680> ground<01:04:32.960> have<01:04:33.119> changed<01:04:34.000> dramatically<01:04:34.839> but
01:04:35.349 --> 01:04:35.359 align:start position:0%
the ground have changed dramatically but
01:04:35.359 --> 01:04:39.190 align:start position:0%
the ground have changed dramatically but
to<01:04:35.799> use<01:04:36.160> the<01:04:36.400> same<01:04:37.279> structure<01:04:38.279> U<01:04:38.400> to<01:04:38.599> introduce
01:04:39.190 --> 01:04:39.200 align:start position:0%
to use the same structure U to introduce
01:04:39.200 --> 01:04:41.670 align:start position:0%
to use the same structure U to introduce
certain<01:04:39.880> limitations<01:04:40.880> on<01:04:41.039> the<01:04:41.200> Iranian
01:04:41.670 --> 01:04:41.680 align:start position:0%
certain limitations on the Iranian
01:04:41.680 --> 01:04:44.789 align:start position:0%
certain limitations on the Iranian
nuclear<01:04:42.160> program<01:04:42.640> in<01:04:42.960> return<01:04:43.240> for<01:04:44.079> for<01:04:44.640> the
01:04:44.789 --> 01:04:44.799 align:start position:0%
nuclear program in return for for the
01:04:44.799 --> 01:04:46.870 align:start position:0%
nuclear program in return for for the
lifting<01:04:45.200> of<01:04:45.400> sanctions<01:04:45.920> and<01:04:46.200> economic
01:04:46.870 --> 01:04:46.880 align:start position:0%
lifting of sanctions and economic
01:04:46.880 --> 01:04:49.589 align:start position:0%
lifting of sanctions and economic
opportunities<01:04:47.559> for<01:04:47.920> Iran<01:04:48.920> but<01:04:49.200> with<01:04:49.359> the
01:04:49.589 --> 01:04:49.599 align:start position:0%
opportunities for Iran but with the
01:04:49.599 --> 01:04:51.430 align:start position:0%
opportunities for Iran but with the
current<01:04:50.039> level<01:04:50.319> of
01:04:51.430 --> 01:04:51.440 align:start position:0%
current level of
01:04:51.440 --> 01:04:54.150 align:start position:0%
current level of
tensions<01:04:52.440> it<01:04:52.599> is<01:04:53.000> extremely<01:04:53.839> difficult<01:04:54.039> to
01:04:54.150 --> 01:04:54.160 align:start position:0%
tensions it is extremely difficult to
01:04:54.160 --> 01:04:56.789 align:start position:0%
tensions it is extremely difficult to
see<01:04:54.440> that<01:04:54.799> especially<01:04:55.880> as<01:04:56.039> Robin<01:04:56.480> said
01:04:56.789 --> 01:04:56.799 align:start position:0%
see that especially as Robin said
01:04:56.799 --> 01:05:00.269 align:start position:0%
see that especially as Robin said
because<01:04:57.200> the<01:04:57.400> US<01:04:57.880> one<01:04:58.079> way<01:04:58.279> or<01:04:58.480> the<01:04:58.839> other<01:04:59.839> um
01:05:00.269 --> 01:05:00.279 align:start position:0%
because the US one way or the other um
01:05:00.279 --> 01:05:03.870 align:start position:0%
because the US one way or the other um
is<01:05:01.079> party<01:05:01.839> on<01:05:02.039> the<01:05:02.279> side<01:05:02.480> of<01:05:02.720> Israel<01:05:03.160> in<01:05:03.279> this
01:05:03.870 --> 01:05:03.880 align:start position:0%
is party on the side of Israel in this
01:05:03.880 --> 01:05:06.549 align:start position:0%
is party on the side of Israel in this
confrontation<01:05:04.880> if<01:05:05.079> we<01:05:05.240> do<01:05:05.720> achieve<01:05:06.279> in<01:05:06.400> the
01:05:06.549 --> 01:05:06.559 align:start position:0%
confrontation if we do achieve in the
01:05:06.559 --> 01:05:09.549 align:start position:0%
confrontation if we do achieve in the
region<01:05:06.920> if<01:05:07.079> we<01:05:07.200> do<01:05:07.440> achieve<01:05:07.760> a<01:05:08.279> ceasefire<01:05:09.279> in
01:05:09.549 --> 01:05:09.559 align:start position:0%
region if we do achieve a ceasefire in
01:05:09.559 --> 01:05:12.069 align:start position:0%
region if we do achieve a ceasefire in
in<01:05:09.799> in<01:05:10.039> Gaza<01:05:10.480> and<01:05:10.640> in<01:05:10.760> Lebanon<01:05:11.359> and<01:05:11.680> some<01:05:11.880> sort
01:05:12.069 --> 01:05:12.079 align:start position:0%
in in Gaza and in Lebanon and some sort
01:05:12.079 --> 01:05:15.589 align:start position:0%
in in Gaza and in Lebanon and some sort
of<01:05:12.760> deescalation<01:05:13.760> then<01:05:13.920> it's<01:05:14.240> quite<01:05:14.599> likely
01:05:15.589 --> 01:05:15.599 align:start position:0%
of deescalation then it's quite likely
01:05:15.599 --> 01:05:17.910 align:start position:0%
of deescalation then it's quite likely
uh<01:05:15.720> the<01:05:15.920> supreme<01:05:16.319> leader<01:05:16.599> of<01:05:16.760> Iran
01:05:17.910 --> 01:05:17.920 align:start position:0%
uh the supreme leader of Iran
01:05:17.920 --> 01:05:21.309 align:start position:0%
uh the supreme leader of Iran
a<01:05:18.920> in<01:05:19.079> one<01:05:19.240> of<01:05:19.440> his<01:05:19.680> speeches<01:05:20.319> he<01:05:20.440> said<01:05:21.039> and<01:05:21.200> he
01:05:21.309 --> 01:05:21.319 align:start position:0%
a in one of his speeches he said and he
01:05:21.319 --> 01:05:23.109 align:start position:0%
a in one of his speeches he said and he
was<01:05:21.520> clearly<01:05:21.920> referring<01:05:22.359> to<01:05:22.599> this
01:05:23.109 --> 01:05:23.119 align:start position:0%
was clearly referring to this
01:05:23.119 --> 01:05:26.710 align:start position:0%
was clearly referring to this
opportunity<01:05:24.119> he<01:05:24.279> said<01:05:24.640> it<01:05:24.799> is<01:05:25.279> it<01:05:25.400> is
01:05:26.710 --> 01:05:26.720 align:start position:0%
opportunity he said it is it is
01:05:26.720 --> 01:05:31.269 align:start position:0%
opportunity he said it is it is
um<01:05:27.640> quite<01:05:28.119> okay<01:05:28.480> to<01:05:28.760> have<01:05:29.000> a<01:05:29.359> tactical<01:05:30.279> Retreat
01:05:31.269 --> 01:05:31.279 align:start position:0%
um quite okay to have a tactical Retreat
01:05:31.279 --> 01:05:34.470 align:start position:0%
um quite okay to have a tactical Retreat
Iran's<01:05:31.880> tactical<01:05:32.480> Retreat<01:05:33.000> could<01:05:33.240> be<01:05:33.960> it<01:05:34.119> is
01:05:34.470 --> 01:05:34.480 align:start position:0%
Iran's tactical Retreat could be it is
01:05:34.480 --> 01:05:37.430 align:start position:0%
Iran's tactical Retreat could be it is
it<01:05:34.599> is<01:05:34.880> okay<01:05:35.119> to<01:05:35.319> go<01:05:35.520> and<01:05:36.440> negotiate<01:05:37.000> with<01:05:37.160> the
01:05:37.430 --> 01:05:37.440 align:start position:0%
it is okay to go and negotiate with the
01:05:37.440 --> 01:05:42.069 align:start position:0%
it is okay to go and negotiate with the
Americans<01:05:38.440> to<01:05:39.440> uh<01:05:39.599> redefine<01:05:40.319> a<01:05:40.559> new<01:05:41.079> framework
01:05:42.069 --> 01:05:42.079 align:start position:0%
Americans to uh redefine a new framework
01:05:42.079 --> 01:05:45.309 align:start position:0%
Americans to uh redefine a new framework
that<01:05:42.279> could<01:05:42.559> allow<01:05:43.000> Iran<01:05:43.480> to<01:05:44.359> um<01:05:44.680> to<01:05:44.880> sign<01:05:45.160> a
01:05:45.309 --> 01:05:45.319 align:start position:0%
that could allow Iran to um to sign a
01:05:45.319 --> 01:05:49.029 align:start position:0%
that could allow Iran to um to sign a
new<01:05:45.559> nuclear<01:05:46.599> agreement<01:05:47.599> uh<01:05:47.799> but<01:05:48.480> this<01:05:48.640> won't
01:05:49.029 --> 01:05:49.039 align:start position:0%
new nuclear agreement uh but this won't
01:05:49.039 --> 01:05:52.029 align:start position:0%
new nuclear agreement uh but this won't
happen<01:05:50.000> as<01:05:50.160> long<01:05:50.400> as<01:05:50.599> the<01:05:50.799> current<01:05:51.240> tensions
01:05:52.029 --> 01:05:52.039 align:start position:0%
happen as long as the current tensions
01:05:52.039 --> 01:05:54.789 align:start position:0%
happen as long as the current tensions
and<01:05:52.319> the<01:05:52.720> the<01:05:53.039> potential<01:05:53.559> for<01:05:53.799> an<01:05:54.200> Regional
01:05:54.789 --> 01:05:54.799 align:start position:0%
and the the potential for an Regional
01:05:54.799 --> 01:05:56.309 align:start position:0%
and the the potential for an Regional
escalation
01:05:56.309 --> 01:05:56.319 align:start position:0%
escalation
01:05:56.319 --> 01:05:59.430 align:start position:0%
escalation
um<01:05:56.839> it<01:05:57.160> is<01:05:57.359> is<01:05:57.559> real<01:05:58.000> and<01:05:58.240> and<01:05:58.480> for<01:05:58.760> now<01:05:59.079> we<01:05:59.200> know
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um it is is real and and for now we know
01:05:59.440 --> 01:06:01.870 align:start position:0%
um it is is real and and for now we know
that<01:05:59.640> it's<01:05:59.880> real<01:06:00.799> but<01:06:01.079> so<01:06:01.279> we<01:06:01.400> need<01:06:01.680> a
01:06:01.870 --> 01:06:01.880 align:start position:0%
that it's real but so we need a
01:06:01.880 --> 01:06:03.870 align:start position:0%
that it's real but so we need a
deescalation<01:06:02.720> first<01:06:02.960> in<01:06:03.079> the<01:06:03.240> region<01:06:03.680> and
01:06:03.870 --> 01:06:03.880 align:start position:0%
deescalation first in the region and
01:06:03.880 --> 01:06:07.950 align:start position:0%
deescalation first in the region and
then<01:06:04.119> potentially<01:06:04.880> a<01:06:05.799> a<01:06:05.920> new<01:06:06.160> track<01:06:06.480> of<01:06:06.960> talks
01:06:07.950 --> 01:06:07.960 align:start position:0%
then potentially a a new track of talks
01:06:07.960 --> 01:06:10.670 align:start position:0%
then potentially a a new track of talks
between<01:06:08.319> Iran<01:06:08.640> and<01:06:08.799> the<01:06:08.920> us<01:06:09.440> obviously<01:06:10.440> the
01:06:10.670 --> 01:06:10.680 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the us obviously the
01:06:10.680 --> 01:06:12.789 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the us obviously the
outcome<01:06:11.119> of<01:06:11.240> the<01:06:11.400> November<01:06:11.880> elections<01:06:12.440> in<01:06:12.599> the
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outcome of the November elections in the
01:06:12.799 --> 01:06:15.510 align:start position:0%
outcome of the November elections in the
US<01:06:13.160> will<01:06:13.359> also<01:06:13.640> be<01:06:13.839> very
01:06:15.510 --> 01:06:15.520 align:start position:0%
US will also be very
01:06:15.520 --> 01:06:17.750 align:start position:0%
US will also be very
important<01:06:16.520> Matt<01:06:16.839> you<01:06:16.920> want<01:06:17.039> to<01:06:17.200> come<01:06:17.400> in<01:06:17.640> or
01:06:17.750 --> 01:06:17.760 align:start position:0%
important Matt you want to come in or
01:06:17.760 --> 01:06:19.190 align:start position:0%
important Matt you want to come in or
should<01:06:17.960> we<01:06:18.079> go<01:06:18.200> to<01:06:18.319> the<01:06:18.480> next
01:06:19.190 --> 01:06:19.200 align:start position:0%
should we go to the next
01:06:19.200 --> 01:06:22.390 align:start position:0%
should we go to the next
one<01:06:20.200> I<01:06:20.319> guess<01:06:20.880> next<01:06:21.039> one<01:06:21.920> I'll<01:06:22.039> probably<01:06:22.240> come
01:06:22.390 --> 01:06:22.400 align:start position:0%
one I guess next one I'll probably come
01:06:22.400 --> 01:06:23.990 align:start position:0%
one I guess next one I'll probably come
back<01:06:22.520> to<01:06:22.640> this
01:06:23.990 --> 01:06:24.000 align:start position:0%
back to this
01:06:24.000 --> 01:06:27.710 align:start position:0%
back to this
topic<01:06:25.000> um<01:06:25.119> now<01:06:25.359> have<01:06:25.680> two<01:06:26.000> questions<01:06:26.839> from<01:06:27.039> all
01:06:27.710 --> 01:06:27.720 align:start position:0%
topic um now have two questions from all
01:06:27.720 --> 01:06:30.950 align:start position:0%
topic um now have two questions from all
friends<01:06:28.720> uh<01:06:29.520> uh<01:06:29.799> again<01:06:30.119> from
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friends uh uh again from
01:06:30.960 --> 01:06:33.789 align:start position:0%
friends uh uh again from
Antonia<01:06:31.960> uh<01:06:32.760> deu<01:06:33.160> of<01:06:33.240> the<01:06:33.359> insute<01:06:33.680> for
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Antonia uh deu of the insute for
01:06:33.799 --> 01:06:36.309 align:start position:0%
Antonia uh deu of the insute for
security<01:06:34.119> and<01:06:34.240> defense<01:06:35.000> analyses<01:06:35.680> in<01:06:35.880> Athens
01:06:36.309 --> 01:06:36.319 align:start position:0%
security and defense analyses in Athens
01:06:36.319 --> 01:06:39.789 align:start position:0%
security and defense analyses in Athens
agrees<01:06:36.680> to<01:06:36.839> what<01:06:37.000> extent<01:06:37.599> is<01:06:38.599> uh<01:06:39.079> uncertainty
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agrees to what extent is uh uncertainty
01:06:39.799 --> 01:06:41.549 align:start position:0%
agrees to what extent is uh uncertainty
on<01:06:40.000> the<01:06:40.119> outcome<01:06:40.480> of<01:06:40.599> the<01:06:40.720> upcoming<01:06:41.160> US
01:06:41.549 --> 01:06:41.559 align:start position:0%
on the outcome of the upcoming US
01:06:41.559 --> 01:06:44.069 align:start position:0%
on the outcome of the upcoming US
elections<01:06:42.039> restraining<01:06:43.039> us<01:06:43.440> involvement<01:06:43.960> in
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elections restraining us involvement in
01:06:44.079 --> 01:06:45.990 align:start position:0%
elections restraining us involvement in
the<01:06:44.240> deescalation<01:06:44.960> efforts<01:06:45.319> underway<01:06:45.799> in<01:06:45.920> the
01:06:45.990 --> 01:06:46.000 align:start position:0%
the deescalation efforts underway in the
01:06:46.000 --> 01:06:48.510 align:start position:0%
the deescalation efforts underway in the
Middle<01:06:46.279> East<01:06:47.039> and<01:06:47.240> what<01:06:47.400> should<01:06:47.640> we<01:06:47.920> expect<01:06:48.400> if
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Middle East and what should we expect if
01:06:48.520 --> 01:06:50.710 align:start position:0%
Middle East and what should we expect if
a<01:06:48.720> Democratic<01:06:49.279> or<01:06:49.559> Republican<01:06:50.119> president<01:06:50.520> is
01:06:50.710 --> 01:06:50.720 align:start position:0%
a Democratic or Republican president is
01:06:50.720 --> 01:06:54.950 align:start position:0%
a Democratic or Republican president is
elected<01:06:51.680> and<01:06:51.880> next<01:06:52.119> from<01:06:52.400> Peggy<01:06:53.279> mcer<01:06:54.279> uh<01:06:54.799> at
01:06:54.950 --> 01:06:54.960 align:start position:0%
elected and next from Peggy mcer uh at
01:06:54.960 --> 01:06:58.390 align:start position:0%
elected and next from Peggy mcer uh at
UCLA<01:06:55.839> question<01:06:56.079> to<01:06:56.240> all<01:06:56.799> panelists<01:06:57.799> is<01:06:58.039> the
01:06:58.390 --> 01:06:58.400 align:start position:0%
UCLA question to all panelists is the
01:06:58.400 --> 01:07:00.589 align:start position:0%
UCLA question to all panelists is the
current<01:06:58.839> US<01:06:59.240> Administration<01:06:59.960> willing<01:07:00.400> to
01:07:00.589 --> 01:07:00.599 align:start position:0%
current US Administration willing to
01:07:00.599 --> 01:07:02.589 align:start position:0%
current US Administration willing to
restrain<01:07:01.200> Israel's<01:07:01.720> military<01:07:02.240> actions
01:07:02.589 --> 01:07:02.599 align:start position:0%
restrain Israel's military actions
01:07:02.599 --> 01:07:05.029 align:start position:0%
restrain Israel's military actions
against<01:07:02.880> Iran<01:07:03.760> not<01:07:03.960> to<01:07:04.160> mention<01:07:04.480> his<01:07:04.720> actions
01:07:05.029 --> 01:07:05.039 align:start position:0%
against Iran not to mention his actions
01:07:05.039 --> 01:07:07.589 align:start position:0%
against Iran not to mention his actions
in<01:07:05.200> Lebanon<01:07:05.720> and<01:07:05.960> Gaza<01:07:06.760> if<01:07:06.920> the<01:07:07.079> US<01:07:07.359> is
01:07:07.589 --> 01:07:07.599 align:start position:0%
in Lebanon and Gaza if the US is
01:07:07.599 --> 01:07:09.710 align:start position:0%
in Lebanon and Gaza if the US is
unwilling<01:07:08.119> or<01:07:08.359> incapable<01:07:08.920> of<01:07:09.039> doing<01:07:09.279> so<01:07:09.559> what
01:07:09.710 --> 01:07:09.720 align:start position:0%
unwilling or incapable of doing so what
01:07:09.720 --> 01:07:13.190 align:start position:0%
unwilling or incapable of doing so what
forces<01:07:10.559> could<01:07:10.880> constrain<01:07:11.559> Israel's<01:07:12.079> military
01:07:13.190 --> 01:07:13.200 align:start position:0%
forces could constrain Israel's military
01:07:13.200 --> 01:07:15.430 align:start position:0%
forces could constrain Israel's military
actions<01:07:14.200> either<01:07:14.480> one<01:07:14.599> of<01:07:14.720> you<01:07:14.839> want<01:07:14.960> to<01:07:15.160> take
01:07:15.430 --> 01:07:15.440 align:start position:0%
actions either one of you want to take
01:07:15.440 --> 01:07:21.390 align:start position:0%
actions either one of you want to take
this<01:07:15.640> on<01:07:16.359> first<01:07:17.400> Matt<01:07:18.400> yes<01:07:19.400> yeah<01:07:20.400> uh<01:07:20.720> yeah<01:07:21.319> I
01:07:21.390 --> 01:07:21.400 align:start position:0%
this on first Matt yes yeah uh yeah I
01:07:21.400 --> 01:07:23.910 align:start position:0%
this on first Matt yes yeah uh yeah I
figur<01:07:21.680> those<01:07:21.839> will<01:07:22.039> go<01:07:22.160> will<01:07:22.279> go<01:07:22.400> to<01:07:22.799> me<01:07:23.799> you
01:07:23.910 --> 01:07:23.920 align:start position:0%
figur those will go will go to me you
01:07:23.920 --> 01:07:25.829 align:start position:0%
figur those will go will go to me you
know<01:07:24.200> and<01:07:24.319> again<01:07:24.839> reminder<01:07:25.160> I<01:07:25.240> do<01:07:25.359> not<01:07:25.680> speak
01:07:25.829 --> 01:07:25.839 align:start position:0%
know and again reminder I do not speak
01:07:25.839 --> 01:07:27.309 align:start position:0%
know and again reminder I do not speak
for<01:07:26.000> the<01:07:26.079> current<01:07:26.359> Administration<01:07:26.920> or<01:07:27.079> any
01:07:27.309 --> 01:07:27.319 align:start position:0%
for the current Administration or any
01:07:27.319 --> 01:07:30.549 align:start position:0%
for the current Administration or any
future<01:07:27.760> Administration<01:07:28.760> that<01:07:28.960> may<01:07:29.400> come<01:07:30.400> uh
01:07:30.549 --> 01:07:30.559 align:start position:0%
future Administration that may come uh
01:07:30.559 --> 01:07:35.109 align:start position:0%
future Administration that may come uh
after<01:07:31.079> January<01:07:32.079> uh<01:07:32.240> but<01:07:32.480> I<01:07:32.640> I<01:07:32.799> I<01:07:32.920> do<01:07:33.200> think<01:07:34.119> that
01:07:35.109 --> 01:07:35.119 align:start position:0%
after January uh but I I I do think that
01:07:35.119 --> 01:07:37.510 align:start position:0%
after January uh but I I I do think that
you<01:07:35.279> know<01:07:35.480> the<01:07:35.720> uncertainty<01:07:36.640> and<01:07:36.920> and<01:07:37.279> as<01:07:37.400> you
01:07:37.510 --> 01:07:37.520 align:start position:0%
you know the uncertainty and and as you
01:07:37.520 --> 01:07:39.029 align:start position:0%
you know the uncertainty and and as you
know<01:07:37.720> there's<01:07:37.920> plenty<01:07:38.160> of<01:07:38.279> uncertainty<01:07:38.880> here
01:07:39.029 --> 01:07:39.039 align:start position:0%
know there's plenty of uncertainty here
01:07:39.039 --> 01:07:41.069 align:start position:0%
know there's plenty of uncertainty here
in<01:07:39.200> the<01:07:39.359> US<01:07:39.680> as<01:07:39.839> well<01:07:40.039> about<01:07:40.279> what's<01:07:40.480> going<01:07:40.640> to
01:07:41.069 --> 01:07:41.079 align:start position:0%
in the US as well about what's going to
01:07:41.079 --> 01:07:44.630 align:start position:0%
in the US as well about what's going to
happen<01:07:42.079> uh<01:07:42.319> in<01:07:42.559> in<01:07:42.760> the<01:07:43.079> election<01:07:43.559> next<01:07:43.839> month
01:07:44.630 --> 01:07:44.640 align:start position:0%
happen uh in in the election next month
01:07:44.640 --> 01:07:47.589 align:start position:0%
happen uh in in the election next month
that<01:07:45.400> you<01:07:45.559> know<01:07:46.000> it<01:07:46.160> is<01:07:46.720> inevitably<01:07:47.359> these
01:07:47.589 --> 01:07:47.599 align:start position:0%
that you know it is inevitably these
01:07:47.599 --> 01:07:50.150 align:start position:0%
that you know it is inevitably these
types<01:07:47.839> of<01:07:48.160> of<01:07:48.319> questions<01:07:48.640> are<01:07:48.799> going<01:07:49.079> to<01:07:50.039> in
01:07:50.150 --> 01:07:50.160 align:start position:0%
types of of questions are going to in
01:07:50.160 --> 01:07:52.470 align:start position:0%
types of of questions are going to in
some<01:07:50.359> ways<01:07:50.559> either<01:07:50.799> restrained<01:07:51.400> or<01:07:51.599> frankly
01:07:52.470 --> 01:07:52.480 align:start position:0%
some ways either restrained or frankly
01:07:52.480 --> 01:07:53.710 align:start position:0%
some ways either restrained or frankly
you<01:07:52.599> know
01:07:53.710 --> 01:07:53.720 align:start position:0%
you know
01:07:53.720 --> 01:07:57.309 align:start position:0%
you know
um<01:07:54.720> unrestrained<01:07:55.920> certain<01:07:56.279> actors<01:07:57.079> because
01:07:57.309 --> 01:07:57.319 align:start position:0%
um unrestrained certain actors because
01:07:57.319 --> 01:07:58.950 align:start position:0%
um unrestrained certain actors because
you<01:07:57.400> know<01:07:57.839> you<01:07:57.960> know<01:07:58.160> you<01:07:58.319> you<01:07:58.480> do<01:07:58.640> want<01:07:58.799> to
01:07:58.950 --> 01:07:58.960 align:start position:0%
you know you know you you do want to
01:07:58.960 --> 01:08:00.910 align:start position:0%
you know you know you you do want to
think<01:07:59.160> about<01:07:59.440> what<01:07:59.559> do<01:07:59.680> you<01:07:59.799> need<01:07:59.960> to<01:08:00.720> uh
01:08:00.910 --> 01:08:00.920 align:start position:0%
think about what do you need to uh
01:08:00.920 --> 01:08:02.910 align:start position:0%
think about what do you need to uh
accomplish<01:08:01.599> before<01:08:01.960> a<01:08:02.079> new<01:08:02.279> Administration
01:08:02.910 --> 01:08:02.920 align:start position:0%
accomplish before a new Administration
01:08:02.920 --> 01:08:05.549 align:start position:0%
accomplish before a new Administration
comes<01:08:03.200> in<01:08:04.160> uh<01:08:04.319> obviously<01:08:04.960> there<01:08:05.119> there<01:08:05.240> may<01:08:05.400> be
01:08:05.549 --> 01:08:05.559 align:start position:0%
comes in uh obviously there there may be
01:08:05.559 --> 01:08:07.390 align:start position:0%
comes in uh obviously there there may be
some<01:08:05.960> very<01:08:06.160> distinct<01:08:06.559> differences<01:08:07.039> if<01:08:07.319> if
01:08:07.390 --> 01:08:07.400 align:start position:0%
some very distinct differences if if
01:08:07.400 --> 01:08:09.470 align:start position:0%
some very distinct differences if if
it's<01:08:07.520> a<01:08:07.680> Democratic<01:08:08.160> or<01:08:08.440> republican<01:08:09.319> but
01:08:09.470 --> 01:08:09.480 align:start position:0%
it's a Democratic or republican but
01:08:09.480 --> 01:08:10.910 align:start position:0%
it's a Democratic or republican but
other<01:08:09.680> things<01:08:09.920> may<01:08:10.119> be<01:08:10.440> you<01:08:10.559> know<01:08:10.720> pretty
01:08:10.910 --> 01:08:10.920 align:start position:0%
other things may be you know pretty
01:08:10.920 --> 01:08:12.630 align:start position:0%
other things may be you know pretty
straight<01:08:11.400> you<01:08:11.520> know<01:08:11.640> forward<01:08:12.160> that<01:08:12.400> that<01:08:12.520> you
01:08:12.630 --> 01:08:12.640 align:start position:0%
straight you know forward that that you
01:08:12.640 --> 01:08:14.549 align:start position:0%
straight you know forward that that you
want<01:08:12.760> to<01:08:12.960> have<01:08:13.200> the<01:08:13.440> strongest<01:08:13.760> position<01:08:14.119> you
01:08:14.549 --> 01:08:14.559 align:start position:0%
want to have the strongest position you
01:08:14.559 --> 01:08:18.309 align:start position:0%
want to have the strongest position you
can<01:08:15.559> uh<01:08:15.760> before<01:08:16.719> the<01:08:17.080> the<01:08:17.239> the<01:08:17.359> new<01:08:17.600> team
01:08:18.309 --> 01:08:18.319 align:start position:0%
can uh before the the the new team
01:08:18.319 --> 01:08:21.470 align:start position:0%
can uh before the the the new team
arrives<01:08:19.319> uh<01:08:19.480> so<01:08:19.640> I<01:08:19.719> can<01:08:19.839> see<01:08:20.040> frankly<01:08:20.880> uh<01:08:21.159> both
01:08:21.470 --> 01:08:21.480 align:start position:0%
arrives uh so I can see frankly uh both
01:08:21.480 --> 01:08:24.630 align:start position:0%
arrives uh so I can see frankly uh both
Israel<01:08:21.839> and<01:08:22.000> Iran<01:08:22.960> uh<01:08:23.080> thinking<01:08:23.520> through<01:08:23.839> that
01:08:24.630 --> 01:08:24.640 align:start position:0%
Israel and Iran uh thinking through that
01:08:24.640 --> 01:08:26.030 align:start position:0%
Israel and Iran uh thinking through that
uh<01:08:24.799> and<01:08:25.000> then<01:08:25.199> and
01:08:26.030 --> 01:08:26.040 align:start position:0%
uh and then and
01:08:26.040 --> 01:08:28.349 align:start position:0%
uh and then and
anticipating<01:08:27.040> uh<01:08:27.359> that<01:08:27.679> they<01:08:27.880> both<01:08:28.080> need<01:08:28.239> to
01:08:28.349 --> 01:08:28.359 align:start position:0%
anticipating uh that they both need to
01:08:28.359 --> 01:08:31.149 align:start position:0%
anticipating uh that they both need to
be<01:08:28.520> in<01:08:28.600> a<01:08:28.759> better<01:08:29.120> position<01:08:30.120> uh<01:08:30.440> before
01:08:31.149 --> 01:08:31.159 align:start position:0%
be in a better position uh before
01:08:31.159 --> 01:08:33.950 align:start position:0%
be in a better position uh before
January<01:08:32.159> uh<01:08:32.440> and<01:08:32.799> and<01:08:32.960> that<01:08:33.120> is<01:08:33.640> almost
01:08:33.950 --> 01:08:33.960 align:start position:0%
January uh and and that is almost
01:08:33.960 --> 01:08:37.030 align:start position:0%
January uh and and that is almost
certainly<01:08:34.440> affecting<01:08:35.279> uh<01:08:35.480> each<01:08:35.920> both<01:08:36.199> sides
01:08:37.030 --> 01:08:37.040 align:start position:0%
certainly affecting uh each both sides
01:08:37.040 --> 01:08:39.630 align:start position:0%
certainly affecting uh each both sides
calculations<01:08:38.040> uh<01:08:38.239> now<01:08:38.679> at<01:08:38.799> the<01:08:38.920> same<01:08:39.159> time<01:08:39.520> you
01:08:39.630 --> 01:08:39.640 align:start position:0%
calculations uh now at the same time you
01:08:39.640 --> 01:08:43.110 align:start position:0%
calculations uh now at the same time you
know<01:08:39.799> any<01:08:40.359> administration<01:08:40.960> at<01:08:41.080> the<01:08:41.319> end<01:08:42.319> uh<01:08:42.520> is
01:08:43.110 --> 01:08:43.120 align:start position:0%
know any administration at the end uh is
01:08:43.120 --> 01:08:45.430 align:start position:0%
know any administration at the end uh is
the<01:08:43.480> US<01:08:43.759> Administration<01:08:44.640> you<01:08:44.759> know<01:08:45.319> that
01:08:45.430 --> 01:08:45.440 align:start position:0%
the US Administration you know that
01:08:45.440 --> 01:08:47.229 align:start position:0%
the US Administration you know that
there<01:08:45.560> are<01:08:45.719> certain<01:08:46.040> things<01:08:46.480> that<01:08:46.759> that<01:08:47.120> the
01:08:47.229 --> 01:08:47.239 align:start position:0%
there are certain things that that the
01:08:47.239 --> 01:08:50.470 align:start position:0%
there are certain things that that the
lame<01:08:47.600> duck<01:08:47.920> period<01:08:48.239> that<01:08:48.400> occurs<01:08:49.239> between<01:08:50.239> uh
01:08:50.470 --> 01:08:50.480 align:start position:0%
lame duck period that occurs between uh
01:08:50.480 --> 01:08:53.550 align:start position:0%
lame duck period that occurs between uh
between<01:08:51.159> November<01:08:51.600> and<01:08:51.920> January<01:08:52.920> uh<01:08:53.040> can<01:08:53.199> be<01:08:53.359> a
01:08:53.550 --> 01:08:53.560 align:start position:0%
between November and January uh can be a
01:08:53.560 --> 01:08:55.950 align:start position:0%
between November and January uh can be a
period<01:08:54.239> of<01:08:54.719> of<01:08:55.000> either<01:08:55.440> in<01:08:55.560> action<01:08:55.799> or
01:08:55.950 --> 01:08:55.960 align:start position:0%
period of of either in action or
01:08:55.960 --> 01:08:58.349 align:start position:0%
period of of either in action or
actually<01:08:56.199> a<01:08:56.279> lot<01:08:56.400> of<01:08:56.640> Rapid<01:08:57.040> action<01:08:57.960> uh<01:08:58.040> on<01:08:58.199> the
01:08:58.349 --> 01:08:58.359 align:start position:0%
actually a lot of Rapid action uh on the
01:08:58.359 --> 01:09:00.669 align:start position:0%
actually a lot of Rapid action uh on the
Diplomatic<01:08:58.880> front<01:08:59.199> depending<01:08:59.600> on<01:09:00.279> who<01:09:00.520> which
01:09:00.669 --> 01:09:00.679 align:start position:0%
Diplomatic front depending on who which
01:09:00.679 --> 01:09:04.149 align:start position:0%
Diplomatic front depending on who which
team<01:09:01.000> is<01:09:01.199> coming<01:09:01.520> in<01:09:02.520> uh<01:09:02.719> and<01:09:02.880> so<01:09:03.239> you<01:09:03.759> the<01:09:03.839> US
01:09:04.149 --> 01:09:04.159 align:start position:0%
team is coming in uh and so you the US
01:09:04.159 --> 01:09:05.870 align:start position:0%
team is coming in uh and so you the US
can<01:09:04.319> also<01:09:04.600> try<01:09:05.040> the<01:09:05.400> the<01:09:05.520> the<01:09:05.640> Biden
01:09:05.870 --> 01:09:05.880 align:start position:0%
can also try the the the Biden
01:09:05.880 --> 01:09:07.070 align:start position:0%
can also try the the the Biden
Administration<01:09:06.319> may<01:09:06.440> also<01:09:06.600> want<01:09:06.719> to<01:09:06.799> try<01:09:06.960> to
01:09:07.070 --> 01:09:07.080 align:start position:0%
Administration may also want to try to
01:09:07.080 --> 01:09:10.030 align:start position:0%
Administration may also want to try to
consolidate<01:09:07.640> certain<01:09:08.239> gains<01:09:09.239> um<01:09:09.560> and<01:09:09.719> really
01:09:10.030 --> 01:09:10.040 align:start position:0%
consolidate certain gains um and really
01:09:10.040 --> 01:09:12.110 align:start position:0%
consolidate certain gains um and really
accelerate<01:09:10.560> certain<01:09:10.880> activities<01:09:11.640> so<01:09:11.920> we
01:09:12.110 --> 01:09:12.120 align:start position:0%
accelerate certain activities so we
01:09:12.120 --> 01:09:15.149 align:start position:0%
accelerate certain activities so we
could<01:09:12.359> see<01:09:12.719> a<01:09:12.960> lot<01:09:13.199> of<01:09:13.880> um<01:09:14.120> a<01:09:14.199> lot<01:09:14.359> of<01:09:14.600> activity
01:09:15.149 --> 01:09:15.159 align:start position:0%
could see a lot of um a lot of activity
01:09:15.159 --> 01:09:18.829 align:start position:0%
could see a lot of um a lot of activity
in<01:09:15.520> in<01:09:16.080> among<01:09:16.359> the<01:09:16.520> three<01:09:16.839> parties<01:09:17.600> here<01:09:18.600> um
01:09:18.829 --> 01:09:18.839 align:start position:0%
in in among the three parties here um
01:09:18.839 --> 01:09:20.349 align:start position:0%
in in among the three parties here um
you<01:09:18.960> know<01:09:19.120> during<01:09:19.719> uh<01:09:19.839> the<01:09:19.960> three<01:09:20.120> main
01:09:20.349 --> 01:09:20.359 align:start position:0%
you know during uh the three main
01:09:20.359 --> 01:09:22.470 align:start position:0%
you know during uh the three main
parties<01:09:20.719> here<01:09:21.319> uh<01:09:21.480> during<01:09:21.839> the<01:09:22.000> November
01:09:22.470 --> 01:09:22.480 align:start position:0%
parties here uh during the November
01:09:22.480 --> 01:09:25.110 align:start position:0%
parties here uh during the November
through<01:09:22.759> January<01:09:23.359> period<01:09:24.040> or<01:09:24.319> we<01:09:24.480> could<01:09:24.679> see
01:09:25.110 --> 01:09:25.120 align:start position:0%
through January period or we could see
01:09:25.120 --> 01:09:27.349 align:start position:0%
through January period or we could see
you<01:09:25.199> know<01:09:25.560> really<01:09:26.040> kind<01:09:26.159> of<01:09:26.239> a<01:09:26.359> stalemate<01:09:27.040> of
01:09:27.349 --> 01:09:27.359 align:start position:0%
you know really kind of a stalemate of
01:09:27.359 --> 01:09:29.749 align:start position:0%
you know really kind of a stalemate of
of<01:09:27.560> really<01:09:27.839> no<01:09:28.159> progress<01:09:28.520> at<01:09:28.679> all<01:09:29.319> as<01:09:29.520> each
01:09:29.749 --> 01:09:29.759 align:start position:0%
of really no progress at all as each
01:09:29.759 --> 01:09:32.870 align:start position:0%
of really no progress at all as each
side<01:09:30.080> kind<01:09:30.199> of<01:09:30.679> uh<01:09:31.080> positions<01:09:31.480> in<01:09:31.719> games<01:09:32.279> for
01:09:32.870 --> 01:09:32.880 align:start position:0%
side kind of uh positions in games for
01:09:32.880 --> 01:09:35.110 align:start position:0%
side kind of uh positions in games for
the<01:09:33.120> the<01:09:33.239> next<01:09:33.520> stage<01:09:34.480> you<01:09:34.600> also<01:09:34.839> have<01:09:34.960> a
01:09:35.110 --> 01:09:35.120 align:start position:0%
the the next stage you also have a
01:09:35.120 --> 01:09:38.430 align:start position:0%
the the next stage you also have a
dynamic<01:09:35.839> where<01:09:36.839> um<01:09:37.279> you<01:09:37.400> know<01:09:37.719> that<01:09:38.040> that
01:09:38.430 --> 01:09:38.440 align:start position:0%
dynamic where um you know that that
01:09:38.440 --> 01:09:41.189 align:start position:0%
dynamic where um you know that that
because<01:09:38.880> both<01:09:39.560> uh<01:09:40.040> potential<01:09:40.600> pres<01:09:41.000> you<01:09:41.080> know
01:09:41.189 --> 01:09:41.199 align:start position:0%
because both uh potential pres you know
01:09:41.199 --> 01:09:43.990 align:start position:0%
because both uh potential pres you know
future<01:09:41.640> presidents<01:09:42.640> um<01:09:42.799> are<01:09:43.080> well<01:09:43.400> known
01:09:43.990 --> 01:09:44.000 align:start position:0%
future presidents um are well known
01:09:44.000 --> 01:09:45.829 align:start position:0%
future presidents um are well known
within<01:09:44.279> the<01:09:44.440> current<01:09:44.799> system<01:09:45.520> you<01:09:45.640> know
01:09:45.829 --> 01:09:45.839 align:start position:0%
within the current system you know
01:09:45.839 --> 01:09:47.749 align:start position:0%
within the current system you know
obviously<01:09:46.279> you<01:09:46.400> know<01:09:47.000> uh<01:09:47.199> vice<01:09:47.440> president
01:09:47.749 --> 01:09:47.759 align:start position:0%
obviously you know uh vice president
01:09:47.759 --> 01:09:48.990 align:start position:0%
obviously you know uh vice president
Harris<01:09:48.120> is<01:09:48.239> currently<01:09:48.560> in<01:09:48.640> the<01:09:48.759> current
01:09:48.990 --> 01:09:49.000 align:start position:0%
Harris is currently in the current
01:09:49.000 --> 01:09:50.870 align:start position:0%
Harris is currently in the current
Administration<01:09:50.000> uh<01:09:50.120> president<01:09:50.440> Trump<01:09:50.719> was
01:09:50.870 --> 01:09:50.880 align:start position:0%
Administration uh president Trump was
01:09:50.880 --> 01:09:53.269 align:start position:0%
Administration uh president Trump was
previously<01:09:51.400> president<01:09:52.199> that<01:09:52.400> there<01:09:52.520> is<01:09:53.000> a<01:09:53.120> lot
01:09:53.269 --> 01:09:53.279 align:start position:0%
previously president that there is a lot
01:09:53.279 --> 01:09:54.110 align:start position:0%
previously president that there is a lot
of
01:09:54.110 --> 01:09:54.120 align:start position:0%
of
01:09:54.120 --> 01:09:57.189 align:start position:0%
of
connectivity<01:09:55.120> um<01:09:55.719> uh<01:09:55.920> you<01:09:56.040> know<01:09:56.280> and<01:09:56.640> in<01:09:56.840> both
01:09:57.189 --> 01:09:57.199 align:start position:0%
connectivity um uh you know and in both
01:09:57.199 --> 01:09:59.790 align:start position:0%
connectivity um uh you know and in both
you<01:09:57.320> know<01:09:57.520> in<01:09:57.800> in<01:09:58.199> uh<01:09:58.440> in<01:09:59.040> uh<01:09:59.360> you<01:09:59.480> know<01:09:59.600> in
01:09:59.790 --> 01:09:59.800 align:start position:0%
you know in in uh in uh you know in
01:09:59.800 --> 01:10:01.630 align:start position:0%
you know in in uh in uh you know in
thinking<01:10:00.360> as<01:10:00.520> well<01:10:00.719> as<01:10:00.840> you<01:10:00.960> know<01:10:01.120> the
01:10:01.630 --> 01:10:01.640 align:start position:0%
thinking as well as you know the
01:10:01.640 --> 01:10:03.430 align:start position:0%
thinking as well as you know the
understanding<01:10:01.920> among<01:10:02.159> the<01:10:02.280> key<01:10:02.520> players
01:10:03.430 --> 01:10:03.440 align:start position:0%
understanding among the key players
01:10:03.440 --> 01:10:05.390 align:start position:0%
understanding among the key players
about<01:10:04.080> uh<01:10:04.199> some<01:10:04.360> of<01:10:04.440> the<01:10:04.560> Dynamics<01:10:05.040> that<01:10:05.159> will
01:10:05.390 --> 01:10:05.400 align:start position:0%
about uh some of the Dynamics that will
01:10:05.400 --> 01:10:08.229 align:start position:0%
about uh some of the Dynamics that will
happen<01:10:05.840> if<01:10:06.040> either<01:10:06.360> is<01:10:06.880> elected<01:10:07.880> there's<01:10:08.080> a
01:10:08.229 --> 01:10:08.239 align:start position:0%
happen if either is elected there's a
01:10:08.239 --> 01:10:10.189 align:start position:0%
happen if either is elected there's a
probably<01:10:08.600> certain<01:10:08.880> familiarity<01:10:09.480> of<01:10:09.640> the<01:10:09.920> of
01:10:10.189 --> 01:10:10.199 align:start position:0%
probably certain familiarity of the of
01:10:10.199 --> 01:10:12.990 align:start position:0%
probably certain familiarity of the of
of<01:10:10.360> individuals<01:10:10.920> and<01:10:11.199> Staffing<01:10:12.199> so<01:10:12.760> that
01:10:12.990 --> 01:10:13.000 align:start position:0%
of individuals and Staffing so that
01:10:13.000 --> 01:10:14.630 align:start position:0%
of individuals and Staffing so that
there<01:10:13.159> could<01:10:13.360> be<01:10:13.560> a<01:10:13.679> lot<01:10:14.080> as<01:10:14.199> opposed<01:10:14.480> to
01:10:14.630 --> 01:10:14.640 align:start position:0%
there could be a lot as opposed to
01:10:14.640 --> 01:10:17.189 align:start position:0%
there could be a lot as opposed to
someone<01:10:14.880> that<01:10:15.040> really<01:10:15.320> brand<01:10:15.679> new<01:10:15.960> coming<01:10:16.239> in
01:10:17.189 --> 01:10:17.199 align:start position:0%
someone that really brand new coming in
01:10:17.199 --> 01:10:20.030 align:start position:0%
someone that really brand new coming in
um<01:10:17.440> I<01:10:17.520> think<01:10:17.840> both<01:10:18.159> the<01:10:18.480> both<01:10:18.760> the<01:10:19.239> uh<01:10:19.800> the<01:10:19.920> the
01:10:20.030 --> 01:10:20.040 align:start position:0%
um I think both the both the uh the the
01:10:20.040 --> 01:10:21.830 align:start position:0%
um I think both the both the uh the the
Iranian<01:10:20.440> leadership<01:10:20.920> and<01:10:21.040> the<01:10:21.159> Israeli
01:10:21.830 --> 01:10:21.840 align:start position:0%
Iranian leadership and the Israeli
01:10:21.840 --> 01:10:24.229 align:start position:0%
Iranian leadership and the Israeli
leadership<01:10:22.840> understand<01:10:23.199> that<01:10:23.800> uh<01:10:24.000> and<01:10:24.159> I
01:10:24.229 --> 01:10:24.239 align:start position:0%
leadership understand that uh and I
01:10:24.239 --> 01:10:26.750 align:start position:0%
leadership understand that uh and I
think<01:10:24.480> that's<01:10:24.679> going<01:10:24.880> to<01:10:25.760> I<01:10:25.920> I<01:10:26.040> think
01:10:26.750 --> 01:10:26.760 align:start position:0%
think that's going to I I think
01:10:26.760 --> 01:10:30.510 align:start position:0%
think that's going to I I think
encourage<01:10:27.360> a<01:10:27.520> lot<01:10:27.679> of<01:10:28.239> uh<01:10:29.000> a<01:10:29.120> lot<01:10:29.280> of<01:10:30.199> you<01:10:30.320> know
01:10:30.510 --> 01:10:30.520 align:start position:0%
encourage a lot of uh a lot of you know
01:10:30.520 --> 01:10:32.590 align:start position:0%
encourage a lot of uh a lot of you know
thinking<01:10:30.840> about<01:10:31.159> how<01:10:31.320> to<01:10:31.640> to<01:10:31.840> manage<01:10:32.239> this<01:10:32.400> and
01:10:32.590 --> 01:10:32.600 align:start position:0%
thinking about how to to manage this and
01:10:32.600 --> 01:10:34.750 align:start position:0%
thinking about how to to manage this and
how<01:10:32.760> to<01:10:33.360> take<01:10:33.679> frankly<01:10:34.040> take<01:10:34.239> advantage<01:10:34.600> of
01:10:34.750 --> 01:10:34.760 align:start position:0%
how to take frankly take advantage of
01:10:34.760 --> 01:10:35.510 align:start position:0%
how to take frankly take advantage of
those
01:10:35.510 --> 01:10:35.520 align:start position:0%
those
01:10:35.520 --> 01:10:38.030 align:start position:0%
those
relationships<01:10:36.520> um<01:10:36.960> and<01:10:37.320> uh<01:10:37.440> and<01:10:37.560> so<01:10:37.719> I<01:10:37.800> think
01:10:38.030 --> 01:10:38.040 align:start position:0%
relationships um and uh and so I think
01:10:38.040 --> 01:10:41.709 align:start position:0%
relationships um and uh and so I think
that's<01:10:38.520> that's<01:10:38.840> a<01:10:39.280> a<01:10:39.440> main<01:10:39.800> driver<01:10:40.360> there<01:10:41.120> uh
01:10:41.709 --> 01:10:41.719 align:start position:0%
that's that's a a main driver there uh
01:10:41.719 --> 01:10:44.110 align:start position:0%
that's that's a a main driver there uh
whether<01:10:42.239> we<01:10:42.520> see<01:10:43.080> dramatic<01:10:43.520> breakthroughs
01:10:44.110 --> 01:10:44.120 align:start position:0%
whether we see dramatic breakthroughs
01:10:44.120 --> 01:10:45.189 align:start position:0%
whether we see dramatic breakthroughs
after
01:10:45.189 --> 01:10:45.199 align:start position:0%
after
01:10:45.199 --> 01:10:47.510 align:start position:0%
after
January<01:10:46.199> I<01:10:46.280> don't<01:10:46.520> know<01:10:46.880> because<01:10:47.080> I<01:10:47.199> think
01:10:47.510 --> 01:10:47.520 align:start position:0%
January I don't know because I think
01:10:47.520 --> 01:10:49.270 align:start position:0%
January I don't know because I think
both<01:10:47.840> sides<01:10:48.120> are<01:10:48.280> going<01:10:48.440> to<01:10:48.600> be<01:10:48.840> you<01:10:48.960> know
01:10:49.270 --> 01:10:49.280 align:start position:0%
both sides are going to be you know
01:10:49.280 --> 01:10:50.390 align:start position:0%
both sides are going to be you know
whether<01:10:49.440> it's<01:10:49.560> a<01:10:49.679> president<01:10:49.960> Harris<01:10:50.239> or
01:10:50.390 --> 01:10:50.400 align:start position:0%
whether it's a president Harris or
01:10:50.400 --> 01:10:51.950 align:start position:0%
whether it's a president Harris or
president<01:10:50.679> Trump<01:10:51.239> there's<01:10:51.440> going<01:10:51.560> to<01:10:51.679> be<01:10:51.800> a
01:10:51.950 --> 01:10:51.960 align:start position:0%
president Trump there's going to be a
01:10:51.960 --> 01:10:55.350 align:start position:0%
president Trump there's going to be a
desire<01:10:52.440> to<01:10:53.159> establish<01:10:53.679> the<01:10:53.800> new<01:10:54.040> team<01:10:54.840> a
01:10:55.350 --> 01:10:55.360 align:start position:0%
desire to establish the new team a
01:10:55.360 --> 01:10:57.350 align:start position:0%
desire to establish the new team a
established<01:10:55.800> bonafides<01:10:56.520> about<01:10:56.960> the<01:10:57.239> what
01:10:57.350 --> 01:10:57.360 align:start position:0%
established bonafides about the what
01:10:57.360 --> 01:10:58.510 align:start position:0%
established bonafides about the what
they're<01:10:57.480> going<01:10:57.600> to<01:10:57.719> be<01:10:57.840> serious<01:10:58.239> about<01:10:58.400> in
01:10:58.510 --> 01:10:58.520 align:start position:0%
they're going to be serious about in
01:10:58.520 --> 01:11:00.870 align:start position:0%
they're going to be serious about in
their<01:10:58.679> foreign<01:10:59.159> policy<01:11:00.159> um<01:11:00.320> this<01:11:00.440> was<01:11:00.760> this
01:11:00.870 --> 01:11:00.880 align:start position:0%
their foreign policy um this was this
01:11:00.880 --> 01:11:03.430 align:start position:0%
their foreign policy um this was this
was<01:11:01.040> a<01:11:01.239> challenge<01:11:01.960> uh<01:11:02.080> certainly<01:11:02.800> I<01:11:02.960> I<01:11:03.080> can<01:11:03.280> say
01:11:03.430 --> 01:11:03.440 align:start position:0%
was a challenge uh certainly I I can say
01:11:03.440 --> 01:11:04.790 align:start position:0%
was a challenge uh certainly I I can say
for<01:11:03.600> the<01:11:03.679> Biden<01:11:03.960> Administration<01:11:04.480> when<01:11:04.640> they
01:11:04.790 --> 01:11:04.800 align:start position:0%
for the Biden Administration when they
01:11:04.800 --> 01:11:07.550 align:start position:0%
for the Biden Administration when they
came<01:11:05.000> in<01:11:05.920> uh<01:11:06.199> that<01:11:06.520> you<01:11:06.640> know<01:11:06.840> there<01:11:06.960> were
01:11:07.550 --> 01:11:07.560 align:start position:0%
came in uh that you know there were
01:11:07.560 --> 01:11:08.910 align:start position:0%
came in uh that you know there were
people<01:11:07.840> have<01:11:07.960> argued<01:11:08.320> there<01:11:08.440> were
01:11:08.910 --> 01:11:08.920 align:start position:0%
people have argued there were
01:11:08.920 --> 01:11:11.270 align:start position:0%
people have argued there were
opportunities<01:11:09.480> for<01:11:09.719> major<01:11:10.239> you<01:11:10.360> know
01:11:11.270 --> 01:11:11.280 align:start position:0%
opportunities for major you know
01:11:11.280 --> 01:11:14.229 align:start position:0%
opportunities for major you know
diplomatic<01:11:12.280> Moves<01:11:13.199> In<01:11:13.400> Those<01:11:13.600> early<01:11:13.920> months
01:11:14.229 --> 01:11:14.239 align:start position:0%
diplomatic Moves In Those early months
01:11:14.239 --> 01:11:18.189 align:start position:0%
diplomatic Moves In Those early months
in<01:11:14.960> 21<01:11:15.960> uh<01:11:16.280> that<01:11:16.880> uh<01:11:17.199> folks<01:11:17.480> have<01:11:17.679> criticized
01:11:18.189 --> 01:11:18.199 align:start position:0%
in 21 uh that uh folks have criticized
01:11:18.199 --> 01:11:19.669 align:start position:0%
in 21 uh that uh folks have criticized
body<01:11:18.400> Administration<01:11:18.840> not<01:11:19.040> taking<01:11:19.360> advantage
01:11:19.669 --> 01:11:19.679 align:start position:0%
body Administration not taking advantage
01:11:19.679 --> 01:11:21.630 align:start position:0%
body Administration not taking advantage
of<01:11:19.840> I<01:11:19.920> think<01:11:20.120> part<01:11:20.280> of<01:11:20.440> this<01:11:20.560> is<01:11:20.719> a<01:11:21.320> as<01:11:21.440> a
01:11:21.630 --> 01:11:21.640 align:start position:0%
of I think part of this is a as a
01:11:21.640 --> 01:11:24.189 align:start position:0%
of I think part of this is a as a
dynamic<01:11:22.199> that<01:11:22.480> you<01:11:22.640> should<01:11:23.000> expect<01:11:23.400> with<01:11:23.600> any
01:11:24.189 --> 01:11:24.199 align:start position:0%
dynamic that you should expect with any
01:11:24.199 --> 01:11:26.709 align:start position:0%
dynamic that you should expect with any
even<01:11:24.600> with<01:11:25.080> uh<01:11:25.560> a<01:11:25.640> lot<01:11:25.760> of<01:11:25.840> the<01:11:25.960> same<01:11:26.199> existing
01:11:26.709 --> 01:11:26.719 align:start position:0%
even with uh a lot of the same existing
01:11:26.719 --> 01:11:29.110 align:start position:0%
even with uh a lot of the same existing
players<01:11:27.120> or<01:11:27.320> players<01:11:27.640> that<01:11:27.800> were<01:11:28.440> previously
01:11:29.110 --> 01:11:29.120 align:start position:0%
players or players that were previously
01:11:29.120 --> 01:11:32.790 align:start position:0%
players or players that were previously
in<01:11:29.760> uh<01:11:30.159> you<01:11:30.280> know<01:11:30.440> in<01:11:30.719> office<01:11:31.080> before<01:11:31.640> 21<01:11:32.640> even
01:11:32.790 --> 01:11:32.800 align:start position:0%
in uh you know in office before 21 even
01:11:32.800 --> 01:11:34.870 align:start position:0%
in uh you know in office before 21 even
if<01:11:32.960> they're<01:11:33.120> coming<01:11:33.480> back<01:11:33.679> in<01:11:34.320> it<01:11:34.480> takes<01:11:34.719> a
01:11:34.870 --> 01:11:34.880 align:start position:0%
if they're coming back in it takes a
01:11:34.880 --> 01:11:37.390 align:start position:0%
if they're coming back in it takes a
while<01:11:35.040> for<01:11:35.280> us<01:11:35.520> Administration<01:11:36.040> to<01:11:36.199> settle<01:11:36.560> in
01:11:37.390 --> 01:11:37.400 align:start position:0%
while for us Administration to settle in
01:11:37.400 --> 01:11:39.310 align:start position:0%
while for us Administration to settle in
uh<01:11:37.560> so<01:11:37.920> my<01:11:38.120> expectation<01:11:38.719> is<01:11:38.920> that<01:11:39.080> there's
01:11:39.310 --> 01:11:39.320 align:start position:0%
uh so my expectation is that there's
01:11:39.320 --> 01:11:40.950 align:start position:0%
uh so my expectation is that there's
going<01:11:39.440> to<01:11:39.560> be<01:11:39.880> a<01:11:40.000> lot<01:11:40.120> of
01:11:40.950 --> 01:11:40.960 align:start position:0%
going to be a lot of
01:11:40.960 --> 01:11:44.510 align:start position:0%
going to be a lot of
uncertainty<01:11:41.960> those<01:11:42.159> early<01:11:42.480> months<01:11:43.480> uh<01:11:43.639> of<01:11:44.040> of
01:11:44.510 --> 01:11:44.520 align:start position:0%
uncertainty those early months uh of of
01:11:44.520 --> 01:11:46.910 align:start position:0%
uncertainty those early months uh of of
2025<01:11:45.520> that<01:11:45.719> is<01:11:45.960> that<01:11:46.080> we're<01:11:46.199> going<01:11:46.320> to<01:11:46.400> have<01:11:46.520> to
01:11:46.910 --> 01:11:46.920 align:start position:0%
2025 that is that we're going to have to
01:11:46.920 --> 01:11:48.870 align:start position:0%
2025 that is that we're going to have to
navigate<01:11:47.400> through<01:11:47.679> and<01:11:47.760> so<01:11:47.920> I<01:11:48.040> think<01:11:48.280> the<01:11:48.480> idea
01:11:48.870 --> 01:11:48.880 align:start position:0%
navigate through and so I think the idea
01:11:48.880 --> 01:11:50.110 align:start position:0%
navigate through and so I think the idea
that<01:11:49.040> there's<01:11:49.280> going<01:11:49.360> to<01:11:49.440> be<01:11:49.600> major
01:11:50.110 --> 01:11:50.120 align:start position:0%
that there's going to be major
01:11:50.120 --> 01:11:52.270 align:start position:0%
that there's going to be major
breakthroughs<01:11:51.120> early<01:11:51.480> on<01:11:51.880> I<01:11:51.960> think<01:11:52.080> we<01:11:52.199> have
01:11:52.270 --> 01:11:52.280 align:start position:0%
breakthroughs early on I think we have
01:11:52.280 --> 01:11:54.870 align:start position:0%
breakthroughs early on I think we have
to<01:11:52.400> be<01:11:52.560> very<01:11:52.840> cautious<01:11:53.320> about<01:11:53.639> that<01:11:54.480> uh<01:11:54.639> you
01:11:54.870 --> 01:11:54.880 align:start position:0%
to be very cautious about that uh you
01:11:54.880 --> 01:11:56.550 align:start position:0%
to be very cautious about that uh you
and<01:11:55.000> as<01:11:55.239> certainly<01:11:55.639> you<01:11:55.719> know<01:11:55.880> think<01:11:56.199> that<01:11:56.440> you
01:11:56.550 --> 01:11:56.560 align:start position:0%
and as certainly you know think that you
01:11:56.560 --> 01:11:59.229 align:start position:0%
and as certainly you know think that you
know<01:11:57.560> uh<01:11:57.719> president<01:11:58.080> Trump<01:11:58.480> on<01:11:58.679> the<01:11:58.880> campaign
01:11:59.229 --> 01:11:59.239 align:start position:0%
know uh president Trump on the campaign
01:11:59.239 --> 01:12:02.110 align:start position:0%
know uh president Trump on the campaign
Trail<01:12:00.159> has<01:12:00.679> one<01:12:01.000> on<01:12:01.159> the<01:12:01.239> same<01:12:01.440> time<01:12:01.639> be<01:12:01.840> clear
01:12:02.110 --> 01:12:02.120 align:start position:0%
Trail has one on the same time be clear
01:12:02.120 --> 01:12:04.870 align:start position:0%
Trail has one on the same time be clear
that<01:12:02.280> you<01:12:02.360> know<01:12:02.520> he's<01:12:02.719> willing<01:12:03.040> to<01:12:03.800> uh<01:12:04.080> to<01:12:04.480> to
01:12:04.870 --> 01:12:04.880 align:start position:0%
that you know he's willing to uh to to
01:12:04.880 --> 01:12:07.110 align:start position:0%
that you know he's willing to uh to to
push<01:12:05.159> hard<01:12:05.480> on<01:12:05.679> Iran<01:12:06.320> but<01:12:06.480> also<01:12:06.760> that<01:12:06.880> he's
01:12:07.110 --> 01:12:07.120 align:start position:0%
push hard on Iran but also that he's
01:12:07.120 --> 01:12:09.910 align:start position:0%
push hard on Iran but also that he's
looking<01:12:07.440> for<01:12:08.000> potential<01:12:09.000> uh<01:12:09.159> deals<01:12:09.600> if<01:12:09.760> they
01:12:09.910 --> 01:12:09.920 align:start position:0%
looking for potential uh deals if they
01:12:09.920 --> 01:12:12.310 align:start position:0%
looking for potential uh deals if they
make<01:12:10.159> sense<01:12:11.040> uh<01:12:11.239> and<01:12:11.360> certainly<01:12:11.719> we<01:12:11.840> see<01:12:12.120> the
01:12:12.310 --> 01:12:12.320 align:start position:0%
make sense uh and certainly we see the
01:12:12.320 --> 01:12:14.669 align:start position:0%
make sense uh and certainly we see the
continued<01:12:13.080> uh<01:12:13.239> diplomatic<01:12:13.800> efforts<01:12:14.400> by<01:12:14.560> the
01:12:14.669 --> 01:12:14.679 align:start position:0%
continued uh diplomatic efforts by the
01:12:14.679 --> 01:12:17.390 align:start position:0%
continued uh diplomatic efforts by the
Biden<01:12:14.960> Administration<01:12:15.520> are<01:12:15.840> likely<01:12:16.840> uh<01:12:17.239> the
01:12:17.390 --> 01:12:17.400 align:start position:0%
Biden Administration are likely uh the
01:12:17.400 --> 01:12:18.990 align:start position:0%
Biden Administration are likely uh the
type<01:12:17.639> the<01:12:17.719> flavor<01:12:18.080> of<01:12:18.239> what<01:12:18.360> we<01:12:18.480> will<01:12:18.679> likely
01:12:18.990 --> 01:12:19.000 align:start position:0%
type the flavor of what we will likely
01:12:19.000 --> 01:12:22.390 align:start position:0%
type the flavor of what we will likely
get<01:12:19.239> from<01:12:19.360> a<01:12:19.520> Harris<01:12:19.880> Administration<01:12:20.600> so<01:12:21.480> um
01:12:22.390 --> 01:12:22.400 align:start position:0%
get from a Harris Administration so um
01:12:22.400 --> 01:12:25.149 align:start position:0%
get from a Harris Administration so um
again<01:12:22.600> it<01:12:22.719> could<01:12:22.880> be<01:12:23.639> it'll<01:12:23.880> be<01:12:24.040> kind<01:12:24.159> of<01:12:24.800> my
01:12:25.149 --> 01:12:25.159 align:start position:0%
again it could be it'll be kind of my
01:12:25.159 --> 01:12:26.590 align:start position:0%
again it could be it'll be kind of my
expectation<01:12:25.520> is<01:12:25.679> kind<01:12:25.760> of<01:12:25.880> rough<01:12:26.239> goinging<01:12:26.480> a
01:12:26.590 --> 01:12:26.600 align:start position:0%
expectation is kind of rough goinging a
01:12:26.600 --> 01:12:29.510 align:start position:0%
expectation is kind of rough goinging a
bit<01:12:27.480> uh<01:12:27.800> regardless<01:12:28.239> of<01:12:28.360> who<01:12:28.520> wins<01:12:29.199> uh<01:12:29.320> in<01:12:29.400> the
01:12:29.510 --> 01:12:29.520 align:start position:0%
bit uh regardless of who wins uh in the
01:12:29.520 --> 01:12:31.430 align:start position:0%
bit uh regardless of who wins uh in the
earli<01:12:29.800> part<01:12:29.920> of<01:12:30.040> 25<01:12:30.480> but<01:12:30.639> maybe<01:12:30.880> by<01:12:31.040> the<01:12:31.120> later
01:12:31.430 --> 01:12:31.440 align:start position:0%
earli part of 25 but maybe by the later
01:12:31.440 --> 01:12:33.790 align:start position:0%
earli part of 25 but maybe by the later
part<01:12:31.639> of<01:12:31.840> next<01:12:32.080> year<01:12:33.000> uh<01:12:33.199> we'll<01:12:33.480> have<01:12:33.639> some
01:12:33.790 --> 01:12:33.800 align:start position:0%
part of next year uh we'll have some
01:12:33.800 --> 01:12:36.510 align:start position:0%
part of next year uh we'll have some
more<01:12:34.000> clarity<01:12:34.440> of<01:12:34.639> where<01:12:34.960> where<01:12:35.080> we<01:12:35.239> could
01:12:36.510 --> 01:12:36.520 align:start position:0%
more clarity of where where we could
01:12:36.520 --> 01:12:40.750 align:start position:0%
more clarity of where where we could
go<01:12:37.520> uh<01:12:37.960> okay<01:12:38.719> uh<01:12:39.679> let's<01:12:39.920> hear
01:12:40.750 --> 01:12:40.760 align:start position:0%
go uh okay uh let's hear
01:12:40.760 --> 01:12:43.709 align:start position:0%
go uh okay uh let's hear
from<01:12:41.760> just<01:12:42.040> just<01:12:42.199> a<01:12:42.440> couple<01:12:42.679> of<01:12:42.920> sentences<01:12:43.560> I
01:12:43.709 --> 01:12:43.719 align:start position:0%
from just just a couple of sentences I
01:12:43.719 --> 01:12:47.189 align:start position:0%
from just just a couple of sentences I
agree<01:12:44.080> with<01:12:44.280> M<01:12:44.920> it's<01:12:45.199> it's<01:12:45.480> very
01:12:47.189 --> 01:12:47.199 align:start position:0%
agree with M it's it's very
01:12:47.199 --> 01:12:51.629 align:start position:0%
agree with M it's it's very
uncertain<01:12:48.199> uh<01:12:48.400> but<01:12:48.679> one<01:12:49.280> uh<01:12:49.760> one<01:12:50.760> factor<01:12:51.400> that
01:12:51.629 --> 01:12:51.639 align:start position:0%
uncertain uh but one uh one factor that
01:12:51.639 --> 01:12:55.870 align:start position:0%
uncertain uh but one uh one factor that
played<01:12:51.960> a<01:12:52.159> big<01:12:52.840> role<01:12:53.840> um<01:12:54.239> in<01:12:54.440> the<01:12:54.679> US<01:12:55.280> exit<01:12:55.639> from
01:12:55.870 --> 01:12:55.880 align:start position:0%
played a big role um in the US exit from
01:12:55.880 --> 01:12:59.070 align:start position:0%
played a big role um in the US exit from
the<01:12:56.040> jcpa<01:12:56.840> in<01:12:57.360> 2017
01:12:59.070 --> 01:12:59.080 align:start position:0%
the jcpa in 2017
01:12:59.080 --> 01:13:02.149 align:start position:0%
the jcpa in 2017
2018<01:13:00.080> which<01:13:00.360> doesn't<01:13:00.920> exist<01:13:01.320> anymore<01:13:01.760> in<01:13:01.960> that
01:13:02.149 --> 01:13:02.159 align:start position:0%
2018 which doesn't exist anymore in that
01:13:02.159 --> 01:13:06.910 align:start position:0%
2018 which doesn't exist anymore in that
form<01:13:02.960> was<01:13:03.400> the<01:13:03.880> the<01:13:04.080> sort<01:13:04.320> of<01:13:05.239> um<01:13:06.199> tensions
01:13:06.910 --> 01:13:06.920 align:start position:0%
form was the the sort of um tensions
01:13:06.920 --> 01:13:09.870 align:start position:0%
form was the the sort of um tensions
between<01:13:07.400> Iran<01:13:07.880> and<01:13:08.080> the<01:13:08.280> GCC<01:13:09.000> countries<01:13:09.520> Iran
01:13:09.870 --> 01:13:09.880 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the GCC countries Iran
01:13:09.880 --> 01:13:12.990 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the GCC countries Iran
Saudi<01:13:10.239> Arabia<01:13:10.719> UAE<01:13:11.199> and<01:13:11.360> so<01:13:11.520> on<01:13:12.440> uh<01:13:12.679> which
01:13:12.990 --> 01:13:13.000 align:start position:0%
Saudi Arabia UAE and so on uh which
01:13:13.000 --> 01:13:16.669 align:start position:0%
Saudi Arabia UAE and so on uh which
obviously<01:13:13.520> both<01:13:13.840> UAE<01:13:14.520> and<01:13:14.880> Saudi<01:13:15.440> Arabia<01:13:16.440> were
01:13:16.669 --> 01:13:16.679 align:start position:0%
obviously both UAE and Saudi Arabia were
01:13:16.679 --> 01:13:20.430 align:start position:0%
obviously both UAE and Saudi Arabia were
in<01:13:16.920> favor<01:13:17.360> of<01:13:18.120> ending<01:13:18.600> the<01:13:18.800> jcpa<01:13:19.760> and<01:13:20.040> and<01:13:20.239> and
01:13:20.430 --> 01:13:20.440 align:start position:0%
in favor of ending the jcpa and and and
01:13:20.440 --> 01:13:22.470 align:start position:0%
in favor of ending the jcpa and and and
creating<01:13:20.880> a<01:13:21.120> strategic<01:13:21.639> distance<01:13:22.159> between
01:13:22.470 --> 01:13:22.480 align:start position:0%
creating a strategic distance between
01:13:22.480 --> 01:13:25.910 align:start position:0%
creating a strategic distance between
Iran<01:13:22.800> and<01:13:22.960> the<01:13:23.400> US<01:13:24.400> whereas<01:13:25.120> today<01:13:25.440> we<01:13:25.600> have<01:13:25.719> a
01:13:25.910 --> 01:13:25.920 align:start position:0%
Iran and the US whereas today we have a
01:13:25.920 --> 01:13:28.070 align:start position:0%
Iran and the US whereas today we have a
situation<01:13:26.600> where<01:13:26.800> Iran<01:13:27.120> and<01:13:27.280> Saudi<01:13:27.639> Arabia
01:13:28.070 --> 01:13:28.080 align:start position:0%
situation where Iran and Saudi Arabia
01:13:28.080 --> 01:13:32.830 align:start position:0%
situation where Iran and Saudi Arabia
have<01:13:28.239> signed<01:13:29.120> a<01:13:30.120> an<01:13:30.360> agreement<01:13:31.280> to<01:13:32.280> um<01:13:32.719> you
01:13:32.830 --> 01:13:32.840 align:start position:0%
have signed a an agreement to um you
01:13:32.840 --> 01:13:36.629 align:start position:0%
have signed a an agreement to um you
know<01:13:33.719> definitely<01:13:34.639> rapoon<01:13:35.560> process<01:13:36.040> and<01:13:36.239> Iran
01:13:36.629 --> 01:13:36.639 align:start position:0%
know definitely rapoon process and Iran
01:13:36.639 --> 01:13:38.470 align:start position:0%
know definitely rapoon process and Iran
has<01:13:37.159> much<01:13:37.360> better<01:13:37.679> relations<01:13:38.199> with<01:13:38.360> the
01:13:38.470 --> 01:13:38.480 align:start position:0%
has much better relations with the
01:13:38.480 --> 01:13:41.669 align:start position:0%
has much better relations with the
regional<01:13:39.000> powers<01:13:39.760> and<01:13:40.040> that<01:13:40.199> will<01:13:40.520> also<01:13:40.800> be<01:13:41.440> a
01:13:41.669 --> 01:13:41.679 align:start position:0%
regional powers and that will also be a
01:13:41.679 --> 01:13:44.550 align:start position:0%
regional powers and that will also be a
factor<01:13:42.120> that<01:13:42.320> can<01:13:42.920> actually
01:13:44.550 --> 01:13:44.560 align:start position:0%
factor that can actually
01:13:44.560 --> 01:13:47.350 align:start position:0%
factor that can actually
facilitate<01:13:45.560> uh<01:13:45.840> a<01:13:46.120> a<01:13:46.280> a<01:13:46.520> process<01:13:46.880> of
01:13:47.350 --> 01:13:47.360 align:start position:0%
facilitate uh a a a process of
01:13:47.360 --> 01:13:50.910 align:start position:0%
facilitate uh a a a process of
Engagement<01:13:48.360> and<01:13:48.639> we<01:13:48.800> I<01:13:48.920> would<01:13:49.159> not<01:13:49.880> um<01:13:50.719> uh
01:13:50.910 --> 01:13:50.920 align:start position:0%
Engagement and we I would not um uh
01:13:50.920 --> 01:13:52.950 align:start position:0%
Engagement and we I would not um uh
underestimate<01:13:51.800> that<01:13:52.040> impact<01:13:52.560> because
01:13:52.950 --> 01:13:52.960 align:start position:0%
underestimate that impact because
01:13:52.960 --> 01:13:55.510 align:start position:0%
underestimate that impact because
especially<01:13:53.600> because<01:13:54.440> some<01:13:54.600> of<01:13:54.760> the<01:13:55.120> GCC
01:13:55.510 --> 01:13:55.520 align:start position:0%
especially because some of the GCC
01:13:55.520 --> 01:13:58.590 align:start position:0%
especially because some of the GCC
members<01:13:56.159> especially<01:13:56.719> Oman<01:13:57.159> and<01:13:57.440> Qatar<01:13:58.360> have
01:13:58.590 --> 01:13:58.600 align:start position:0%
members especially Oman and Qatar have
01:13:58.600 --> 01:14:00.830 align:start position:0%
members especially Oman and Qatar have
played<01:13:58.960> a<01:13:59.199> great<01:13:59.520> role<01:13:59.800> as<01:13:59.920> a<01:14:00.120> mediator
01:14:00.830 --> 01:14:00.840 align:start position:0%
played a great role as a mediator
01:14:00.840 --> 01:14:03.229 align:start position:0%
played a great role as a mediator
between<01:14:01.199> Iran<01:14:01.560> and<01:14:01.719> the<01:14:01.840> US<01:14:02.480> so<01:14:02.760> there<01:14:03.080> could
01:14:03.229 --> 01:14:03.239 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the US so there could
01:14:03.239 --> 01:14:06.110 align:start position:0%
between Iran and the US so there could
be<01:14:03.440> new<01:14:04.000> components<01:14:05.000> that<01:14:05.120> will<01:14:05.400> pave<01:14:05.679> the<01:14:05.880> way
01:14:06.110 --> 01:14:06.120 align:start position:0%
be new components that will pave the way
01:14:06.120 --> 01:14:08.870 align:start position:0%
be new components that will pave the way
for<01:14:06.480> for<01:14:06.760> deescalation<01:14:07.520> but<01:14:07.679> I<01:14:07.840> agree<01:14:08.600> it's
01:14:08.870 --> 01:14:08.880 align:start position:0%
for for deescalation but I agree it's
01:14:08.880 --> 01:14:11.149 align:start position:0%
for for deescalation but I agree it's
uncertain<01:14:09.560> and<01:14:09.719> it<01:14:09.840> will<01:14:10.080> take
01:14:11.149 --> 01:14:11.159 align:start position:0%
uncertain and it will take
01:14:11.159 --> 01:14:15.350 align:start position:0%
uncertain and it will take
time<01:14:12.159> all<01:14:12.360> right<01:14:12.639> from<01:14:12.960> OHA<01:14:13.480> an<01:14:13.719> A<01:14:14.560> and<01:14:14.800> AI<01:14:15.199> an
01:14:15.350 --> 01:14:15.360 align:start position:0%
time all right from OHA an A and AI an
01:14:15.360 --> 01:14:16.709 align:start position:0%
time all right from OHA an A and AI an
old<01:14:15.560> friend<01:14:15.920> in
01:14:16.709 --> 01:14:16.719 align:start position:0%
old friend in
01:14:16.719 --> 01:14:20.750 align:start position:0%
old friend in
Morocco<01:14:17.719> uh<01:14:18.199> and<01:14:18.360> a<01:14:18.520> question<01:14:18.800> for<01:14:19.639> Matthew<01:14:20.639> uh
01:14:20.750 --> 01:14:20.760 align:start position:0%
Morocco uh and a question for Matthew uh
01:14:20.760 --> 01:14:22.270 align:start position:0%
Morocco uh and a question for Matthew uh
since<01:14:20.960> all<01:14:21.120> countries<01:14:21.440> in<01:14:21.560> the<01:14:21.719> region<01:14:22.000> want
01:14:22.270 --> 01:14:22.280 align:start position:0%
since all countries in the region want
01:14:22.280 --> 01:14:24.590 align:start position:0%
since all countries in the region want
peace<01:14:22.760> why<01:14:23.040> don't<01:14:23.440> they<01:14:23.679> stop<01:14:24.080> this<01:14:24.239> bloody
01:14:24.590 --> 01:14:24.600 align:start position:0%
peace why don't they stop this bloody
01:14:24.600 --> 01:14:26.709 align:start position:0%
peace why don't they stop this bloody
war<01:14:24.760> and<01:14:25.120> stop<01:14:25.600> the<01:14:25.800> escalation<01:14:26.440> which<01:14:26.560> will
01:14:26.709 --> 01:14:26.719 align:start position:0%
war and stop the escalation which will
01:14:26.719 --> 01:14:28.149 align:start position:0%
war and stop the escalation which will
be<01:14:26.880> devastating<01:14:27.360> for<01:14:27.520> the<01:14:27.600> region<01:14:27.880> and<01:14:28.040> the
01:14:28.149 --> 01:14:28.159 align:start position:0%
be devastating for the region and the
01:14:28.159 --> 01:14:30.590 align:start position:0%
be devastating for the region and the
world<01:14:28.920> how<01:14:29.080> much<01:14:29.320> power<01:14:29.639> does<01:14:29.800> the<01:14:29.960> US<01:14:30.280> still
01:14:30.590 --> 01:14:30.600 align:start position:0%
world how much power does the US still
01:14:30.600 --> 01:14:34.070 align:start position:0%
world how much power does the US still
have<01:14:30.800> to<01:14:31.000> convince<01:14:31.400> Israel<01:14:31.800> for
01:14:34.070 --> 01:14:34.080 align:start position:0%
have to convince Israel for
01:14:34.080 --> 01:14:36.510 align:start position:0%
have to convince Israel for
ceasefire<01:14:35.080> well<01:14:35.560> you<01:14:35.639> know<01:14:35.800> certainly<01:14:36.120> the<01:14:36.280> US
01:14:36.510 --> 01:14:36.520 align:start position:0%
ceasefire well you know certainly the US
01:14:36.520 --> 01:14:38.390 align:start position:0%
ceasefire well you know certainly the US
is<01:14:36.679> still<01:14:36.920> committed<01:14:37.320> to<01:14:37.679> the<01:14:37.840> defense<01:14:38.159> of
01:14:38.390 --> 01:14:38.400 align:start position:0%
is still committed to the defense of
01:14:38.400 --> 01:14:41.350 align:start position:0%
is still committed to the defense of
Israel<01:14:39.400> uh<01:14:39.639> we<01:14:39.880> we<01:14:40.040> do<01:14:40.239> not<01:14:40.400> want<01:14:40.560> to<01:14:40.679> see<01:14:41.239> you
01:14:41.350 --> 01:14:41.360 align:start position:0%
Israel uh we we do not want to see you
01:14:41.360 --> 01:14:44.070 align:start position:0%
Israel uh we we do not want to see you
know<01:14:41.600> the<01:14:41.920> uh<01:14:42.239> the<01:14:42.840> the<01:14:43.000> further<01:14:43.440> escalation
01:14:44.070 --> 01:14:44.080 align:start position:0%
know the uh the the further escalation
01:14:44.080 --> 01:14:47.350 align:start position:0%
know the uh the the further escalation
into<01:14:44.520> to<01:14:44.719> regional<01:14:45.320> conflict<01:14:46.320> um<01:14:46.719> at<01:14:47.120> at<01:14:47.239> the
01:14:47.350 --> 01:14:47.360 align:start position:0%
into to regional conflict um at at the
01:14:47.360 --> 01:14:49.590 align:start position:0%
into to regional conflict um at at the
same<01:14:47.679> time<01:14:48.199> you<01:14:48.320> know<01:14:48.760> the<01:14:49.159> you<01:14:49.239> know<01:14:49.400> we
01:14:49.590 --> 01:14:49.600 align:start position:0%
same time you know the you know we
01:14:49.600 --> 01:14:52.310 align:start position:0%
same time you know the you know we
recognize<01:14:50.120> many<01:14:50.280> of<01:14:50.440> the<01:14:50.920> uh<01:14:51.400> individuals
01:14:52.310 --> 01:14:52.320 align:start position:0%
recognize many of the uh individuals
01:14:52.320 --> 01:14:55.110 align:start position:0%
recognize many of the uh individuals
that<01:14:52.679> Israel<01:14:53.080> has<01:14:53.280> targeted<01:14:53.840> recently<01:14:54.719> uh<01:14:55.040> in
01:14:55.110 --> 01:14:55.120 align:start position:0%
that Israel has targeted recently uh in
01:14:55.120 --> 01:14:56.950 align:start position:0%
that Israel has targeted recently uh in
particular<01:14:55.480> are<01:14:55.920> you<01:14:56.040> know<01:14:56.239> certainly
01:14:56.950 --> 01:14:56.960 align:start position:0%
particular are you know certainly
01:14:56.960 --> 01:15:00.629 align:start position:0%
particular are you know certainly
terrorists<01:14:57.960> uh<01:14:58.199> from<01:14:58.880> uh<01:14:59.199> from<01:14:59.600> from<01:14:59.800> us
01:15:00.629 --> 01:15:00.639 align:start position:0%
terrorists uh from uh from from us
01:15:00.639 --> 01:15:03.350 align:start position:0%
terrorists uh from uh from from us
legally<01:15:01.080> as<01:15:01.199> well<01:15:01.440> as<01:15:01.880> philosophically<01:15:02.679> and
01:15:03.350 --> 01:15:03.360 align:start position:0%
legally as well as philosophically and
01:15:03.360 --> 01:15:05.910 align:start position:0%
legally as well as philosophically and
and<01:15:03.560> morally<01:15:04.120> and<01:15:04.280> so<01:15:04.920> you<01:15:05.080> know<01:15:05.560> we<01:15:05.719> we
01:15:05.910 --> 01:15:05.920 align:start position:0%
and morally and so you know we we
01:15:05.920 --> 01:15:08.950 align:start position:0%
and morally and so you know we we
recognize<01:15:06.760> that<01:15:07.040> in<01:15:07.320> in<01:15:07.520> Israel's<01:15:08.120> right<01:15:08.320> to
01:15:08.950 --> 01:15:08.960 align:start position:0%
recognize that in in Israel's right to
01:15:08.960 --> 01:15:11.790 align:start position:0%
recognize that in in Israel's right to
self-defense<01:15:09.960> uh<01:15:10.239> that<01:15:10.560> the<01:15:10.920> uh<01:15:11.280> you<01:15:11.400> know
01:15:11.790 --> 01:15:11.800 align:start position:0%
self-defense uh that the uh you know
01:15:11.800 --> 01:15:14.350 align:start position:0%
self-defense uh that the uh you know
addressing<01:15:12.679> the<01:15:12.840> leadership<01:15:13.320> of<01:15:13.480> these
01:15:14.350 --> 01:15:14.360 align:start position:0%
addressing the leadership of these
01:15:14.360 --> 01:15:17.189 align:start position:0%
addressing the leadership of these
organizations<01:15:15.360> is<01:15:15.679> is<01:15:16.040> um<01:15:16.480> you<01:15:16.600> know<01:15:16.760> is
01:15:17.189 --> 01:15:17.199 align:start position:0%
organizations is is um you know is
01:15:17.199 --> 01:15:19.950 align:start position:0%
organizations is is um you know is
certainly<01:15:18.199> is<01:15:18.679> understandable<01:15:19.360> again<01:15:19.800> again
01:15:19.950 --> 01:15:19.960 align:start position:0%
certainly is understandable again again
01:15:19.960 --> 01:15:21.750 align:start position:0%
certainly is understandable again again
I'm<01:15:20.080> not<01:15:20.199> speaking<01:15:20.520> for<01:15:20.800> the<01:15:21.239> the<01:15:21.480> current
01:15:21.750 --> 01:15:21.760 align:start position:0%
I'm not speaking for the the current
01:15:21.760 --> 01:15:24.470 align:start position:0%
I'm not speaking for the the current
Administration<01:15:22.480> here<01:15:23.480> uh<01:15:23.639> but<01:15:23.800> I<01:15:23.920> do<01:15:24.159> think
01:15:24.470 --> 01:15:24.480 align:start position:0%
Administration here uh but I do think
01:15:24.480 --> 01:15:27.350 align:start position:0%
Administration here uh but I do think
that<01:15:25.320> uh<01:15:25.679> that<01:15:25.840> there<01:15:26.000> is<01:15:26.440> a<01:15:26.600> recognition<01:15:27.239> the
01:15:27.350 --> 01:15:27.360 align:start position:0%
that uh that there is a recognition the
01:15:27.360 --> 01:15:29.430 align:start position:0%
that uh that there is a recognition the
reason<01:15:27.639> why<01:15:27.800> you<01:15:27.960> have<01:15:28.120> not<01:15:28.280> seen<01:15:29.199> you<01:15:29.320> know
01:15:29.430 --> 01:15:29.440 align:start position:0%
reason why you have not seen you know
01:15:29.440 --> 01:15:31.629 align:start position:0%
reason why you have not seen you know
you<01:15:29.600> not<01:15:29.719> seen<01:15:29.960> criticism<01:15:30.480> about<01:15:30.719> the<01:15:30.840> recent
01:15:31.629 --> 01:15:31.639 align:start position:0%
you not seen criticism about the recent
01:15:31.639 --> 01:15:34.950 align:start position:0%
you not seen criticism about the recent
uh<01:15:32.159> in<01:15:32.320> fact<01:15:32.760> in<01:15:32.840> many<01:15:33.120> ways<01:15:33.360> certainly<01:15:33.840> for<01:15:34.840> uh
01:15:34.950 --> 01:15:34.960 align:start position:0%
uh in fact in many ways certainly for uh
01:15:34.960 --> 01:15:37.189 align:start position:0%
uh in fact in many ways certainly for uh
you<01:15:35.080> know<01:15:35.199> for<01:15:35.320> the<01:15:35.440> killing<01:15:35.719> of<01:15:36.080> senoir<01:15:37.080> in
01:15:37.189 --> 01:15:37.199 align:start position:0%
you know for the killing of senoir in
01:15:37.199 --> 01:15:39.229 align:start position:0%
you know for the killing of senoir in
the<01:15:37.400> past<01:15:37.639> week<01:15:37.920> you<01:15:38.040> know<01:15:38.280> real<01:15:38.600> praise<01:15:39.000> from
01:15:39.229 --> 01:15:39.239 align:start position:0%
the past week you know real praise from
01:15:39.239 --> 01:15:42.110 align:start position:0%
the past week you know real praise from
the<01:15:39.520> from<01:15:39.760> the<01:15:40.080> uh<01:15:40.440> the<01:15:40.560> white<01:15:40.800> house<01:15:41.760> uh<01:15:41.880> for
01:15:42.110 --> 01:15:42.120 align:start position:0%
the from the uh the white house uh for
01:15:42.120 --> 01:15:43.990 align:start position:0%
the from the uh the white house uh for
being<01:15:42.360> able<01:15:42.639> to<01:15:43.159> uh<01:15:43.280> to<01:15:43.440> eliminate<01:15:43.760> the<01:15:43.840> same
01:15:43.990 --> 01:15:44.000 align:start position:0%
being able to uh to eliminate the same
01:15:44.000 --> 01:15:47.189 align:start position:0%
being able to uh to eliminate the same
thing<01:15:44.159> with<01:15:44.719> nraa<01:15:45.719> uh<01:15:45.840> so<01:15:46.199> I<01:15:46.400> I<01:15:46.480> think<01:15:46.880> that
01:15:47.189 --> 01:15:47.199 align:start position:0%
thing with nraa uh so I I think that
01:15:47.199 --> 01:15:49.750 align:start position:0%
thing with nraa uh so I I think that
aspect<01:15:47.520> of<01:15:47.719> what<01:15:47.840> is<01:15:48.080> happening<01:15:49.000> uh<01:15:49.199> is<01:15:49.440> where
01:15:49.750 --> 01:15:49.760 align:start position:0%
aspect of what is happening uh is where
01:15:49.760 --> 01:15:52.189 align:start position:0%
aspect of what is happening uh is where
you<01:15:49.880> know<01:15:50.440> I<01:15:50.520> think<01:15:50.679> the<01:15:50.760> US<01:15:51.080> is<01:15:51.360> is<01:15:51.719> is<01:15:51.880> fully
01:15:52.189 --> 01:15:52.199 align:start position:0%
you know I think the US is is is fully
01:15:52.199 --> 01:15:54.669 align:start position:0%
you know I think the US is is is fully
supporting<01:15:53.199> I<01:15:53.360> I<01:15:53.440> think<01:15:53.639> certainly<01:15:54.320> you<01:15:54.440> know
01:15:54.669 --> 01:15:54.679 align:start position:0%
supporting I I think certainly you know
01:15:54.679 --> 01:15:57.110 align:start position:0%
supporting I I think certainly you know
the<01:15:55.000> us<01:15:55.360> wants<01:15:55.639> to<01:15:55.800> see<01:15:56.320> you<01:15:56.440> know<01:15:56.600> an<01:15:56.760> ending
01:15:57.110 --> 01:15:57.120 align:start position:0%
the us wants to see you know an ending
01:15:57.120 --> 01:16:01.229 align:start position:0%
the us wants to see you know an ending
to<01:15:57.320> the<01:15:57.679> conflict<01:15:58.679> uh<01:15:58.880> as<01:15:59.000> soon<01:15:59.159> as<01:15:59.320> it<01:15:59.719> can<01:16:00.719> um
01:16:01.229 --> 01:16:01.239 align:start position:0%
to the conflict uh as soon as it can um
01:16:01.239 --> 01:16:03.910 align:start position:0%
to the conflict uh as soon as it can um
you<01:16:01.360> know<01:16:01.480> at<01:16:01.600> the<01:16:01.719> same<01:16:02.000> time<01:16:02.639> we<01:16:02.960> are<01:16:03.600> uh<01:16:03.800> you
01:16:03.910 --> 01:16:03.920 align:start position:0%
you know at the same time we are uh you
01:16:03.920 --> 01:16:05.550 align:start position:0%
you know at the same time we are uh you
know<01:16:04.159> we<01:16:04.280> are<01:16:04.440> going<01:16:04.560> to<01:16:04.719> continue<01:16:05.040> to<01:16:05.239> defend
01:16:05.550 --> 01:16:05.560 align:start position:0%
know we are going to continue to defend
01:16:05.560 --> 01:16:09.270 align:start position:0%
know we are going to continue to defend
Israel's<01:16:06.120> right<01:16:06.320> to<01:16:07.080> self-defense<01:16:08.080> uh<01:16:08.440> and<01:16:08.880> uh
01:16:09.270 --> 01:16:09.280 align:start position:0%
Israel's right to self-defense uh and uh
01:16:09.280 --> 01:16:11.830 align:start position:0%
Israel's right to self-defense uh and uh
and<01:16:09.520> that<01:16:09.960> obviously<01:16:10.480> can<01:16:11.120> is<01:16:11.239> a<01:16:11.400> very
01:16:11.830 --> 01:16:11.840 align:start position:0%
and that obviously can is a very
01:16:11.840 --> 01:16:14.910 align:start position:0%
and that obviously can is a very
challenging<01:16:12.840> uh<01:16:13.040> task<01:16:13.520> given<01:16:14.199> uh<01:16:14.400> the<01:16:14.560> threats
01:16:14.910 --> 01:16:14.920 align:start position:0%
challenging uh task given uh the threats
01:16:14.920 --> 01:16:17.910 align:start position:0%
challenging uh task given uh the threats
that<01:16:15.199> that<01:16:15.360> Israel<01:16:16.159> sees<01:16:16.800> right<01:16:16.960> now<01:16:17.719> um
01:16:17.910 --> 01:16:17.920 align:start position:0%
that that Israel sees right now um
01:16:17.920 --> 01:16:20.229 align:start position:0%
that that Israel sees right now um
obviously<01:16:18.239> we<01:16:18.560> obviously<01:16:18.960> working<01:16:19.280> with<01:16:19.560> our
01:16:20.229 --> 01:16:20.239 align:start position:0%
obviously we obviously working with our
01:16:20.239 --> 01:16:22.990 align:start position:0%
obviously we obviously working with our
um<01:16:20.400> you<01:16:20.520> know<01:16:20.760> with<01:16:20.880> our<01:16:21.080> Arab<01:16:22.040> uh<01:16:22.199> Partners<01:16:22.840> as
01:16:22.990 --> 01:16:23.000 align:start position:0%
um you know with our Arab uh Partners as
01:16:23.000 --> 01:16:25.590 align:start position:0%
um you know with our Arab uh Partners as
well<01:16:23.280> to<01:16:23.600> to<01:16:23.920> Think<01:16:24.199> Through<01:16:24.679> where<01:16:25.040> to<01:16:25.320> get<01:16:25.440> to
01:16:25.590 --> 01:16:25.600 align:start position:0%
well to to Think Through where to get to
01:16:25.600 --> 01:16:27.870 align:start position:0%
well to to Think Through where to get to
the<01:16:25.760> right<01:16:26.000> inate<01:16:27.000> here<01:16:27.440> I<01:16:27.520> think<01:16:27.719> that's
01:16:27.870 --> 01:16:27.880 align:start position:0%
the right inate here I think that's
01:16:27.880 --> 01:16:29.550 align:start position:0%
the right inate here I think that's
going<01:16:28.000> to<01:16:28.120> be<01:16:28.280> continue<01:16:28.600> to<01:16:28.679> be<01:16:28.800> as<01:16:28.880> bjon<01:16:29.280> says
01:16:29.550 --> 01:16:29.560 align:start position:0%
going to be continue to be as bjon says
01:16:29.560 --> 01:16:31.070 align:start position:0%
going to be continue to be as bjon says
I<01:16:29.719> you<01:16:29.840> know<01:16:30.000> even<01:16:30.320> from<01:16:30.600> yes<01:16:30.760> it's<01:16:30.880> from<01:16:31.000> the
01:16:31.070 --> 01:16:31.080 align:start position:0%
I you know even from yes it's from the
01:16:31.080 --> 01:16:33.350 align:start position:0%
I you know even from yes it's from the
Iranian<01:16:31.560> side<01:16:31.760> but<01:16:31.880> also<01:16:32.120> from<01:16:32.280> the<01:16:32.400> US<01:16:32.679> side
01:16:33.350 --> 01:16:33.360 align:start position:0%
Iranian side but also from the US side
01:16:33.360 --> 01:16:34.629 align:start position:0%
Iranian side but also from the US side
our<01:16:33.520> era<01:16:33.880> partners<01:16:34.159> are<01:16:34.280> going<01:16:34.400> to<01:16:34.480> be
01:16:34.629 --> 01:16:34.639 align:start position:0%
our era partners are going to be
01:16:34.639 --> 01:16:37.790 align:start position:0%
our era partners are going to be
essential<01:16:35.120> to<01:16:35.440> that<01:16:35.960> conversation<01:16:36.960> uh<01:16:37.080> so<01:16:37.520> I
01:16:37.790 --> 01:16:37.800 align:start position:0%
essential to that conversation uh so I
01:16:37.800 --> 01:16:41.470 align:start position:0%
essential to that conversation uh so I
my<01:16:38.199> My<01:16:38.400> Hope<01:16:38.679> Is<01:16:38.960> with<01:16:39.679> uh<01:16:40.040> that<01:16:40.360> dialogue<01:16:41.360> uh
01:16:41.470 --> 01:16:41.480 align:start position:0%
my My Hope Is with uh that dialogue uh
01:16:41.480 --> 01:16:44.030 align:start position:0%
my My Hope Is with uh that dialogue uh
being<01:16:41.719> an<01:16:41.920> important<01:16:42.480> part<01:16:43.000> of<01:16:43.239> how<01:16:43.480> we<01:16:43.800> come
01:16:44.030 --> 01:16:44.040 align:start position:0%
being an important part of how we come
01:16:44.040 --> 01:16:47.590 align:start position:0%
being an important part of how we come
to<01:16:44.520> A<01:16:44.800> A<01:16:45.000> better<01:16:45.400> ending<01:16:45.800> of<01:16:46.000> this<01:16:46.600> situation
01:16:47.590 --> 01:16:47.600 align:start position:0%
to A A better ending of this situation
01:16:47.600 --> 01:16:49.110 align:start position:0%
to A A better ending of this situation
well<01:16:47.719> we've<01:16:47.920> only<01:16:48.080> got<01:16:48.280> about<01:16:48.480> 10<01:16:48.679> minutes
01:16:49.110 --> 01:16:49.120 align:start position:0%
well we've only got about 10 minutes
01:16:49.120 --> 01:16:51.149 align:start position:0%
well we've only got about 10 minutes
left<01:16:49.320> and<01:16:49.679> I<01:16:50.480> discovered<01:16:50.800> that<01:16:50.920> there<01:16:51.000> are
01:16:51.149 --> 01:16:51.159 align:start position:0%
left and I discovered that there are
01:16:51.159 --> 01:16:53.830 align:start position:0%
left and I discovered that there are
more<01:16:51.400> questions<01:16:51.719> that<01:16:51.960> come<01:16:52.120> in<01:16:53.040> so<01:16:53.520> what<01:16:53.679> I'm
01:16:53.830 --> 01:16:53.840 align:start position:0%
more questions that come in so what I'm
01:16:53.840 --> 01:16:56.550 align:start position:0%
more questions that come in so what I'm
going<01:16:53.920> to<01:16:54.080> try<01:16:54.239> to<01:16:54.400> do<01:16:54.560> is<01:16:55.080> one<01:16:55.280> person<01:16:55.679> answer
01:16:56.550 --> 01:16:56.560 align:start position:0%
going to try to do is one person answer
01:16:56.560 --> 01:16:59.430 align:start position:0%
going to try to do is one person answer
each<01:16:56.760> of<01:16:57.000> these<01:16:57.840> uh<01:16:58.080> uh<01:16:58.239> left<01:16:58.639> and<01:16:58.920> try<01:16:59.159> to<01:16:59.280> do
01:16:59.430 --> 01:16:59.440 align:start position:0%
each of these uh uh left and try to do
01:16:59.440 --> 01:17:02.110 align:start position:0%
each of these uh uh left and try to do
it<01:16:59.600> quickly<01:17:00.520> from<01:17:00.719> Johnny<01:17:01.080> Joseph<01:17:01.679> of<01:17:01.920> Los
01:17:02.110 --> 01:17:02.120 align:start position:0%
it quickly from Johnny Joseph of Los
01:17:02.120 --> 01:17:04.189 align:start position:0%
it quickly from Johnny Joseph of Los
Angeles<01:17:02.520> Jewish<01:17:02.880> Community<01:17:03.280> member<01:17:03.920> any
01:17:04.189 --> 01:17:04.199 align:start position:0%
Angeles Jewish Community member any
01:17:04.199 --> 01:17:06.390 align:start position:0%
Angeles Jewish Community member any
thoughts<01:17:04.440> on<01:17:04.679> Israel's<01:17:05.239> delay<01:17:05.719> responding<01:17:06.199> to
01:17:06.390 --> 01:17:06.400 align:start position:0%
thoughts on Israel's delay responding to
01:17:06.400 --> 01:17:09.470 align:start position:0%
thoughts on Israel's delay responding to
the<01:17:06.880> last<01:17:07.159> ranian<01:17:07.840> strike<01:17:08.560> and<01:17:08.719> then<01:17:08.880> moves<01:17:09.199> on
01:17:09.470 --> 01:17:09.480 align:start position:0%
the last ranian strike and then moves on
01:17:09.480 --> 01:17:11.990 align:start position:0%
the last ranian strike and then moves on
to<01:17:09.880> to<01:17:10.120> ask<01:17:10.639> any<01:17:11.000> thoughts<01:17:11.239> on<01:17:11.440> Yemen's
01:17:11.990 --> 01:17:12.000 align:start position:0%
to to ask any thoughts on Yemen's
01:17:12.000 --> 01:17:14.390 align:start position:0%
to to ask any thoughts on Yemen's
promise<01:17:12.320> to<01:17:12.560> provide<01:17:12.920> 400,000<01:17:13.600> troops<01:17:14.199> to
01:17:14.390 --> 01:17:14.400 align:start position:0%
promise to provide 400,000 troops to
01:17:14.400 --> 01:17:17.590 align:start position:0%
promise to provide 400,000 troops to
support<01:17:14.760> Iran<01:17:15.199> in<01:17:15.360> a<01:17:15.560> war<01:17:16.320> with
01:17:17.590 --> 01:17:17.600 align:start position:0%
support Iran in a war with
01:17:17.600 --> 01:17:19.149 align:start position:0%
support Iran in a war with
Israel
01:17:19.149 --> 01:17:19.159 align:start position:0%
Israel
01:17:19.159 --> 01:17:22.629 align:start position:0%
Israel
um<01:17:20.159> so<01:17:21.040> I<01:17:21.159> guess<01:17:21.360> this<01:17:21.440> is<01:17:21.600> format<01:17:22.280> but
01:17:22.629 --> 01:17:22.639 align:start position:0%
um so I guess this is format but
01:17:22.639 --> 01:17:26.669 align:start position:0%
um so I guess this is format but
although<01:17:23.639> uh<01:17:24.320> B<01:17:24.960> want<01:17:25.040> to<01:17:25.159> get<01:17:25.280> in
01:17:26.669 --> 01:17:26.679 align:start position:0%
although uh B want to get in
01:17:26.679 --> 01:17:28.830 align:start position:0%
although uh B want to get in
please<01:17:27.679> Steve<01:17:27.960> can<01:17:28.040> you<01:17:28.159> repeat<01:17:28.480> that<01:17:28.679> that
01:17:28.830 --> 01:17:28.840 align:start position:0%
please Steve can you repeat that that
01:17:28.840 --> 01:17:30.950 align:start position:0%
please Steve can you repeat that that
first<01:17:29.120> question<01:17:29.880> any<01:17:30.120> thoughts<01:17:30.360> on<01:17:30.520> Israel's
01:17:30.950 --> 01:17:30.960 align:start position:0%
first question any thoughts on Israel's
01:17:30.960 --> 01:17:33.590 align:start position:0%
first question any thoughts on Israel's
delay<01:17:31.440> responding<01:17:31.880> to<01:17:32.120> the<01:17:32.600> last<01:17:33.040> Irani
01:17:33.590 --> 01:17:33.600 align:start position:0%
delay responding to the last Irani
01:17:33.600 --> 01:17:34.709 align:start position:0%
delay responding to the last Irani
Iranian
01:17:34.709 --> 01:17:34.719 align:start position:0%
Iranian
01:17:34.719 --> 01:17:37.790 align:start position:0%
Iranian
strike<01:17:35.719> yeah<01:17:36.639> you<01:17:36.719> know<01:17:36.840> it's<01:17:37.040> interesting
01:17:37.790 --> 01:17:37.800 align:start position:0%
strike yeah you know it's interesting
01:17:37.800 --> 01:17:40.030 align:start position:0%
strike yeah you know it's interesting
you<01:17:37.920> know<01:17:38.199> the<01:17:38.960> and<01:17:39.120> again<01:17:39.360> I<01:17:39.520> I<01:17:39.600> don't<01:17:39.840> have
01:17:40.030 --> 01:17:40.040 align:start position:0%
you know the and again I I don't have
01:17:40.040 --> 01:17:42.590 align:start position:0%
you know the and again I I don't have
I'm<01:17:40.120> not<01:17:40.280> privy<01:17:40.639> to<01:17:40.960> the<01:17:41.120> calculations<01:17:41.880> there
01:17:42.590 --> 01:17:42.600 align:start position:0%
I'm not privy to the calculations there
01:17:42.600 --> 01:17:46.390 align:start position:0%
I'm not privy to the calculations there
but<01:17:43.199> um<01:17:43.840> you<01:17:43.960> know<01:17:44.800> we've<01:17:45.040> seen<01:17:45.400> this<01:17:45.639> cycle
01:17:46.390 --> 01:17:46.400 align:start position:0%
but um you know we've seen this cycle
01:17:46.400 --> 01:17:50.910 align:start position:0%
but um you know we've seen this cycle
this<01:17:46.960> year<01:17:47.960> um<01:17:48.639> where<01:17:49.639> the<01:17:50.000> expected
01:17:50.910 --> 01:17:50.920 align:start position:0%
this year um where the expected
01:17:50.920 --> 01:17:53.790 align:start position:0%
this year um where the expected
responses<01:17:51.719> from<01:17:52.000> either<01:17:52.440> side<01:17:53.080> are<01:17:53.400> often
01:17:53.790 --> 01:17:53.800 align:start position:0%
responses from either side are often
01:17:53.800 --> 01:17:57.229 align:start position:0%
responses from either side are often
times<01:17:54.360> you<01:17:54.520> know<01:17:55.080> Al<01:17:55.480> being<01:17:55.719> shaped<01:17:56.360> by<01:17:56.920> a<01:17:57.080> lot
01:17:57.229 --> 01:17:57.239 align:start position:0%
times you know Al being shaped by a lot
01:17:57.239 --> 01:17:59.830 align:start position:0%
times you know Al being shaped by a lot
of<01:17:57.520> political<01:17:57.960> and<01:17:58.280> diplomatic<01:17:59.280> engagements
01:17:59.830 --> 01:17:59.840 align:start position:0%
of political and diplomatic engagements
01:17:59.840 --> 01:18:02.830 align:start position:0%
of political and diplomatic engagements
that<01:17:59.960> are<01:18:00.159> also<01:18:00.760> happening<01:18:01.760> um<01:18:02.199> and<01:18:02.520> this<01:18:02.679> one
01:18:02.830 --> 01:18:02.840 align:start position:0%
that are also happening um and this one
01:18:02.840 --> 01:18:04.310 align:start position:0%
that are also happening um and this one
of<01:18:02.880> the<01:18:03.040> things<01:18:03.400> that<01:18:03.639> I<01:18:03.760> I<01:18:03.840> know<01:18:04.000> many
01:18:04.310 --> 01:18:04.320 align:start position:0%
of the things that I I know many
01:18:04.320 --> 01:18:06.750 align:start position:0%
of the things that I I know many
analysts<01:18:05.040> for<01:18:05.239> example<01:18:05.679> were<01:18:05.960> were<01:18:06.360> expecting
01:18:06.750 --> 01:18:06.760 align:start position:0%
analysts for example were were expecting
01:18:06.760 --> 01:18:10.070 align:start position:0%
analysts for example were were expecting
an<01:18:07.080> an<01:18:07.360> Iranian<01:18:08.360> uh<01:18:08.480> retaliation<01:18:09.280> immediately
01:18:10.070 --> 01:18:10.080 align:start position:0%
an an Iranian uh retaliation immediately
01:18:10.080 --> 01:18:12.229 align:start position:0%
an an Iranian uh retaliation immediately
you<01:18:10.159> know<01:18:10.280> within<01:18:10.719> a<01:18:10.840> week<01:18:11.040> or<01:18:11.159> so<01:18:11.480> after<01:18:11.719> hania
01:18:12.229 --> 01:18:12.239 align:start position:0%
you know within a week or so after hania
01:18:12.239 --> 01:18:14.750 align:start position:0%
you know within a week or so after hania
was<01:18:12.440> killed<01:18:12.840> at<01:18:12.960> the<01:18:13.080> end<01:18:13.199> of<01:18:13.400> August<01:18:14.280> uh<01:18:14.480> sorry
01:18:14.750 --> 01:18:14.760 align:start position:0%
was killed at the end of August uh sorry
01:18:14.760 --> 01:18:17.310 align:start position:0%
was killed at the end of August uh sorry
end<01:18:14.880> of<01:18:15.000> July<01:18:15.360> and<01:18:15.639> and<01:18:15.760> into<01:18:16.080> August<01:18:17.000> uh<01:18:17.159> and
01:18:17.310 --> 01:18:17.320 align:start position:0%
end of July and and into August uh and
01:18:17.320 --> 01:18:18.830 align:start position:0%
end of July and and into August uh and
and<01:18:17.560> that<01:18:17.679> obviously<01:18:17.960> didn't<01:18:18.239> happen<01:18:18.520> until
01:18:18.830 --> 01:18:18.840 align:start position:0%
and that obviously didn't happen until
01:18:18.840 --> 01:18:21.310 align:start position:0%
and that obviously didn't happen until
we<01:18:18.960> saw<01:18:19.199> the<01:18:19.360> October<01:18:19.760> 1st<01:18:20.719> uh<01:18:20.840> and<01:18:21.080> and<01:18:21.199> that
01:18:21.310 --> 01:18:21.320 align:start position:0%
we saw the October 1st uh and and that
01:18:21.320 --> 01:18:23.310 align:start position:0%
we saw the October 1st uh and and that
was<01:18:21.440> of<01:18:21.600> course<01:18:21.800> tied<01:18:22.120> to<01:18:22.400> the<01:18:22.679> after<01:18:23.040> after
01:18:23.310 --> 01:18:23.320 align:start position:0%
was of course tied to the after after
01:18:23.320 --> 01:18:25.430 align:start position:0%
was of course tied to the after after
Nala's<01:18:24.320> uh
01:18:25.430 --> 01:18:25.440 align:start position:0%
Nala's uh
01:18:25.440 --> 01:18:27.910 align:start position:0%
Nala's uh
so<01:18:26.040> you<01:18:26.159> know<01:18:26.639> there<01:18:26.800> is<01:18:27.280> uh<01:18:27.520> the<01:18:27.719> these
01:18:27.910 --> 01:18:27.920 align:start position:0%
so you know there is uh the these
01:18:27.920 --> 01:18:30.550 align:start position:0%
so you know there is uh the these
calculations<01:18:28.600> about<01:18:28.880> how<01:18:29.280> fast<01:18:29.960> each<01:18:30.239> side
01:18:30.550 --> 01:18:30.560 align:start position:0%
calculations about how fast each side
01:18:30.560 --> 01:18:34.470 align:start position:0%
calculations about how fast each side
responds<01:18:31.000> to<01:18:31.360> you<01:18:31.600> this<01:18:31.679> has<01:18:31.920> been<01:18:32.920> um<01:18:33.199> a<01:18:33.480> very
01:18:34.470 --> 01:18:34.480 align:start position:0%
responds to you this has been um a very
01:18:34.480 --> 01:18:37.229 align:start position:0%
responds to you this has been um a very
as<01:18:34.600> an<01:18:34.800> academic<01:18:35.560> it's<01:18:35.719> a<01:18:35.880> very<01:18:36.239> fascinating
01:18:37.229 --> 01:18:37.239 align:start position:0%
as an academic it's a very fascinating
01:18:37.239 --> 01:18:38.830 align:start position:0%
as an academic it's a very fascinating
um<01:18:37.480> story<01:18:37.800> from<01:18:38.000> an<01:18:38.199> escalation<01:18:38.639> and
01:18:38.830 --> 01:18:38.840 align:start position:0%
um story from an escalation and
01:18:38.840 --> 01:18:41.470 align:start position:0%
um story from an escalation and
retaliation<01:18:39.440> and<01:18:39.960> deterrence<01:18:40.960> uh<01:18:41.239> but<01:18:41.400> I
01:18:41.470 --> 01:18:41.480 align:start position:0%
retaliation and deterrence uh but I
01:18:41.480 --> 01:18:43.229 align:start position:0%
retaliation and deterrence uh but I
think<01:18:41.600> it<01:18:41.760> reminds<01:18:42.159> that<01:18:42.400> there's<01:18:42.880> that<01:18:43.080> that
01:18:43.229 --> 01:18:43.239 align:start position:0%
think it reminds that there's that that
01:18:43.239 --> 01:18:44.830 align:start position:0%
think it reminds that there's that that
it's<01:18:43.480> very<01:18:43.920> difficult<01:18:44.000> to<01:18:44.400> understand<01:18:44.639> all
01:18:44.830 --> 01:18:44.840 align:start position:0%
it's very difficult to understand all
01:18:44.840 --> 01:18:47.390 align:start position:0%
it's very difficult to understand all
the<01:18:45.040> factors<01:18:45.400> going<01:18:45.639> into<01:18:45.920> these<01:18:46.400> decisions
01:18:47.390 --> 01:18:47.400 align:start position:0%
the factors going into these decisions
01:18:47.400 --> 01:18:49.470 align:start position:0%
the factors going into these decisions
uh<01:18:47.560> and<01:18:47.760> and<01:18:47.920> I<01:18:48.000> think<01:18:48.239> Israel<01:18:48.760> is<01:18:48.880> taking<01:18:49.159> its
01:18:49.470 --> 01:18:49.480 align:start position:0%
uh and and I think Israel is taking its
01:18:49.480 --> 01:18:52.149 align:start position:0%
uh and and I think Israel is taking its
time<01:18:50.280> uh<01:18:50.400> to<01:18:50.560> figure<01:18:50.840> out<01:18:51.320> you<01:18:51.400> know<01:18:51.600> exactly
01:18:52.149 --> 01:18:52.159 align:start position:0%
time uh to figure out you know exactly
01:18:52.159 --> 01:18:54.390 align:start position:0%
time uh to figure out you know exactly
what<01:18:52.719> uh<01:18:52.960> type<01:18:53.159> of<01:18:53.400> response<01:18:53.920> is<01:18:54.080> going<01:18:54.239> to
01:18:54.390 --> 01:18:54.400 align:start position:0%
what uh type of response is going to
01:18:54.400 --> 01:18:57.390 align:start position:0%
what uh type of response is going to
have<01:18:54.800> have<01:18:54.960> the<01:18:55.040> most<01:18:55.560> effect<01:18:56.560> um<01:18:56.960> and<01:18:57.159> and<01:18:57.280> I
01:18:57.390 --> 01:18:57.400 align:start position:0%
have have the most effect um and and I
01:18:57.400 --> 01:18:59.430 align:start position:0%
have have the most effect um and and I
think<01:18:57.600> that<01:18:57.800> that<01:18:57.920> is<01:18:58.440> uh<01:18:58.679> also<01:18:58.960> factoring
01:18:59.430 --> 01:18:59.440 align:start position:0%
think that that is uh also factoring
01:18:59.440 --> 01:19:02.750 align:start position:0%
think that that is uh also factoring
into<01:19:00.400> you<01:19:00.560> know<01:19:00.760> how<01:19:00.920> it's<01:19:01.320> reading<01:19:02.320> um
01:19:02.750 --> 01:19:02.760 align:start position:0%
into you know how it's reading um
01:19:02.760 --> 01:19:03.950 align:start position:0%
into you know how it's reading um
Iranian
01:19:03.950 --> 01:19:03.960 align:start position:0%
Iranian
01:19:03.960 --> 01:19:06.910 align:start position:0%
Iranian
responses<01:19:04.960> and<01:19:05.400> even<01:19:05.600> after<01:19:05.880> its<01:19:06.040> own<01:19:06.679> uh
01:19:06.910 --> 01:19:06.920 align:start position:0%
responses and even after its own uh
01:19:06.920 --> 01:19:09.910 align:start position:0%
responses and even after its own uh
strike<01:19:07.280> in<01:19:07.600> on<01:19:07.840> October<01:19:08.280> 1st<01:19:09.239> uh<01:19:09.400> and<01:19:09.760> in
01:19:09.910 --> 01:19:09.920 align:start position:0%
strike in on October 1st uh and in
01:19:09.920 --> 01:19:12.390 align:start position:0%
strike in on October 1st uh and in
particular<01:19:10.840> you<01:19:10.960> know<01:19:11.239> looking<01:19:11.639> at<01:19:12.120> the<01:19:12.280> kind
01:19:12.390 --> 01:19:12.400 align:start position:0%
particular you know looking at the kind
01:19:12.400 --> 01:19:13.950 align:start position:0%
particular you know looking at the kind
of<01:19:12.520> the<01:19:12.639> internal<01:19:13.159> questioning<01:19:13.560> that's<01:19:13.760> going
01:19:13.950 --> 01:19:13.960 align:start position:0%
of the internal questioning that's going
01:19:13.960 --> 01:19:17.390 align:start position:0%
of the internal questioning that's going
on<01:19:14.199> inside<01:19:14.520> Iran<01:19:15.320> of<01:19:15.480> the<01:19:15.600> fears<01:19:15.960> of<01:19:16.280> how<01:19:17.280> um
01:19:17.390 --> 01:19:17.400 align:start position:0%
on inside Iran of the fears of how um
01:19:17.400 --> 01:19:19.350 align:start position:0%
on inside Iran of the fears of how um
the<01:19:17.480> Irani<01:19:17.880> leadership<01:19:18.320> how<01:19:18.520> penetrated<01:19:19.199> they
01:19:19.350 --> 01:19:19.360 align:start position:0%
the Irani leadership how penetrated they
01:19:19.360 --> 01:19:22.070 align:start position:0%
the Irani leadership how penetrated they
are<01:19:20.320> uh<01:19:20.520> and<01:19:20.840> how<01:19:21.080> vulnerable<01:19:21.639> they<01:19:21.760> seem<01:19:21.960> to
01:19:22.070 --> 01:19:22.080 align:start position:0%
are uh and how vulnerable they seem to
01:19:22.080 --> 01:19:23.709 align:start position:0%
are uh and how vulnerable they seem to
be<01:19:22.360> the<01:19:22.480> same<01:19:22.679> thing<01:19:22.920> within<01:19:23.280> the<01:19:23.600> uh
01:19:23.709 --> 01:19:23.719 align:start position:0%
be the same thing within the uh
01:19:23.719 --> 01:19:25.510 align:start position:0%
be the same thing within the uh
Hezbollah<01:19:24.239> leadership
01:19:25.510 --> 01:19:25.520 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah leadership
01:19:25.520 --> 01:19:28.430 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah leadership
uh<01:19:25.679> that<01:19:26.120> this<01:19:26.239> has<01:19:26.360> been<01:19:26.520> a<01:19:26.760> huge<01:19:27.120> story<01:19:28.120> of
01:19:28.430 --> 01:19:28.440 align:start position:0%
uh that this has been a huge story of
01:19:28.440 --> 01:19:30.470 align:start position:0%
uh that this has been a huge story of
how<01:19:28.800> of<01:19:29.080> how<01:19:29.600> uh<01:19:29.760> both<01:19:29.960> sides<01:19:30.159> and<01:19:30.239> of<01:19:30.360> course
01:19:30.470 --> 01:19:30.480 align:start position:0%
how of how uh both sides and of course
01:19:30.480 --> 01:19:32.149 align:start position:0%
how of how uh both sides and of course
we're<01:19:30.600> hearing<01:19:30.960> other<01:19:31.159> stories<01:19:31.560> about<01:19:31.880> how
01:19:32.149 --> 01:19:32.159 align:start position:0%
we're hearing other stories about how
01:19:32.159 --> 01:19:33.590 align:start position:0%
we're hearing other stories about how
you<01:19:32.280> know<01:19:32.400> certain<01:19:32.719> Iranian<01:19:33.159> spying
01:19:33.590 --> 01:19:33.600 align:start position:0%
you know certain Iranian spying
01:19:33.600 --> 01:19:35.030 align:start position:0%
you know certain Iranian spying
activities<01:19:34.040> going<01:19:34.199> on<01:19:34.360> in<01:19:34.480> Israel<01:19:34.800> have<01:19:34.920> been
01:19:35.030 --> 01:19:35.040 align:start position:0%
activities going on in Israel have been
01:19:35.040 --> 01:19:37.350 align:start position:0%
activities going on in Israel have been
out<01:19:35.120> in<01:19:35.239> the<01:19:35.360> Press<01:19:35.719> recently<01:19:36.719> um<01:19:36.880> but<01:19:37.239> the
01:19:37.350 --> 01:19:37.360 align:start position:0%
out in the Press recently um but the
01:19:37.360 --> 01:19:40.390 align:start position:0%
out in the Press recently um but the
story<01:19:37.639> about<01:19:37.920> how<01:19:38.120> everyone<01:19:38.600> is<01:19:39.280> is<01:19:39.600> is<01:19:40.159> is
01:19:40.390 --> 01:19:40.400 align:start position:0%
story about how everyone is is is is
01:19:40.400 --> 01:19:42.590 align:start position:0%
story about how everyone is is is is
potentially<01:19:41.040> penetrated<01:19:41.679> but<01:19:41.920> really<01:19:42.360> how
01:19:42.590 --> 01:19:42.600 align:start position:0%
potentially penetrated but really how
01:19:42.600 --> 01:19:45.229 align:start position:0%
potentially penetrated but really how
effective<01:19:42.960> Israeli<01:19:43.480> intelligence<01:19:44.000> has<01:19:44.239> been
01:19:45.229 --> 01:19:45.239 align:start position:0%
effective Israeli intelligence has been
01:19:45.239 --> 01:19:47.390 align:start position:0%
effective Israeli intelligence has been
uh<01:19:45.440> is<01:19:45.880> is<01:19:46.040> becoming<01:19:46.440> very<01:19:46.679> dominant<01:19:47.120> and<01:19:47.280> I
01:19:47.390 --> 01:19:47.400 align:start position:0%
uh is is becoming very dominant and I
01:19:47.400 --> 01:19:50.229 align:start position:0%
uh is is becoming very dominant and I
think<01:19:47.639> that's<01:19:48.440> um<01:19:48.920> you<01:19:49.000> know<01:19:49.400> driving<01:19:49.960> some<01:19:50.120> of
01:19:50.229 --> 01:19:50.239 align:start position:0%
think that's um you know driving some of
01:19:50.239 --> 01:19:52.709 align:start position:0%
think that's um you know driving some of
the<01:19:50.400> calculations<01:19:51.040> on<01:19:51.280> both<01:19:51.600> sides<01:19:52.000> about<01:19:52.360> the
01:19:52.709 --> 01:19:52.719 align:start position:0%
the calculations on both sides about the
01:19:52.719 --> 01:19:55.750 align:start position:0%
the calculations on both sides about the
the<01:19:53.120> the<01:19:53.639> you<01:19:53.760> know<01:19:53.920> how<01:19:54.080> much<01:19:54.239> of<01:19:54.920> of<01:19:55.199> that<01:19:55.440> is
01:19:55.750 --> 01:19:55.760 align:start position:0%
the the you know how much of of that is
01:19:55.760 --> 01:19:58.510 align:start position:0%
the the you know how much of of that is
having<01:19:56.000> its<01:19:56.199> own<01:19:56.440> deterrent<01:19:57.000> effect<01:19:57.679> its<01:19:57.920> own
01:19:58.510 --> 01:19:58.520 align:start position:0%
having its own deterrent effect its own
01:19:58.520 --> 01:20:00.629 align:start position:0%
having its own deterrent effect its own
uh<01:19:58.679> ability<01:19:59.040> to<01:19:59.239> kind<01:19:59.320> of<01:19:59.480> disrupt<01:19:59.880> leadership
01:20:00.629 --> 01:20:00.639 align:start position:0%
uh ability to kind of disrupt leadership
01:20:00.639 --> 01:20:03.590 align:start position:0%
uh ability to kind of disrupt leadership
and<01:20:00.760> then<01:20:01.000> what<01:20:01.239> type<01:20:01.400> of<01:20:01.639> response<01:20:02.360> Israel<01:20:03.360> uh
01:20:03.590 --> 01:20:03.600 align:start position:0%
and then what type of response Israel uh
01:20:03.600 --> 01:20:05.709 align:start position:0%
and then what type of response Israel uh
should<01:20:03.960> take<01:20:04.280> at<01:20:04.480> this<01:20:04.719> point<01:20:05.239> that<01:20:05.400> will<01:20:05.560> have
01:20:05.709 --> 01:20:05.719 align:start position:0%
should take at this point that will have
01:20:05.719 --> 01:20:08.070 align:start position:0%
should take at this point that will have
the<01:20:05.880> mo<01:20:06.080> greatest<01:20:06.480> effect<01:20:07.400> um<01:20:07.560> I<01:20:07.639> will<01:20:07.760> say<01:20:07.920> on
01:20:08.070 --> 01:20:08.080 align:start position:0%
the mo greatest effect um I will say on
01:20:08.080 --> 01:20:11.070 align:start position:0%
the mo greatest effect um I will say on
the<01:20:08.199> Yemen<01:20:08.560> issue<01:20:09.520> uh<01:20:09.760> I<01:20:09.920> I<01:20:10.080> doubt<01:20:10.440> you<01:20:10.600> know
01:20:11.070 --> 01:20:11.080 align:start position:0%
the Yemen issue uh I I doubt you know
01:20:11.080 --> 01:20:13.149 align:start position:0%
the Yemen issue uh I I doubt you know
the<01:20:11.280> the<01:20:11.400> number<01:20:11.719> seems<01:20:12.360> very<01:20:12.600> very<01:20:12.840> large
01:20:13.149 --> 01:20:13.159 align:start position:0%
the the number seems very very large
01:20:13.159 --> 01:20:14.470 align:start position:0%
the the number seems very very large
even<01:20:13.360> though<01:20:13.560> you<01:20:13.639> know<01:20:13.920> there's<01:20:14.239> you<01:20:14.360> know
01:20:14.470 --> 01:20:14.480 align:start position:0%
even though you know there's you know
01:20:14.480 --> 01:20:16.149 align:start position:0%
even though you know there's you know
Yemen<01:20:14.800> has<01:20:14.880> a<01:20:15.000> certainly<01:20:15.440> respectable
01:20:16.149 --> 01:20:16.159 align:start position:0%
Yemen has a certainly respectable
01:20:16.159 --> 01:20:19.030 align:start position:0%
Yemen has a certainly respectable
population<01:20:17.159> size<01:20:18.040> um<01:20:18.320> you<01:20:18.440> know<01:20:18.679> compared<01:20:18.920> to
01:20:19.030 --> 01:20:19.040 align:start position:0%
population size um you know compared to
01:20:19.040 --> 01:20:22.189 align:start position:0%
population size um you know compared to
others<01:20:19.239> in<01:20:19.360> the<01:20:19.480> region<01:20:20.440> uh<01:20:20.639> and<01:20:20.840> and<01:20:21.280> and<01:20:22.080> this
01:20:22.189 --> 01:20:22.199 align:start position:0%
others in the region uh and and and this
01:20:22.199 --> 01:20:24.790 align:start position:0%
others in the region uh and and and this
seems<01:20:22.639> outlandish<01:20:23.639> in<01:20:23.920> in<01:20:24.080> general<01:20:24.400> but<01:20:24.679> of
01:20:24.790 --> 01:20:24.800 align:start position:0%
seems outlandish in in general but of
01:20:24.800 --> 01:20:26.790 align:start position:0%
seems outlandish in in general but of
course<01:20:24.920> we're<01:20:25.080> also<01:20:25.239> dealing<01:20:25.639> with<01:20:25.840> the<01:20:26.400> crazy
01:20:26.790 --> 01:20:26.800 align:start position:0%
course we're also dealing with the crazy
01:20:26.800 --> 01:20:28.669 align:start position:0%
course we're also dealing with the crazy
stories<01:20:27.159> these<01:20:27.400> days<01:20:27.719> of<01:20:27.960> you<01:20:28.040> know<01:20:28.280> the<01:20:28.440> North
01:20:28.669 --> 01:20:28.679 align:start position:0%
stories these days of you know the North
01:20:28.679 --> 01:20:31.510 align:start position:0%
stories these days of you know the North
Koreans<01:20:29.080> sending<01:20:29.360> troops<01:20:29.679> into<01:20:30.320> Ukraine<01:20:31.320> uh
01:20:31.510 --> 01:20:31.520 align:start position:0%
Koreans sending troops into Ukraine uh
01:20:31.520 --> 01:20:32.910 align:start position:0%
Koreans sending troops into Ukraine uh
and<01:20:31.600> so<01:20:31.800> we're<01:20:32.000> in<01:20:32.280> this<01:20:32.400> kind<01:20:32.520> of<01:20:32.600> a<01:20:32.760> very
01:20:32.910 --> 01:20:32.920 align:start position:0%
and so we're in this kind of a very
01:20:32.920 --> 01:20:35.950 align:start position:0%
and so we're in this kind of a very
strange<01:20:33.400> world<01:20:33.840> right<01:20:34.000> now<01:20:34.960> uh<01:20:35.320> that<01:20:35.760> uh
01:20:35.950 --> 01:20:35.960 align:start position:0%
strange world right now uh that uh
01:20:35.960 --> 01:20:37.350 align:start position:0%
strange world right now uh that uh
perhaps<01:20:36.280> even<01:20:36.440> feels<01:20:36.679> a<01:20:36.800> bit<01:20:36.920> more<01:20:37.080> like<01:20:37.239> the
01:20:37.350 --> 01:20:37.360 align:start position:0%
perhaps even feels a bit more like the
01:20:37.360 --> 01:20:39.910 align:start position:0%
perhaps even feels a bit more like the
cold<01:20:37.600> war<01:20:37.920> even<01:20:38.159> World<01:20:38.360> War<01:20:38.560> II<01:20:39.440> where<01:20:39.679> we're
01:20:39.910 --> 01:20:39.920 align:start position:0%
cold war even World War II where we're
01:20:39.920 --> 01:20:42.430 align:start position:0%
cold war even World War II where we're
having<01:20:40.120> these<01:20:40.280> kind<01:20:40.400> of<01:20:40.520> large<01:20:41.040> movements<01:20:42.040> of
01:20:42.430 --> 01:20:42.440 align:start position:0%
having these kind of large movements of
01:20:42.440 --> 01:20:45.510 align:start position:0%
having these kind of large movements of
of<01:20:42.639> forces<01:20:43.520> uh<01:20:43.760> across<01:20:44.280> you<01:20:44.400> know<01:20:44.639> across
01:20:45.510 --> 01:20:45.520 align:start position:0%
of forces uh across you know across
01:20:45.520 --> 01:20:47.350 align:start position:0%
of forces uh across you know across
borders<01:20:46.520> um<01:20:46.719> you<01:20:46.800> know<01:20:46.960> I<01:20:47.040> don't<01:20:47.159> know<01:20:47.280> if
01:20:47.350 --> 01:20:47.360 align:start position:0%
borders um you know I don't know if
01:20:47.360 --> 01:20:48.709 align:start position:0%
borders um you know I don't know if
we're<01:20:47.520> really<01:20:47.719> heading<01:20:47.960> into<01:20:48.280> this<01:20:48.400> kind<01:20:48.520> of
01:20:48.709 --> 01:20:48.719 align:start position:0%
we're really heading into this kind of
01:20:48.719 --> 01:20:51.430 align:start position:0%
we're really heading into this kind of
new<01:20:49.400> alignment<01:20:50.120> where<01:20:50.560> we<01:20:50.719> have<01:20:50.960> kind<01:20:51.080> of<01:20:51.320> you
01:20:51.430 --> 01:20:51.440 align:start position:0%
new alignment where we have kind of you
01:20:51.440 --> 01:20:54.629 align:start position:0%
new alignment where we have kind of you
know<01:20:51.719> Russia<01:20:52.600> China<01:20:53.199> Iran<01:20:53.719> North<01:20:54.000> Korea<01:20:54.360> and
01:20:54.629 --> 01:20:54.639 align:start position:0%
know Russia China Iran North Korea and
01:20:54.639 --> 01:20:56.310 align:start position:0%
know Russia China Iran North Korea and
increasingly<01:20:55.520> we<01:20:55.679> we<01:20:55.760> do<01:20:55.920> know<01:20:56.040> that<01:20:56.159> they're
01:20:56.310 --> 01:20:56.320 align:start position:0%
increasingly we we do know that they're
01:20:56.320 --> 01:20:58.270 align:start position:0%
increasingly we we do know that they're
working<01:20:56.679> together<01:20:56.960> very<01:20:57.199> closely<01:20:57.920> these<01:20:58.080> days
01:20:58.270 --> 01:20:58.280 align:start position:0%
working together very closely these days
01:20:58.280 --> 01:21:00.310 align:start position:0%
working together very closely these days
on<01:20:58.440> a<01:20:58.560> number<01:20:58.760> of<01:20:58.920> issues<01:20:59.520> but<01:20:59.679> this<01:20:59.880> type<01:21:00.040> of
01:21:00.310 --> 01:21:00.320 align:start position:0%
on a number of issues but this type of
01:21:00.320 --> 01:21:02.950 align:start position:0%
on a number of issues but this type of
collective<01:21:00.880> security<01:21:01.440> among<01:21:01.719> them<01:21:02.520> uh<01:21:02.719> and<01:21:02.840> if
01:21:02.950 --> 01:21:02.960 align:start position:0%
collective security among them uh and if
01:21:02.960 --> 01:21:05.629 align:start position:0%
collective security among them uh and if
we<01:21:03.080> bring<01:21:03.320> Yemen<01:21:03.679> into<01:21:04.000> that<01:21:04.560> equation<01:21:05.480> that
01:21:05.629 --> 01:21:05.639 align:start position:0%
we bring Yemen into that equation that
01:21:05.639 --> 01:21:07.270 align:start position:0%
we bring Yemen into that equation that
could<01:21:05.800> be<01:21:06.080> you<01:21:06.199> know<01:21:06.679> obviously<01:21:07.040> that<01:21:07.159> it's
01:21:07.270 --> 01:21:07.280 align:start position:0%
could be you know obviously that it's
01:21:07.280 --> 01:21:09.110 align:start position:0%
could be you know obviously that it's
not<01:21:07.440> a<01:21:07.560> very<01:21:07.719> good<01:21:07.920> thing<01:21:08.159> for<01:21:08.400> the<01:21:08.520> us<01:21:08.800> and<01:21:08.960> our
01:21:09.110 --> 01:21:09.120 align:start position:0%
not a very good thing for the us and our
01:21:09.120 --> 01:21:11.990 align:start position:0%
not a very good thing for the us and our
partners<01:21:09.400> and<01:21:09.760> allies<01:21:10.760> uh<01:21:11.040> but<01:21:11.320> I<01:21:11.480> I<01:21:11.560> do<01:21:11.760> think
01:21:11.990 --> 01:21:12.000 align:start position:0%
partners and allies uh but I I do think
01:21:12.000 --> 01:21:15.470 align:start position:0%
partners and allies uh but I I do think
it<01:21:12.280> it<01:21:12.520> it<01:21:12.760> further<01:21:13.440> drives<01:21:14.440> uh<01:21:14.840> I<01:21:15.199> in<01:21:15.320> my
01:21:15.470 --> 01:21:15.480 align:start position:0%
it it it further drives uh I in my
01:21:15.480 --> 01:21:18.110 align:start position:0%
it it it further drives uh I in my
opinion<01:21:15.880> cooperation<01:21:16.480> among<01:21:16.960> other<01:21:17.280> states
01:21:18.110 --> 01:21:18.120 align:start position:0%
opinion cooperation among other states
01:21:18.120 --> 01:21:19.629 align:start position:0%
opinion cooperation among other states
to<01:21:18.239> be<01:21:18.320> able<01:21:18.480> to<01:21:18.639> push<01:21:18.880> back<01:21:19.120> against<01:21:19.360> that<01:21:19.520> and
01:21:19.629 --> 01:21:19.639 align:start position:0%
to be able to push back against that and
01:21:19.639 --> 01:21:21.910 align:start position:0%
to be able to push back against that and
you're<01:21:19.920> seeing<01:21:20.920> uh<01:21:21.199> the<01:21:21.400> these<01:21:21.560> types<01:21:21.760> of
01:21:21.910 --> 01:21:21.920 align:start position:0%
you're seeing uh the these types of
01:21:21.920 --> 01:21:23.950 align:start position:0%
you're seeing uh the these types of
moves<01:21:22.400> for<01:21:22.560> example<01:21:22.920> by<01:21:23.120> North<01:21:23.360> Korea<01:21:23.679> or<01:21:23.840> if
01:21:23.950 --> 01:21:23.960 align:start position:0%
moves for example by North Korea or if
01:21:23.960 --> 01:21:26.030 align:start position:0%
moves for example by North Korea or if
Yemen<01:21:24.239> gets<01:21:24.600> involved<01:21:24.960> as<01:21:25.120> well<01:21:25.639> that<01:21:25.840> that's
01:21:26.030 --> 01:21:26.040 align:start position:0%
Yemen gets involved as well that that's
01:21:26.040 --> 01:21:29.189 align:start position:0%
Yemen gets involved as well that that's
going<01:21:26.239> to<01:21:26.840> uh<01:21:26.960> you<01:21:27.080> know<01:21:27.320> push<01:21:28.280> uh<01:21:28.639> Regional
01:21:29.189 --> 01:21:29.199 align:start position:0%
going to uh you know push uh Regional
01:21:29.199 --> 01:21:31.470 align:start position:0%
going to uh you know push uh Regional
States<01:21:29.920> um<01:21:30.080> European<01:21:30.719> Asian<01:21:31.040> allies<01:21:31.360> and
01:21:31.470 --> 01:21:31.480 align:start position:0%
States um European Asian allies and
01:21:31.480 --> 01:21:33.510 align:start position:0%
States um European Asian allies and
others<01:21:32.000> to<01:21:32.199> work<01:21:32.560> more<01:21:32.719> closely<01:21:33.159> together<01:21:33.400> as
01:21:33.510 --> 01:21:33.520 align:start position:0%
others to work more closely together as
01:21:33.520 --> 01:21:34.709 align:start position:0%
others to work more closely together as
well<01:21:33.639> it's<01:21:33.800> just<01:21:33.920> the<01:21:34.080> natural<01:21:34.440> kind<01:21:34.560> of
01:21:34.709 --> 01:21:34.719 align:start position:0%
well it's just the natural kind of
01:21:34.719 --> 01:21:37.830 align:start position:0%
well it's just the natural kind of
security<01:21:35.280> dilemma<01:21:36.280> uh<01:21:36.600> you<01:21:36.719> know<01:21:37.159> uh
01:21:37.830 --> 01:21:37.840 align:start position:0%
security dilemma uh you know uh
01:21:37.840 --> 01:21:41.189 align:start position:0%
security dilemma uh you know uh
manifesting<01:21:38.600> so<01:21:39.560> for<01:21:39.800> for<01:21:39.960> me<01:21:40.280> I<01:21:40.480> I'm<01:21:40.719> I'd<01:21:40.840> be
01:21:41.189 --> 01:21:41.199 align:start position:0%
manifesting so for for me I I'm I'd be
01:21:41.199 --> 01:21:43.709 align:start position:0%
manifesting so for for me I I'm I'd be
perhaps<01:21:41.560> concerned<01:21:42.000> about<01:21:42.280> that<01:21:43.159> um<01:21:43.440> but<01:21:43.600> at
01:21:43.709 --> 01:21:43.719 align:start position:0%
perhaps concerned about that um but at
01:21:43.719 --> 01:21:46.030 align:start position:0%
perhaps concerned about that um but at
the<01:21:43.840> same<01:21:44.120> time<01:21:44.560> I<01:21:44.880> I<01:21:44.960> think<01:21:45.199> it<01:21:45.360> is<01:21:45.600> something
01:21:46.030 --> 01:21:46.040 align:start position:0%
the same time I I think it is something
01:21:46.040 --> 01:21:48.550 align:start position:0%
the same time I I think it is something
that<01:21:46.880> uh<01:21:47.320> you<01:21:47.400> know<01:21:47.639> we<01:21:47.840> we<01:21:47.920> will<01:21:48.040> be<01:21:48.159> able<01:21:48.360> to
01:21:48.550 --> 01:21:48.560 align:start position:0%
that uh you know we we will be able to
01:21:48.560 --> 01:21:51.510 align:start position:0%
that uh you know we we will be able to
take<01:21:48.760> some<01:21:49.159> some<01:21:49.639> action<01:21:50.560> um<01:21:51.080> and<01:21:51.199> hopefully
01:21:51.510 --> 01:21:51.520 align:start position:0%
take some some action um and hopefully
01:21:51.520 --> 01:21:52.709 align:start position:0%
take some some action um and hopefully
to
01:21:52.709 --> 01:21:52.719 align:start position:0%
to
01:21:52.719 --> 01:21:55.510 align:start position:0%
to
prevent<01:21:53.719> thank<01:21:53.880> you<01:21:54.080> now<01:21:54.280> we<01:21:54.600> I'm<01:21:54.679> going<01:21:54.760> to
01:21:55.510 --> 01:21:55.520 align:start position:0%
prevent thank you now we I'm going to
01:21:55.520 --> 01:21:58.590 align:start position:0%
prevent thank you now we I'm going to
give<01:21:55.800> the<01:21:55.960> two<01:21:56.159> of<01:21:56.280> you<01:21:56.679> two<01:21:57.000> questions<01:21:57.920> as<01:21:58.120> we
01:21:58.590 --> 01:21:58.600 align:start position:0%
give the two of you two questions as we
01:21:58.600 --> 01:22:01.629 align:start position:0%
give the two of you two questions as we
uh<01:21:59.360> come<01:21:59.600> closer<01:21:59.920> and<01:22:00.120> closer<01:22:00.440> to<01:22:00.600> the<01:22:00.760> end<01:22:01.520> uh
01:22:01.629 --> 01:22:01.639 align:start position:0%
uh come closer and closer to the end uh
01:22:01.639 --> 01:22:04.830 align:start position:0%
uh come closer and closer to the end uh
one<01:22:01.840> is<01:22:02.000> from<01:22:02.199> mimer<01:22:02.800> abusada<01:22:03.560> from<01:22:04.199> Palestine
01:22:04.830 --> 01:22:04.840 align:start position:0%
one is from mimer abusada from Palestine
01:22:04.840 --> 01:22:06.350 align:start position:0%
one is from mimer abusada from Palestine
how<01:22:04.960> do<01:22:05.120> the<01:22:05.239> Iranians<01:22:05.760> Americans<01:22:06.199> and
01:22:06.350 --> 01:22:06.360 align:start position:0%
how do the Iranians Americans and
01:22:06.360 --> 01:22:08.709 align:start position:0%
how do the Iranians Americans and
Israelis<01:22:06.920> perceive<01:22:07.760> President<01:22:08.239> Putin's
01:22:08.709 --> 01:22:08.719 align:start position:0%
Israelis perceive President Putin's
01:22:08.719 --> 01:22:11.510 align:start position:0%
Israelis perceive President Putin's
warning<01:22:09.080> to<01:22:09.320> Israel<01:22:09.800> not<01:22:09.960> to<01:22:10.199> attack<01:22:10.880> Iran's
01:22:11.510 --> 01:22:11.520 align:start position:0%
warning to Israel not to attack Iran's
01:22:11.520 --> 01:22:14.470 align:start position:0%
warning to Israel not to attack Iran's
nuclear<01:22:12.120> inst<01:22:12.840> in<01:22:13.280> installations<01:22:14.280> and
01:22:14.470 --> 01:22:14.480 align:start position:0%
nuclear inst in installations and
01:22:14.480 --> 01:22:20.950 align:start position:0%
nuclear inst in installations and
another<01:22:14.960> from<01:22:15.679> arene<01:22:16.679> Arlene<01:22:17.480> fold<01:22:18.480> uh<01:22:19.199> a<01:22:19.600> UCLA
01:22:20.950 --> 01:22:20.960 align:start position:0%
another from arene Arlene fold uh a UCLA
01:22:20.960 --> 01:22:23.270 align:start position:0%
another from arene Arlene fold uh a UCLA
retiree<01:22:21.960> Hezbollah<01:22:22.560> has<01:22:22.639> been<01:22:22.880> attacking
01:22:23.270 --> 01:22:23.280 align:start position:0%
retiree Hezbollah has been attacking
01:22:23.280 --> 01:22:25.189 align:start position:0%
retiree Hezbollah has been attacking
Israel<01:22:23.639> for<01:22:23.800> months<01:22:24.040> and<01:22:24.159> has<01:22:24.280> for
01:22:25.189 --> 01:22:25.199 align:start position:0%
Israel for months and has for
01:22:25.199 --> 01:22:28.149 align:start position:0%
Israel for months and has for
the<01:22:25.520> force<01:22:25.880> the<01:22:26.440> uation<01:22:27.000> of<01:22:27.080> a<01:22:27.280> huge<01:22:27.840> amount<01:22:28.040> of
01:22:28.149 --> 01:22:28.159 align:start position:0%
the force the uation of a huge amount of
01:22:28.159 --> 01:22:29.510 align:start position:0%
the force the uation of a huge amount of
people<01:22:28.400> from<01:22:28.520> the<01:22:28.679> north<01:22:28.960> when<01:22:29.120> Israel
01:22:29.510 --> 01:22:29.520 align:start position:0%
people from the north when Israel
01:22:29.520 --> 01:22:31.830 align:start position:0%
people from the north when Israel
responds<01:22:29.960> and<01:22:30.120> tries<01:22:30.800> to<01:22:30.960> put<01:22:31.120> an<01:22:31.239> end<01:22:31.440> to<01:22:31.639> this
01:22:31.830 --> 01:22:31.840 align:start position:0%
responds and tries to put an end to this
01:22:31.840 --> 01:22:34.270 align:start position:0%
responds and tries to put an end to this
suddenly<01:22:32.199> everyone<01:22:32.679> is<01:22:32.840> blaming<01:22:33.360> Israel<01:22:34.080> and
01:22:34.270 --> 01:22:34.280 align:start position:0%
suddenly everyone is blaming Israel and
01:22:34.280 --> 01:22:35.830 align:start position:0%
suddenly everyone is blaming Israel and
accusing<01:22:34.639> it<01:22:34.800> of<01:22:35.000> possibly<01:22:35.360> starting<01:22:35.679> a
01:22:35.830 --> 01:22:35.840 align:start position:0%
accusing it of possibly starting a
01:22:35.840 --> 01:22:38.590 align:start position:0%
accusing it of possibly starting a
regional<01:22:36.239> War<01:22:36.920> why<01:22:37.120> was<01:22:37.320> there<01:22:37.719> not<01:22:38.120> a<01:22:38.280> bigger
01:22:38.590 --> 01:22:38.600 align:start position:0%
regional War why was there not a bigger
01:22:38.600 --> 01:22:41.110 align:start position:0%
regional War why was there not a bigger
effort<01:22:38.880> to<01:22:39.080> pressure<01:22:39.639> Iran<01:22:40.000> months<01:22:40.280> ago<01:22:40.920> to
01:22:41.110 --> 01:22:41.120 align:start position:0%
effort to pressure Iran months ago to
01:22:41.120 --> 01:22:44.070 align:start position:0%
effort to pressure Iran months ago to
influence<01:22:41.639> Hezbollah<01:22:42.480> to<01:22:42.719> stop<01:22:43.520> what<01:22:43.679> should
01:22:44.070 --> 01:22:44.080 align:start position:0%
influence Hezbollah to stop what should
01:22:44.080 --> 01:22:47.629 align:start position:0%
influence Hezbollah to stop what should
Israel<01:22:44.480> do<01:22:44.679> to<01:22:44.880> stop
01:22:47.629 --> 01:22:47.639 align:start position:0%
01:22:47.639 --> 01:22:49.629 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah<01:22:48.639> so<01:22:48.840> which<01:22:48.960> one<01:22:49.120> of<01:22:49.199> you<01:22:49.320> want<01:22:49.440> to
01:22:49.629 --> 01:22:49.639 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah so which one of you want to
01:22:49.639 --> 01:22:53.229 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah so which one of you want to
start<01:22:50.360> go<01:22:50.639> right<01:22:51.080> ahead<01:22:52.080> start<01:22:52.840> if<01:22:52.960> you<01:22:53.040> don't
01:22:53.229 --> 01:22:53.239 align:start position:0%
start go right ahead start if you don't
01:22:53.239 --> 01:22:56.110 align:start position:0%
start go right ahead start if you don't
mind<01:22:53.560> I'll<01:22:53.719> say<01:22:54.040> just<01:22:54.639> one<01:22:54.880> term<01:22:55.440> about<01:22:55.840> the
01:22:56.110 --> 01:22:56.120 align:start position:0%
mind I'll say just one term about the
01:22:56.120 --> 01:22:58.430 align:start position:0%
mind I'll say just one term about the
previous<01:22:56.520> two<01:22:56.800> questions<01:22:57.320> that<01:22:57.520> Matt
01:22:58.430 --> 01:22:58.440 align:start position:0%
previous two questions that Matt
01:22:58.440 --> 01:23:01.790 align:start position:0%
previous two questions that Matt
answered<01:22:58.920> very<01:22:59.320> very<01:22:59.840> well<01:23:00.840> part<01:23:01.080> of<01:23:01.239> the<01:23:01.440> war
01:23:01.790 --> 01:23:01.800 align:start position:0%
answered very very well part of the war
01:23:01.800 --> 01:23:05.030 align:start position:0%
answered very very well part of the war
is<01:23:01.960> also<01:23:02.199> a<01:23:02.360> war<01:23:02.639> of<01:23:03.120> narratives<01:23:04.120> we<01:23:04.360> hear
01:23:05.030 --> 01:23:05.040 align:start position:0%
is also a war of narratives we hear
01:23:05.040 --> 01:23:07.189 align:start position:0%
is also a war of narratives we hear
narratives<01:23:06.040> and<01:23:06.239> we<01:23:06.320> should<01:23:06.520> not<01:23:06.760> believe
01:23:07.189 --> 01:23:07.199 align:start position:0%
narratives and we should not believe
01:23:07.199 --> 01:23:10.510 align:start position:0%
narratives and we should not believe
these<01:23:07.440> narratives<01:23:08.199> the<01:23:08.440> real<01:23:09.440> uh
01:23:10.510 --> 01:23:10.520 align:start position:0%
these narratives the real uh
01:23:10.520 --> 01:23:15.070 align:start position:0%
these narratives the real uh
events<01:23:11.679> sometimes<01:23:12.679> um<01:23:13.520> call<01:23:13.840> for<01:23:14.040> a<01:23:14.199> longer
01:23:15.070 --> 01:23:15.080 align:start position:0%
events sometimes um call for a longer
01:23:15.080 --> 01:23:17.629 align:start position:0%
events sometimes um call for a longer
calculation<01:23:15.800> process<01:23:16.199> and<01:23:16.360> reaction<01:23:16.880> process
01:23:17.629 --> 01:23:17.639 align:start position:0%
calculation process and reaction process
01:23:17.639 --> 01:23:20.350 align:start position:0%
calculation process and reaction process
now<01:23:17.920> to<01:23:18.120> this<01:23:18.360> questions<01:23:18.880> first<01:23:19.040> of<01:23:19.199> all<01:23:20.000> um
01:23:20.350 --> 01:23:20.360 align:start position:0%
now to this questions first of all um
01:23:20.360 --> 01:23:24.070 align:start position:0%
now to this questions first of all um
pres<01:23:20.840> President<01:23:21.320> Putin's<01:23:22.120> um<01:23:22.920> warning<01:23:23.880> is
01:23:24.070 --> 01:23:24.080 align:start position:0%
pres President Putin's um warning is
01:23:24.080 --> 01:23:26.750 align:start position:0%
pres President Putin's um warning is
just<01:23:24.239> a<01:23:24.600> reminder<01:23:25.000> in<01:23:25.159> my<01:23:25.320> view<01:23:25.719> for<01:23:26.239> all<01:23:26.400> of<01:23:26.560> us
01:23:26.750 --> 01:23:26.760 align:start position:0%
just a reminder in my view for all of us
01:23:26.760 --> 01:23:29.110 align:start position:0%
just a reminder in my view for all of us
to<01:23:26.920> know<01:23:27.239> that<01:23:27.560> obviously<01:23:28.040> there<01:23:28.159> are<01:23:28.400> so<01:23:28.600> many
01:23:29.110 --> 01:23:29.120 align:start position:0%
to know that obviously there are so many
01:23:29.120 --> 01:23:32.310 align:start position:0%
to know that obviously there are so many
other<01:23:29.520> interests<01:23:30.199> in<01:23:30.440> this<01:23:31.360> in<01:23:31.560> this<01:23:31.800> conflict
01:23:32.310 --> 01:23:32.320 align:start position:0%
other interests in this in this conflict
01:23:32.320 --> 01:23:35.470 align:start position:0%
other interests in this in this conflict
whether<01:23:32.560> is<01:23:32.760> China<01:23:33.159> or<01:23:33.400> Russia<01:23:33.840> or<01:23:34.159> India<01:23:35.159> um
01:23:35.470 --> 01:23:35.480 align:start position:0%
whether is China or Russia or India um
01:23:35.480 --> 01:23:37.910 align:start position:0%
whether is China or Russia or India um
other<01:23:35.840> powers<01:23:36.280> are<01:23:36.520> going<01:23:36.679> to<01:23:36.840> be<01:23:37.120> affected<01:23:37.719> by
01:23:37.910 --> 01:23:37.920 align:start position:0%
other powers are going to be affected by
01:23:37.920 --> 01:23:41.149 align:start position:0%
other powers are going to be affected by
a<01:23:38.120> widening<01:23:38.639> of<01:23:38.840> this<01:23:39.080> conflict<01:23:40.080> and<01:23:40.480> and<01:23:40.880> each
01:23:41.149 --> 01:23:41.159 align:start position:0%
a widening of this conflict and and each
01:23:41.159 --> 01:23:46.149 align:start position:0%
a widening of this conflict and and each
power<01:23:41.520> will<01:23:41.760> try<01:23:42.560> to<01:23:43.560> uh<01:23:44.239> prevent<01:23:45.199> a<01:23:45.400> further
01:23:46.149 --> 01:23:46.159 align:start position:0%
power will try to uh prevent a further
01:23:46.159 --> 01:23:48.870 align:start position:0%
power will try to uh prevent a further
escalation<01:23:47.159> through<01:23:47.480> such<01:23:47.719> warnings<01:23:48.320> and<01:23:48.639> and
01:23:48.870 --> 01:23:48.880 align:start position:0%
escalation through such warnings and and
01:23:48.880 --> 01:23:50.870 align:start position:0%
escalation through such warnings and and
I<01:23:49.000> think<01:23:49.280> we<01:23:49.400> should<01:23:49.639> never<01:23:49.920> underestimate
01:23:50.870 --> 01:23:50.880 align:start position:0%
I think we should never underestimate
01:23:50.880 --> 01:23:54.790 align:start position:0%
I think we should never underestimate
the<01:23:51.760> the<01:23:52.080> the<01:23:52.199> energy<01:23:52.719> related<01:23:53.480> or<01:23:53.800> or
01:23:54.790 --> 01:23:54.800 align:start position:0%
the the the energy related or or
01:23:54.800 --> 01:23:58.189 align:start position:0%
the the the energy related or or
Transportation<01:23:55.760> related<01:23:56.719> and<01:23:57.040> other<01:23:57.840> GE
01:23:58.189 --> 01:23:58.199 align:start position:0%
Transportation related and other GE
01:23:58.199 --> 01:24:00.110 align:start position:0%
Transportation related and other GE
geopolitical<01:23:59.120> interests<01:23:59.600> that<01:23:59.840> other
01:24:00.110 --> 01:24:00.120 align:start position:0%
geopolitical interests that other
01:24:00.120 --> 01:24:01.910 align:start position:0%
geopolitical interests that other
parties<01:24:00.560> have<01:24:00.800> and<01:24:00.960> they<01:24:01.080> will<01:24:01.280> also<01:24:01.560> try<01:24:01.760> to
01:24:01.910 --> 01:24:01.920 align:start position:0%
parties have and they will also try to
01:24:01.920 --> 01:24:04.950 align:start position:0%
parties have and they will also try to
influence<01:24:02.400> the<01:24:03.080> process<01:24:04.080> in<01:24:04.239> terms<01:24:04.560> of<01:24:04.760> what
01:24:04.950 --> 01:24:04.960 align:start position:0%
influence the process in terms of what
01:24:04.960 --> 01:24:06.830 align:start position:0%
influence the process in terms of what
Israel<01:24:05.400> could<01:24:05.560> do<01:24:05.760> it's<01:24:05.960> very<01:24:06.159> easy<01:24:06.440> Israel
01:24:06.830 --> 01:24:06.840 align:start position:0%
Israel could do it's very easy Israel
01:24:06.840 --> 01:24:09.510 align:start position:0%
Israel could do it's very easy Israel
should<01:24:07.400> declare<01:24:07.920> Victory<01:24:08.400> and<01:24:08.840> stop<01:24:09.239> the
01:24:09.510 --> 01:24:09.520 align:start position:0%
should declare Victory and stop the
01:24:09.520 --> 01:24:12.510 align:start position:0%
should declare Victory and stop the
atrocities<01:24:10.159> in<01:24:10.440> Gaza<01:24:11.440> that<01:24:11.560> will<01:24:11.840> stop
01:24:12.510 --> 01:24:12.520 align:start position:0%
atrocities in Gaza that will stop
01:24:12.520 --> 01:24:14.350 align:start position:0%
atrocities in Gaza that will stop
Hezbollah<01:24:13.120> and<01:24:13.239> that<01:24:13.360> will<01:24:13.560> stop<01:24:13.880> a<01:24:14.000> lot<01:24:14.159> of
01:24:14.350 --> 01:24:14.360 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah and that will stop a lot of
01:24:14.360 --> 01:24:17.149 align:start position:0%
Hezbollah and that will stop a lot of
other<01:24:14.800> forces<01:24:15.800> um<01:24:16.120> it's<01:24:16.320> it's<01:24:16.520> very<01:24:16.800> simple
01:24:17.149 --> 01:24:17.159 align:start position:0%
other forces um it's it's very simple
01:24:17.159 --> 01:24:20.750 align:start position:0%
other forces um it's it's very simple
and<01:24:17.360> Israel<01:24:17.800> is<01:24:17.960> refusing<01:24:18.520> to<01:24:19.080> understand
01:24:20.750 --> 01:24:20.760 align:start position:0%
and Israel is refusing to understand
01:24:20.760 --> 01:24:23.830 align:start position:0%
and Israel is refusing to understand
that<01:24:21.760> do<01:24:21.880> you<01:24:22.000> have<01:24:22.159> any<01:24:22.400> comments<01:24:23.280> man<01:24:23.679> not
01:24:23.830 --> 01:24:23.840 align:start position:0%
that do you have any comments man not
01:24:23.840 --> 01:24:26.870 align:start position:0%
that do you have any comments man not
not<01:24:24.000> particular<01:24:24.560> but<01:24:24.760> I<01:24:24.880> I<01:24:25.000> I<01:24:25.159> think<01:24:25.480> that<01:24:26.440> um
01:24:26.870 --> 01:24:26.880 align:start position:0%
not particular but I I I think that um
01:24:26.880 --> 01:24:30.110 align:start position:0%
not particular but I I I think that um
you<01:24:27.000> know<01:24:27.560> Israel<01:24:27.920> needs<01:24:28.120> to<01:24:28.320> do<01:24:29.320> uh<01:24:29.880> what<01:24:30.000> it
01:24:30.110 --> 01:24:30.120 align:start position:0%
you know Israel needs to do uh what it
01:24:30.120 --> 01:24:32.709 align:start position:0%
you know Israel needs to do uh what it
needs<01:24:30.320> to<01:24:30.440> do<01:24:30.560> from<01:24:30.719> a<01:24:31.320> self-defense<01:24:32.320> uh<01:24:32.560> for
01:24:32.709 --> 01:24:32.719 align:start position:0%
needs to do from a self-defense uh for
01:24:32.719 --> 01:24:35.550 align:start position:0%
needs to do from a self-defense uh for
its<01:24:32.840> own<01:24:33.400> self-defense<01:24:34.400> uh<01:24:34.760> you<01:24:34.880> know<01:24:35.120> the<01:24:35.360> the
01:24:35.550 --> 01:24:35.560 align:start position:0%
its own self-defense uh you know the the
01:24:35.560 --> 01:24:37.709 align:start position:0%
its own self-defense uh you know the the
threat<01:24:36.199> part<01:24:36.480> part<01:24:36.600> of<01:24:36.719> what<01:24:36.880> Iran<01:24:37.400> has<01:24:37.520> been
01:24:37.709 --> 01:24:37.719 align:start position:0%
threat part part of what Iran has been
01:24:37.719 --> 01:24:40.109 align:start position:0%
threat part part of what Iran has been
working<01:24:38.080> with<01:24:38.920> uh<01:24:39.119> groups<01:24:39.480> like<01:24:39.679> Hezbollah
01:24:40.109 --> 01:24:40.119 align:start position:0%
working with uh groups like Hezbollah
01:24:40.119 --> 01:24:40.790 align:start position:0%
working with uh groups like Hezbollah
and
01:24:40.790 --> 01:24:40.800 align:start position:0%
and
01:24:40.800 --> 01:24:43.830 align:start position:0%
and
Hamas<01:24:41.800> um<01:24:42.199> and<01:24:42.760> the<01:24:42.840> militia<01:24:43.199> groups<01:24:43.440> in<01:24:43.560> Iraq
01:24:43.830 --> 01:24:43.840 align:start position:0%
Hamas um and the militia groups in Iraq
01:24:43.840 --> 01:24:46.350 align:start position:0%
Hamas um and the militia groups in Iraq
and<01:24:43.960> elsewhere<01:24:44.440> over<01:24:44.639> the<01:24:44.840> last<01:24:45.239> few<01:24:45.560> decades
01:24:46.350 --> 01:24:46.360 align:start position:0%
and elsewhere over the last few decades
01:24:46.360 --> 01:24:49.550 align:start position:0%
and elsewhere over the last few decades
you<01:24:46.480> know<01:24:46.800> is<01:24:47.080> is<01:24:47.280> to<01:24:47.880> threaten<01:24:48.480> and<01:24:48.639> to<01:24:49.280> uh<01:24:49.400> to
01:24:49.550 --> 01:24:49.560 align:start position:0%
you know is is to threaten and to uh to
01:24:49.560 --> 01:24:51.590 align:start position:0%
you know is is to threaten and to uh to
deter<01:24:50.000> as<01:24:50.080> well<01:24:50.239> as<01:24:50.320> to<01:24:50.440> threaten<01:24:50.800> Israel<01:24:51.480> and
01:24:51.590 --> 01:24:51.600 align:start position:0%
deter as well as to threaten Israel and
01:24:51.600 --> 01:24:54.669 align:start position:0%
deter as well as to threaten Israel and
to<01:24:51.760> project<01:24:52.199> power<01:24:52.880> and<01:24:53.080> slowly<01:24:54.040> uh<01:24:54.400> you<01:24:54.520> know
01:24:54.669 --> 01:24:54.679 align:start position:0%
to project power and slowly uh you know
01:24:54.679 --> 01:24:58.109 align:start position:0%
to project power and slowly uh you know
attempt<01:24:55.040> to<01:24:55.920> uh<01:24:56.080> close<01:24:56.560> off<01:24:57.560> uh<01:24:57.840> you<01:24:57.960> know
01:24:58.109 --> 01:24:58.119 align:start position:0%
attempt to uh close off uh you know
01:24:58.119 --> 01:25:00.669 align:start position:0%
attempt to uh close off uh you know
Israel's<01:24:58.600> strategic<01:24:59.119> space<01:24:59.480> in<01:24:59.600> the<01:24:59.760> region
01:25:00.669 --> 01:25:00.679 align:start position:0%
Israel's strategic space in the region
01:25:00.679 --> 01:25:02.629 align:start position:0%
Israel's strategic space in the region
uh<01:25:00.840> and<01:25:00.960> so<01:25:01.280> you<01:25:01.400> know<01:25:01.800> the<01:25:01.960> fact<01:25:02.119> that<01:25:02.440> that
01:25:02.629 --> 01:25:02.639 align:start position:0%
uh and so you know the fact that that
01:25:02.639 --> 01:25:04.870 align:start position:0%
uh and so you know the fact that that
Israel<01:25:03.199> is<01:25:03.639> is<01:25:03.880> in<01:25:04.199> in<01:25:04.440> sometimes<01:25:04.639> even
01:25:04.870 --> 01:25:04.880 align:start position:0%
Israel is is in in sometimes even
01:25:04.880 --> 01:25:07.350 align:start position:0%
Israel is is in in sometimes even
dramatic<01:25:05.360> ways<01:25:05.719> pushing<01:25:06.159> back<01:25:06.880> against<01:25:07.199> that
01:25:07.350 --> 01:25:07.360 align:start position:0%
dramatic ways pushing back against that
01:25:07.360 --> 01:25:10.030 align:start position:0%
dramatic ways pushing back against that
should<01:25:07.560> not<01:25:07.679> be<01:25:07.840> a<01:25:07.960> surprise<01:25:08.360> to<01:25:08.719> anyone<01:25:09.719> uh
01:25:10.030 --> 01:25:10.040 align:start position:0%
should not be a surprise to anyone uh
01:25:10.040 --> 01:25:12.510 align:start position:0%
should not be a surprise to anyone uh
that<01:25:10.360> you<01:25:10.480> know<01:25:10.960> this<01:25:11.239> this<01:25:11.360> has<01:25:11.560> been<01:25:12.360> the
01:25:12.510 --> 01:25:12.520 align:start position:0%
that you know this this has been the
01:25:12.520 --> 01:25:14.830 align:start position:0%
that you know this this has been the
Iranian<01:25:13.119> objective<01:25:13.560> for<01:25:13.679> a<01:25:13.840> long<01:25:14.080> time<01:25:14.400> and
01:25:14.830 --> 01:25:14.840 align:start position:0%
Iranian objective for a long time and
01:25:14.840 --> 01:25:17.030 align:start position:0%
Iranian objective for a long time and
and<01:25:15.000> Israel<01:25:15.480> is<01:25:15.719> is<01:25:15.880> taking<01:25:16.440> even<01:25:16.719> greater
01:25:17.030 --> 01:25:17.040 align:start position:0%
and Israel is is taking even greater
01:25:17.040 --> 01:25:20.910 align:start position:0%
and Israel is is taking even greater
risks<01:25:17.440> these<01:25:17.679> days<01:25:18.639> uh<01:25:18.840> to<01:25:19.320> undermine<01:25:20.000> disrupt
01:25:20.910 --> 01:25:20.920 align:start position:0%
risks these days uh to undermine disrupt
01:25:20.920 --> 01:25:23.790 align:start position:0%
risks these days uh to undermine disrupt
and<01:25:21.080> roll<01:25:21.560> back<01:25:22.040> that<01:25:22.280> threat<01:25:23.000> uh<01:25:23.119> so<01:25:23.360> I<01:25:23.560> I<01:25:23.719> I
01:25:23.790 --> 01:25:23.800 align:start position:0%
and roll back that threat uh so I I I
01:25:23.800 --> 01:25:25.550 align:start position:0%
and roll back that threat uh so I I I
don't<01:25:24.080> you<01:25:24.199> know<01:25:24.320> you<01:25:24.360> know<01:25:24.480> see<01:25:24.880> you<01:25:25.000> know<01:25:25.400> in
01:25:25.550 --> 01:25:25.560 align:start position:0%
don't you know you know see you know in
01:25:25.560 --> 01:25:27.910 align:start position:0%
don't you know you know see you know in
that<01:25:25.760> sense<01:25:26.119> real<01:25:27.080> uh<01:25:27.280> criticism<01:25:27.760> and
01:25:27.910 --> 01:25:27.920 align:start position:0%
that sense real uh criticism and
01:25:27.920 --> 01:25:29.350 align:start position:0%
that sense real uh criticism and
principle<01:25:28.280> now<01:25:28.440> we<01:25:28.520> can<01:25:28.639> certainly<01:25:29.040> have
01:25:29.350 --> 01:25:29.360 align:start position:0%
principle now we can certainly have
01:25:29.360 --> 01:25:32.109 align:start position:0%
principle now we can certainly have
discussions<01:25:30.360> about<01:25:31.080> you<01:25:31.199> know<01:25:31.480> is<01:25:31.800> you<01:25:31.920> know
01:25:32.109 --> 01:25:32.119 align:start position:0%
discussions about you know is you know
01:25:32.119 --> 01:25:34.910 align:start position:0%
discussions about you know is you know
are<01:25:32.440> are<01:25:33.280> is<01:25:33.440> Israel<01:25:33.960> conducting<01:25:34.600> its
01:25:34.910 --> 01:25:34.920 align:start position:0%
are are is Israel conducting its
01:25:34.920 --> 01:25:36.310 align:start position:0%
are are is Israel conducting its
campaigns<01:25:35.480> the<01:25:35.600> way<01:25:35.719> it<01:25:35.800> needs<01:25:36.000> to<01:25:36.199> we
01:25:36.310 --> 01:25:36.320 align:start position:0%
campaigns the way it needs to we
01:25:36.320 --> 01:25:38.109 align:start position:0%
campaigns the way it needs to we
obviously<01:25:36.600> want<01:25:36.800> Israel<01:25:37.119> to<01:25:37.639> adhere<01:25:37.960> to
01:25:38.109 --> 01:25:38.119 align:start position:0%
obviously want Israel to adhere to
01:25:38.119 --> 01:25:41.430 align:start position:0%
obviously want Israel to adhere to
international<01:25:38.719> law<01:25:39.719> um<01:25:40.040> and<01:25:40.280> to<01:25:40.880> uh<01:25:41.119> you<01:25:41.239> know
01:25:41.430 --> 01:25:41.440 align:start position:0%
international law um and to uh you know
01:25:41.440 --> 01:25:43.590 align:start position:0%
international law um and to uh you know
and<01:25:41.639> and<01:25:41.760> to<01:25:42.440> uh<01:25:42.560> you<01:25:42.639> know<01:25:42.840> protect<01:25:43.199> civilians
01:25:43.590 --> 01:25:43.600 align:start position:0%
and and to uh you know protect civilians
01:25:43.600 --> 01:25:46.830 align:start position:0%
and and to uh you know protect civilians
to<01:25:43.760> the<01:25:43.880> greatest<01:25:44.239> de<01:25:44.719> degree<01:25:45.440> possible<01:25:46.440> um
01:25:46.830 --> 01:25:46.840 align:start position:0%
to the greatest de degree possible um
01:25:46.840 --> 01:25:49.430 align:start position:0%
to the greatest de degree possible um
you<01:25:46.960> know<01:25:47.280> under<01:25:48.280> under<01:25:48.600> our<01:25:48.800> conventional
01:25:49.430 --> 01:25:49.440 align:start position:0%
you know under under our conventional
01:25:49.440 --> 01:25:51.189 align:start position:0%
you know under under our conventional
understandings<01:25:49.679> of<01:25:49.800> the<01:25:49.920> laws<01:25:50.119> of<01:25:50.280> war<01:25:50.840> so<01:25:51.080> all
01:25:51.189 --> 01:25:51.199 align:start position:0%
understandings of the laws of war so all
01:25:51.199 --> 01:25:53.430 align:start position:0%
understandings of the laws of war so all
of<01:25:51.360> that<01:25:51.520> is<01:25:51.679> still<01:25:52.040> there<01:25:52.679> and<01:25:52.960> you<01:25:53.080> know<01:25:53.280> and
01:25:53.430 --> 01:25:53.440 align:start position:0%
of that is still there and you know and
01:25:53.440 --> 01:25:55.070 align:start position:0%
of that is still there and you know and
I'm<01:25:53.639> I'm<01:25:53.800> quite<01:25:53.960> sure<01:25:54.320> there's<01:25:54.600> constant
01:25:55.070 --> 01:25:55.080 align:start position:0%
I'm I'm quite sure there's constant
01:25:55.080 --> 01:25:58.109 align:start position:0%
I'm I'm quite sure there's constant
discussions<01:25:55.560> about<01:25:55.880> this<01:25:56.760> uh<01:25:57.040> but<01:25:57.560> you<01:25:57.679> know
01:25:58.109 --> 01:25:58.119 align:start position:0%
discussions about this uh but you know
01:25:58.119 --> 01:26:00.310 align:start position:0%
discussions about this uh but you know
at<01:25:58.239> the<01:25:58.360> same<01:25:58.639> time<01:25:59.040> you<01:25:59.159> know<01:25:59.560> this<01:25:59.679> is<01:26:00.199> you
01:26:00.310 --> 01:26:00.320 align:start position:0%
at the same time you know this is you
01:26:00.320 --> 01:26:03.350 align:start position:0%
at the same time you know this is you
know<01:26:00.480> a<01:26:00.639> situation<01:26:01.280> that<01:26:01.840> Iran<01:26:02.480> has<01:26:02.840> funded
01:26:03.350 --> 01:26:03.360 align:start position:0%
know a situation that Iran has funded
01:26:03.360 --> 01:26:06.750 align:start position:0%
know a situation that Iran has funded
and<01:26:03.760> supported<01:26:04.760> uh<01:26:04.920> and<01:26:05.159> and<01:26:05.520> created<01:26:06.480> uh<01:26:06.600> in
01:26:06.750 --> 01:26:06.760 align:start position:0%
and supported uh and and created uh in
01:26:06.760 --> 01:26:10.430 align:start position:0%
and supported uh and and created uh in
the<01:26:06.920> region<01:26:07.320> for<01:26:07.560> so<01:26:07.880> long<01:26:08.880> that<01:26:09.560> the<01:26:09.760> the<01:26:09.840> real
01:26:10.430 --> 01:26:10.440 align:start position:0%
the region for so long that the the real
01:26:10.440 --> 01:26:11.790 align:start position:0%
the region for so long that the the real
significant<01:26:11.000> effort<01:26:11.280> that<01:26:11.400> needs<01:26:11.560> to<01:26:11.679> be
01:26:11.790 --> 01:26:11.800 align:start position:0%
significant effort that needs to be
01:26:11.800 --> 01:26:14.109 align:start position:0%
significant effort that needs to be
taken<01:26:12.080> to<01:26:12.280> push<01:26:12.520> back<01:26:12.760> again<01:26:13.440> is<01:26:13.719> is<01:26:13.840> going<01:26:14.000> to
01:26:14.109 --> 01:26:14.119 align:start position:0%
taken to push back again is is going to
01:26:14.119 --> 01:26:15.669 align:start position:0%
taken to push back again is is going to
be<01:26:14.320> very<01:26:14.840> difficult<01:26:15.119> and<01:26:15.239> it's<01:26:15.400> going<01:26:15.480> to<01:26:15.560> be
01:26:15.669 --> 01:26:15.679 align:start position:0%
be very difficult and it's going to be
01:26:15.679 --> 01:26:18.550 align:start position:0%
be very difficult and it's going to be
very<01:26:15.920> painful<01:26:16.920> um<01:26:17.080> but<01:26:17.199> at<01:26:17.320> the<01:26:17.400> same<01:26:17.639> time<01:26:18.239> uh
01:26:18.550 --> 01:26:18.560 align:start position:0%
very painful um but at the same time uh
01:26:18.560 --> 01:26:20.709 align:start position:0%
very painful um but at the same time uh
you<01:26:18.679> know<01:26:19.040> I<01:26:19.639> My<01:26:19.840> Hope<01:26:20.119> Is<01:26:20.280> that<01:26:20.440> what<01:26:20.560> we're
01:26:20.709 --> 01:26:20.719 align:start position:0%
you know I My Hope Is that what we're
01:26:20.719 --> 01:26:22.870 align:start position:0%
you know I My Hope Is that what we're
seeing<01:26:21.040> is<01:26:21.639> is<01:26:21.840> is<01:26:21.920> a<01:26:22.080> resetting<01:26:22.600> of<01:26:22.719> the
01:26:22.870 --> 01:26:22.880 align:start position:0%
seeing is is is a resetting of the
01:26:22.880 --> 01:26:26.470 align:start position:0%
seeing is is is a resetting of the
situation<01:26:23.360> in<01:26:23.520> the<01:26:23.639> region<01:26:24.639> uh<01:26:25.040> that<01:26:25.360> will<01:26:26.080> uh
01:26:26.470 --> 01:26:26.480 align:start position:0%
situation in the region uh that will uh
01:26:26.480 --> 01:26:29.189 align:start position:0%
situation in the region uh that will uh
that<01:26:26.639> will<01:26:26.880> hopefully<01:26:27.480> prevent<01:26:28.040> future<01:26:29.040> uh
01:26:29.189 --> 01:26:29.199 align:start position:0%
that will hopefully prevent future uh
01:26:29.199 --> 01:26:31.709 align:start position:0%
that will hopefully prevent future uh
major<01:26:29.600> losses<01:26:29.920> of<01:26:30.159> Life<01:26:30.800> moving
01:26:31.709 --> 01:26:31.719 align:start position:0%
major losses of Life moving
01:26:31.719 --> 01:26:34.149 align:start position:0%
major losses of Life moving
forward<01:26:32.719> well<01:26:32.880> we're<01:26:33.080> going<01:26:33.280> to<01:26:33.560> conclude
01:26:34.149 --> 01:26:34.159 align:start position:0%
forward well we're going to conclude
01:26:34.159 --> 01:26:37.750 align:start position:0%
forward well we're going to conclude
with<01:26:34.280> a<01:26:34.520> question<01:26:34.960> for<01:26:35.280> you<01:26:36.040> Matt<01:26:36.520> from<01:26:36.760> NOA<01:26:37.239> El
01:26:37.750 --> 01:26:37.760 align:start position:0%
with a question for you Matt from NOA El
01:26:37.760 --> 01:26:40.590 align:start position:0%
with a question for you Matt from NOA El
mawi<01:26:38.679> uh<01:26:38.800> from<01:26:39.119> Egypt<01:26:39.880> what<01:26:40.000> do<01:26:40.080> you<01:26:40.280> think<01:26:40.480> the
01:26:40.590 --> 01:26:40.600 align:start position:0%
mawi uh from Egypt what do you think the
01:26:40.600 --> 01:26:43.030 align:start position:0%
mawi uh from Egypt what do you think the
US<01:26:40.960> position<01:26:41.679> in<01:26:42.119> is<01:26:42.360> regarding<01:26:42.880> the
01:26:43.030 --> 01:26:43.040 align:start position:0%
US position in is regarding the
01:26:43.040 --> 01:26:45.709 align:start position:0%
US position in is regarding the
increasing<01:26:43.760> RMA<01:26:44.600> between<01:26:44.920> Iran<01:26:45.239> and<01:26:45.400> various
01:26:45.709 --> 01:26:45.719 align:start position:0%
increasing RMA between Iran and various
01:26:45.719 --> 01:26:48.270 align:start position:0%
increasing RMA between Iran and various
Arab<01:26:46.080> countries<01:26:47.000> while<01:26:47.320> we<01:26:47.480> could<01:26:47.639> see<01:26:47.960> this
01:26:48.270 --> 01:26:48.280 align:start position:0%
Arab countries while we could see this
01:26:48.280 --> 01:26:50.270 align:start position:0%
Arab countries while we could see this
as<01:26:48.440> threatening<01:26:48.840> to<01:26:49.040> Israel's<01:26:49.480> desire<01:26:49.840> to
01:26:50.270 --> 01:26:50.280 align:start position:0%
as threatening to Israel's desire to
01:26:50.280 --> 01:26:52.590 align:start position:0%
as threatening to Israel's desire to
reconfigure<01:26:51.000> the<01:26:51.119> Middle<01:26:51.400> East<01:26:52.040> what<01:26:52.239> is<01:26:52.400> the
01:26:52.590 --> 01:26:52.600 align:start position:0%
reconfigure the Middle East what is the
01:26:52.600 --> 01:26:55.430 align:start position:0%
reconfigure the Middle East what is the
US<01:26:53.040> position<01:26:54.040> is<01:26:54.239> is<01:26:54.280> it<01:26:54.480> aligned<01:26:55.080> with<01:26:55.280> the
01:26:55.430 --> 01:26:55.440 align:start position:0%
US position is is it aligned with the
01:26:55.440 --> 01:26:58.790 align:start position:0%
US position is is it aligned with the
Israeli<01:26:56.400> uh<01:26:56.520> Vision<01:26:56.960> or<01:26:57.159> is<01:26:57.320> the<01:26:57.520> US<01:26:57.920> position
01:26:58.790 --> 01:26:58.800 align:start position:0%
Israeli uh Vision or is the US position
01:26:58.800 --> 01:27:01.510 align:start position:0%
Israeli uh Vision or is the US position
more
01:27:01.510 --> 01:27:01.520 align:start position:0%
more
01:27:01.520 --> 01:27:03.790 align:start position:0%
more
nuanced<01:27:02.520> I<01:27:02.760> again<01:27:03.159> again<01:27:03.320> I<01:27:03.440> always<01:27:03.560> have<01:27:03.679> to
01:27:03.790 --> 01:27:03.800 align:start position:0%
nuanced I again again I always have to
01:27:03.800 --> 01:27:05.350 align:start position:0%
nuanced I again again I always have to
caveat<01:27:04.199> I<01:27:04.280> do<01:27:04.400> not<01:27:04.520> speak<01:27:04.719> for<01:27:04.880> the<01:27:05.080> US
01:27:05.350 --> 01:27:05.360 align:start position:0%
caveat I do not speak for the US
01:27:05.360 --> 01:27:08.870 align:start position:0%
caveat I do not speak for the US
Administration<01:27:06.000> here<01:27:06.600> but<01:27:06.920> my<01:27:07.840> I<01:27:08.000> do<01:27:08.239> believe
01:27:08.870 --> 01:27:08.880 align:start position:0%
Administration here but my I do believe
01:27:08.880 --> 01:27:11.149 align:start position:0%
Administration here but my I do believe
that<01:27:09.840> uh<01:27:10.280> the
01:27:11.149 --> 01:27:11.159 align:start position:0%
that uh the
01:27:11.159 --> 01:27:13.830 align:start position:0%
that uh the
relationship<01:27:12.159> uh<01:27:12.520> that<01:27:12.760> Iran<01:27:13.199> and<01:27:13.480> the<01:27:13.600> Arab
01:27:13.830 --> 01:27:13.840 align:start position:0%
relationship uh that Iran and the Arab
01:27:13.840 --> 01:27:16.229 align:start position:0%
relationship uh that Iran and the Arab
states<01:27:14.159> have<01:27:14.320> been<01:27:14.560> developing<01:27:15.560> you<01:27:15.719> know<01:27:16.040> the
01:27:16.229 --> 01:27:16.239 align:start position:0%
states have been developing you know the
01:27:16.239 --> 01:27:19.270 align:start position:0%
states have been developing you know the
intent<01:27:16.679> for<01:27:16.880> it<01:27:17.159> is<01:27:17.360> to<01:27:18.280> you<01:27:18.360> know<01:27:18.560> is<01:27:18.679> to<01:27:18.840> be<01:27:19.040> de
01:27:19.270 --> 01:27:19.280 align:start position:0%
intent for it is to you know is to be de
01:27:19.280 --> 01:27:22.470 align:start position:0%
intent for it is to you know is to be de
escalatory<01:27:19.840> and<01:27:19.960> to<01:27:20.119> manage<01:27:20.800> crisis<01:27:21.800> uh<01:27:21.920> and
01:27:22.470 --> 01:27:22.480 align:start position:0%
escalatory and to manage crisis uh and
01:27:22.480 --> 01:27:25.870 align:start position:0%
escalatory and to manage crisis uh and
escalation<01:27:23.480> um<01:27:23.840> which<01:27:24.520> from<01:27:24.960> from<01:27:25.320> a<01:27:25.480> US
01:27:25.870 --> 01:27:25.880 align:start position:0%
escalation um which from from a US
01:27:25.880 --> 01:27:27.950 align:start position:0%
escalation um which from from a US
perspective<01:27:26.400> is<01:27:26.679> is<01:27:26.840> always<01:27:27.119> going<01:27:27.320> to<01:27:27.760> or
01:27:27.950 --> 01:27:27.960 align:start position:0%
perspective is is always going to or
01:27:27.960 --> 01:27:30.629 align:start position:0%
perspective is is always going to or
most<01:27:28.239> times<01:27:28.480> be<01:27:28.679> a<01:27:28.840> good<01:27:29.080> thing<01:27:30.000> um<01:27:30.239> I<01:27:30.320> think<01:27:30.520> a
01:27:30.629 --> 01:27:30.639 align:start position:0%
most times be a good thing um I think a
01:27:30.639 --> 01:27:33.430 align:start position:0%
most times be a good thing um I think a
lot<01:27:30.800> of<01:27:31.000> the<01:27:31.960> uh<01:27:32.400> you<01:27:32.520> know<01:27:32.800> the<01:27:33.199> the
01:27:33.430 --> 01:27:33.440 align:start position:0%
lot of the uh you know the the
01:27:33.440 --> 01:27:35.590 align:start position:0%
lot of the uh you know the the
expectation<01:27:34.400> that<01:27:34.920> you<01:27:35.080> know<01:27:35.320> the<01:27:35.480> the
01:27:35.590 --> 01:27:35.600 align:start position:0%
expectation that you know the the
01:27:35.600 --> 01:27:37.910 align:start position:0%
expectation that you know the the
agreement<01:27:36.080> that<01:27:36.239> was<01:27:36.440> hashed<01:27:36.840> out<01:27:37.480> uh<01:27:37.639> with
01:27:37.910 --> 01:27:37.920 align:start position:0%
agreement that was hashed out uh with
01:27:37.920 --> 01:27:39.950 align:start position:0%
agreement that was hashed out uh with
Chinese<01:27:38.920> uh<01:27:39.040> some<01:27:39.239> degree<01:27:39.520> of<01:27:39.600> Chinese
01:27:39.950 --> 01:27:39.960 align:start position:0%
Chinese uh some degree of Chinese
01:27:39.960 --> 01:27:42.629 align:start position:0%
Chinese uh some degree of Chinese
assistance<01:27:40.520> last<01:27:40.760> year<01:27:41.639> whether<01:27:41.960> that's<01:27:42.520> uh
01:27:42.629 --> 01:27:42.639 align:start position:0%
assistance last year whether that's uh
01:27:42.639 --> 01:27:45.270 align:start position:0%
assistance last year whether that's uh
going<01:27:42.800> to<01:27:43.040> manifest<01:27:43.760> into<01:27:44.119> something<01:27:44.679> that<01:27:44.840> is
01:27:45.270 --> 01:27:45.280 align:start position:0%
going to manifest into something that is
01:27:45.280 --> 01:27:47.790 align:start position:0%
going to manifest into something that is
sustainable<01:27:45.880> is<01:27:46.000> a<01:27:46.159> real<01:27:46.520> open<01:27:46.920> question<01:27:47.480> I<01:27:47.679> I
01:27:47.790 --> 01:27:47.800 align:start position:0%
sustainable is a real open question I I
01:27:47.800 --> 01:27:50.430 align:start position:0%
sustainable is a real open question I I
have<01:27:48.600> uh<01:27:48.800> a<01:27:48.920> lot<01:27:49.080> of<01:27:49.280> doubts<01:27:49.760> that<01:27:49.960> Iran<01:27:50.320> is
01:27:50.430 --> 01:27:50.440 align:start position:0%
have uh a lot of doubts that Iran is
01:27:50.440 --> 01:27:52.910 align:start position:0%
have uh a lot of doubts that Iran is
going<01:27:50.679> to<01:27:51.040> uphold<01:27:51.440> its<01:27:51.679> part<01:27:51.880> of<01:27:52.600> uh<01:27:52.760> that
01:27:52.910 --> 01:27:52.920 align:start position:0%
going to uphold its part of uh that
01:27:52.920 --> 01:27:55.109 align:start position:0%
going to uphold its part of uh that
bargain<01:27:53.280> or<01:27:53.520> frankly<01:27:53.840> has<01:27:54.199> has<01:27:54.360> frankly<01:27:54.719> not
01:27:55.109 --> 01:27:55.119 align:start position:0%
bargain or frankly has has frankly not
01:27:55.119 --> 01:27:57.390 align:start position:0%
bargain or frankly has has frankly not
upheld<01:27:55.679> many<01:27:55.920> parts<01:27:56.080> of<01:27:56.199> his<01:27:56.360> bargain<01:27:57.280> uh
01:27:57.390 --> 01:27:57.400 align:start position:0%
upheld many parts of his bargain uh
01:27:57.400 --> 01:27:59.629 align:start position:0%
upheld many parts of his bargain uh
particularly<01:27:57.719> when<01:27:57.840> it<01:27:57.960> comes<01:27:58.320> to<01:27:59.320> uh<01:27:59.560> you
01:27:59.629 --> 01:27:59.639 align:start position:0%
particularly when it comes to uh you
01:27:59.639 --> 01:28:01.669 align:start position:0%
particularly when it comes to uh you
know<01:27:59.960> you<01:28:00.080> know<01:28:00.360> maintaining<01:28:00.800> a<01:28:01.040> support<01:28:01.400> for
01:28:01.669 --> 01:28:01.679 align:start position:0%
know you know maintaining a support for
01:28:01.679 --> 01:28:04.629 align:start position:0%
know you know maintaining a support for
the<01:28:01.920> for<01:28:02.159> the<01:28:02.280> houthis<01:28:02.679> and<01:28:02.840> arming<01:28:03.239> them<01:28:04.159> um
01:28:04.629 --> 01:28:04.639 align:start position:0%
the for the houthis and arming them um
01:28:04.639 --> 01:28:06.109 align:start position:0%
the for the houthis and arming them um
you<01:28:04.719> know<01:28:04.920> that<01:28:05.080> that<01:28:05.199> was<01:28:05.400> you<01:28:05.480> know<01:28:05.600> from<01:28:05.719> my
01:28:06.109 --> 01:28:06.119 align:start position:0%
you know that that was you know from my
01:28:06.119 --> 01:28:07.350 align:start position:0%
you know that that was you know from my
understanding<01:28:06.320> was<01:28:06.520> part<01:28:06.639> of<01:28:06.760> the<01:28:06.880> deal<01:28:07.159> and
01:28:07.350 --> 01:28:07.360 align:start position:0%
understanding was part of the deal and
01:28:07.360 --> 01:28:08.950 align:start position:0%
understanding was part of the deal and
it<01:28:07.480> has<01:28:07.679> not<01:28:07.880> happened<01:28:08.239> the<01:28:08.360> way<01:28:08.679> it<01:28:08.800> was
01:28:08.950 --> 01:28:08.960 align:start position:0%
it has not happened the way it was
01:28:08.960 --> 01:28:12.270 align:start position:0%
it has not happened the way it was
intended<01:28:09.800> so<01:28:10.480> I<01:28:10.679> I<01:28:11.119> my<01:28:11.440> expectation<01:28:12.000> is<01:28:12.119> that
01:28:12.270 --> 01:28:12.280 align:start position:0%
intended so I I my expectation is that
01:28:12.280 --> 01:28:14.189 align:start position:0%
intended so I I my expectation is that
the<01:28:12.400> Arab<01:28:12.719> states<01:28:13.480> generally<01:28:13.840> have<01:28:14.000> their
01:28:14.189 --> 01:28:14.199 align:start position:0%
the Arab states generally have their
01:28:14.199 --> 01:28:17.390 align:start position:0%
the Arab states generally have their
eyes<01:28:14.480> wide<01:28:14.719> open<01:28:15.520> about<01:28:16.280> the<01:28:16.520> whether<01:28:16.920> Iran<01:28:17.280> is
01:28:17.390 --> 01:28:17.400 align:start position:0%
eyes wide open about the whether Iran is
01:28:17.400 --> 01:28:19.750 align:start position:0%
eyes wide open about the whether Iran is
going<01:28:17.639> to<01:28:18.159> to<01:28:18.400> Really<01:28:18.679> fulfill<01:28:19.119> it<01:28:19.400> side<01:28:19.520> of
01:28:19.750 --> 01:28:19.760 align:start position:0%
going to to Really fulfill it side of
01:28:19.760 --> 01:28:21.470 align:start position:0%
going to to Really fulfill it side of
this<01:28:20.199> these<01:28:20.400> types<01:28:20.600> of<01:28:20.760> agreements<01:28:21.119> and<01:28:21.280> it
01:28:21.470 --> 01:28:21.480 align:start position:0%
this these types of agreements and it
01:28:21.480 --> 01:28:23.189 align:start position:0%
this these types of agreements and it
side<01:28:21.560> of<01:28:21.639> the<01:28:21.760> relationship<01:28:22.639> at<01:28:22.760> the<01:28:22.880> same
01:28:23.189 --> 01:28:23.199 align:start position:0%
side of the relationship at the same
01:28:23.199 --> 01:28:26.270 align:start position:0%
side of the relationship at the same
time<01:28:23.600> you<01:28:23.719> know<01:28:24.159> we<01:28:24.280> are<01:28:25.080> uh<01:28:25.320> you<01:28:25.440> know<01:28:25.679> wanting
01:28:26.270 --> 01:28:26.280 align:start position:0%
time you know we are uh you know wanting
01:28:26.280 --> 01:28:27.990 align:start position:0%
time you know we are uh you know wanting
our<01:28:26.639> partners<01:28:27.040> and<01:28:27.239> our<01:28:27.400> allies<01:28:27.760> in<01:28:27.880> the
01:28:27.990 --> 01:28:28.000 align:start position:0%
our partners and our allies in the
01:28:28.000 --> 01:28:30.709 align:start position:0%
our partners and our allies in the
region<01:28:28.560> to<01:28:28.800> take<01:28:29.040> more<01:28:29.480> of<01:28:29.639> a<01:28:29.760> lead<01:28:30.400> uh<01:28:30.520> in
01:28:30.709 --> 01:28:30.719 align:start position:0%
region to take more of a lead uh in
01:28:30.719 --> 01:28:32.830 align:start position:0%
region to take more of a lead uh in
responsibility<01:28:31.239> for<01:28:31.360> their<01:28:31.480> own<01:28:31.840> security
01:28:32.830 --> 01:28:32.840 align:start position:0%
responsibility for their own security
01:28:32.840 --> 01:28:34.750 align:start position:0%
responsibility for their own security
and<01:28:33.119> and<01:28:33.320> that's<01:28:33.560> been<01:28:33.840> true<01:28:34.080> in<01:28:34.199> the<01:28:34.320> Biden
01:28:34.750 --> 01:28:34.760 align:start position:0%
and and that's been true in the Biden
01:28:34.760 --> 01:28:37.590 align:start position:0%
and and that's been true in the Biden
Administration<01:28:35.760> I<01:28:36.080> I<01:28:36.280> certainly<01:28:36.600> know<01:28:36.960> from
01:28:37.590 --> 01:28:37.600 align:start position:0%
Administration I I certainly know from
01:28:37.600 --> 01:28:39.430 align:start position:0%
Administration I I certainly know from
you<01:28:37.719> know<01:28:38.199> the<01:28:38.400> what<01:28:38.520> I<01:28:38.639> would<01:28:38.840> expect<01:28:39.119> to<01:28:39.239> see
01:28:39.430 --> 01:28:39.440 align:start position:0%
you know the what I would expect to see
01:28:39.440 --> 01:28:40.669 align:start position:0%
you know the what I would expect to see
from<01:28:39.639> by<01:28:39.920> the<01:28:40.080> Trump<01:28:40.239> or<01:28:40.360> Harris
01:28:40.669 --> 01:28:40.679 align:start position:0%
from by the Trump or Harris
01:28:40.679 --> 01:28:41.870 align:start position:0%
from by the Trump or Harris
Administration<01:28:41.159> that<01:28:41.320> we<01:28:41.400> are<01:28:41.520> going<01:28:41.679> to
01:28:41.870 --> 01:28:41.880 align:start position:0%
Administration that we are going to
01:28:41.880 --> 01:28:44.229 align:start position:0%
Administration that we are going to
continue<01:28:42.320> to<01:28:42.520> put<01:28:43.159> our<01:28:43.440> allies<01:28:43.760> and<01:28:43.960> partners
01:28:44.229 --> 01:28:44.239 align:start position:0%
continue to put our allies and partners
01:28:44.239 --> 01:28:46.950 align:start position:0%
continue to put our allies and partners
in<01:28:44.400> the<01:28:44.520> lead<01:28:45.280> that<01:28:45.400> is<01:28:45.760> that<01:28:45.840> is<01:28:46.000> a<01:28:46.520> uh<01:28:46.719> that<01:28:46.840> is
01:28:46.950 --> 01:28:46.960 align:start position:0%
in the lead that is that is a uh that is
01:28:46.960 --> 01:28:49.390 align:start position:0%
in the lead that is that is a uh that is
a<01:28:47.119> philosophy<01:28:47.760> that<01:28:48.080> that<01:28:48.600> that<01:28:48.800> has<01:28:49.000> been
01:28:49.390 --> 01:28:49.400 align:start position:0%
a philosophy that that that has been
01:28:49.400 --> 01:28:51.430 align:start position:0%
a philosophy that that that has been
growing<01:28:49.880> frankly<01:28:50.280> for<01:28:50.560> several
01:28:51.430 --> 01:28:51.440 align:start position:0%
growing frankly for several
01:28:51.440 --> 01:28:53.629 align:start position:0%
growing frankly for several
administrations<01:28:52.440> uh<01:28:52.719> and<01:28:53.119> and<01:28:53.239> so<01:28:53.480> my
01:28:53.629 --> 01:28:53.639 align:start position:0%
administrations uh and and so my
01:28:53.639 --> 01:28:56.030 align:start position:0%
administrations uh and and so my
expectation<01:28:54.239> is<01:28:54.320> out<01:28:54.440> of<01:28:54.600> President<01:28:55.040> Trump
01:28:56.030 --> 01:28:56.040 align:start position:0%
expectation is out of President Trump
01:28:56.040 --> 01:28:58.510 align:start position:0%
expectation is out of President Trump
would<01:28:56.239> also<01:28:56.560> want<01:28:56.800> to<01:28:57.480> you<01:28:57.600> know<01:28:58.159> further
01:28:58.510 --> 01:28:58.520 align:start position:0%
would also want to you know further
01:28:58.520 --> 01:29:00.750 align:start position:0%
would also want to you know further
Empower<01:28:59.320> and<01:28:59.560> and<01:28:59.719> strengthen<01:29:00.360> the
01:29:00.750 --> 01:29:00.760 align:start position:0%
Empower and and strengthen the
01:29:00.760 --> 01:29:02.990 align:start position:0%
Empower and and strengthen the
relationships<01:29:01.760> uh<01:29:01.920> with<01:29:02.119> our<01:29:02.480> with<01:29:02.800> both
01:29:02.990 --> 01:29:03.000 align:start position:0%
relationships uh with our with both
01:29:03.000 --> 01:29:04.990 align:start position:0%
relationships uh with our with both
Israel<01:29:03.560> and<01:29:03.800> with<01:29:03.960> our<01:29:04.400> with<01:29:04.520> our<01:29:04.679> Arab
01:29:04.990 --> 01:29:05.000 align:start position:0%
Israel and with our with our Arab
01:29:05.000 --> 01:29:07.229 align:start position:0%
Israel and with our with our Arab
partners<01:29:05.760> for<01:29:06.080> them<01:29:06.239> to<01:29:06.400> be<01:29:06.520> able<01:29:06.719> to<01:29:06.840> manage
01:29:07.229 --> 01:29:07.239 align:start position:0%
partners for them to be able to manage
01:29:07.239 --> 01:29:09.629 align:start position:0%
partners for them to be able to manage
these<01:29:07.440> security<01:29:07.840> relationships<01:29:08.600> and<01:29:09.360> and<01:29:09.480> if
01:29:09.629 --> 01:29:09.639 align:start position:0%
these security relationships and and if
01:29:09.639 --> 01:29:12.189 align:start position:0%
these security relationships and and if
to<01:29:09.760> some<01:29:09.920> degree<01:29:10.639> that<01:29:11.080> those<01:29:11.480> conversations
01:29:12.189 --> 01:29:12.199 align:start position:0%
to some degree that those conversations
01:29:12.199 --> 01:29:15.550 align:start position:0%
to some degree that those conversations
with<01:29:12.600> Iran<01:29:13.600> um<01:29:13.960> help<01:29:14.320> facilitate<01:29:15.080> that
01:29:15.550 --> 01:29:15.560 align:start position:0%
with Iran um help facilitate that
01:29:15.560 --> 01:29:18.550 align:start position:0%
with Iran um help facilitate that
management<01:29:16.560> uh<01:29:16.719> that<01:29:16.800> may<01:29:17.000> be<01:29:17.119> a<01:29:17.280> good<01:29:17.560> thing
01:29:18.550 --> 01:29:18.560 align:start position:0%
management uh that may be a good thing
01:29:18.560 --> 01:29:20.470 align:start position:0%
management uh that may be a good thing
um<01:29:18.920> at<01:29:19.040> the<01:29:19.159> same<01:29:19.360> time<01:29:19.600> I<01:29:19.760> I<01:29:19.880> I<01:29:19.960> do<01:29:20.119> think<01:29:20.280> we
01:29:20.470 --> 01:29:20.480 align:start position:0%
um at the same time I I I do think we
01:29:20.480 --> 01:29:23.310 align:start position:0%
um at the same time I I I do think we
all<01:29:20.679> have<01:29:20.800> to<01:29:21.320> be<01:29:21.639> you<01:29:21.760> know<01:29:22.040> pretty<01:29:22.679> Frank<01:29:23.199> uh
01:29:23.310 --> 01:29:23.320 align:start position:0%
all have to be you know pretty Frank uh
01:29:23.320 --> 01:29:25.149 align:start position:0%
all have to be you know pretty Frank uh
with<01:29:23.440> ourselves<01:29:24.119> about<01:29:24.320> what<01:29:24.440> we're<01:29:24.840> uh<01:29:25.040> what
01:29:25.149 --> 01:29:25.159 align:start position:0%
with ourselves about what we're uh what
01:29:25.159 --> 01:29:26.310 align:start position:0%
with ourselves about what we're uh what
those<01:29:25.320> types<01:29:25.520> of<01:29:25.600> conversations<01:29:26.000> are<01:29:26.119> trying
01:29:26.310 --> 01:29:26.320 align:start position:0%
those types of conversations are trying
01:29:26.320 --> 01:29:27.030 align:start position:0%
those types of conversations are trying
to
01:29:27.030 --> 01:29:27.040 align:start position:0%
to
01:29:27.040 --> 01:29:29.350 align:start position:0%
to
achieve<01:29:28.040> so<01:29:28.320> we<01:29:28.520> have<01:29:28.719> reached<01:29:29.119> the
01:29:29.350 --> 01:29:29.360 align:start position:0%
achieve so we have reached the
01:29:29.360 --> 01:29:31.790 align:start position:0%
achieve so we have reached the
conclusion<01:29:30.119> however<01:29:30.400> I<01:29:30.560> promised<01:29:31.400> both<01:29:31.639> of
01:29:31.790 --> 01:29:31.800 align:start position:0%
conclusion however I promised both of
01:29:31.800 --> 01:29:34.669 align:start position:0%
conclusion however I promised both of
our<01:29:32.199> speakers<01:29:32.760> left<01:29:33.280> here<01:29:33.960> that<01:29:34.199> they<01:29:34.360> could
01:29:34.669 --> 01:29:34.679 align:start position:0%
our speakers left here that they could
01:29:34.679 --> 01:29:38.430 align:start position:0%
our speakers left here that they could
give<01:29:35.040> a<01:29:35.520> uh<01:29:36.199> a<01:29:36.440> quick<01:29:37.000> uh<01:29:37.400> conclusion<01:29:38.080> if<01:29:38.239> they
01:29:38.430 --> 01:29:38.440 align:start position:0%
give a uh a quick uh conclusion if they
01:29:38.440 --> 01:29:40.830 align:start position:0%
give a uh a quick uh conclusion if they
wish<01:29:39.159> so<01:29:39.440> Matt<01:29:39.719> I<01:29:39.840> guess<01:29:40.080> since<01:29:40.320> your<01:29:40.560> picture
01:29:40.830 --> 01:29:40.840 align:start position:0%
wish so Matt I guess since your picture
01:29:40.840 --> 01:29:44.750 align:start position:0%
wish so Matt I guess since your picture
is<01:29:41.040> on<01:29:41.760> do<01:29:41.880> you<01:29:42.000> have<01:29:42.199> anything<01:29:42.480> else<01:29:42.679> to
01:29:44.750 --> 01:29:44.760 align:start position:0%
is on do you have anything else to
01:29:44.760 --> 01:29:48.109 align:start position:0%
is on do you have anything else to
say<01:29:45.760> no<01:29:46.280> say<01:29:46.639> thanks<01:29:46.880> Steve<01:29:47.280> for<01:29:47.880> this
01:29:48.109 --> 01:29:48.119 align:start position:0%
say no say thanks Steve for this
01:29:48.119 --> 01:29:51.070 align:start position:0%
say no say thanks Steve for this
conversation<01:29:48.880> you<01:29:49.000> know<01:29:49.800> it<01:29:49.920> is<01:29:50.040> a<01:29:50.280> really
01:29:51.070 --> 01:29:51.080 align:start position:0%
conversation you know it is a really
01:29:51.080 --> 01:29:53.390 align:start position:0%
conversation you know it is a really
when<01:29:51.199> you<01:29:51.360> when<01:29:51.520> you<01:29:52.040> put<01:29:52.239> this<01:29:52.520> together<01:29:53.199> I
01:29:53.390 --> 01:29:53.400 align:start position:0%
when you when you put this together I
01:29:53.400 --> 01:29:54.750 align:start position:0%
when you when you put this together I
really<01:29:53.600> wasn't<01:29:54.040> certain<01:29:54.360> what<01:29:54.480> kind<01:29:54.600> of
01:29:54.750 --> 01:29:54.760 align:start position:0%
really wasn't certain what kind of
01:29:54.760 --> 01:29:56.149 align:start position:0%
really wasn't certain what kind of
situation<01:29:55.119> we're<01:29:55.280> going<01:29:55.400> to<01:29:55.520> be<01:29:55.679> in<01:29:55.920> which<01:29:56.040> of
01:29:56.149 --> 01:29:56.159 align:start position:0%
situation we're going to be in which of
01:29:56.159 --> 01:29:57.790 align:start position:0%
situation we're going to be in which of
course<01:29:56.320> is<01:29:56.520> the<01:29:56.800> the<01:29:56.920> challenge<01:29:57.320> here<01:29:57.639> that
01:29:57.790 --> 01:29:57.800 align:start position:0%
course is the the challenge here that
01:29:57.800 --> 01:29:59.430 align:start position:0%
course is the the challenge here that
the<01:29:58.000> situation<01:29:58.320> on<01:29:58.440> the<01:29:58.560> ground<01:29:58.880> continues<01:29:59.280> to
01:29:59.430 --> 01:29:59.440 align:start position:0%
the situation on the ground continues to
01:29:59.440 --> 01:30:01.990 align:start position:0%
the situation on the ground continues to
change<01:30:00.440> so<01:30:00.840> that<01:30:01.000> makes<01:30:01.280> all<01:30:01.400> of<01:30:01.560> us<01:30:01.679> that
01:30:01.990 --> 01:30:02.000 align:start position:0%
change so that makes all of us that
01:30:02.000 --> 01:30:06.430 align:start position:0%
change so that makes all of us that
watch<01:30:02.719> uh<01:30:03.000> this<01:30:03.600> uh<01:30:04.000> this<01:30:04.440> region<01:30:05.440> uh<01:30:05.679> closely
01:30:06.430 --> 01:30:06.440 align:start position:0%
watch uh this uh this region uh closely
01:30:06.440 --> 01:30:08.669 align:start position:0%
watch uh this uh this region uh closely
you<01:30:06.600> know<01:30:07.199> it's<01:30:07.480> very<01:30:07.800> challenging<01:30:08.360> to<01:30:08.520> be
01:30:08.669 --> 01:30:08.679 align:start position:0%
you know it's very challenging to be
01:30:08.679 --> 01:30:11.709 align:start position:0%
you know it's very challenging to be
able<01:30:08.920> to<01:30:09.840> uh<01:30:10.080> prognosticate<01:30:10.880> to<01:30:11.239> see<01:30:11.480> where
01:30:11.709 --> 01:30:11.719 align:start position:0%
able to uh prognosticate to see where
01:30:11.719 --> 01:30:13.870 align:start position:0%
able to uh prognosticate to see where
this<01:30:11.840> is<01:30:12.040> going<01:30:12.840> uh<01:30:13.000> because<01:30:13.280> things<01:30:13.480> are<01:30:13.719> are
01:30:13.870 --> 01:30:13.880 align:start position:0%
this is going uh because things are are
01:30:13.880 --> 01:30:16.189 align:start position:0%
this is going uh because things are are
moving<01:30:14.239> very<01:30:14.480> quickly<01:30:15.440> um<01:30:15.760> at<01:30:15.880> you<01:30:15.960> know<01:30:16.080> at
01:30:16.189 --> 01:30:16.199 align:start position:0%
moving very quickly um at you know at
01:30:16.199 --> 01:30:19.990 align:start position:0%
moving very quickly um at you know at
the<01:30:16.320> same<01:30:16.600> time<01:30:17.000> I<01:30:17.239> I<01:30:17.400> do<01:30:17.760> think<01:30:18.760> that<01:30:19.400> um<01:30:19.719> all
01:30:19.990 --> 01:30:20.000 align:start position:0%
the same time I I do think that um all
01:30:20.000 --> 01:30:23.109 align:start position:0%
the same time I I do think that um all
parties<01:30:20.360> are<01:30:20.719> frankly<01:30:21.760> understanding<01:30:22.760> each
01:30:23.109 --> 01:30:23.119 align:start position:0%
parties are frankly understanding each
01:30:23.119 --> 01:30:27.310 align:start position:0%
parties are frankly understanding each
other<01:30:23.520> a<01:30:23.639> little<01:30:24.080> bit<01:30:24.320> more<01:30:25.199> even<01:30:25.719> as<01:30:26.320> uh<01:30:26.639> as<01:30:26.880> as
01:30:27.310 --> 01:30:27.320 align:start position:0%
other a little bit more even as uh as as
01:30:27.320 --> 01:30:30.430 align:start position:0%
other a little bit more even as uh as as
difficult<01:30:27.600> as<01:30:27.760> the<01:30:27.920> war<01:30:28.159> is<01:30:28.400> getting<01:30:29.400> that<01:30:30.040> uh
01:30:30.430 --> 01:30:30.440 align:start position:0%
difficult as the war is getting that uh
01:30:30.440 --> 01:30:33.590 align:start position:0%
difficult as the war is getting that uh
that<01:30:30.800> each<01:30:30.960> other's<01:30:31.400> intent<01:30:32.600> capabilities
01:30:33.590 --> 01:30:33.600 align:start position:0%
that each other's intent capabilities
01:30:33.600 --> 01:30:36.109 align:start position:0%
that each other's intent capabilities
red<01:30:33.880> lines<01:30:34.480> what<01:30:34.760> whether<01:30:35.199> true<01:30:35.639> you<01:30:35.719> know<01:30:35.920> we
01:30:36.109 --> 01:30:36.119 align:start position:0%
red lines what whether true you know we
01:30:36.119 --> 01:30:37.350 align:start position:0%
red lines what whether true you know we
we<01:30:36.239> thought<01:30:36.400> we<01:30:36.520> understood<01:30:36.880> some<01:30:37.000> red<01:30:37.159> lines
01:30:37.350 --> 01:30:37.360 align:start position:0%
we thought we understood some red lines
01:30:37.360 --> 01:30:38.430 align:start position:0%
we thought we understood some red lines
but<01:30:37.440> a<01:30:37.520> lot<01:30:37.639> of<01:30:37.719> those<01:30:37.840> red<01:30:37.960> lines<01:30:38.199> have<01:30:38.320> been
01:30:38.430 --> 01:30:38.440 align:start position:0%
but a lot of those red lines have been
01:30:38.440 --> 01:30:42.510 align:start position:0%
but a lot of those red lines have been
blown<01:30:39.080> past<01:30:39.440> this<01:30:39.760> year<01:30:40.760> um<01:30:41.040> that<01:30:41.280> we<01:30:41.600> we<01:30:41.840> we
01:30:42.510 --> 01:30:42.520 align:start position:0%
blown past this year um that we we we
01:30:42.520 --> 01:30:45.350 align:start position:0%
blown past this year um that we we we
understand<01:30:43.400> where<01:30:43.679> the<01:30:43.880> other<01:30:44.440> is<01:30:44.960> a<01:30:45.119> little
01:30:45.350 --> 01:30:45.360 align:start position:0%
understand where the other is a little
01:30:45.360 --> 01:30:48.229 align:start position:0%
understand where the other is a little
bit<01:30:45.880> better<01:30:46.880> uh<01:30:47.040> so<01:30:47.360> if<01:30:47.520> that<01:30:47.639> is<01:30:47.760> my<01:30:48.000> one
01:30:48.229 --> 01:30:48.239 align:start position:0%
bit better uh so if that is my one
01:30:48.239 --> 01:30:51.229 align:start position:0%
bit better uh so if that is my one
silver<01:30:48.600> lining<01:30:49.040> of<01:30:49.239> this<01:30:49.679> terrible<01:30:50.679> uh
01:30:51.229 --> 01:30:51.239 align:start position:0%
silver lining of this terrible uh
01:30:51.239 --> 01:30:52.950 align:start position:0%
silver lining of this terrible uh
conflict<01:30:51.639> that<01:30:51.760> has<01:30:51.920> been<01:30:52.159> unfolding<01:30:52.679> in<01:30:52.800> the
01:30:52.950 --> 01:30:52.960 align:start position:0%
conflict that has been unfolding in the
01:30:52.960 --> 01:30:56.510 align:start position:0%
conflict that has been unfolding in the
last<01:30:53.679> uh<01:30:54.000> since<01:30:54.360> October<01:30:54.880> 7th<01:30:55.880> uh<01:30:56.159> that<01:30:56.400> you
01:30:56.510 --> 01:30:56.520 align:start position:0%
last uh since October 7th uh that you
01:30:56.520 --> 01:30:58.470 align:start position:0%
last uh since October 7th uh that you
know<01:30:56.840> that<01:30:57.159> that<01:30:57.360> we<01:30:57.520> are<01:30:57.880> going<01:30:58.080> to<01:30:58.199> come<01:30:58.360> out
01:30:58.470 --> 01:30:58.480 align:start position:0%
know that that we are going to come out
01:30:58.480 --> 01:31:02.229 align:start position:0%
know that that we are going to come out
of<01:30:58.639> this<01:30:58.880> with<01:30:59.719> uh<01:30:59.960> a<01:31:00.119> more<01:31:00.679> mature<01:31:01.679> uh
01:31:02.229 --> 01:31:02.239 align:start position:0%
of this with uh a more mature uh
01:31:02.239 --> 01:31:03.550 align:start position:0%
of this with uh a more mature uh
understanding<01:31:02.440> of<01:31:02.679> where<01:31:02.920> each<01:31:03.080> other<01:31:03.320> is
01:31:03.550 --> 01:31:03.560 align:start position:0%
understanding of where each other is
01:31:03.560 --> 01:31:05.790 align:start position:0%
understanding of where each other is
even<01:31:03.760> if<01:31:03.920> frankly<01:31:04.320> that's<01:31:04.880> a<01:31:05.080> place<01:31:05.440> that<01:31:05.639> we
01:31:05.790 --> 01:31:05.800 align:start position:0%
even if frankly that's a place that we
01:31:05.800 --> 01:31:07.070 align:start position:0%
even if frankly that's a place that we
don't<01:31:06.000> know<01:31:06.159> how<01:31:06.280> to
01:31:07.070 --> 01:31:07.080 align:start position:0%
don't know how to
01:31:07.080 --> 01:31:09.629 align:start position:0%
don't know how to
bridge
01:31:09.629 --> 01:31:09.639 align:start position:0%
bridge
01:31:09.639 --> 01:31:12.149 align:start position:0%
bridge
Johan<01:31:10.639> thank<01:31:10.880> you
01:31:12.149 --> 01:31:12.159 align:start position:0%
Johan thank you
01:31:12.159 --> 01:31:15.550 align:start position:0%
Johan thank you
um<01:31:13.159> um<01:31:14.159> I<01:31:14.239> can<01:31:14.520> actually<01:31:14.840> connect<01:31:15.159> to<01:31:15.400> what
01:31:15.550 --> 01:31:15.560 align:start position:0%
um um I can actually connect to what
01:31:15.560 --> 01:31:19.189 align:start position:0%
um um I can actually connect to what
Matt<01:31:15.920> said<01:31:16.480> um<01:31:17.199> I<01:31:17.320> think<01:31:17.560> we<01:31:17.679> are<01:31:18.560> witnessing
01:31:19.189 --> 01:31:19.199 align:start position:0%
Matt said um I think we are witnessing
01:31:19.199 --> 01:31:22.070 align:start position:0%
Matt said um I think we are witnessing
the<01:31:19.320> emergence<01:31:19.880> of<01:31:20.080> a<01:31:20.400> of<01:31:20.480> a<01:31:20.679> new<01:31:21.000> Regional
01:31:22.070 --> 01:31:22.080 align:start position:0%
the emergence of a of a new Regional
01:31:22.080 --> 01:31:24.669 align:start position:0%
the emergence of a of a new Regional
order<01:31:23.080> um<01:31:23.639> and
01:31:24.669 --> 01:31:24.679 align:start position:0%
order um and
01:31:24.679 --> 01:31:27.510 align:start position:0%
order um and
um<01:31:25.600> our<01:31:25.880> discussion<01:31:26.400> also<01:31:26.639> showed<01:31:27.080> that<01:31:27.320> this
01:31:27.510 --> 01:31:27.520 align:start position:0%
um our discussion also showed that this
01:31:27.520 --> 01:31:28.870 align:start position:0%
um our discussion also showed that this
Regional
01:31:28.870 --> 01:31:28.880 align:start position:0%
Regional
01:31:28.880 --> 01:31:32.990 align:start position:0%
Regional
order<01:31:29.880> um<01:31:30.400> is<01:31:30.639> just<01:31:30.920> very<01:31:31.560> complex<01:31:32.560> it's<01:31:32.760> not
01:31:32.990 --> 01:31:33.000 align:start position:0%
order um is just very complex it's not
01:31:33.000 --> 01:31:35.750 align:start position:0%
order um is just very complex it's not
just<01:31:33.199> the<01:31:33.360> regional<01:31:33.880> relationships<01:31:34.760> it's<01:31:35.000> not
01:31:35.750 --> 01:31:35.760 align:start position:0%
just the regional relationships it's not
01:31:35.760 --> 01:31:39.950 align:start position:0%
just the regional relationships it's not
only<01:31:36.280> the<01:31:37.159> um<01:31:37.880> the<01:31:38.080> the<01:31:38.239> interests<01:31:38.679> of<01:31:38.960> the
01:31:39.950 --> 01:31:39.960 align:start position:0%
only the um the the interests of the
01:31:39.960 --> 01:31:41.830 align:start position:0%
only the um the the interests of the
let's<01:31:40.119> say<01:31:40.320> International<01:31:41.080> powers<01:31:41.639> and
01:31:41.830 --> 01:31:41.840 align:start position:0%
let's say International powers and
01:31:41.840 --> 01:31:44.590 align:start position:0%
let's say International powers and
Regional<01:31:42.320> powers<01:31:43.199> that<01:31:43.400> come<01:31:43.679> into<01:31:44.080> the<01:31:44.400> the
01:31:44.590 --> 01:31:44.600 align:start position:0%
Regional powers that come into the the
01:31:44.600 --> 01:31:48.070 align:start position:0%
Regional powers that come into the the
same<01:31:45.400> pot<01:31:45.679> of<01:31:45.920> Interest<01:31:46.800> it<01:31:46.960> is<01:31:47.119> just<01:31:47.440> complex
01:31:48.070 --> 01:31:48.080 align:start position:0%
same pot of Interest it is just complex
01:31:48.080 --> 01:31:52.510 align:start position:0%
same pot of Interest it is just complex
because<01:31:48.360> of<01:31:48.760> of<01:31:49.719> um<01:31:50.440> many<01:31:51.520> technological
01:31:52.510 --> 01:31:52.520 align:start position:0%
because of of um many technological
01:31:52.520 --> 01:31:55.510 align:start position:0%
because of of um many technological
economic<01:31:53.159> geopolitical<01:31:54.320> developments<01:31:55.320> and
01:31:55.510 --> 01:31:55.520 align:start position:0%
economic geopolitical developments and
01:31:55.520 --> 01:31:59.350 align:start position:0%
economic geopolitical developments and
this<01:31:55.840> complexity<01:31:56.840> actually<01:31:57.440> creates<01:31:58.440> both<01:31:59.119> uh
01:31:59.350 --> 01:31:59.360 align:start position:0%
this complexity actually creates both uh
01:31:59.360 --> 01:32:02.470 align:start position:0%
this complexity actually creates both uh
hope<01:31:59.760> for<01:32:00.199> a<01:32:00.400> certain<01:32:00.840> degree<01:32:01.280> of<01:32:01.760> uh
01:32:02.470 --> 01:32:02.480 align:start position:0%
hope for a certain degree of uh
01:32:02.480 --> 01:32:05.590 align:start position:0%
hope for a certain degree of uh
deescalation<01:32:03.480> that<01:32:03.920> everyone<01:32:04.320> will<01:32:04.560> say<01:32:05.040> okay
01:32:05.590 --> 01:32:05.600 align:start position:0%
deescalation that everyone will say okay
01:32:05.600 --> 01:32:08.070 align:start position:0%
deescalation that everyone will say okay
it's<01:32:05.840> just<01:32:06.040> too<01:32:06.400> complex<01:32:07.000> and<01:32:07.480> as<01:32:07.639> as<01:32:07.800> Matt
01:32:08.070 --> 01:32:08.080 align:start position:0%
it's just too complex and as as Matt
01:32:08.080 --> 01:32:10.510 align:start position:0%
it's just too complex and as as Matt
says<01:32:08.360> we<01:32:08.560> know<01:32:09.440> know<01:32:09.719> better<01:32:10.119> what<01:32:10.280> the
01:32:10.510 --> 01:32:10.520 align:start position:0%
says we know know better what the
01:32:10.520 --> 01:32:14.109 align:start position:0%
says we know know better what the
capabilities<01:32:11.320> are<01:32:12.320> but<01:32:12.560> it<01:32:12.800> also<01:32:13.440> PVE<01:32:13.800> the
01:32:14.109 --> 01:32:14.119 align:start position:0%
capabilities are but it also PVE the
01:32:14.119 --> 01:32:18.310 align:start position:0%
capabilities are but it also PVE the
paves<01:32:14.480> the<01:32:14.679> way<01:32:15.119> for<01:32:16.119> for<01:32:16.679> an<01:32:16.960> accidental
01:32:18.310 --> 01:32:18.320 align:start position:0%
paves the way for for an accidental
01:32:18.320 --> 01:32:21.229 align:start position:0%
paves the way for for an accidental
escalation<01:32:19.320> and<01:32:19.520> and<01:32:19.800> that<01:32:19.960> is<01:32:20.199> where<01:32:20.880> I<01:32:21.080> I
01:32:21.229 --> 01:32:21.239 align:start position:0%
escalation and and that is where I I
01:32:21.239 --> 01:32:26.510 align:start position:0%
escalation and and that is where I I
urge<01:32:21.639> everyone<01:32:22.159> to<01:32:23.080> play<01:32:24.320> his<01:32:24.520> or<01:32:24.800> her<01:32:25.199> role<01:32:26.199> in
01:32:26.510 --> 01:32:26.520 align:start position:0%
urge everyone to play his or her role in
01:32:26.520 --> 01:32:28.790 align:start position:0%
urge everyone to play his or her role in
trying<01:32:26.840> to<01:32:27.159> deescalate<01:32:27.920> this<01:32:28.119> situation<01:32:28.639> and
01:32:28.790 --> 01:32:28.800 align:start position:0%
trying to deescalate this situation and
01:32:28.800 --> 01:32:32.109 align:start position:0%
trying to deescalate this situation and
deescalation<01:32:29.679> happens<01:32:30.560> through<01:32:30.840> a<01:32:31.280> better
01:32:32.109 --> 01:32:32.119 align:start position:0%
deescalation happens through a better
01:32:32.119 --> 01:32:33.750 align:start position:0%
deescalation happens through a better
understanding<01:32:32.480> of<01:32:32.760> what<01:32:32.920> the<01:32:33.080> other<01:32:33.400> side
01:32:33.750 --> 01:32:33.760 align:start position:0%
understanding of what the other side
01:32:33.760 --> 01:32:36.109 align:start position:0%
understanding of what the other side
what<01:32:34.239> what<01:32:34.360> is<01:32:34.639> motivating<01:32:35.360> the<01:32:35.480> other<01:32:35.800> side
01:32:36.109 --> 01:32:36.119 align:start position:0%
what what is motivating the other side
01:32:36.119 --> 01:32:39.070 align:start position:0%
what what is motivating the other side
what<01:32:36.239> the<01:32:36.440> psychological<01:32:37.360> aspects<01:32:37.800> are<01:32:38.760> and
01:32:39.070 --> 01:32:39.080 align:start position:0%
what the psychological aspects are and
01:32:39.080 --> 01:32:42.470 align:start position:0%
what the psychological aspects are and
and<01:32:39.600> I<01:32:39.840> I'm<01:32:40.360> grateful<01:32:40.960> that<01:32:41.760> dialogues<01:32:42.280> like
01:32:42.470 --> 01:32:42.480 align:start position:0%
and I I'm grateful that dialogues like
01:32:42.480 --> 01:32:44.470 align:start position:0%
and I I'm grateful that dialogues like
this<01:32:42.719> take<01:32:43.000> place<01:32:43.320> where<01:32:43.480> we<01:32:43.639> can<01:32:43.960> basically
01:32:44.470 --> 01:32:44.480 align:start position:0%
this take place where we can basically
01:32:44.480 --> 01:32:46.510 align:start position:0%
this take place where we can basically
improve<01:32:44.880> our<01:32:45.800> understanding<01:32:46.159> of<01:32:46.320> the
01:32:46.510 --> 01:32:46.520 align:start position:0%
improve our understanding of the
01:32:46.520 --> 01:32:48.390 align:start position:0%
improve our understanding of the
different<01:32:46.920> positions<01:32:47.400> and<01:32:47.600> different
01:32:48.390 --> 01:32:48.400 align:start position:0%
different positions and different
01:32:48.400 --> 01:32:50.990 align:start position:0%
different positions and different
psychologies<01:32:49.199> involved<01:32:49.600> in<01:32:49.760> this<01:32:50.000> conflict
01:32:50.990 --> 01:32:51.000 align:start position:0%
psychologies involved in this conflict
01:32:51.000 --> 01:32:53.270 align:start position:0%
psychologies involved in this conflict
thank<01:32:51.159> you<01:32:51.360> very<01:32:51.560> much<01:32:52.199> thank<01:32:52.480> you<01:32:52.760> and<01:32:52.960> I<01:32:53.159> you
01:32:53.270 --> 01:32:53.280 align:start position:0%
thank you very much thank you and I you
01:32:53.280 --> 01:32:54.709 align:start position:0%
thank you very much thank you and I you
know<01:32:53.440> that's<01:32:53.600> EX<01:32:53.840> exactly<01:32:54.159> what<01:32:54.320> I<01:32:54.400> was<01:32:54.560> going
01:32:54.709 --> 01:32:54.719 align:start position:0%
know that's EX exactly what I was going
01:32:54.719 --> 01:32:58.390 align:start position:0%
know that's EX exactly what I was going
to<01:32:55.239> conclude<01:32:55.800> by<01:32:56.560> by<01:32:56.840> saying<01:32:57.280> I<01:32:57.360> mean<01:32:58.159> can't
01:32:58.390 --> 01:32:58.400 align:start position:0%
to conclude by by saying I mean can't
01:32:58.400 --> 01:33:01.669 align:start position:0%
to conclude by by saying I mean can't
get<01:32:58.600> three<01:32:59.080> better<01:32:59.400> speakers<01:33:00.679> unbelievable
01:33:01.669 --> 01:33:01.679 align:start position:0%
get three better speakers unbelievable
01:33:01.679 --> 01:33:05.669 align:start position:0%
get three better speakers unbelievable
and<01:33:02.360> um<01:33:03.040> two<01:33:03.440> two<01:33:03.600> of<01:33:03.719> the<01:33:03.840> three<01:33:04.080> had<01:33:04.679> the
01:33:05.669 --> 01:33:05.679 align:start position:0%
and um two two of the three had the
01:33:05.679 --> 01:33:11.629 align:start position:0%
and um two two of the three had the
internal<01:33:06.360> diff<01:33:07.800> complexities<01:33:08.800> um<01:33:09.719> uh<01:33:10.400> and<01:33:10.880> yet
01:33:11.629 --> 01:33:11.639 align:start position:0%
internal diff complexities um uh and yet
01:33:11.639 --> 01:33:15.189 align:start position:0%
internal diff complexities um uh and yet
uh<01:33:12.639> uh<01:33:13.239> and<01:33:13.560> none<01:33:13.719> of<01:33:13.880> us<01:33:14.440> knew<01:33:14.800> what<01:33:14.960> was<01:33:15.080> going
01:33:15.189 --> 01:33:15.199 align:start position:0%
uh uh and none of us knew what was going
01:33:15.199 --> 01:33:19.149 align:start position:0%
uh uh and none of us knew what was going
to<01:33:15.440> happen<01:33:16.199> when<01:33:16.320> we<01:33:16.480> set<01:33:16.800> this<01:33:17.480> a<01:33:17.560> weeks<01:33:18.159> ago
01:33:19.149 --> 01:33:19.159 align:start position:0%
to happen when we set this a weeks ago
01:33:19.159 --> 01:33:22.350 align:start position:0%
to happen when we set this a weeks ago
uh<01:33:19.520> and<01:33:19.719> I<01:33:19.880> thought<01:33:20.159> it<01:33:20.320> was<01:33:20.600> a<01:33:21.320> just<01:33:22.000> a
01:33:22.350 --> 01:33:22.360 align:start position:0%
uh and I thought it was a just a
01:33:22.360 --> 01:33:24.910 align:start position:0%
uh and I thought it was a just a
fantastic<01:33:23.360> present<01:33:24.119> I<01:33:24.239> want<01:33:24.360> to<01:33:24.520> thank<01:33:24.719> the
01:33:24.910 --> 01:33:24.920 align:start position:0%
fantastic present I want to thank the
01:33:24.920 --> 01:33:30.149 align:start position:0%
fantastic present I want to thank the
two<01:33:26.080> uh<01:33:27.080> of<01:33:27.280> you<01:33:27.480> who<01:33:27.600> are<01:33:27.800> still<01:33:28.320> here<01:33:29.320> uh<01:33:30.000> U
01:33:30.149 --> 01:33:30.159 align:start position:0%
two uh of you who are still here uh U
01:33:30.159 --> 01:33:34.229 align:start position:0%
two uh of you who are still here uh U
I've<01:33:30.320> been<01:33:30.480> asked<01:33:30.719> to<01:33:31.639> uh<01:33:32.320> join<01:33:33.320> uh<01:33:33.840> uh
01:33:34.229 --> 01:33:34.239 align:start position:0%
I've been asked to uh join uh uh
01:33:34.239 --> 01:33:36.950 align:start position:0%
I've been asked to uh join uh uh
everyone<01:33:34.679> to<01:33:35.000> October<01:33:35.440> 30th<01:33:36.360> when<01:33:36.560> we'll<01:33:36.760> be
01:33:36.950 --> 01:33:36.960 align:start position:0%
everyone to October 30th when we'll be
01:33:36.960 --> 01:33:39.629 align:start position:0%
everyone to October 30th when we'll be
discussing<01:33:37.480> Lebanon<01:33:38.040> and<01:33:38.280> Hezbollah<01:33:39.280> and<01:33:39.440> on
01:33:39.629 --> 01:33:39.639 align:start position:0%
discussing Lebanon and Hezbollah and on
01:33:39.639 --> 01:33:42.590 align:start position:0%
discussing Lebanon and Hezbollah and on
November<01:33:40.159> 12th<01:33:41.040> to<01:33:41.320> assess<01:33:41.679> the<01:33:41.840> new<01:33:42.199> US
01:33:42.590 --> 01:33:42.600 align:start position:0%
November 12th to assess the new US
01:33:42.600 --> 01:33:44.830 align:start position:0%
November 12th to assess the new US
president<01:33:43.040> and<01:33:43.239> the<01:33:43.440> impact<01:33:44.159> on<01:33:44.320> the<01:33:44.440> Mina
01:33:44.830 --> 01:33:44.840 align:start position:0%
president and the impact on the Mina
01:33:44.840 --> 01:33:46.510 align:start position:0%
president and the impact on the Mina
region<01:33:45.440> I'm<01:33:45.520> beginning<01:33:45.840> to<01:33:45.960> wonder<01:33:46.199> if<01:33:46.320> on
01:33:46.510 --> 01:33:46.520 align:start position:0%
region I'm beginning to wonder if on
01:33:46.520 --> 01:33:48.669 align:start position:0%
region I'm beginning to wonder if on
November<01:33:46.840> 12th<01:33:47.119> we're<01:33:47.239> going<01:33:47.360> to<01:33:47.480> know<01:33:48.239> anyway
01:33:48.669 --> 01:33:48.679 align:start position:0%
November 12th we're going to know anyway
01:33:48.679 --> 01:33:51.550 align:start position:0%
November 12th we're going to know anyway
we<01:33:48.800> will<01:33:49.119> see<01:33:50.119> uh<01:33:50.280> both<01:33:50.520> are<01:33:50.719> being<01:33:50.920> shared<01:33:51.360> on
01:33:51.550 --> 01:33:51.560 align:start position:0%
we will see uh both are being shared on
01:33:51.560 --> 01:33:54.350 align:start position:0%
we will see uh both are being shared on
the<01:33:51.719> screen<01:33:52.400> right<01:33:52.639> now<01:33:53.360> if<01:33:53.480> you<01:33:53.880> have<01:33:54.040> not
01:33:54.350 --> 01:33:54.360 align:start position:0%
the screen right now if you have not
01:33:54.360 --> 01:33:56.669 align:start position:0%
the screen right now if you have not
already<01:33:54.800> joined<01:33:55.199> our<01:33:55.400> mailing<01:33:55.880> list<01:33:56.440> please
01:33:56.669 --> 01:33:56.679 align:start position:0%
already joined our mailing list please
01:33:56.679 --> 01:33:59.550 align:start position:0%
already joined our mailing list please
send<01:33:56.920> us<01:33:57.080> a<01:33:57.280> message<01:33:57.760> at
01:33:59.550 --> 01:33:59.560 align:start position:0%
send us a message at
01:33:59.560 --> 01:34:04.709 align:start position:0%
send us a message at
CAD<01:34:00.679> international.<01:34:01.960> ucla.edu<01:34:02.960> that's<01:34:03.719> CED
01:34:04.709 --> 01:34:04.719 align:start position:0%
CAD international. ucla.edu that's CED
01:34:04.719 --> 01:34:08.109 align:start position:0%
CAD international. ucla.edu that's CED
at<01:34:05.320> uh<01:34:05.719> international.
01:34:08.109 --> 01:34:08.119 align:start position:0%
at uh international.
01:34:08.119 --> 01:34:10.629 align:start position:0%
at uh international.
ucla.edu<01:34:09.119> and<01:34:09.440> you<01:34:09.600> see<01:34:09.880> something<01:34:10.400> right
01:34:10.629 --> 01:34:10.639 align:start position:0%
ucla.edu and you see something right
01:34:10.639 --> 01:34:15.030 align:start position:0%
ucla.edu and you see something right
there<01:34:11.560> uh<01:34:11.880> uh<01:34:12.280> on<01:34:13.199> uh<01:34:13.560> what<01:34:13.760> we<01:34:14.000> have<01:34:14.280> here<01:34:14.920> and
01:34:15.030 --> 01:34:15.040 align:start position:0%
there uh uh on uh what we have here and
01:34:15.040 --> 01:34:18.189 align:start position:0%
there uh uh on uh what we have here and
so<01:34:15.320> let<01:34:15.480> me<01:34:15.719> say<01:34:16.719> uh<01:34:16.840> we<01:34:17.000> hope<01:34:17.119> to<01:34:17.239> see<01:34:17.440> you<01:34:17.760> soon
01:34:18.189 --> 01:34:18.199 align:start position:0%
so let me say uh we hope to see you soon
01:34:18.199 --> 01:34:22.189 align:start position:0%
so let me say uh we hope to see you soon
again<01:34:19.199> and<01:34:19.840> um<01:34:20.560> bye<01:34:20.760> for<01:34:21.040> now<01:34:21.480> and<01:34:21.679> thank<01:34:21.880> you
01:34:22.189 --> 01:34:22.199 align:start position:0%
again and um bye for now and thank you
01:34:22.199 --> 01:34:25.350 align:start position:0%
again and um bye for now and thank you
all<01:34:23.199> uh<01:34:23.360> for<01:34:23.719> for<01:34:24.000> remaining<01:34:24.280> with<01:34:24.440> us<01:34:24.760> for<01:34:25.080> for
01:34:25.350 --> 01:34:25.360 align:start position:0%
all uh for for remaining with us for for
01:34:25.360 --> 01:34:28.870 align:start position:0%
all uh for for remaining with us for for
this<01:34:25.639> entire<01:34:26.920> wonderful<01:34:27.920> uh<01:34:28.119> program<01:34:28.639> even
01:34:28.870 --> 01:34:28.880 align:start position:0%
this entire wonderful uh program even
01:34:28.880 --> 01:34:30.590 align:start position:0%
this entire wonderful uh program even
though<01:34:29.040> it<01:34:29.159> deals<01:34:29.480> with<01:34:29.639> so<01:34:29.840> many<01:34:30.360> difficult
01:34:30.590 --> 01:34:30.600 align:start position:0%
though it deals with so many difficult
01:34:30.600 --> 01:34:35.719 align:start position:0%
though it deals with so many difficult
issues<01:34:31.440> thank<01:34:31.679> you<01:34:31.880> all<01:34:32.719> byebye